Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 1st May 2017

Saturday's Result :

4.20 Haydock : Cloud Dragon @ 7/2 BOG 7th at 6/1 Close up, ridden over 2f out, weakened final furlong

Bank Holiday Monday's pick goes in the...

2.50 Bath...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Poets Society4/1 BOG

Why?

Keeping it pretty short, sweet and simple to kick off the new month...

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...as trainer Mark Johnston aims to improve upon an already decent record here at Bath which has seen him net 17 winners from 84 (20.2% SR) for 8.02pts (+9.55% ROI) profit since 2011.

And of those 84 runners, those racing on similarly firm ground to today's encounter are 11/38 (29%) for 11.2pts (+29.4%), those returning from an absence of 76-240 days are 4/11 (36.4%) for 16.04pts (+145.8%) with those fitting both bills winning 2 of 6 (33.3%) for 2.26pts (+37.7%)

It's actually 114 days since Poets Society was last seen and more generally, Mark Johnston's Flat handicappers running in the months of May to October inclusive after a break of 3 to 6 months are 13/79 (16.5% SR) for 48.5pts (+61.4% ROI), from which...

  • 3 yr olds are 11/56 (19.6%) for 38.5pts (+68.7%)
  • Class 4 runners are 5/29 (17.2%) for 9.55pts (+32.9%)
  • and 3 yr old Class 4 runners are 5 from 25 (20%) for 13.55pts (+54.2%) profit, which...

...backs up...a 1pt win bet on Poets Society4/1 BOG which was widely available at 7.40pm on Sunday, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 2.50 Bath

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

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