Saturday's Result :
1.35 Wincanton : Virgilio @ 5/2 BOG - PU at 7/4 (Pressed leader, pushed along when hit 13th and lost 2nd, soon outpaced and struggling, tailed off 4 out, soon pulled up)
Many thanks to Steve for stepping into the breech in my absence, but I'm glad to be back with Monday's pick, which goes in the...
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Little Pop @ 3/1 BOG
Over the last 30 days, Nigel Twiston-Davies' runners are 17 from 61 (27.8% SR) for 22.9pts (+37.6% ROI) with handicap chasers winning 5 of 16 (31.25%) with Ryan Hatch riding 13 of those 16, including 4 winners (30.8%).
Little Pop is 131 in his last three outings, and won a Class 4, 2 mile handicap chase fairly comfortably by 2.5 lengths when last seen at Hereford a month ago, making him of further interest here, because...
...since the start of 2010, male chasers aged 6-9 who won a hcp chase LTO by 2-10 lengths, 11-150 days ago are 148/557 (26.6% SR) for 109.4pts (+19.7% ROI), including..
- 136/488 (27.9%) for 97.2pts (+19.9%) from those returning from a break of 11 to 45 days
- 55/234 (23.5%) for 47.7pts (+20.4%) from those who won by 2-4 lengths LTO
- and 42/146 (28.8%) for 59.1pts (+410.4%) from 8 yr olds
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REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS