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York TV Trends: Friday 20th Aug 2021

Horse racing trends expert Andy Newton is on hand for us at this week’s York Ebor Meeting as he gives you all the key stats ahead of the LIVE ITV races each day.

 

York – Day Three TV Trends

Friday 20th Aug 2021

DAY THREE – COOLMORE NUNTHORPE DAY

 

1.50 – Sky Bet Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

17/18 – Aged 5 or younger
17/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f before (6 over 1m4f)
15/18 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
16/18 – Had won at least twice on the flat before
14/18 – Carried 9-5 or less in weight
13/18 – Won from stall 8 or higher
14/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/18 – Ran at either Goodwood (5) or Newmarket (4) last time out
5/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (3) or Mark Johnston (2)
3/18 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
Alfaatik (15/2) won the race in 2020

 

2.25 – Weatherbys Hamilton Lonsdale Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 2m88y ITV

15/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
15/17 – Had 4 or more career wins
14/17 – Had won over 1m6f or further before
13/17 – Favourites placed
13/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/17 – Didn’t win last time out
12/17 – Raced 3 or more times that season
12/17 – Won a Listed or better class race before
11/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/17 – Had run at York before (8 won)
5/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
0/17 – Winners from stall 1
Enbihaar (15/8 fav) won the race in 2020
Stradivarius (4/11) won the race in 2018 and 2019

 

3.00 – Al Basti Equiworld Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

18/18 – Won just 1-2 times before
17/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/18 – Won just once before
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Foaled in March or later
11/18 – Had won over 6f before
3/18 – Trained by William Haggas
4/18 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
4/18 – Winning favourites

 

 

3.35 - Coolmore Wootton Bassett Nunthorpe Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 5f ITV

17/19 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
17/19 – Had won over 5f before
17/19 – Came from stall 11 or lower
16/19 – Had an official rating of 108 or more
15/19 – Had run at the course before
14/19 – Favourites to finish in the top 4
13/19 – Were previous Group race winners
9/19 – Ran at Goodwood last time out (inc 8 of last 11)
5/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 - Won by the Hills yard (Charles/Barry)
3/19 – Placed horses from stall 1 (3rd in 2003 & 2012)
2/19 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/19 – Trained by Michael Dods
9 of the last 12 winner drawn 7 or higher
6 of the last 10 winners were fillies/mares
The last 9 winners were aged between 4-7 years-old
Battaash (7/4) won the race in 2019 and 2020

 

 

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Nunthorpe Stakes Trends

Staged at the York Ebor Meeting at York racecourse in August, the Group One Nunthorpe Stakes, which is run over 5f, always attracts the best speedsters from around the world – but don’t be put off if you fancy something at a bigger price as we’ve seen 20/1, 40/1 and even a 100/1 winner in this race in recent times.

Did you know 17 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 11 or lower?

Here at GEEGEEZ, we look back at the recent winners and gives you some key trends to take into this month’s race, run on Friday 20th Aug 2021.

 

Recent Nunthorpe Stakes Winners

2020 - Battaash (1/2 fav)
2019 - Battaash (7/4)
2018 - Alpha Delphini (40/1)
2017 - Marsha (8/1)
2016 – Mecca’s Angel (9/2)
2015 – Mecca’s Angel (15/2)
2014 – Sole Power (11/4 fav)
2013 – Jwala (40/1)
2012 – Ortensia (7/2 jfav)
2011 – Margot Did (20/1)
2010 – Sole Power (100/1)
2009 – Borderlescott (9/1)
2008 – Borderlescott (12/1)
2007 – Kingsgate Native (12/1)
2006 – Reverence (5/1)
2005 – La Cucaracha (7/1)
2004 – Bahamian Pirate (16/1)
2003 – Oasis Dream (4/9 fav)
2002 – Kyllachy (3/1 fav)

Note: 2008 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

Nunthorpe Stakes Betting Trends

17/19 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
17/19 – Had won over 5f before
17/19 – Came from stall 11 or lower
16/19 – Had an official rating of 108 or more
15/19 – Had run at the course before
14/19 – Favourites to finish in the top 4
13/19 – Were previous Group race winners
9/19 – Ran at Goodwood last time out (inc 8 of last 11)
5/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 - Won by the Hills yard (Charles/Barry)
3/19 – Placed horses from stall 1 (3rd in 2003 & 2012)
2/19 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/19 – Trained by Michael Dods
9 of the last 12 winner drawn 7 or higher
6 of the last 10 winners were fillies/mares
The last 9 winners were aged between 4-7 years-old
Battaash (7/4) won the race in 2019 and 2020

 

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