Saturday's Result :
2.30 Lingfield : Lunar Deity @ 11/4 BOG 3rd at 5/2 (Raced keen, tracked leaders, effort 2f out, one pace final furlong)
Monday's runner goes in the...
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Bawden Rocks @ 11/4 BOG
David Bridgwater's NH runners on heavy ground have been very successful over the last couple of years and since the start of 2014, their record amounts to 14 winners from 58 (24.1% SR) and whilst the level stakes profits of 6.63pts represent a modest ROI of 11.4%, profit is profit and it also provides a good starting point for drilling down into the numbers.
The following ten angles from those 58 runners are all profitable and relevant today, so here goes...
- males are 13/54 (24.1% SR) for 8.3pts (+15.3% ROI)
- those carrying 10-10 or more are 14/43 (32.6% SR) for 21.6pts (+50.3% ROI)
- handicappers are 11/37 (29.7% SR) for 15.9pts (+42.8% ROI)
- chasers are 11/33 (33.33% SR) for 14.1pts (+42.7% ROI)
- those priced at 7/4 to 10/1 are 10/31 (32.3% SR) for 25.1pts (+81% ROI)
- those whose last run was more than 20 days ago (but less than year!) are 9/29 (31% SR) for 20.8pts (+71.8% ROI)
- those rated (OR) 80 to 110 are 8/19 (42.1% SR) for 15.8pts (+83.4% ROI)
- those ridden by Jake Hodson are 4/19 (21.1% SR) for 2.2pts (+11.6% ROI)
- those wearing cheekpieces are 3/9 (33.33% SR) for 3.38pts (+37.5% ROI)
- 7 yr olds are 4/8 (50% SR) for 11.9pts (+148.8% ROI)
So today's play is...a 1pt win bet on Bawden Rocks at 11/4 BOG, a price available with over a dozen firms at 9.45pm, so to see your preferred bookie's prices, simply...
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REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS