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Stat of the Day, 30th June 2020

Monday's pick was...

2.20 Windsor : Porto Ferro @ 3/1 BOG 2nd at 2/1 (Soon led, went to rail over 4f out, joined and hung badly left from 2f out, headed inside final furlong, no extra and beaten by a length)

Tuesday's pick runs in the...

6.45 Leicester :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Currently, I'll identify and share the selection between 8.00am and 8.30am and I then add a more detailed write-up later within an hour or so of going "live".

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Chetan @ 11/4 BOG

...in a 13-runner, Class 6, Flat handicap for 4yo+ over 1m on Good To Firm ground worth £2,782 to the winner...

Your first 30 days for just £1

Why?...

A quick look at the card shows...

...an 8 yr old course and distance winner who won last time out (also over C&D when making all on his way to a 9.5 length success) and is trained by Tony Carroll, whose form over the last two years includes...

Those LTO winners when sent off at 7/1 and shorter are...

...whilst at 4/1 and shorter, those turned back out quickly are...

And as this horse won over C&D last time out, it's worth noting that Tony Carroll does well with LTO winners with that CD icon on the racecard, especially at the sharp end of the market, as shown by...

...of which those who actually won over C&D LTO are...

And finally for today, I'd like to briefly highlight the fact that horses returning to Leicester after a C&D win last time out also fare very well, as in...

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Chetan @ 11/4 BOG as was widely available at 8.00am Tuesday, but as always please check your BOG statusTo see a small sample of odds offered on this race...

...click here for the betting on the 6.45 Leicester

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!