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Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY THREE (Sat 10th July 2021)

The three-day 2021 Newmarket July Meeting gets started on Thursday (8th July) and runs till Saturday (10th July) - with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle. As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.05 - Bedford Lodge Hotel & Spa Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 7f ITV

12/12 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Didn’t win last time out
12/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
9/12  - Had won over at least 7f before
9/12 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
8/12 – Rated between 83-93 (inc)
8/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Drawn in stalls 10, 11 or 13 (2 each)
4/12 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/12 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/12 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/12 – Winning favourites

 

2.40 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

17/19 – Had won over 7f or further previously
15/19 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
15/19 – Had 2 or more runs that season
10/19 – Unplaced in their last race
9/19 – Favourites unplaced
9/19 – Winners from stall 8 or higher
4/19 – Won their last race
3/19 – Winning Favourites
2/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill

 

3.15 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

18/19 – Won over at least 6f previously
17/19 – Placed in their last race
16/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
14/19 – Won their latest race
13/19 – Won by either a March or April foal
12/19 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
9/19 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
9/19 – Favourites unplaced
6/19 – Winning Favourites
4/19 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/19 – Winners from stall 3
5/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 7 runnings)
2/19 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/19 - Ridden by William Buick
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 3 of the last 5 runnings

 

3.50 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

18/19 – Won over 7f previously
17/19 – Raced 3 or more times that season
14/19 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
12/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/19 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
11/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
10/19 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
9/19 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
9/19 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1st, 2nd and 3rd
9/19 – Placed in their last race
4/19 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
8 of the last 10 winners came from double-figure draws
Motakhayyel (5/1) won the race in 2020

 

4.25 - Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2020 – Oxted (12/1)
2019     Ten Sovereigns (9/2)
2018     U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017     Harry Angel (9/2)
2016     Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011      Dream Ahead (7/1)
2010      Starspangledbanner (2/1 fav)
2009      Fleeting Spirit (12/1)
2008      Marchand d'Or (5/2 fav)
2007      Sakhee's Secret                (9/2)
2006      Les Arcs (10/1)
2005      Pastoral Pursuits (22/1)
2004      Frizzante (14/1)
2003      Oasis Dream (9/2)
2002      Continent (12/1)

July Cup Betting Trends

18/19 – Aged 5 or younger
17/19 – Had won over 6f before
16/19 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
15/19 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
14/19 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
14/19 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
11/19 – Placed last time out
9/19 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
9/19 – Unplaced favourites
7/19 – Won their previous race
5/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Irish-trained winners (O’Brien trained 2 of the last 3 winners)
2/19 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/19 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 5 times before (1999, 2001, 2010, 2018 & 2019)

 

 

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July Cup Trends

The July Cup is a Group One contest is run over 6f at Newmarket racecourse and is one of the highlights for the best sprinters all around the world each year.

Run on the final day of the three-day Newmarket July Meeting the race is worth around £225,000 to the winner.

We take a look back at the recent winners and give you some key trends ahead of the 2020 renewal, this year run on Saturday 10th July.

Did you know - 18 of the last 19 July Cup winners were aged 5 or younger?

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2020 – Oxted (12/1)
2019     Ten Sovereigns (9/2)
2018     U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017     Harry Angel (9/2)
2016     Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011      Dream Ahead (7/1)
2010      Starspangledbanner (2/1 fav)
2009      Fleeting Spirit (12/1)
2008      Marchand d'Or (5/2 fav)
2007      Sakhee's Secret                (9/2)
2006      Les Arcs (10/1)
2005      Pastoral Pursuits (22/1)
2004      Frizzante (14/1)
2003      Oasis Dream (9/2)
2002      Continent (12/1)

July Cup Betting Trends

18/19 – Aged 5 or younger
17/19 – Had won over 6f before
16/19 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
15/19 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
14/19 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
14/19 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
11/19 – Placed last time out
9/19 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
9/19 – Unplaced favourites
7/19 – Won their previous race
5/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Irish-trained winners (O’Brien trained 2 of the last 3 winners)
2/19 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/19 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 5 times before (1999, 2001, 2010, 2018 & 2019)