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Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY THREE (Sat 10th July 2021)

The three-day 2021 Newmarket July Meeting gets started on Thursday (8th July) and runs till Saturday (10th July) - with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle. As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.05 - Bedford Lodge Hotel & Spa Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 7f ITV

12/12 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Didn’t win last time out
12/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
9/12  - Had won over at least 7f before
9/12 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
8/12 – Rated between 83-93 (inc)
8/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Drawn in stalls 10, 11 or 13 (2 each)
4/12 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/12 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/12 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/12 – Winning favourites

 

2.40 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

17/19 – Had won over 7f or further previously
15/19 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
15/19 – Had 2 or more runs that season
10/19 – Unplaced in their last race
9/19 – Favourites unplaced
9/19 – Winners from stall 8 or higher
4/19 – Won their last race
3/19 – Winning Favourites
2/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill

 

3.15 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

18/19 – Won over at least 6f previously
17/19 – Placed in their last race
16/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
14/19 – Won their latest race
13/19 – Won by either a March or April foal
12/19 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
9/19 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
9/19 – Favourites unplaced
6/19 – Winning Favourites
4/19 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/19 – Winners from stall 3
5/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 7 runnings)
2/19 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/19 - Ridden by William Buick
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 3 of the last 5 runnings

 

3.50 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

18/19 – Won over 7f previously
17/19 – Raced 3 or more times that season
14/19 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
12/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/19 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
11/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
10/19 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
9/19 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
9/19 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1st, 2nd and 3rd
9/19 – Placed in their last race
4/19 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
8 of the last 10 winners came from double-figure draws
Motakhayyel (5/1) won the race in 2020

 

4.25 - Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2020 – Oxted (12/1)
2019     Ten Sovereigns (9/2)
2018     U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017     Harry Angel (9/2)
2016     Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011      Dream Ahead (7/1)
2010      Starspangledbanner (2/1 fav)
2009      Fleeting Spirit (12/1)
2008      Marchand d'Or (5/2 fav)
2007      Sakhee's Secret                (9/2)
2006      Les Arcs (10/1)
2005      Pastoral Pursuits (22/1)
2004      Frizzante (14/1)
2003      Oasis Dream (9/2)
2002      Continent (12/1)

July Cup Betting Trends

18/19 – Aged 5 or younger
17/19 – Had won over 6f before
16/19 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
15/19 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
14/19 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
14/19 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
11/19 – Placed last time out
9/19 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
9/19 – Unplaced favourites
7/19 – Won their previous race
5/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Irish-trained winners (O’Brien trained 2 of the last 3 winners)
2/19 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/19 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 5 times before (1999, 2001, 2010, 2018 & 2019)

 

 

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