Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 26th June 2017

Saturday's Result :

2.55 Ayr : Speed Company @ 9/2 BOG WON at 5/2 Tracked leaders, closed from 2f out, led just over 1f out, driven inside final furlong, just held on by a nose.

Monday's pick goes in the...

5.45 Wolverhampton...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Your first 30 days for just £1


Rattle On @ 4/1 BOG


A Tapeta debut beckons for this 4yr old gelding, whose chance must surely be boosted by the fact that the in-form Silvestre de Sousa is booked to do the steering. SdS has won 25 of his 89 rides (28.1% SR) over the last fortnight, including another four winners yesterday (Sunday), whilst more long-term he is 70 from 272 (25.7% SR) here at Wolverhampton since the start of 2013.

Trainer Jim Boyle might not have accrued such excellent figures himself, but 30 Wolverhampton winners from 147 runners (20.4% SR) for level stakes profits of 54.9pts (+37.3% ROI) is more than decent, I'd say.

And with the above in mind, there's probably enough evidence to support the selection, but as it's a switch to Tapeta, it's worth highlighting the performance of runners sired by Pivotal running in handicaps on Tapeta after running on a different surface last time out, as they are currently 23/115 (20% SR) for 70.3pts (+61.1% ROI), including...

  • over 6f to 9.5f : 20/95 (21.1%) for 80.3pts (+84.5%)
  • at Wolverhampton : 18/95 (19%) for 59.9pts (+63.1%)
  • at Class 6 : 5/32 (15.6%) for 18.1pts (+56.4%)
  • 4 yr olds are 7/25 (28%) for 12pts (+48%)
  • at Evens to 4/1 : 14/24 (58.3% ) for 31.9pts (+132.7%)

...but first...a 1pt win bet on Rattle On4/1 BOG which was widely available at 6.30pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply... here for the betting on the 5.45 Wolverhampton...

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Your first 30 days for just £1