Posts

Stat of the Day, 13th September 2017

Tuesday's Result :

4.25 Leicester : War Glory @ 7/2 BOG 4th at 3/1 : Tracked leader 2f, close up, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and headway over 1f out, kept on same pace final furlong, beaten by four lengths...

Wednesday's pick goes in the...

4.20 Doncaster :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Lahore @ 4/1 BOG

Why?

I'll be honest with you here, as soon as I see Doncaster on the racecards, I quickly check to see if Roger Varian has any runners out and if so, do I think they've got a fighting chance.

Lahore fits the bill on both counts, coming here with a 2 from 2 record and sufficiently rested after his last run to be fresh enough to win again.

So, why Roger Varian at Doncaster?

Well, he's 39/160 (24.4% SR) for 99.9pts (+62.5% ROI) here backed blindly, from which, here are 10 factors at play today...

  • males are 34/114 (29.8%) for 77.7pts (+68.2%)
  • 1-75 days since last run : 32/109 (29.4%) for 114.9pts (+105.4%)
  • 3 yr olds are 21/78 (26.9%) for 76.3pts (+97.8%)
  • in handicaps : 13/63 (20.6%) for 56.9pts (+90.3%)
  • over 7f : 11/40 (27.5%) for 55.3pts (+138.2%)
  • at the St Leger meeting : 9/35 (25.7%) for 59.7pts (+170.6%)
  • at Class 2 : 9/32 (28.1%) for 57.9pts (+180.9%)
  • LTO winners are 10/30 (33.3%) for 53.3pts (+177.5%)
  • those who won 2 starts ago are 7/23 (26.9%) for 13.2pts (+50.7%)
  • and those on a hat-trick are 2/5 (40%) for 5.1pts (+102%)

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Lahore @ 4/1 BOG, which was offered by Coral & Ladbrokes at 5.55pm on Tuesday, so, as ever, the choice is yours! For what it's worth, I'm on with Ladbrokes, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 4.20 Doncaster

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 7th July 2017

Thursday's Result :

2.00 Haydock : La Celebs Ville @ 3/1 BOG 4th at 3/1 Tracked leaders, driven to challenge 2f out, weakened inside final furlong.

Friday's pick goes in the...

4.10 Doncaster...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Pleasant Surprise3/1 BOG

Why?

A Class 4 handicap over a mile and a half for fillies aged 3 and over and we have a 3 yr old who was a winner over this trip two starts ago before being beaten into 5th place over 1m2f last time out.

That was 22 days ago and in her defence, it was a Listed race and she was far from disgraced. Now back up in trip and down in class for her handicap debut, I fancy her to get back to winning ways and she features in several of my micro-systems today, so I'll try and keep this brief!

Firstly we have trainer Luca Cumani and his record here on Town Moor : 36 winners from 136 (21.7% SR) for 27.3pts (+16.4% ROI) since 2008 and this includes of relevance today...

  • at trips of 7f and beyond : 36/126 (52.4%) for 37.3pts (+29.6%)
  • in handicaps : 24/105 (22.9%) for 33pts (+31.4%)
  • 21-45 days after their last outing : 24/84 (28.6%) for 45.2pts (+53.8%)
  • females are 18/54 (33.3%) for 40.7pts (+75.4%)
  • at Class 4 : 15/47 (31.9%) for 21pts (+44.7%)

AND...female handicappers at 7f and further, 21-45 days after their last run are 7 from 13 (53.9%) for 23.2pts (+178.1%) with class 4 runners winning 3 of 7.

More recently (ie since the start of 2015), when Mr Cumani has employed the talents of jockey Jamie Spencer here at Doncaster, the partnership has won 4 of 14 (28.6% SR) for 7.3pts at an ROI of 52.1% with handicappers winning 3 of 8 (37.5%) for 10.55pts (+131.9%)

And then we have the case of a handicap debut, since 2008 the 2-4 yr old Cumani handicap debutants are 66/281 (23.5% SR) for 118.7pts (+42.3% ROI) including...

