Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 18th September 2017

Saturday's Result :

3.15 Chester : Dan Troop @ 7/2 BOG WON at 5/2 : Tracked leaders, closed going well 2f out, led over 1f out, ridden inside final furlong, reduced lead towards finish, won by half a length...

Monday's pick goes in the...

3.35 Worcester :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Addrastos @ 7/2 BOG

Why?

I might be tempting fate here, but this 5yr old gelding never seems to run a bad race and has finished in the first three home in all of his eleven starts to date, including a two from two return since switching to these bigger obstacles.

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He won over this course and distance on his chasing debut by four lengths and then followed up 25 days ago with a 10 lengths success at Stratford.

His trainer Jamie Snowden's handicap chasers are 55/345 (15.9% SR) for 68.9pts (+20% ROI), including...

  • at Class 1 to 4 : 45/257 (17.5%) for 90.4pts (+35.2%)
  • 5/6 yr olds are 23/128 (18%) for 55.6pts (+43.4%)
  • since the start of 2016 : 18/76 (23.7%) for 54.1pts (+71.2%)
  • LTO winners are 11/47 (23.4%) for 13.4pts (+28.6%)
  • in August/September : 7/33 (21.2%) for 12.4pts (+37.5%)
  • here at Worcester : 4/22 (18.2%) for 10.4pts (+47.3%)
  • and those ridden by today's jockey Gavin Sheehan are 4/18 (22.2%) for 5pts (+27.8%)

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Addrastos @ 7/2 BOG, which was offered by at least half a dozen firms at 5.50pm on Sunday. For what it's worth, I'm on with SkyBet, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 3.35 Worcester

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

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