Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 8th May 2017

Saturday's Result :

2.05 Goodwood : Dubka @ 7/2 BOG 6th at 11/4 Tracked leaders, weakened 2f out

Monday's pick goes in the...

2.50 Stratford...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Yorkist11/2 BOG

Why?

This 9 yr old gelding was a winner in a Class 2 contest just after Christmas 2016 and since then hasn't won, but has been there or there abouts, finishing 344 in three efforts since, but it's important to note that those races were at Class 2, Gr 3 and Listed class respectively, so the drop to Class 3 should see him in a better light.

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His trainer, Dan Skelton, has a good record with 7 to 9 yr old handicap chasers priced at 6/4 to 7/1 with 35 winners from 131 (23.2% SR) and profits of 18.5pts at an ROI of 12.2%. And in respect of today's race, those 131 runners are...

  • 34/147 (23.1%) from his male runners for 18.35pts (+12.5%)
  • 28/113 (24.8%) for 29.6pts (+26.2%) when ridden by Harry Skelton
  • 22/71 (312%) for 41.3pts (+58.2%) on Good ground
  • 10/49 (20.4%) for 8.13pts (+16.6%) at Class 3
  • and 2/10 (20%) for 2.55pts (+25.5%) here at Stratford.

Further confidence is gained by discovering that handicap chasers by Urban Ocean are 8/43 (18.6% SR) for 23.7pts (+55.1% ROI) since the start of 2015...

...giving...a 1pt win bet on Yorkist11/2 BOG which was on offer from Bet365, Betfair Sports, BetVictor & Paddy Power at 6.00pm on Sunday, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 2.50 Stratford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

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