Tag Archive for: Bet365 Mile

2022 Newmarket July Festival Trends – Day Three, Saturday 9th July

As we head into day three of the Newmarket July Festival this Saturday there is bundles more to look forward to with five more LIVE ITV races too. The Group One July Cup (4:25) spearheads the afternoon's action at HQ and, as always, we've got all the ITV races covered with key trends to help you find the winners.

Newmarket July Meeting - Day Three, Saturday 9th July 2022


2.05 - Bedford Lodge Hotel & Spa Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 7f ITV

13/13 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
12/13 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
10/13  - Had won over at least 7f before
9/13 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
9/13 – Rated between 83-93 (inc)
8/13 – Placed favourites
6/13 – Drawn in stalls 10, 11 or 13 (2 each)
4/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/13 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/13 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/13 – Winning favourites

 

2.40 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

18/20 – Had won over 7f or further previously
16/20 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
15/20 – Had 2 or more runs that season
11/20 – Unplaced in their last race
9/20 – Favourites unplaced
9/20 – Winners from stall 8 or higher
5/20 – Won their last race
4/20 – Winning Favourites
2/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/20 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 4)
The Richard Hannon yard have won 3 of the last 9 runnings

3.15 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

19/20 – Won over at least 6f previously
18/20 – Placed in their last race
17/20 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
15/20 – Won their latest race
13/20 – Won by either a March or April foal
12/20 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
10/20 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
9/20 – Favourites unplaced
6/20 – Winning Favourites
4/20 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/20 – Winners from stall 3
5/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 8 runnings)
2/20 – Trained by Mick Channon
3/20 - Ridden by William Buick
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 4 of the last 6 runnings

3.50 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

19/20 – Won over 7f previously
18/20 – Raced 3 or more times that season
14/20 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
13/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/20 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
11/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
10/20 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
10/20 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
10/20 – Placed in their last race
9/20 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1st, 2nd and 3rd
4/20 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
4/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
8 of the last 11 winners came from double-figure draws
Motakhayyel won the race in 2020 and 2021

 

4.25 - Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2021     Starman (9/2)
2020     Oxted (12/1)
2019     Ten Sovereigns (9/2)
2018     U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017     Harry Angel (9/2)
2016     Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011    Dream Ahead (7/1)

July Cup Betting Trends

19/20 – Aged 5 or younger
18/20 – Had won over 6f before
17/20 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
15/20 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
15/20 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
15/20 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
12/20 – Placed last time out
9/20 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
9/20 – Unplaced favourites
8/20 – Won their previous race
5/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Irish-trained winners (O’Brien trained 2 of the last 4 winners)
2/20 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/20 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 5 times before (1999, 2001, 2010, 2018 & 2019)

 

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Balding expecting bold show as Alcohol Free makes seasonal bow

Alcohol Free is the star attraction in the bet365 Mile at Sandown on Friday as Andrew Balding’s filly makes her seasonal reappearance, with Rob Hornby riding for the first time since her two-year-old days.

The daughter of No Nay Never was in the winner’s enclosure three times last season, most notably when taking the Coronation Stakes on heavy ground at Royal Ascot and then again thriving with cut in the surface at Goodwood in the Sussex Stakes, with Oisin Murphy in the saddle.

The four-year-old clearly relishes some give in the ground, although her handler is far from perturbed by the prospect of good going for this return to action, where she will also wear a hood during a race for the first time.

Balding said: “They do a very good job with the ground at Sandown and she was placed on very fast ground in a Falmouth Stakes. She obviously handles cut in the ground very well, but I don’t see ground being a problem.

“The hood is just to try to make sure she relaxes as she can get a little adrenalized, but she does most of her work in a hood and does very well in it.”

The Kingsclere handler points to Alcohol Free’s record fresh as a cause for optimism ahead of this first outing of the season.

“Obviously it’s her first run of the year, but she’s won first time out the last two seasons and it looks a nice race for her,” said Balding.

“Everything needs to go right for her but I’m very happy with the way she’s trained, happy with how she looks in her coat and if she can relax and be on song, she should take a lot of beating.

“We’ll see how we get on and she’s got all sorts of options moving forward – she’s in the Lockinge, she’ll have a couple of Royal Ascot entries, but we’ll get Sandown out of the way first.”

Charles Hills’ Mutasaabeq is another to thrive in the early part of the season in his career to date.

An impressive winner of a conditions contest at Newmarket at the Craven Meeting in 2021, he was thrust into the Guineas for his next start and connections are looking for Group Two glory this time around following his cosy success in another conditions heat on his seasonal bow at Thirsk.

Hills said: “He’s in good form and has come out of Thirsk in good shape.

“We put him in at the deep end quite quickly last year, so we were quite conscious to start off in a conditions race and then work up from there. He’s a very talented horse.”

Newmarket Races – Tuesday 13th April
Mutasaabeq, here winning at Newmarket in the hands of Jim Crowley, looks for Group Two glory at Sandown on Friday (Alan Crowhurst/PA)

Angus Gold, racing manager for owner Shadwell, added: “He was good the other day and it was nice to see him back on track.

