Posts

Stat of the Day, 5th July 2019

Thursday's pick was...

3.30 Haydock : Tukhoom @ 7/2 BOG 5th at 11/4 (Went left and bumped start, chased leaders, 2nd entering final 5f, ridden and every chance 2f out, hung left soon after, lost 2nd inside final furlong, weakened towards finish)

Friday's pick runs in the...

6.00 Chelmsford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Tarseekh @ 4/1 BOG

...in a 14-runner, Class 6, A/W Handicap for 4yo+ over 7f on Polytrack worth £3493 to the winner...

Why?...

Well, it's sign of how tough stat-based punting is right now, when I'm drawn into a third consecutive biggish-field, low-grade 7f handicap, but hopefully the numbers will be in our favour this evening with a 6 yr old gelding who has been running consistently well of late, which is about as much as you expect/hope for at this level, with a 1442 record in his last four efforts over course and distance.

That run of form suggests he both "gets" and likes the track here at Chelmsford, which has been a happy hunting ground for trainer Charlie Wallis. This is starkly highlighted by looking at the performance of all Jack's handicappers since the start of 2016, where 54 winners from 535 (10.1% SR) for a loss of 91.2pts (17.1% of all stakes) at betfair SP (even worse at ISP, obviously) isn't anything to shout from the rooftops about...

...yet 42.6% of all those winners have come from 28.4% of the runners when looking solely at his record here at Chelmsford, which currently stands at a more than acceptable 23/152 (15.1% SR) for 50.5pts (+33.4% ROI), from which...

  • 22/127 (17.3%) for 63.5pts (+50.4%) at 3-45 dslr
  • 19/74 (25.7%) for 39.3pts (+53.1%) at odds of 6/4 to 8/1 - actually not a bad angle to pick, if you only wanted one.
  • 18/104 (17.3%) for 52.4pts (+50.4%) at 5-7yo
  • 15/86 (17.4%) for 31.2pts (+36.2%) at Class 6/7
  • 12/73 (16.4%) for 17.7pts (+24.2%) at Class 6
  • 8/45 (17.8%) for 28.7pts (+65.3%) in 2019
  • 6/37 (16.2%) for 6.8pts (+18.4%) at 6yo
  • and 1/1 (100%) for 4pts (+400%) with Jack Mitchell in the saddle

...and a micro based around the above categories? Well, those aged 4 or older sent off at 6/4 to 12/1 in a Class 6/7 handicap after a break of just 3-16 days are 11/26 (42.3%) for 48.7pts (+187.4% ROI), which might be a little too specific for some of you...

...but it does give us... a 1pt win bet on Tarseekh @ 4/1 BOG as offered by Bet365 & SkyBet at 6.35pm on Thursday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 6.00 Chelmsford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 19th June 2019

Tuesday's pick was...

7.50 Brighton : Oliver Hardy @ 7/2 BOG WON at 5/2 (Tracked leaders on inside, led inside final 2f, clear when ridden over 1f out, stayed on well)

Wednesday's pick runs in the...

7.10 Chelmsford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Indeed @ 5/1 BOG

...in a 10-runner, Class 2 A/W Handicap for 4yo+ over 1m2f on Polytrack worth £16172 to the winner...

Why?...

Well, if I'm honest, there's no big standout blockbuster of a stat, but there was enough circumstantial evidence allied to a decent price to entice me into a bet on a 4 yr old gelding making just a second UK start, having been a runner-up in a big-field (26 ran!), £31k, Class 2 handicap at Newbury 67 days ago.

He was only beaten by a neck on that occasion at odds of 50/1, but does already have two wins under his belt as a 3 yr old in France with successes over 1m and 1m1f on debut and also after a 67 day break, like today!

His "new" trainer Dominic Ffrench Davis has had 3 winners from 13 (23.1% SR) for 29pts profit (+223.3% ROI) here at Chelmsford over the last 12 months and these include 3 from 9 (33.3%) for 33pts (+211.1%) in handicaps and 2 winners from 4 (50%) at 10.56pts (+264%) at single-digit odds.

And further assurance comes from the fact that he was sired by Showcasing, whose offspring are 72/521 (13.8% SR) for 188.3pts (+36.1% ROI) on Polytrack over trips of 5f to 1m2f and these include...

  • 44 from 330 (13.3%) for 154.6pts (+46.9%) in handicaps
  • 18/125 (14.4%) for 32pts (+25.6%) here at Chelmsford
  • and 14 from 98 (14.3%) for 22.8pts (+23.3%) in Chelmsford handicaps...

...pointing to... a 1pt win bet on Indeed @ 5/1 BOG as offered by Bet365, Betfair & Paddy Power at 5.35pm on Tuesday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 7.10 Chelmsford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 7th November 2018

Tuesday's Pick was...

1.45 Wolverhampton : Lord Murphy @ 11/4 BOG 2nd at 5/2 (Behind, headway over 1f out, ran on into 2nd inside final furlong, never reached winner, beaten by a neck) 

Wednesday's pick runs in the...

6.20 Chelmsford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Coachella @ 4/1 BOG  

...in a 9-runner, Class 6 A/W Handicap for 3yo+ over 1m on Polytrack worth £3105 to the winner... 

Why?

Sorry for the delay this morning, had to go for an emergency dental appointment!

Anyway, let's crack on with a 4 yr old gelding in prime form having finished 221 in his last three runs, all in Class 6 A/W handicaps over a mile (sounds familiar!), culminating in a course and distance win here nine days ago, making him one of just two runners in today's contest to have achieved that feat. This will be tougher carrying an extra 7lbs, but the booking of Luke Morris is a positive move that should help.

He has just 2 career wins to date, which isn't great but when wearing blinkers going left handed in Class 6 handicaps over a mile (as he does today) he has 2 wins and a runner-up finish from 5 attempts and the 40% strike rate has yielded 68pts profit at an ROI of 1360%! That ROI is massively skewed by a 40/1 win that paid 70/1 at Betfair SP before commission, but ROI aside that stat does show he should have his favoured conditions today, if nothing else.

And the main underlying stat I've used today?

Looks far more complicated in print than it actually is, but...

...2013-18 / Class 5 & 6 / All-Weather / odds of 6-1 and shorter / LTO C&D winners by a head to 3 lengths 2 to 10 days earlier...

Such beasts are 81/217 (37.3% SR) for 61.7pts (+28.5% ROI) and in the interests of brevity (time is getting on!), I won't go into masses of subsets of data, but it is worth noting that of those 217 qualifiers...

  • those raised (OR) by 6 to 9 lbs are 52/129 (40.3%) for 48.8pts (+37.8%)
  • those racing over a mile are 13/31 (41.9%) for 24pts (+77.5%)

...and those racing over a mile off a mark 6 to 9 lbs higher than LTO are 10 from 20 (50% SR) for 24.5pts (+122.5% ROI)...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Coachella @ 4/1 BOG , as offered by Betfair and paddy power at 6.30pm on Tuesday evening, whilst there's plenty of 7/2 BOG elsewhere. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 6.20 Chelmsford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 24th October 2018

Tuesday's Pick was...

6.10 Kempton : Pike Corner Cross @ 11/4 BOG WON at Evens (Tracked leaders, headway over 1f out, led narrowly inside final furlong, driven out, kept on, always just doing enough) 

Wednesday's pick runs in the...

8.30 Chelmsford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Molten Lava @ 5/2 BOG  

...in a 14-runner, Class 7, A/W Handicap for 4yo+ over 1m2f on polytrack worth £2911 to the winner... 

Why?

Possibly not the best race on offer today, but a decent opportunity of another win for both SotD and this 6yr old gelding who was a winner here on this track LTO 11 days ago. That was over a mile in another big-field (16 ran!) Class 7 handicap and having raced prominently throughout, he put the race to bed quite early and then stayed on to win pretty comfortably by 3 lengths or so.

Safrani (who runs in the 8.15 Newcastle tonight) was just over 3 lengths back in fourth that day and he has since raced twice in Class 6 handicaps, winning once and making the frame in the other, which is another positive, as is the third place our pick achieved when attempting this course and distance three starts ago at a higher grade than today.

The step up in trip shouldn't pose too much of an issue should he be ridden the same way and with higher draws doing well here and the main race pace coming from wider out, he should get a really good target to aim at from the off.

Stat-wise, we've not got a massive sample size to use today, but trainer Steve Gollings' horses are 6 from 20 (30% SR) for 9.66pts (+48.3% ROI) here at Chelmsford over the last three years, all males and all in handicaps including of note today...

  • his only runner at the track that day : 5/16 (31.25%) for 7.15pts (+44.7%)
  • his only runner of the day : 4/14 (28.6%) for 4.06pts (+29%)
  • at odds of 7/1 and shorter : 6/13 (46.2%) for 16.66pts (+128.2%)
  • at Class 6/7 : 5/12 (41.7%) for 12.57pts (+104.8%)
  • 6 yr olds are 4/8 (50%) for 7.05pts (+88.1%)
  • October-January trimester : 3/8 (37.5%) for 14.12pts (+176.5%)
  • up in trip by 0.5f to 2f : 3/7 (42.9%) for 9.08pts (+129.7%)
  • in fields of 11 or more runners : 3/7 (42.9%) for 7.98pts (+114%)

Like I said, they're not the biggest sample sizes I've ever used, but I think they give an indication towards what has worked for the trainer here at Chelmsford and a final positive I'll add to the selection is that jockey Adam Kirby is 11 from 48 (22.9% SR) for 9.86pts (+20.6% ROI) riding this 1m2f course and distance over the last 3 years and he does also ride Guardiola over this C&D in the opener...

...but my pick is... a 1pt win bet on Molten Lava @ 5/2 BOG, as offered by Betfair, Paddy Power, SkyBet, 10Bet & SportPesa at 5.40pm on Tuesday evening. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 8.30 Chelmsford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 25th September 2018

Monday's Pick was...

4.00 Hamilton : Where's Jeff @ 4/1 BOG 3rd at 2/1 (Tracked leaders on inside, pushed along 3f out, kept on same pace final furlong, went 3rd post) 

Tuesday's pick runs in the...

5.45 Chelmsford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Hard Taskmaster @ 3/1 BOG  

In a 12-runner, Class 5, A/W Nursery for 2yo over 1m on Polytrack, worth £4658 to the winner...

A 2 yr old colt who was unimpressive on Turf if I'm honest, failing to make the frame in any of his five efforts over trips of 5, 5.5, 6 and 7 furlongs. He was then switched to the A/W four weeks ago and has gone 2 from 2 since, winning by 5 lengths at Lingfield and then again 5 days later at Newcastle by 2 lengths 22 days ago. The first of those wins was the only that he has been ridden by today's jockey, the in-form Oisin Murphy (more on him shortly!)

Trainer James Tate is 15 from 48 (31.25% SR) for 13.8pts (+28.8% ROI) here at Chelmsford with horses priced at evens to 6/1, from which...

  • in handicaps : 9/31 (29%) for 13.18pts (+42.5%)
  • September to November : 7/15 (46.7%) for 12.71pts (+84.7%)
  • 2 yr olds : 5/13 (38.5%) for 8.92pts (+45.5%)
  • Class 5 : 4/11 (36.4%) for 5.04pts (+45.8%)
  • Nurseries : 2/3 (66.6%) for 8.2pts (+273.2%)

I mentioned that our jockey Oisin Murphy was in good touch of late and this thought is verified by his 27 winners from 120 (22.5% SR) over the last 30 days that have generated 32.3pts profit at an ROI of 26.9%, whilst overall in Class 5/6 handicaps here at Chelmsford, he is 17/95 (17.9%) SR) for 23.9pts (+25.2% ROI) and these include...

  • at 1m and beyond : 14/61 (23%) for 33.7pts (+55.2%)
  • at odds of 6/4 to 7/1 : 13/48 (27.1%) for 29.3pts (+61.1%)
  • and at odds of 6/4 to 7/1 over trips of 1m and beyond : 11/31 (35.5%) for 37.2pts (+119.9%)

And I'm going to wrap this one up with a quick nod towards our boy's sire, Moohaajim, who was very lightly raced, but won 2 of 5 starts including a Group 2 contest. This season is the first that his progeny have hit the track and after a slow start to the season, his offspring are firing the winners in. Over the last week, his 2 yr olds are 7 from 18 (38.9% SR) for 89.2pts (+495.8% ROI), from which...

  • those sent off at odds of 4/1 and shorter have won 6 of 9 (66.6%) for 14.62pts (+162.5%)
  • handicappers are 3/6 (50%) for 4.7pts (+78.4%)
  • on the A/W : 3/5 (60%) for 6.72pts (+134.4%)
  • and here at Chelmsford : 1/1 (100%) for 2.76pts (+276%)

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Hard Taskmaster @ 3/1 BOG, a price offered by Betfair & Paddy Power at 5.00pm on Monday evening. To see what your preferred bookie will give you later...

...click here for the betting on the 5.45 Chelmsford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 6th September 2018

Wednesday's Pick was...

2.20 Southwell : Mr Mafia @ 7/2 BOG 2nd at 3/1 (Towards rear, not that fluent, pushed along briefly after 9th, headway on outside from 13th, 4th 3 out, went 2nd last, stayed on, couldn't reach winner who won by just a length)

Thursday's pick runs in the...

8.45 Chelmsford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Sonnet Rose @ 3/1 BOG  

In a 10-runner, Class 6, 6f A/W Handicap for 3yo+ on Polytrack, worth £3493 to the winner...

Why?

Here we have a 4 yr old filly who won at this track over 7f just 5 days ago under today's jockey. That was an apprentices' handicap, so she escapes a penalty for that win, but does drop down a furlong today : this shouldn't be an issue if she runs in the style as LTO, though.

Over the last nine months she is 4 from 12 (33.3% SR) for 8.82pts (+73.5% ROI) in non-Tapeta A/W handicaps (some horses just don't "get" that surface), from which, she is...

  • 4/11 (36.4%) for 9.82pts (+89.3%) within 3 weeks of her last run
  • 4/10 (40%) for 10.82pts (+108.2%) in fields of 8-12 runners
  • 3/10 (30%) for 4.21pts (+42.1%) on Polytrack
  • 4/9 (44.4%) for 11.82pts (+131.3%) at odds of 5/1 or shorter
  • 3/6 (50%) for 11.63pts (+193.8%) at Class 6
  • 2/3 (66.6%) for 8.03pts (+267.5%) here at Chelmsford
  • and 1/2 (50%) for 3.94pts (+197%) under today's jockey, the 7lb claimer William Carver.

Her trainer, Conrad Allen, is 11 from 79 (13.9% SR) for 123.4pts (+156.3% ROI) since the start of 2016 with horses racing at Class 4 to 6 over trips of 5 to 9 furlongs within 25 days of their last run and more generally in UK All-Weather handicaps over 5f to 7f, all horses who won LTO 2 to 5 days earlier are 57 from 163 (35% SR) for 48.8pts (+29.9% ROI) since the start of 2014.

Of these quick returning winners...

  • those racing at the same class as LTO are 41/107 (38.3%) for 39.3pts (+36.7%)
  • those racing on Polytrack are 30/81 (37%) for 30.9pts (+38.2%)
  • at Class 6 : 29/80 (36.25%) for 28.3pts (+35.4%)
  • at Class 6 on Polytrack : 13/37 (35.1%) for 16.4pts (+44.4%)
  • and at Class 6 on Polytrack after racing at Class 6 on Polytrack LTO : 10/27 (37%) for 11.04pts (+40.9%)

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Sonnet Rose @ 3/1 BOG, a price offered by Betfair & Paddy Power as of 6.05pm on Tuesday evening. There is however, some  7/2 BOG at Bet365, if you can get on, too. To see what your preferred bookie will give you...

...click here for the betting on the 8.45 Chelmsford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 11th August 2018

Friday's Pick was...

4.20 Wolverhampton : Conkering Hero @ 5/2 BOG 4th at 13/8 (Led early, tracked leader until over 11f out, hung left over 1f out, staying on same pace when bumped well inside final furlong, beaten by just over a length)

Saturday's pick goes in the...

2.40 Chelmsford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Reckless Endeavour 11/2 BOG

In an 8-runner, Class 2, All-Weather Handicap for 4yo+ over 6f on Polytrack worth £25876 to the winner... 

Why?

A 5yr old gelding who has 3 wins and 5 places from 11 runs on Polytrack including 3 wins and 3 places over 6f and is now back on his last winning mark from when he won a similar Class 2 A/W handicap over this trip at Lingfield.

His trainer, Jamie Osborne is in reasonable enough form having landed 5 winners from 24 (20.8% SR) over the last 30 days, whilst since the start of 2016, he is 26 from 152 (17.1% SR) for 51.8pts (+34.1% ROI) here at Chelmsford, from which...

  • those racing within 15 days of their last run are 12/72 (16.6%) for 21.8pts (+30.3%)
  • over 6f : 12/59 (20.3%) for 19.5pts (+33.1%)
  • those ridden by Dougie Costello : 9/49 (18.4%) for 34.8pts (+71%)
  • and racing over 6f within 15 days : 6/31 (19.4%) for 22.3pts (+71.8%)

Whilst more generally in UK A/W handicaps over 5f to 8.5f since the start of 2013, horses beaten by less than 3 lengths LTO 2 to 5 days ago are 161/724 (22.2% SR) for 198.1pts (+27.4% ROI), including...

  • 3-7 yr olds : 133/590 (22.5%) for 180.2pts (+30.5%)
  • males : 130/559 (23.3%) for 170.2pts (+30.4%)
  • 3-7 yr old males : 105/438 (24%) for 148.9pts (+34%)
  • on Polytrack : 90/416 (21.6%) for 17.8pts (+28.3%)
  • 3-7 yr olds on Polytrack : 76/339 (22.4%) for 120.4pts (+35.5%)
  • and 3-7 yr old males on Polytrack : 58/244 (23.8%) for 93.2pts (+38.2%)

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Reckless Endeavour 11/2 BOGa price offered by Betfair & Bet365 at 7.00pm on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 2.40 Chelmsford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 20th June 2018

Tuesday's Pick was...

2.55 Stratford : I See You Well @ 5/1 BOG 4th at 9/2 (Held up in rear, not always fluent, headway on outside 9th, driven and every chance before last, stayed on same pace flat and beaten by 5L)

Next up is Wednesday's...

7.10 Chelmsford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Tropics @ 4/1 BOG

An 11-runner, Class 2 A/W Handicap for 3yo+ over 5f on polytrack worth £25876 to the winner...

Why?

This 10 yr old gelding is showing no signs of letting his advancing years slow him down, winning 4 of his last 8 starts on Turf/AW, including a comfortable 2 length victory here over course and distance at this grade last time out a week ago.

A 6lb rise in weight is semi-negated by a 3lb jockey claim today (jockey has won with him previously) and based on the manner of his last run/win, a 3lb difference shouldn't be enough to anchor him here.

To date, he has 5 wins and 4 places from 14 starts on the A/W, including the following of note/relevance today...

  • 5 wins & 3 places from 11 within 30 days of his last run
  • 4 wins and a place from 10 in a hood
  • 5 wins and a place from 9 in fields of 8-11 runners
  • 4 from 6 going left handed
  • 3 from 5 as a 10 yr old
  • 2 wins and 2 places from 4 occasions sent off as a favourite
  • 2 from 2 at 5f
  • 2 from 2 over course and distance
  • 1 from 1 at Class 2
  • 1 from 1 over course and distance at Class 2
  • 1 from 1 in June

...he has also won 3 of 9 runs at Listed class on turf, where he also has a Gr 3 win to his name. He's not the force he used to be when making the frame in a couple of group 1 contests, but remains a decent competitor at this level.

His trainer Dean Ivory has a 22/136 (16.2% SR) record in handicaps at this venue that has rewarded his followers with 23.3pts profit at an ROI of 17.2%, from which...

  • those sent off at odds of 12/1 and shorter are 21/104 (20.2%) for 35.2pts (+33.8%)
  • LTO winners are 6/19 (31.6%) for 2.8pts (+14.6%)
  • those last seen 6-10 days earlier are 4/13 930.8%) for 23.2pts (+178.1%)
  • and over 5f : 3/12 925%) for 2pts (+16.7%)

...whilst more generally since the start of 2013, Dean's horses running at the same class and distance as an LTO win in the previous 25 days are 12 from 35 (34.3% SR) for 13.38pts (+38.2% ROI) profit, including...

  • at 9/2 and shorter : 12/28 (42.9%) for 20.38pts (+72.8%)
  • won by a head to 2L LTO : 11/27 (40.7%) for 18.36pts (+68%)
  • on the A/W : 9/26 (34.6%) for 9.23pts (+35.5%)
  • at the same course and distance as LTO : 7/17 (41.2%) for 8.04pts (+47.3%)
  • here at Chelmsford : 3/8 (37.5%) for 4.46pts (+55.8%)

...and from that data...those priced at 9/2 and shorter on the A/W after a win by a head to 2 lengths LTO are 8 from 18 (44.4% SR) for 14.22pts (+79% ROI) and amongst those 18 runners...

  • those racing at the same course and distance as LTO are 5/11 (45.5%) for 4.9pts (+44.5%)
  • Chelmsford runners are 3/7 (42.9%) for 5.46pts (+78%)
  • those running over the same Chelmsford trip as LTO are 2 from 4 (50%) for 3pts (+75%) profit

...which all points towards...a 1pt win bet on Tropics @ 4/1 BOGwhich was available from 10 Bet, Bet365, Betway, Ladbrokes & SportPesa at 5.30pm on Tuesday evening. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 7.10 Chelmsford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 13th June 2018

Tuesday's Pick was...

7.50 Lingfield : Fanfair @ 4/1 BOG 2nd at 4/1 (In rear, headway 2f out, not clear run [poorly positioned IMO] and switched right over 1f out, edged left inside final furlong, ridden and ran on, couldn't reach winner, beaten by a head)

We continue with Wednesday's...

3.20 Chelmsford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Danzay @ 3/1 BOG

A 10-runner, Class 5 handicap for 3yo over 1m on polytrack worth £4399 to the winner...

Why?

here we have a 3 yr old gelding who was a winner over 1m2f at Goodwood just five days ago when making all. The truth however is that he was hanging on for the last 2f and the line couldn't come quick enough for him. The good news here is that (a) a drop back to a mile should therefore help him see this one out better, (b) he's unpenalised for that win, as it was an apprentice handicap and (b) the wily Franny Norton now takes over in the saddle : an excellent judge of race pace.

And although his trainer Mark Johnston has a 15.8% strike rate at this venue (47/298), he's not profitable to follow blindly, however...

...if you backed all his 2 to 4 yr olds here sent off at 7/2 & shorter, you'd have 33 winners from 89 (37.1% SR) and 15.2pts (+17.1% ROI) profit, from which...