  • those up in trip by a furlong or more are 34/140 (24.3%) for 58.9pts (+42.1%)
  • those racing over 10 to 12 furlongs are 35/136 (25.7%) for 54.4pts (+40%)
  • at Class 4 : 27/109 (24.8%) for 12.1pts (+11.1%)
  • 16-30 days since last run : 28/108 (25.9%) for 68.9pts (+63.8%)
  • those dropping in class are 16/46 (34.8%) for 61.3pts (+133.3%)
  • here at Doncaster : 8/17 (47.1%) for 31.2pts (+183.4%)
  • those who raced at Class 1 LTO are 4/16 (25%) for 23.7pts (+148%)
  • and those ridden by Jamie Spencer are 3/13 (23.1%) for 5pts at an ROI of 38.3%

There's quite a bit more to be honest, but I wouldn't want to bore you, so I'll call it a day here...

...with...a 1pt win bet on Pleasant Surprise @ 3/1 BOG which was on offer from Betfair, Coral, Ladbrokes and Paddy Power at 6.45pm on Thursday with plenty of acceptable 11/4 BOG elsewhere. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 4.10 Doncaster...

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 9th December 2016

Thursday's Result :

2.40 Taunton : Winning Spark @ 4/1 BOG WON at 5/1 Held up, towards rear, headway to chase leaders after 3 out, every chance from last, stayed on strongly to lead last strides.

Friday's pick goes in the...

2.15 Doncaster

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Jac The Legend @ 7/2 BOG

Why?

This 7 yr old gelding is massively consistent, with 9 top 3 finishes (inc 2 wins) from his last 11 starts and has been running well at a higher level than this contest of late.

He was a decent enough third at Sedgefield 6 weeks ago, despite coming off a break of 215 days and today's drop in both class and trip should see him in an even better light, especially as he has two wins and a place from 3 runs at 3m1.5f to 3m3f.

The in-form (10 wins from 36 so far this month) Brian Hughes takes the ride for Brian Ellison today and the yard itself is also in good nick with 4 winners from 9 this month and over fences they have had 4 winners and 3 placers from their last nine runners.

Jac The Legend is another son of my favourite sire, Midnight Legend, from whom we have a myriad of profitable angles, but I'll just briefly give you an overview of how his offspring have performed in handicap chases since 2009...

In this sphere, we get 161 winners from 932 (17.3% SR) for 364.1pts (+39.1% ROI) profit from blind backing and in respect of this particular race, those 932 can be broken down as follows...

  • males are 128/725 (17.7%) for 298.9pts (+41.2%)
  • after a break of at least three weeks : 102/609 (16.8%) for 331.8pts (+54.5%)
  • on good ground : 55/347 (15.9%) for 172.4pts (+49.7%)
  • over trips of 2m7f to 3m4f : 47/300 (15.7%) for 196.2pts (+65.4%)
  • and at Class 3 : 39/272 (14.3%) for 105pts (+38.6%)

In addition to the recent form of the trainer/jockey/horse and his breeding, it's also worth noting that Brian Ellison's handicappers having just their second outing in a 90-day period and ran 11 or more days ago are 41/326 (12.6%) for 41.5pts (+12.7%) since 2010.

...backing up...a 1pt win bet on Jac The Legend at 7/2 BOG with Bet365 (preferred), Betway and/orHills who led the way at 6.10pm on Thursday. To see your preferred bookies' odds, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 2.15 Doncaster

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

Sat TV Trends – 10th Sept 2016

Like all big race days Andy Newton is on hand with the key TV trends - this Saturday the C4 cameras head to Chester and Doncaster, and include the Ladbrokes St Leger - the final Classic of the 2016 turf flat season - plus we've also got the Irish Champion Stakes, from Leopardstown, covered for you this week.

 

tvtrends-300x73

 

 

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (More4/ATR)

 

2.00 - At The Races Champagne Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f More4

14/15 - Returned  8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Won by a Feb or March foal
13/15 – Had won over 7f before
13/15 – Won 1 or 2 times previously
12/15 – Favourites placed
12/15 – Finished third or better last time out
9/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Run at Sandown, Newbury, York or the Curragh last time out
8/15 – Raced 3 or more times that season
6/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Won by Godolphin
3/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/15 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard
2/15 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/15 – Won by the Charlie Appleby yard
2/15 – Won by the Saeed Bin Suroor yard
1/15 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4.2/1
Note: 2005 renewal was a dead-heat

 

