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Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY THREE (Sat 10th July 2021)

The three-day 2021 Newmarket July Meeting gets started on Thursday (8th July) and runs till Saturday (10th July) - with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle. As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.05 - Bedford Lodge Hotel & Spa Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 7f ITV

12/12 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Didn’t win last time out
12/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
9/12  - Had won over at least 7f before
9/12 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
8/12 – Rated between 83-93 (inc)
8/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Drawn in stalls 10, 11 or 13 (2 each)
4/12 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/12 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/12 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/12 – Winning favourites

 

2.40 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

17/19 – Had won over 7f or further previously
15/19 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
15/19 – Had 2 or more runs that season
10/19 – Unplaced in their last race
9/19 – Favourites unplaced
9/19 – Winners from stall 8 or higher
4/19 – Won their last race
3/19 – Winning Favourites
2/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill

 

3.15 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

18/19 – Won over at least 6f previously
17/19 – Placed in their last race
16/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
14/19 – Won their latest race
13/19 – Won by either a March or April foal
12/19 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
9/19 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
9/19 – Favourites unplaced
6/19 – Winning Favourites
4/19 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/19 – Winners from stall 3
5/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 7 runnings)
2/19 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/19 - Ridden by William Buick
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 3 of the last 5 runnings

 

3.50 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

18/19 – Won over 7f previously
17/19 – Raced 3 or more times that season
14/19 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
12/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/19 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
11/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
10/19 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
9/19 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
9/19 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1st, 2nd and 3rd
9/19 – Placed in their last race
4/19 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
8 of the last 10 winners came from double-figure draws
Motakhayyel (5/1) won the race in 2020

 

4.25 - Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2020 – Oxted (12/1)
2019     Ten Sovereigns (9/2)
2018     U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017     Harry Angel (9/2)
2016     Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011      Dream Ahead (7/1)
2010      Starspangledbanner (2/1 fav)
2009      Fleeting Spirit (12/1)
2008      Marchand d'Or (5/2 fav)
2007      Sakhee's Secret                (9/2)
2006      Les Arcs (10/1)
2005      Pastoral Pursuits (22/1)
2004      Frizzante (14/1)
2003      Oasis Dream (9/2)
2002      Continent (12/1)

July Cup Betting Trends

18/19 – Aged 5 or younger
17/19 – Had won over 6f before
16/19 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
15/19 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
14/19 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
14/19 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
11/19 – Placed last time out
9/19 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
9/19 – Unplaced favourites
7/19 – Won their previous race
5/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Irish-trained winners (O’Brien trained 2 of the last 3 winners)
2/19 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/19 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 5 times before (1999, 2001, 2010, 2018 & 2019)

 

 

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Sandown TV Trends (Fri 23rd April 21)

The ITV cameras head to Sandown Park this Friday to cover four LIVE races – as always on the big days we are on hand to take your through each LIVE ITV race from a TRENDS and STATS angle………

Yes, a real treat this Friday as the ITV cameras head to Sandown to for their opening day of their two-day mixed flat and jumps meeting. We get going on Friday with four LIVE flat races on the card that include the Bet365 Mile, Classic Trial, Gordon Richards Stakes and the Esher Cup.

 

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4/RACING TV)


1.50 -
bet365 Esher Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV4

17/17 – Had won no more than twice before
16/17 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
15/17 – Never raced at Sandown before
13/17 – Had won just once before
13/17 – Had between 2-4 runs before
13/17 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
13/17 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
10/17 – Had won over at least 1 mile before
10/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Raced at Kempton last time out
3/17 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/17 – Trained by the Hannon stable
2/17 – Trained by John Gosden
2/17 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2
Masaru (9/1) won the race in 2019

 

2.25 - bet365 Gordon Richards Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV4

16/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
16/17 – Officially rated 110 or higher
15/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had won a Group race before
14/17 – Had won at least twice (UK) before
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/17 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
7/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
7/17 – Irish bred
6/17 – Had run at Sandown before
6/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Ridden by James Doyle
Crystal Ocean (Evs) won the race in 2018 and 2019
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 10/3

 

3.00 - bet365 Mile (Group 2) Cl1 1m14y ITV4

15/16 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won a Group race before
13/16 – Had won over a mile before
12/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Had won 5 or more times before
11/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/16 – Aged 4 years-old
8/16 – Trained by the Hannon stable
8/16 – Winning favourites
6/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Horses drawn in stall 3 that finished second
5/16 – Had run at Sandown before
4/16 – Previous Group One winners
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/16 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
3 of last 9 winners have come from stall 1
Beat The Bank Won the race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

 

3.35 - bet365 Classic Trial (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV4

14/16 – Won between 1-3 times before
14/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Never raced at Sandown before
11/16 – Had won over at least 1m before
11/16 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
9/16 – Irish bred winners
8/16 – Raced at Leopardstown (2), Curragh (2) or Newbury (4) last time out
8/16 – Horses drawn in stall 4 that finished in the first 3
7/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Winners from stall 4
3/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/16 – Ridden by William Buick
2/16 – Winners from stall 3
Berlin Tango (7/1) won the race in 2020
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1
Note: The 2020 running was staged at Kempton AW (June)