Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 20th November 2017

Saturday's Result :

1.40 Wetherby : Early Retirement @ 3/1 BOG 2nd at 5/1 Held up in touch in 4th place, led 3 out, clear before last, soon ridden, kept on and headed towards finish, beaten by a length.

Next up is Monday's...

2.40 Plumpton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


Chef D'Equipe @ 9/4 BOG

A Class 4, 3yo+, handicap hurdle over 2m 4.5f on Good to Soft ground worth £3,120 to the winner.

This horse interests me from several angles, so I'll try to keep each strand of interest pretty brief...

Trainer Philip Hobbs is 10 from 24 in the last 2 weeks, so we know the yard is in decent nick.

This often tends to be the case, as in November & December of 2012-17, his hurdlers are 86/416 (20.7% SR) for 354.5pts (+85.2% ROI) with handicap hurdlers winning 18 of 98 (18.4%) for 81.1 pts (+82.8%) in November.

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He doesn't send many here to Plumpton, but since the start of last year he's 4 from 11 at this venue with his hurdlers winning 4 of 9 and he sends just one here today, who also happens to be his only runner anywhere.

On days since the start of 2012, when Mr Hobbs is represented by a single NH runner, he has 70 winners from 307 (22.8% SR) for 65.3pts (+21.3% ROI).

This one is likely to go off as favourites and since 2103 the yard is 48/149 (32.2% SR) for 30.5pts (+20.5% ROI) with handicap hurdle favourites.

And away from just the Hobbs yard, I'll close with a more general stat : NH handicap hurdles / 2012-17 / 5 to 7 yr olds / carrying 11-13 to 12-02 = 60/187 (32.1% SR) for 61.4pts (+32.9% ROI) with favourites winning 57/170 (33.5%) for 56.5pts (+33.3%)

...but first ... a 1pt win bet on Chef D'Equipe @ 9/4 BOG which was widely available at 8.05pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply... here for the betting on the 2.40 Plumpton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

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