Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 27th March 2017

Saturday's Result :

3.25 Bangor : Cresswell Breeze @ 7/2 BOG 2nd at 9/4 Tracked leaders, led 6th, headed approaching last, soon rallied, no extra closing stages

Monday's pick goes in the...

2.10 Market Rasen...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Norse Light3/1 BOG

Why?

Firstly an apology (thanks BT / SKY) for the tardiness of the write-up. Tech issues here in East Lancashire prevented me getting back online last night!

So, I'll keep it brief (but the research done was as usual!)...

Your first 30 days for just £1

A 6 yr old gelding racing over 2m5f on Good to Soft ground, trained by David Dennis.

David's hcp hurdlers at odds of 13.2 and shorter are 21/101 (20.8% SR) for 10.95pts (+10.84% ROI) since the start of 2014, including...

  • males : 21/98 (21.4%) for 13.95pts (+14.2%)
  • over 2m4f to 3m1f : 12/49 (24.5%) for 12.86pts (+26.2%)
  • on Gd to Soft : 7/22 (31.8%) for 15.66pts (+71.2%)
  • at Class 5 : 6/22 (27.3%) for 7.85pts (+35.7%)
  • and ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies : 3/7 (42.9%) for 12.09pts (+172.8%)

Furthermore, Norse Light is by Norse Dancer, whose 6/7 yr old offspring are 23/99 (23.2% SR) for 64.5pts (+65.2% ROI) since the start of 2015, from which...

  • Class 5 runners are 8/28 (28.6%) for 8.2pts (+29.2%)
  • over 2m 4.5 f to 2m 7.5f : 9/27 (33.3%) for 18.5pts (+68.5%)
  • and Class 5 runners over 2m 4.5 f to 2m 7.5f are 2/4 (50%) for 11.06pts (+276.5%)

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Norse Light 3/1 BOG which was available in at least half a dozen places at 7.00pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 2.10 Market Rasen

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

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