Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 20th November 2017

Saturday's Result :

1.40 Wetherby : Early Retirement @ 3/1 BOG 2nd at 5/1 Held up in touch in 4th place, led 3 out, clear before last, soon ridden, kept on and headed towards finish, beaten by a length.

Next up is Monday's...

2.40 Plumpton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


Chef D'Equipe @ 9/4 BOG

A Class 4, 3yo+, handicap hurdle over 2m 4.5f on Good to Soft ground worth £3,120 to the winner.

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This horse interests me from several angles, so I'll try to keep each strand of interest pretty brief...

Trainer Philip Hobbs is 10 from 24 in the last 2 weeks, so we know the yard is in decent nick.

This often tends to be the case, as in November & December of 2012-17, his hurdlers are 86/416 (20.7% SR) for 354.5pts (+85.2% ROI) with handicap hurdlers winning 18 of 98 (18.4%) for 81.1 pts (+82.8%) in November.

He doesn't send many here to Plumpton, but since the start of last year he's 4 from 11 at this venue with his hurdlers winning 4 of 9 and he sends just one here today, who also happens to be his only runner anywhere.

On days since the start of 2012, when Mr Hobbs is represented by a single NH runner, he has 70 winners from 307 (22.8% SR) for 65.3pts (+21.3% ROI).

This one is likely to go off as favourites and since 2103 the yard is 48/149 (32.2% SR) for 30.5pts (+20.5% ROI) with handicap hurdle favourites.

And away from just the Hobbs yard, I'll close with a more general stat : NH handicap hurdles / 2012-17 / 5 to 7 yr olds / carrying 11-13 to 12-02 = 60/187 (32.1% SR) for 61.4pts (+32.9% ROI) with favourites winning 57/170 (33.5%) for 56.5pts (+33.3%)

...but first ... a 1pt win bet on Chef D'Equipe @ 9/4 BOG which was widely available at 8.05pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply... here for the betting on the 2.40 Plumpton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

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