Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 29th August 2016

Saturday's Result :

5.45 Cartmel : Noble Call @ 11/2 BOG 3rd at 7/2 (In touch, ridden before last, kept on run-in)

Monday's pick goes in the...

5.25 Epsom :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Crowning Glory at 4/1 BOG

Your first 30 days for just £1

Why?

This 3 yr old filly has been going well, winning two of her last five starts and only headed late on in a narrow defeat here over course and distance last time out, 32 days ago.

She's a former winner at this trip and has 2 wins and that LTO runner-up finish to her name from three efforts in this grade and hails from an in-form yard, as three of Ralph Beckett's last seven runners have been winners, but that comes as little surprise as he's a profitable trainer to follow generally.

And since 2008, Ralph's Flat handicappers priced at 11/4 to 12/1 are 125/847 (14.8% SR) for profits of 135.1pts at an ROI of 16% which, in respect of today's race, can be analysed as follows...

  • over trips of 6f to 1.5 miles : 104/678 (15.3%) for 138.8pts (+20.5%)
  • those running 11-45 dslr : 96/605 (15.9%) for 131.7pts (+21.8%)
  • females are 60/388 (15.5%) for 53.6pts (+13.8%)
  • at Class 4 : 46/284 (16.2%) for 59.53pts (+21%)
  • Ralph's only runner of the day : 19/123 (15.5%) for 29.7pts (+24.1%)
  • beaten by less than 1L LTO : 14/73(19.2%) for 15.8pts (+21.7%)
  • here at Epsom : 7/35 (20%) for 6.19pts (+17.7%)

...steering us towards...

a 1pt win bet on Crowning Glory at 4/1 BOG, from any of Bet365, BetVictor, Betway, Coral and/or Hills all quoting that price at 9.10pm on Sunday evening, but to see your preferred bookies' odds, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 5.25 Epsom.

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard...

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