  • at trips of 7 to 10 furlongs : 21/52 (40.4%) for 15.2pts (+29.2%)
  • at Class 5 : 13/30 (43.3%) for 11.2pts (+37.2%)
  • and at Class 5 over trips of 7 to 10 furlongs : 11/19 (57.9%) for 15.9pts (+83.8%)

More generally, since the start of 2013 at trips of 6 to 8.5 furlongs on UK polytracks, horses who won or were beaten by less than lengths LTO and were turned back out just 2 to 5 days later, went on to win 141 of 562 (25.1% SR) quick follow-ups recording profits of 172.9pts at a healthy ROI of 30.8%. These are not trainer specific, just blindly backing quick returners who weren't well beaten LTO.

And finally, seeing as this one did win so recently, it's worth noting that Mark Johnston's Class 5 handicappers who won last time out are 35/95 (36.8% SR) for 26.3pts (+27.7% ROI) profit and these include of relevance today...

  • 27 winners from 69 (39.1%) for 23.8pts (+34.5%) for those last seen 4-25 days earlier
  • 31 from 64 (48.4%) for 21.8pts (+34%0 at odds of 9/2 and shorter
  • 24 from 55 (43.6%) for 32.7pts (+59.4%) from those running at the same class as LTO
  • 17 from 35 (48.6%) for 23.4pts (+66.8%) in the June-August quarter
  • and 9 from 24 (37.5%) for 3.93pts (+16.4%) on polytrack

...and derived from the above, you could back those priced at 6/1 and shorter at the same class as an LTO win 4-25 days earlier for 20 winners from 38 (52.6% SR) and 23,2pts profit at an ROI of 60.9%...

...which would prompt...a 1pt win bet on Danzay @ 3/1 BOGGENERALLY. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 3.20 Chelmsford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 31st May 2018

Wednesday's Runner was...

8.10 Ripon : Pipers Note @ 5/1 BOG 2nd at 7/2 (Towards rear, switched right and headway over 1f out, went 2nd inside final furlong, edged right, unable to trouble winner)

We end a difficult month via Thursday's...

7.10 Chelmsford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Codicil @ 13/2 BOG 

A 10-runner, Class 2, A/W Handicap for 3yo over 1m on Polytrack worth £19407 to the winner... 

Why?

A seasonal re-appearance for this 3 yr old filly some 265 days after completing a perfect 4 from 4 season as a 2yr old, which included...

  • 4/4 under today's jockey Luke Morris
  • 2/2 over a mile
  • 2/2 on the A/W
  • 1/1 at Class 2
  • 1/1 over a mile on A/W
  • and 1/1 at Class 2 over a mile on A/W

She's trained by Sir Mark Prescott who has had 102 winners from 516 (19.8% SR) runners on the A/W since the start of 2015 generating profits of 74.3pts at an ROI of 14.4%, including a 76 from 272 (27.9%) record in handicaps that has produced 155 pts (+57%) profit.

And from these 272 A/W handicappers...

  • those with 3 to 10 previous runs are 68/239 (28.5%) for 139.5pts (+58.4%)
  • those ridden by Luke Morris are 65/221 (29.4%) for 133.9pts (+60.6%)
  • 3 yr olds are 53/179 (29.6%) for 120pts (+67.1%)
  • on Polytrack : 44/160 (26.5%) for 61.3pts (+36.9%)
  • females are 31/120 (25.8%) for 101.7pts (+84.7%)
  • in 3yo races : 24/83 (28.9%) for 57.6pts (+69.4%)
  • here at Chelmsford : 18/66 (27.3%) for 18.9pts (+28.6%)
  • LTO winners are 22/63 (34.9%) for 8.9pts (+14.1%)
  • over trips of 7f to a mile : 17/63 (27%) for 63.4pts (+100.6%)
  • horses with a career strike rate of 33% or better are 18/46 (39.1%) for 17.9pts (+38.9%)
  • in May : 8/20 (40%) for 11.48pts (+57.4%)
  • and those returning from breaks of 8 to 12 months are 6/13 (46.2%) for 23.57pts at an ROI of some 181.3%

...all pointing towards...a 1pt win bet on Codicil @ 13/2 BOG  which was available from Betfair, Paddy Power & Unibet at 5.10pm on Wednesday. To see what your referred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 7.10 Chelmsford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 28th May 2018

Saturday's Runner was...

3.25 Haydock : Heartache @ 9/2 BOG 6th at 6/1 (Close up, pushed along over 1f out, weakened final furlong)

Next up is Monday's...

5.35 Chelmsford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Your first 30 days for just £1

Spot Lite @ 7/2 BOG 

An 11-runner, Class 6, A/W handicap for 3yo over 5f on polytrack worth £3493 to the winner... 