2.35 - Ladbrokes Portland Handicap Cl2 5f140y More4

14/14 – Carried 8-12 or more
12/14 – Won over 6f before
11/14 – Had run 5 or more times that season
11/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/14 – Winner rated between 95 and 101
11/14 – Came from a double-figure stall
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/14 – Won 4 or more times in their career
10/14 – Run at Doncaster previously
8/14 – Unplaced Favourites
6/14 – Placed in their last race
6/14 – Winners aged 5 years-old (inc 6 of last 8 years)
6/14 – Raced in that season’s Great St Wilfrid (Ripon)
4/14 – Raced at Ripon last time out
3/14 – Won by the Kevin Ryan yard
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13.4/1

 

Your first 30 days for just £1

3.10 – The Saint Gobain Weber Park Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f More

11/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/13 – Run 3 or more times that season
11/13 – Won 3 or more times before
10/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Run at either Goodwood (5), Newbury (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
10/13 – Won over 7f before
10/13 – Won a Group race previously
10/13 – Returned  7/1 or shorter
9/13 – Unplaced in their most recent race
9/13 – Aged 4 or older
7/13 – Placed horses from stall 1
5/13 – Had run at Doncaster before
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/13 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
3 Irish-trained winners in the last 7 runnings
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.45 - Ladbrokes St Leger Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m6f132y CH4

 

13/14 – Had 2 or 3 previous career wins
13/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
11/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Had won a Group race before
10/14 – Had never raced over 1m6f or further before
10/14 – Winning distance of 1 length or more
10/14 – Had 4 or 5 previous runs that season
9/14 – Officially rated 109 to 115
9/14 – Had won over at least 1m3f before
8/14 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
8/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Ran in the Great Voltigeur last time out (2 won it)
6/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/14 – USA-bred winners
3/14 – Ran in the Gordon Stakes last time out (2 won it)
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden
3/14 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/14 – Ridden by William Buick
2/14 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won the race 6 times
Aidan O’Brien has trained 4 winners of the race
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 7/1

 

Chester Horse Racing Trends (More4/RUK)

2.15 – Betway Handicap Cl3 7f122y More4

Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Carried 8-13 or more
6/6 – Aged 4 or older
6/6 – Came from stall 5 or higher
5/6 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
4/6 – Aged 4 years-old
3/6 – Returned a double-figure price
2/6 – Ridden by Franny Norton
2/6 – Carried 8-13
1/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 11/1

 

2.50 – Betway Stand Cup (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f66y CH4

10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
10/10 – Had won at least twice before
9/10 – Had raced within the last 3 weeks
9/10 – Came from the top three in the betting
8/10 – Had 2 or more runs that season
8/10 – Aged 5 or younger
8/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Rated between 102-110
7/10 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
7/10 – Won at Listed or Group class before
6/10 – Favourites that finished either 1st or 2nd
4/10 – Ran at York last time out
3/10 – Had run at Chester before
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Godolphin-owned winners
2/10 – Trained by Pat Chamings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3.7/1

 

Leopardstown Horse Racing Trends (ATR)

6.45 - QIPCO Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f 

14/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/14 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/14 – Won 4 or more times before
12/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/14 – Had won over 1m2f before
12/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Ran at York, Sandown or Ascot last time out
11/14 – Rated 120+
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
9/14 – Trained in Ireland
8/14 – Aged 3 years-old
7/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
6/14 – Previous course winners
6/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Returned odds-on
2/14 – Won the Coral Eclipse last time out
2/14 – Trained by John Oxx
2/14 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 3/1

 

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Fact Of The Matter - Is a nice horse. He won his bumper well, but struggled over hurdles in softer ground. He's had a wind op over the summer and he's been jumping well at home. This former point winner looks to be on a competitive mark despite this looking an open race, but went well fresh last time (won first time out) so no issues on that front and hoping the hood can help today too. Tough race, but the horses are running well so hopeful of a nice e/w run today."
Jamie Snowden

06/09/16 1st 5/1

"Purple Party - Ran well last time on her first run for the stable when fourth of 14 here at the track. Only fifth career run here today so and seems to be getting the hang of things. The only slight concern is the drop back in trip - but the horse has come out of that last race well and we think still has every chance."
Gary Moore

05/09/16 1st 9/2

Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

Stat of the Day, 7th September 2016

Tuesday's Result :

2.40 Worcester : Kinari @ 5/1 BOG 6th at 9/2 (Led, not fluent 3rd, headed next, reminder 6th, lost place after 9th, well beaten 4 out)

Wednesday's pick goes in the...

