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2021 Tolworth Hurdle Trends

This Saturday’s Unibet Tolworth Novices’ Hurdle and is staged at Sandown Park racecourse and is often a good guide ahead of the Cheltenham Festival in March.

In recent years the contest has been a good race for the favourite with 8 of the last 13 market leaders being placed, with five being successful, while winners often go onto contest a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival – with Noland (2006) and the 2018 winner – Summerville Boy - going onto win the Supreme Novices Hurdle, while the 2016 winner, Yorkhill, went onto land the Neptune Investment Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival later that season.

12 months ago we saw the Colin Tizzard yard win the race for the third time in four years when their Fiddlerontheroof won for jockey Robbie Power.

Here at GEEGEEZ we give you all the key stats ahead of the 2021 renewal, this year staged on Saturday January 2nd.

 

Recent Tolworth Hurdle Winners

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2020 – FIDDLERONTHEROOF (5/4 fav)
2019 - ELIXIR DU NUTZ (3/1)
2018 - SUMMERVILLE BOY (8/1)
2017 – FINIAN’S OSCAR (11/10 fav)
2016 – YORKHILL (4/9 fav)
2015 – L’AMI SERGE (4/9 fav)
2014 – ROYAL BOY (9/1)
2013 – MELODIC RENDEZVOUS (7/2)
2012 – CAPTAIN CONAN (9/1)
2011 – MINELLA CLASS (6/4 fav)
2010 – No Race
2009 – No Race
2008 – BREEDSBREEZE (6/4 fav)
2007 – SILVERBURN (5/1)
2006 – NOLAND (6/4 fav)
2005 – MARCEL (3/1)
2004 – LINGO (5/4 fav)
2003 – THISTHATANDOTHER (11/4)
2002 – MIROS (7/2)

Tolworth Hurdle Betting Trends

15/16 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
15/16 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
15/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Priced  5/1 or shorter
14/16 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
13/16 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
13/16 – Came from the top three in the market
12/16 – Won last time out
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
10/16 – Won by an Irish bred horse
8/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
8/16 – Winning Favourites
5/16 – Ran at either Sandown (3) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
3/16 – Won by the Colin Tizzard yard (3 of the last 4)
3/16 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/16 – Ran at Sandown before
2/16 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
2/16 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Summerville Boy, 2018 & Noland, 2006)
1/16 - Won the Neptune Investment Hurdle later that season (Yorkhill 2016)
5 or 6 years-old have won 22 of the last 28 runnings
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 3/1

 

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