Why?

This 3 yr old gelding was a winner last time out when scoring at Bath on his first crack at this 5f trip. Now I appreciate that he's making his A/W debut today, but his trainer Rod Millman is a pretty good judge about which of his horses would go well here at Chelmsford, after saddling up 5 winners from 24 (20.8% SR) for profits of 13.83pts (+57.6% ROI) at this venue to date.

Amongst those runners...

  • males are 4/18 (22.2%) for 13.43pts (+74.6%)
  • those last seen 16-25 days earlier are 3/5 (60%) for 15.29pts (+305.8%)
  • this year = 2/3 (66.6%) for 13.7pts (+456.6%)
  • and LTO winners are 1/2 (50%) for 4.41pts (+220.5%)

Speaking of LTO winners, Rod's record with these since the start of 2016 stands at 16 winners from 65 (24.6% SR) for profits of 25.82pts (+39.7% ROI), from which...

  • handicappers are 16/57 (28.1%) for 33.82pts (+59.3%)
  • 3 yr olds are 7/22 (31.8%) for 13.3pts (+60.5%)
  • in 3yo races : 5/17 (29.4%) for 14.2pts (+83.5%)
  • and at Class 6 : 3/7 (42.9%) for 8.4pts (+119.8%)

AND...it's also worth noting that since the start of 2013, Rod MIllman's LTO winners who last ran in the previous 25 days at the same class and distance as their follow-up effort are 7 from 14 (50% SR) for 20.7pts (+147.9% ROI) profit, including of relevance today...

  • handicappers at 7 from 13 (53.9%) for 21.7pts (+166.9%)
  • Class 6 runners at 6 from 9 (66.6%) for 15.64pts (+173.8%)
  • and 3 yr olds are 2 from 3 (66.6%) for 1.05pts (+35.1%)

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Spot Lite @ 7/2 BOG  which was available from Bet365, BetVictor & SunBets at 8.15pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 5.35 Chelmsford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 28th May 2018

Saturday's Runner was...

3.25 Haydock : Heartache @ 9/2 BOG 6th at 6/1 (Close up, pushed along over 1f out, weakened final furlong)

Next up is Monday's...

5.35 Chelmsford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Spot Lite @ 7/2 BOG 

An 11-runner, Class 6, A/W handicap for 3yo over 5f on polytrack worth £3493 to the winner... 

Why?

This 3 yr old gelding was a winner last time out when scoring at Bath on his first crack at this 5f trip. Now I appreciate that he's making his A/W debut today, but his trainer Rod Millman is a pretty good judge about which of his horses would go well here at Chelmsford, after saddling up 5 winners from 24 (20.8% SR) for profits of 13.83pts (+57.6% ROI) at this venue to date.

Amongst those runners...

  • males are 4/18 (22.2%) for 13.43pts (+74.6%)
  • those last seen 16-25 days earlier are 3/5 (60%) for 15.29pts (+305.8%)
  • this year = 2/3 (66.6%) for 13.7pts (+456.6%)
  • and LTO winners are 1/2 (50%) for 4.41pts (+220.5%)

Speaking of LTO winners, Rod's record with these since the start of 2016 stands at 16 winners from 65 (24.6% SR) for profits of 25.82pts (+39.7% ROI), from which...

  • handicappers are 16/57 (28.1%) for 33.82pts (+59.3%)
  • 3 yr olds are 7/22 (31.8%) for 13.3pts (+60.5%)
  • in 3yo races : 5/17 (29.4%) for 14.2pts (+83.5%)
  • and at Class 6 : 3/7 (42.9%) for 8.4pts (+119.8%)

AND...it's also worth noting that since the start of 2013, Rod MIllman's LTO winners who last ran in the previous 25 days at the same class and distance as their follow-up effort are 7 from 14 (50% SR) for 20.7pts (+147.9% ROI) profit, including of relevance today...

  • handicappers at 7 from 13 (53.9%) for 21.7pts (+166.9%)
  • Class 6 runners at 6 from 9 (66.6%) for 15.64pts (+173.8%)
  • and 3 yr olds are 2 from 3 (66.6%) for 1.05pts (+35.1%)

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Spot Lite @ 7/2 BOG  which was available from Bet365, BetVictor & SunBets at 8.15pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 5.35 Chelmsford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 24th May 2018

Wednesday's Runner was...

2.30 Ayr : Lilys Prince @ 5/1 3rd at 7/4 (Mid-division, headway over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong)

Next up is Thursday's...

6.10 Chelmsford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Foie Gras @ 11/4 BOG 

A 9-runner, Class 5, A/W Handicap (4yo+) over 1m on Polytrack worth £4399 to the winner...

Why?

An 8 yr old gelding who has won three times at this track and three times at today's trip. In fact, he actually has three wins and one place from nine efforts over course and distance and has now slipped back to a mark just a pound higher than his last win here.

His trainer Chris Dwyer is 91/571 (15.9% SR) for 163.3pts (+28.6% ROI) in A/W handicaps since the start of 2013, including 29 winners from 163 (17.8%) for 121.2pts (+74.4%) here at Chelmsford.

And of those 163 Chelmsford handicappers...

  • those last seen 10 to 50 days earlier are 24/120 (20%) for 144.8pts (+120.7%)
  • males are 17/101 (16.8%) for 112.7pts (+111.6%)
  • those priced at 5/1 and shorter are 23/61 (37.7%) for 34.4pts (+56.4%)
  • those racing over 7f/1m are 12/54 (22.2%) for 143.6pts (+266%)
  • Class5 runners are 9/43 (20.9%) for 1.04pts (+2.4%)
  • those sent off as favourite are 9/20 (45%) for 4.93pts (+24.65%)
  • and those ridden by today's jockey Lewis Edmunds are 3/9 (33.3%) for 8.8pts (+97.7%)

...and this simple approach gives us...a 1pt win bet on Foie Gras @ 11/4 BOG which was widely available at 6.25pm on Wednesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 6.10 Chelmsford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 26th April 2018

Wednesday's Runner was...

6.55 Lingfield : My Target @ 6/1 BOG 5th at 9/2 (Mid-division on inside, headway chasing leaders over 1f out, weakened well inside final furlong)

Our next runner goes in Thursday's...

8.35 Chelmsford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Ode To Autumn @ 3/1 BOG

A 5-runner, Class 4,  1m A/W Handicap (3yo) on polytrack worth £7310 to the winner...

Why?

This 3 yr old gelding has won twice and made the fame a further three times from his six starts so far with finishes of 211 on the All-Weather, including 2 wins from 2 over the 1m trip, the most recent being an LTO success 69 days ago.

His trainer, John Gosden, is bang in form, as typified by...

  • 18 winners from 50 (36% SR) in the last 30 days
  • 13 from 37 (35.1%) over the last fortnight
  • and 8 from 20 (40%) over the last week.

On top of this, Johnny's LTO winners are 147/488 (30.1% SR) for 137pts (+28.1% ROI) since 2014, from which...

  • April runners are 35/85 (41.2%) for 50pts (+58.8%)
  • and Class 4 runners are 27/77 (35.1%) for 18.5pts (+24.1%)

Whilst in the same 2014-18 time frame, his runners returning from a break of more than 60 days are 134/487 (27.5% SR) for 87.9pts (+18.1% ROI), including of relevance today...

  • LTO winners : 56/163 (34.4%) for 45.8pts (+28.1%)
  • in April : 54/153 (35.3%) for 33pts (+21.6%)
  • on Polytrack : 37/107 (34.6%) for 16.8pts (+15.7%)
  • over a 1m trip : 32/104 (30.8%) for 75.7pts (+72.8%)
  • at Class 4 : 32/104 (30.8%) for 45.8pts (+44%)
  • and here at Chelmsford : 12/22 (54.6%) for 20.5pts (+93.1%)

And finally for now (!), it's worth noting that this is Mr Gosden's only runner here today and in fact his only runner anywhere all day, and when sending just one handicapper out to a meeting since 2013, he has come home with the prize money on 52 of 199 (26.1% SR) occasions rewarding followers with 47.4pts [profit at an ROI of 23.8%, from which...

  • his only runner all day : 20/89 (22.5%) for 20.7pts (+23.3%)
  • at Chelmsford : 4/12 933.3%) for 8pts (+66.7%)

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Ode To Autumn @ 3/1 BOG which was available from 10Bet, BetVictor, Betway, Coral & SportPesa at 5.50pm on Wednesday, whilst Bet365 were a shade better at 10/3 BOG. In fact 11/4 BOG was still widely available at 8.15am on Thursday, so we should all manage to get on. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 8.35 Chelmsford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 3rd March 2018

Friday's Result :

4.10 Lingfield : Take The Helm @ 13/2 BOG non-runner (meeting abandoned)

Our 3rd attempt to start the new month comes via Saturday's...

7.15 Chelmsford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Excellent George @ 3/1 BOG

A Class 4, 6f handicap (4yo+) on polytrack worth £7,310 to the winner...

Why?

More on this in due course...

...but first...a 1pt win bet on Excellent George @ 3/1 BOG which was widely available at 7.25pm on |Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 7.15 Chelmsford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!