“Obviously this is a big step up in class, but he’s a four-year-old now and while I’m not saying he’s going to go and beat Alcohol Free, if he’s going to make the grade, he better run well.

“He looked a potentially high-class horse last year and we threw him in at the deep end (in the 2000 Guineas), which backfired.

“Thirsk was a nice confidence booster for him and it’s up to him now.”

Rhoscoyln was third behind Mutasaabeq at Thirsk and is one of the likely outsiders in the race along with Sir Michael Stoute’s Lights On, although one who could surprise is Johan, who landed the Lincoln last month when making his first start for Mick Channon.

The five-year-old was winning for the seventh time when successful on Town Moor and his handler is hopeful of another bold showing.

“He’s in great form, whether ultimately we’re good enough at that level is another matter. We’ve got to give a Group One horse weight which could be a problem, but’s he’s in great form and we thought we’ve got to have a go,” said Channon.

“He’s going to get his ground, so we hope we can be competitive. We’d love to get some black type, that’s our aim, but apart from the Group One filly, it looks a very open race.

“He’s still not there in his coat, but he’s been in great order since Doncaster, his work has been excellent and we’ll see what happens.”

The six-strong field is rounded off by John and Thady Gosden’s Sunray Major, who has won three of his five starts, but was a disappointing 2-1 favourite for the Balmoral Handicap when last sighted.

Alcohol Free poised for Sandown return

Qatar Sussex Stakes heroine Alcohol Free could make her seasonal bow in the bet365 Mile at Sandown on Friday.

Andrew Balding’s star filly underlined her brilliance when she beat the boys at Goodwood in July.

Up against 2000 Guineas and St James’s Palace winner Poetic Flare, Breeders’ Cup Mile victor Order Of Australia, her Falmouth Stakes conqueror Snow Lantern and Summer Mile scorer Tilsit, Alcohol Free displayed a devastating turn of foot to give the Kingsclere handler another notable highlight.

The Jeff Smith-owned daughter of No Nay Never, who ended her juvenile campaign with Group One success in the Cheveley Park at Newmarket, enjoyed a highly fruitful three-year-old campaign, starting off with victory in the Fred Darling at Newbury, before securing a second top-level success with a scintillating display in the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot.

Balding is delighted she has stayed in training and she has been pencilled in for a crack at the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury on May 14, should she come through her seasonal debut with flying colours.

Balding confirmed: “Alcohol Free stays in training. She has done well and all being well, I’m hoping she will run in the bet365 Mile at Sandown.”

Palace Pier tops Sandown hopefuls

Palace Pier is the star name among eight entries for the bet365 Mile at Sandown.

The four-year-old, who represents John and Thady Gosden, won his first five starts – including the St James’s Palace Stakes and Prix Jacques Le Marois – before meeting with his only defeat to date when third behind The Revenant in the QEII Stakes on Champions Day at Ascot.

Palace Pier boasts a rating of 125, which puts him 9lb ahead of the next best in Friday’s Group Two – Roger Varian’s All-Weather Mile Championships winner Khuzaam and John Quinn’s Safe Voyage, who was last seen at the Breeders’ Cup meeting.

The Group Three bet365 Gordon Richards Stakes has drawn nine possibles on the same card, including the Gosdens’ one-time Classic hope Waldkonig – who returned to winning form at Pontefract this month.

Dante first and second, Thunderous and Highest Ground, could renew rivalry for Mark Johnston and Sir Michael Stoute respectively – while St Leger fifth Hukum and Saudi Cup also-ran Extra Elusive also feature.

The bet365 Classic Trial is Friday’s other Group Three and has 20 contenders, headed by Zetland Stakes winner Lone Eagle for Martyn Meade.

Trawlerman and Uncle Bryn feature for the Gosden team – while Charlie Appleby has three possibles in nine-length Nottingham winner Adayar, Yibir and Wirko.

David Menuisier is also planning to unleash Belloccio, who is unbeaten in two starts but unlikely to take up his Qipco 2000 Guineas entry next month.

The Sussex trainer said: “He won’t be running in the Guineas – we’ll give him a French Derby trial instead.

“He’s going to Sandown for the Classic Trial, then we might look at a French Derby trial next month or the Dante, if he shows he’s good enough.

“His form last year was good. He won at Salisbury, and the second (Aleas) has won twice since and the third (Mohaafeth) won at Newmarket earlier in the week.

“Then he won a Listed race at Toulouse, and the placed horses there had some nice form too. He’s a nice horse, but I think a mile would be too short for him now, so we’ll move up to 10 furlongs.”

Aidan O’Brien has Hector De Maris and Sir Lucan in the mix, with Joseph O’Brien entering Southern Lights and Isle Of Sark.

Etonian would be a notable contender for Richard Hannon after winning the Solario Stakes at the track last term, while Johnston’s dual all-weather winner Sea The Shells and Hugo Palmer’s Irish Legend are so far unbeaten.