Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 9th January 2017

Saturday's Result :

2.05 Wincanton : Fox Appeal @ 9/2 BOG fell at 4/1 Close up when field came into view 6th, led narrowly when came into view again briefly 4 out

Monday's pick goes in the...

5.05 Wolverhampton

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Palenville @ 9/4 BOG

Why?

A quick look at the Trainer Snippets 2yr report on Geegeez Gold suggested to me that Simon Crisford's A/W runners were worth a second look, especially his handicappers and with a career record of 27 from 127 (21.3% SR) for level stakes profits of 29.6pts at an ROI of 23.3%, it's an excellent pointer.

Of those 127 runners...

  • handicappers are 15/60 (25%) for 27.4pts (+45.7%)
  • here at Wolverhampton, its 11/32 (34.4%) for 10.78pts (+33.7%)
  • 4 yr olds are 5/20 (25%) for 13.57pts (+67.8%)
  • and in Wolverhampton handicaps : 7/18 (38.9%) for 14.24pts (+79.1%)

Palenville comes here in decent if not quite sparkling form, having made the frame in each of her last three runs (232), the latest coming as a runner-up at Kempton 26 days ago when she probably needed the run after an absence of 133 days, she's entitled to come on for having had the run.

She also becomes of interest in her own right, because since 2013 here at Wolverhampton over 6 and 7 furlongs, 4 & 5 yr olds who finished second or third in each of their last two starts and have been rested for at least 11 days since they last ran, are 21 from 88 (23.9% SR) for 68.1pts (+77.4% ROI) with the following of relevance today...

  • handicappers are 18/74 (24.3%) for 66.2pts (+89.4%)
  • on Tapeta : 13/54 (24.1%) for 48.6pts (+89.9%)
  • over 7f : 16/50 (32%) for 61.5pts (+123%)
  • at class 5 : 9/32 (28.1%) for 21.5pts (+67.1%)

...leading to...a 1pt win bet on Palenville @ 9/4 BOG which was widely available at 8.50pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 5.05 Wolverhampton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

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