2.30 Doncaster :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Mutawatheb at 9/2 BOG

Why?

Short and hopefully sweet today, as we side with this 2 yr old, who is already 1 from 1 on good to soft ground  and 1 from 1 under today's jockey, Paul Hanagan.

Paul, himself, is in good touch with 7 winners from 35 in the last fortnight and 4 from 17 in the past 7 days and this race represents a qualifier in a bot of aniche angle that has been profitable to follow of late.

Paul Hanagan / Richard Hannon Jnr / 2 yr olds / 6-7 furlongs = 10/26 (38.5% SR) for 7.51pts (+28.9% ROI), from which...

  • on good to soft ground : 3/6 (50%) for 1.09pts (+18.1% ROI)
  • and here at Doncaster : 3/4 (75%) for 1.98pts (+49.6%)

And, on a day seriously lacking in stat-based options, Mutawatheb offers the best value in my opinion and I expect him to go well here.

...so, the call is...a 1pt win bet on Mutawatheb at 9/2 BOG with any of the half dozen firms quoting that price at 7.30pm on Tuesday and to see your preferred bookies' odds, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 2.30 Doncaster.

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard...

Stat of the Day, 7th July 2016

Wednesday's Result :

5.10 Yarmouth : Mukaabra @ 3/1 BOG (12/5 after 20p R4) 2nd at 13/8 (Tracked leaders, effort to chase winner over 1f out, one pace final furlong) And another well backed placer!

Wednesday's pick goes in the...

4.30 Doncaster :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Bajan Rebel at 9/2 BOG

Why?

This 5 yr old mare has been somewhat of a revelation since returning to action in April of this year after a break of some 30 weeks. Her 6 runs this year have seen her finish 113123 (1123 over this 7f trip) and she was only narrowly beaten in both of her last two encounters and both at a higher grade than she faces today.

Overall, she has 3 wins from 8 rides on good to soft or worse, she's 3/12 at the trip, 2/6 under today's jockey plus those two placed efforts and she has won on her only previous run over this course and distance.

Furthermore, jockey Nathan Evans is 22/118 (18.6% SR) for 35.6pts (+30.2% ROI) when riding for Mick Easterby this year, with the following of interest...

  • in handicaps : 22/113 (19.5%) for 40.6pts (+36%)
  • when Nathan claims 5lbs : 14/75 (18.7%) for 27.4pts (+36.5%)
  • over trips of 5 to 7 furlongs : 18/71 (25.4%) for 63.8pts (+89.9%)
  • on the Flat : 14/71 (19.7%) for 30.3pts (+42.7%)
  • on horses rested for just 3 to 15 days : 13/49 (26.5%) for 31.7pts (+64.8%)
  • those priced at 2/1 to 11/2 are 17/48 (35.4%) for 36.5pts (+76.1%)

...so, the play is a 1pt win bet on Bajan Rebel at 9/2 BOG with any of the half dozen or so firms showing that price at 7.05pm, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering...

...click here for the betting on the 4.30 Doncaster

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard...

Stat of the Day, 4th June 2016

Friday's Result :

4.55 Catterick : Best Trip @ 11/2 BOG 2nd at 13/2 (Soon led, ridden over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, stayed on but beaten by a length.)

Saturday's pick goes in the...

5.10 Doncaster :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Moon River at 4/1 BOG

Why?

This 4yr old filly has won 4 of 7 this year already and is 3 from 5 over this trip. She's won 1 of her two previous runs in this Class 3 grade, but has been running and winning off higher marks at a higher level than this in her recent past. She's turned back out down in class, four weeks after her last run and this is also a positive, as she has won 5 of 11 racing 14 to 31 days since her last run.

And although Doncaster hasn't been the happiest of hunting grounds for trainer Mick Appleby in general, his 4 and 5 yr old handicappers have more than held their own, winning 8 of 54 (14.8% SR) for 41.5pts (+76.8% ROI) profit here on Town Moor since the start of the 2011 season. Of those 54 runners, those turned back out after a break of 12 to 60 days are 8/36 (22.2% SR) for 59.5pts (+165.2% ROI).

Today's jockey Robert Havlin also reads the track very well, with a personal record of 12 wins from 52 here since the start of 2013 and that 23/1% strike rate has yielded modest profits of 9.12pts (+17.6% ROI) overall, but in handicap company he is 6/24 (25% SR) for 11.03pts (+46% ROI).

And now full circle back to the horse...

Moon River is dropping in class today and since the start of the 2011 season, Mick Appleby's Flat handicap runners dropping down a class or two are 30/216 (13.9% SR) for 80.2pts (+37.1% ROI), with the following of particular interest today...

  • those beaten by more than 2 lengths LTO are 27/179 (15.1% SR) for 98.1pts (+54.8% ROI)
  • those last seen 11 to 60 days ago are 26/144 (18.1% SR) for 118.6pts (+82.4% ROI)
  • those priced at 9/4 to 10/1 are 23/131 (17.6% SR) for 45.3pts (+34.6% ROI)
  • and those racing over 7/7.5 furlongs are 5/26 (19.2% SR) for 7.53pts (+29% ROI)

And a small, Appleby class dropper micro for your notebooks? Go on, then! Based around those parameters above, those now priced at 11/8 to 10/1, beaten by more than 2 lengths 11 to 75 days ago are 20/84 (23.8% SR) for 66.3pts (+78.9% ROI). Of the 84, those racing over 7 to 8.5 furlongs are 10/32 (31.25% SR) for 35.7pts (+111.5% ROI)

...and so the call today is...a 1pt win bet on Moon River at 4/1 BOG with Coral, who were the standout of the majors at 6.05pm, although the smaller Netbet were matching this, but to see what your preferred firm is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 5.10 Doncaster

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard...

Double Dutch, 11th February 2016

An almost perfect day for DD yesterday, but for Spray Tan finishing seventh on our opener. Two 9-runner, 5f sprints at Kempton an hour apart yielded two winners that both drifted to combine for a 26/1 double and with Rosealee filling the runner-up berth in race 2, those playing the exotics were rewarded with a 19/1 return.

We're still not out of the woods by any means, but the figures lok a whole lot better now!

Wednesday's results were as follows:

Lizzys Dream : WON at 7/2 (adv 9/4)
Spray Tan : 7th at 5/1 (adv 10/3)
----------------------------------------------------
Princess Cookie : WON at 5/1 (adv 4/1)
Rosealee : 2nd at 9/4 (adv 4/1)
The Exacta paid £20.10 here.

Results to date:
801 winning selections from 2886 = 27.75%
248 winning bets in 747 days = 33.20%

Stakes: 1493.00pts
Returns: 1570.03pts
P/L : +77.03pts (+5.16% ROI)

Your first 30 days for just £1

And Thursday's Selections...

1.25 Huntingdon :

I'm going to side with Still Together (3/1 BOG) and Market Option (4/1 BOG) from this one.

Still Together hasn't really shown much in three short trip efforts over hurdles so far, but you have to wonder if this extra mile isn't where he should be racing anyway. His last run in Ireland before coming over to the Pipe yard was a 4 length win on heavy gorund in a 3m PTP contest, so I'd expect more from him today, especially with Tom Scudamore jumping on his back for the first time.

Market Option, on the other hand, is proven at the trip and was a decent second at Ludlow last time out. Venetia Williams has a good record here at this track and the faster ground on offer today should this horse, who unusually for a Williams' stayer, isn't too fond of the mud, making his last run even more noteworthy.

1.45 Doncaster :

Chase End Charlie (11/4 BOG) and Newsworthy (100/30 BOG) are the two I'd take here.

Chase End Charlie finished 332 in his three bumper runs, before tackling hurdles for the first time five weeks ago, when he was a course and distance winner here on soft ground. That was also the first time he'd been ridden by Richard Johnson and the experienced jockey is sure to have identified a couple of areas for improvement as they attempt to defy a peaslty today. The easing of the ground should help, as he ran well in his final bumper on good ground (also here at Doncaster).

Nicky Henderson won this race last year and has an excellent record here on Town Moor, as does jockey Barry Geraghty (quite often in tandem!). Newsworthy won well enough on debut, but failed to shine at Cheltenham last time out and has been out of the spotlight for the best part of 4 months since. You can be sure the team will have working on him to iron out any issues from that run and it has been suggested that this longer trip would be more to his strengths. Ad rop in class won't hurt his chances here either!

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows...

Still Together / Chase End Charlie @ 14/1 (3/1 & 11/4 : BetVictor & Paddy Power)
Still Together / Newsworthy @ 16.33/1 (3/1 & 10/3 : Bet365, BetVictor & Paddy Power)
Market Option / Chase End Charlie @ 17.75/1 (4/1 & 11/4 : BetVictor & Paddy Power)
Market Option / Newsworthy @ 20.67/1 (4/1 & 10/3 : Bet365, BetVictor & Paddy Power)

REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS

Stat of the Day, 8th January 2016

Stat of the Day, 8th January 2016

Thursday's Result :

1.05 Towcester : Chankillo @ 3/1 BOG PU at 6/1 (Held up, reminder after 3rd, mistake next, jumped slowly and struggling 5th, not fluent and behind 6th, pulled up before 7th)

Friday's runner goes in the...

1.20 Doncaster :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Iron Butterfly @ 11/4 BOG

Why?

This 7yr old mare comes here off the back of win at this very venue four weeks ago, when she won by five lengths over 3m 0.5 furlongs, so her stamina really shouldn't be questioned here, no matter how wet it gets.

She has won three of fiteen starts over hurdles, but it's interesting to note that she's 3/6 (50% SR) for 10.77pts (+179.4% ROI) profit when running at Class 4 level going left handed some 18 to 45 days after her last run, all of which apply today.

She has one and one place from three heavy ground runs and is 2 from 2 over trips of 2m2.5f to 2m3.5f as well as having the same 2/2 record here on Town Moor including a course and distance success in the past.

And since the start of 2012, former course and distance handicap hurdlers who are also LTO winners are 181/843 (21.5% SR) for 147.8pts (+17.5% ROI), further analysed in respect of today's selection as follows...

  • those running over 2m1f to 3m are 108/474 (22.8% SR) for 185.4pts (+39.1% ROI)
  • those racing 11 to 30 days after their last run are 22.8% SR) for 190.5pts (+41.7% ROI)
  • those running on ground deemed soft or worse (currently heavy, soft in places here) are 78/303 (25.7% SR) for 49.5pts (+16.3% ROI)

And I've not given you a micro-system for a while, so how about... former course and distance handicap hurdlers who are also LTO winners competing over 2m1f to 3m on soft/heavy ground 11 to 60days after that last winning run? Such horses are 30/120 (25% SR) over the last 4 years generating 67.2pts level stakes profits at an ROI of 56%.

And my recommended bet, based on my data and prices available at 6.05pm is...

A 1pt win bet on Iron Butterfly and that's at 11/4 BOG with Betfair's Sportsbook or Coral, whilst later this evening, you can always...

...click here for the betting on the 1.20 Doncaster

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day,

just click here for more details.

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard.

Double Dutch, 12th December 2015

Double Dutch, 12th December 2015

My first day back in the chair went the same day as my last run ended, with an unmatched winner and a 2pt daily loss.

Red Devil Boys was backed in from our advised 5/1 to win at 10/3 over at Doncaster, despite conceding a stone and a half to the runner-up, but that was all in vain, as our runners were beaten by 6 and 15 lengths into 3rd and 4th places at Cheltenham on a track where I couldn't even pick my own nose yesterday!

Friday's results were as follows:

Fletchers Flyer : 3rd at 3/1 (adv 7/2)
Vicente : 4th at 13/2 (adv 6/1)
----------------------------------------------------
Red Devil Boys : WON at 10/3 (adv 5/1)
Abidjan : 5th at 5/2 (adv 5/2)

Results to date:
751 winning selections from 2694 = 27.88%
236 winning bets in 698 days = 33.81%

Your first 30 days for just £1

Stakes: 1395.00pts
Returns: 1475.60pts
P/L : +80.6pts (+5.78% ROI)

REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS

2.20 Lingfield :

Saint Raph (7/2 BOG) has shaped well in his two runs over the last six weeks after returning from an eight month absence, finishing 4th and then 2nd on heavy / soft ground. He looked one paced towards the end of both races, so this longer trip might possibly be better for him. He's already won on heavy ground, but that's no surprise as he's by Saint Des Saints, whose offspring are 31/104 (29.8% SR) for 261.6pts (+251.5% ROI) on heavy.

