Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 7th October 2019

Saturday's pick was...

2.25 Fontwell : Included @ 7/2 BOG 3rd at 2/1 (Tracked leader, led after 4 out, headed next, rallied 2 out, kept on same pace)

Monday's pick runs in the...

3.20 Stratford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

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Black Buble @ 10/3 BOG 

...in an 8-runner, Class 3, Handicap Hurdle for 4yo+ over 2m6f on Good to Soft ground worth £6,108 to the winner...Handicap Hurdle

Why?...

No massive data overload today, going to keep this short and sweet with a 6 yr old gelding reappearing from a break of 165 days after having put some decent work in earlier in the year when finishing 15112 in his five runs in 2019.

He's 3 from 4 (1112) under today's jockey Jonjo O'Neill Jnr, 2 from 3 (311) at trips of 2m 5.5f and beyond with a perfect 2 from 2 record at those longer trips with today's rider in the saddle.

His trainer Tony Carroll is 4 from 5 (80% SR) for 14.62pts (+292.4% ROI) in handicap hurdles here at Stratford with horses sent off at 5/1 and shorter since the start of 2015, all of which were males and include...

  • 2 from 2 for 9.9pts at Class 3
  • and 1 from 1 for 3.85pts in October

...and on a day whose racing looks mediocre at best, I feel there's enough there...

...to justify... a 1pt win bet on Black Buble @ 10/3 BOG as was offered by BetVictor, Coral & Ladbrokes at 5.30pm on Sunday, but to see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 3.20 Stratford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

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