Tag Archive for: 2022 old newton cup trends

Sat TV Trends: 2nd July 2022

The ITV cameras head to Sandown and Haydock on Saturday 2nd July with the Coral-Eclipse, plus the Lancashire Oaks and Old Newton Cup the clear highlights – as always, here at Geegeez we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 - Coral Charge (Registered as The Sprint Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 5f6y ITV

19/20 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
18/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Favourites placed
15/20 – Had won at least 3 times before
14/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/20 – Winning favourites
7/20 – Had won at Sandown before
6/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Ran at Ascot last time out
10 of the last 16 winners were Irish bred
12 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)

 

2.25 – Coral Challenge (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

19/20 – Aged 6 or younger
18/20 – Carried 8-8 or more
18/20 – Previous winners over 1m (or further)
17/20 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
16/20 – Didn’t win their previous race
14/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Aged 4 years-old
11/20 – Had run at Sandown before
9/20 – Ran at either York (2) or Ascot (7) last time out
8/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/20 - Trained by William Haggas (won 2 of the last 3 runnings)
12 of the last 16 winners came from stall 8 or lower

3.00 – Coral Distaff (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m14y ITV

17/18 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
17/18 – Had never run at Sandown before
15/18 – Had won over 7f or further before
15/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/18 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/18 – Favourites that finished in the top three
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 - Trained by William Haggas (2 of last 3)
2/18 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 6)
The last 15 winners came from stalls 3-9 (inc)
9 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 3,4,5 or 6

3.35 – Coral-Eclipse (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

Eclipse Stakes Betting Trends

20/20 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
16/20 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
16/20 – Won by a previous Group One winner
16/20 – Placed favourites
15/20 – Placed in their last race
14/20 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
11/20 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (three won there)
10/20 – Favourites that won
6/20 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
5/20 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
5/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/20 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 10)
7 of the last 15 winners won last time out
2 of the last 13 Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 4/1
14 of out the last 17 winners had run in the previous 30 days
13 out of the last 17 winners were Group 1 winners
16 of the last 17 winners came from the first four in the betting
15 out of the last 17 winners had won over 1m 2f or further

 

Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts

Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2021, 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995, 2016 & 2020
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 10 runnings

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 - bet365 Handicap Cl2 1m6f95y ITV

5 previous runnings
5/5 - Drawn between stalls 4-9 (inc)
5/5 - Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
3/5 - Carried 8-13 or more in weight
2/5 - Winning favourites
Trainer John & Thady Gosden has a 35% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 25% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 22% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 22% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
William Haggas trained the winner in 2020
Mark Johnston trained the winner in 2018 and 2019
John Gosden trained the winner in 2017

2.40 – bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m3f200y ITV

17/20 – Had won at least at Listed class before
17/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
17/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/20 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/20 – Placed favourites
14/20 – Had won between 1-3 times before
12/20 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/20 – Won last time out
11/20 – Had won over 1m4f before
7/20 – Trained by John Gosden
6/20 – Had raced at Haydock before
6/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/20 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
The last 9 runnings have been won by a 4 year-old
Alpinista (11/4 fav) won the race in 2021
Note: The 2007 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

3.15 – bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m3f200y ITV

Old Newton Cup Betting Trends

18/20 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
15/20 – Aged 5 or younger
15/20 – Won no more than 5 times before
14/20 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
14/20 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
14/20 – Had won at least 3 times before
13/20 – Carried 9-1 or less
12/20 – Favourites placed in the top 4
11/20 – Aged 4 years-old
10/20 – Irish or USA bred
10/20 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/20 – Raced within the last 7 days
8/20 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
8/20 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
6/20 – Had won a race at Haydock before
6/20 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/20 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/20 – Trained by Marco Botti
2/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 11.5/1