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TV Horse Racing Trends: Wednesday 27th Dec 2023

Another huge day of National Hunt action on Wednesday 27th December 2023 as the ITV cameras head to Kempton, while they are also at Chepstow to cover the Coral Welsh National.

We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.55 – Ladbrokes Wayward Lad Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

12/12 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
11/12 – 1st or 2nd last time out
11/12 – Between 1-2 Chase wins before
11/12 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Won last time out
9/12 – Favourites placed in top 2
9/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/12 – Irish or French bred
6/12 – Aged 5 years-old
6/12 – Ran at Sandown last time out
4/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/12 – Winning favourite
3/12 – Had won over fences at Kempton before

2.30 – Ladbrokes Desert Orchid Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/16 – Aged 8 or younger
13/16 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
13/16 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
12/16 – Run at the track previously
11/16 – Won 4 (or more) times over fences
10/16 – Winning favourites
10/16 – Officially Rated 160+
8/16 – French bred
7/16 – Ran at Sandown last time out
5/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/16 – Trained by Alan King
2/16 – Trained by Gary Moore
Editeur Du Gite (28/1) won the race in 2022
Nube Negra (20/1) won the race in 2020

3.09 - Ladbrokes Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

15/16 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
15/16 – Priced between 7/2 and 12/1
14/16 – Aged 8 or younger
14/16 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
12/16 – Won between 2-3 (chase) before
9/16 – Favourites Unplaced
6/16 – Officially Rated between 122-130
5/16 – Ran at Kempton previously
6/16 – Won over 3m (or further) previously
6/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
4/16 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/16 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

3.40 – Ladbrokes Fanzone Mares´ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m110y ITV4

16/16 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
15/16 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
14/16 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
13/16 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
11/16 – Favourites that were placed in the top 3
9/16 – Won over 3m previously
8/16 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
7/16 – Won their last race
7/16 – Ran at the track previously
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Aged 5 years-old
2/16 – Raced at Newbury last time out
Glimpse Of Gala (4/1) won the race in 2022
Emmpressive Lady (3/1 jfav) won the race in 2021

Chepstow Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.05 – Coral Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3 1/2f ITV4

19/20 – French (11) or Irish (8) bred
18/20 – Won over 2 ½ miles (fences) previously
16/20 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
15/20 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
15/20 – Won between 2-3 times (fences) previously
13/20 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
11/20 – Placed in the first three last time out
9/20 – Aged 7 or younger
6/20 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
6/20 – Won their last race
6/20 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/20 – Ridden by Charlie Deutsch
2/20 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/20 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
Golden Whisky (12/1) won this race in 2021

1.40 – Coral Racing Club Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 2m 7 1/2f ITV4

18/21 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
17/21 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
16/21 – Won between 1-3 times previously over hurdles
16/21 – Irish bred
14/21 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
14/21 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/21 – Ran at Chepstow previously
13/21 – Won over 3m previously
11/21 – Carried between 11-2 and 12st in weight
9/21 – Officially Rated 120 or less
5/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/21 – Won their last race
Tim Vaughan has won 2 of the last 4runnings
Peter Bowen has won 3 of the last 10 runnings
Note: The 2011 running was a dead-heat

2.10 – Coral Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cl1 (3yo) 2m ITV4

18/19 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
18/19 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
16/19 – Won between 0-2 times previously
12/19 – French bred
10/19 – Won their last race
7/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Raced at the track previously
5/19 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/19 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/19 – Trained by Alan King

2.50 – Coral Welsh Grand National (A Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV4

21/21 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
21/21 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
21/21 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
19/21 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
18/21 – Aged 9 or younger
17/21 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
15/21 – Aged 8 or younger
15/21 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
14/21 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/21 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
12/21 – Irish bred
11/21 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
9/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Unplaced favourites
7/21 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
7/21 – Had run in the Welsh National before
6/21 – French bred
4/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
2/21 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainers Venetia Williams and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won the Welsh Grand National twice each
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 9/1

 

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