Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 26th June 2017

Saturday's Result :

2.55 Ayr : Speed Company @ 9/2 BOG WON at 5/2 Tracked leaders, closed from 2f out, led just over 1f out, driven inside final furlong, just held on by a nose.

Monday's pick goes in the...

5.45 Wolverhampton...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Rattle On @ 4/1 BOG

Why?

A Tapeta debut beckons for this 4yr old gelding, whose chance must surely be boosted by the fact that the in-form Silvestre de Sousa is booked to do the steering. SdS has won 25 of his 89 rides (28.1% SR) over the last fortnight, including another four winners yesterday (Sunday), whilst more long-term he is 70 from 272 (25.7% SR) here at Wolverhampton since the start of 2013.

Your first 30 days for just £1

Trainer Jim Boyle might not have accrued such excellent figures himself, but 30 Wolverhampton winners from 147 runners (20.4% SR) for level stakes profits of 54.9pts (+37.3% ROI) is more than decent, I'd say.

And with the above in mind, there's probably enough evidence to support the selection, but as it's a switch to Tapeta, it's worth highlighting the performance of runners sired by Pivotal running in handicaps on Tapeta after running on a different surface last time out, as they are currently 23/115 (20% SR) for 70.3pts (+61.1% ROI), including...

  • over 6f to 9.5f : 20/95 (21.1%) for 80.3pts (+84.5%)
  • at Wolverhampton : 18/95 (19%) for 59.9pts (+63.1%)
  • at Class 6 : 5/32 (15.6%) for 18.1pts (+56.4%)
  • 4 yr olds are 7/25 (28%) for 12pts (+48%)
  • at Evens to 4/1 : 14/24 (58.3% ) for 31.9pts (+132.7%)

...but first...a 1pt win bet on Rattle On4/1 BOG which was widely available at 6.30pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 5.45 Wolverhampton...

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Your first 30 days for just £1
0 replies

Leave a Reply

Want to join the discussion?
Feel free to contribute!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *