Posts

Well I Declare, 14th June 2012

Well, I Declare! 14th June

Well, I Declare! 14th June

Thursday is a busy day with no less than 6 meetings taking place: there's flat racing from Newbury, Nottingham and Yarmouth this afternoon, whilst the evening programme features jumps racing from Hereford and Uttoxeter, supplemented by a flat meeting at Haydock.

Here's Mal Boyle's take on proceedings...

 

THURSDAY 14/06:

Haydock:

General stats: Please refer to Wednesday’s comments whilst noting Elaine Burke’s thirty one points of level stake profits via seven winners at Haydock. 

Seven furlong 3YO handicap scheduled for 7.50: Two of the three favourites have finished in the frame thus far, statistics which include a 15/8 winner.

One mile 3YO handicap scheduled for 8.20: Last year's successful 8/15 favourite was the only market to oblige during the last decade via six renewals.  That said, the other five winners were returned at odds ranging between 6/1 and 10/1.  Half of the market leaders (3/6) have finished in the frame.

Class 4 five furlong handicap due to be contested at 8.50: Three of the six favourites (all respective winners of their races via four renewals) have secured toteplacepot positions to date when returned at 4/1 (twice) and 7/2.  Four and five-year-olds have (equally) shared the four contests thus far.

Ten furlong 3YO handicap scheduled for 9.20: Luca Cumani saddled the successful inaugural 3/1 favourite but was not represented in the race twelve months ago when the market leader finished out with the washing.  Luca held just the one option for the contest at the penultimate entry stage which was his Leicester (good to soft) winner Sea Fever.

 

Newbury:

Your first 30 days for just £1

General stats: Swift Blade was due to contest the amateur event on the card at the time of writing, the only runner that Lady Herries had declared all week.  The trainer has saddled three of her nine runners to winning effect at the venue during the study period. 

One mile Class 5 three-year-old handicap scheduled for 2.50: All seven winners of this event have carried weights of 9-1 or more whilst five of the seven market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions thus far (one winner).
'Draw factor' (eight furlongs):

8-3-14 (15 ran-good to firm)
5-6-8 (15 ran-good to firm)
16-13-11 (15 ran-good to firm)
5-8-2-3 (16 ran-good)
8-16-1 (14 ran-good to firm)
6-8-2 (10 ran-good to firm)
3-14-10 (14 ran-good to firm)

Listed fillies event over ten furlongs scheduled for 3.25: Twelve of the gold medallists during the last fourteen years were returned at odds of 11/2 or less.  Six favourites have won during the last fourteen contests, whilst ten market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions during the study period.
'Draw factor' (ten furlongs): Ten winners have emerged from the bottom three stalls during the last fourteen years.

Ten furlong maiden fillies event scheduled for 4.00: Four of the last seven favourites have won though it’s worth recalling that a 4/11 (Sir Michael Stoute trained) market leader was beaten into second place in one of the divisions of the contest twelve months ago.

 

Nottingham:

General stats: Whilst some cynical scribes are writing off Frankie Dettori having been a great ambassador for the sport, it’s worth noting that the pilot still boasts an excellent strike of 31% at Newbury during the last five years. 

 

Yarmouth:

General stats: George Baker (26%) and Sir Mark Prescott (25%) are not two names which crop up regularly on this column but both trainers raid this venue to good effect. 

 

Hereford:

General stats: Another Kate is the only David Richards runner this week at the time of writing and it’s worth noting the trainer boasts a 60% strike rate (3/5) at Hereford.

 

Uttoxeter:

General stats: General stats: Opera Prince is the only Simon Earle runner this week at the time of writing and it’s worth noting the trainer boasts a 60% strike rate (3/5) at Uttoxeter.