If running as he did when winning at Ascot three weeks, when he stayed on dourly in soft ground to reel in a toiling leader, then Fruity O'Rooney could well make light work of a 5lb rise in weight. Sure, he's not getting any younger, but there's still life in this 12 yr old yet. He's very good in this grade, gets on well with today's jockey and has won here over hurdles and has made the frame over fences. Heavy ground isn't a problem for this old boy and 4/1 BOG might prove a decent price later.

*

2.40 Doncaster :

Southfield Royale is a half-brother to Southfield Theatre, who was a runner-up in the RSA chase and this five-year-old also looks to be progressive over fences. He was beaten by half a length at Wetherby in mid-October over an inadequately short 2m 3.5f on his return from a break of 197 days, but returned to that same venue 17 days later to win very easily by 20 lengths over today's three mile trip on soft ground. His cause is aided by his yard's excellent record with winter NH runners travelling over 200 miles to a racecourse and he's the one to beat here at 2/1 BOG.

Next best is likely to be the 11/4 BOG It's A Close Call, who comes here off the back of a 17 lengths victory on his chase debut last time out, which had followed finishes of 141 in his three hurdles runs before switching to fences. If truth be told, he was a little lucky to win that last race, as he looked held in second a length or so off the pace when the leader fell two out.

But in his defence, he was well clear of his rivals, it was his chase debut, so he should improve for it and it was also his first run for 209 days and whilst he should have finished second that day and he looks second best here, the latest result says anything can happen and it's worth noting that his yard have won this race in each of the last four years.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows...

Saint Raph / Southfield Royale @ 12.50/1 (7/2 & 2/1 : Boylesports, Paddy Power & Seanie Mac)
Saint Raph / It's A Close Call @ 15.88/1 (7/2 & 11/4 : Stan James)
Fruity O'Rooney / Southfield Royale @ 14/1 (4/1 & 2/1 : generally)
Fruity O'Rooney / It's A Close Call @ 16.5/1 (4/1 & 5/2 : generally)

Double Dutch, 11th December 2015

Double Dutch, 11th December 2015

No joy for Matt on the last day of his stint in the DD hotseat and whilst DD has come to mean Daily Disappointment of late, rest assured that both Matt and myself are working hard to get this right and eventually begin to recoup recent losses.

As it was yesterday, Snaidhm seemed to run out of steam once caught at the last over at Punchestown and although he tried his level best to rally, went down by just over three lengths.

And that margin of defeat was what separated us from a 10/1 return on the day after Marlee Massie had already won more comfortably than three parts of a length might sound.

Thursday's results were as follows:

Marlee Massie : WON at Evs (adv 5/4)
Redkalani : 5th at 5/1 (adv 11/2)
----------------------------------------------------
Snaidhm : 2nd at 3/1 (adv 4/1)
Danali : 17th at 2/1 (adv 2/1)

Your first 30 days for just £1

Results to date:
750 winning selections from 2690 = 27.88%
236 winning bets in 697 days = 33.86%

Stakes: 1393.00pts
Returns: 1475.60pts
P/L : +82.6pts (+5.93% ROI)

REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS

12.00 Cheltenham :

Fletchers Flyer (7/2 BOG) was turned over at 8/11 last time out, but in his defence, that was not only his chasing debut, but also his first run for 207 days. He jumped well enough and was only beaten by 1.25 lengths and really should be expected to come on for the experience. Jumping shouldn' be an issue for a former PTP winner on soft/heavy ground and he ran to a really good level in both bumpers and hurdle races, narrowly missing out by half a length on a Gr2 success at Haydock earlier this year, so there's real quality there.

In opposition, I'm going with Vicente (6/1 BOG), who not only represaents Paul Nicholls (who has won this race on four of the last sseven runnings), but seems to have an ideal profile for the encounter. He's in great form (1131 this year, all over fences) and his stats regarding today's class, trip, field size, days since run are all positive. he has finished 131 in three runs here at Cheltenham, so he certainly "gets" this course and looks a decent value proposition.

*

3.30 Doncaster :

I suppose the obvious starting point is Abidjan (5/2 BOG) who comes here seeking a four timer in what will only be his sixth race over hurdles, suchg has been his progression. Paul Nicholls does really well with his handicap hurdle debutants and the booking of Harry Cobden to take 7lbs off is both interesting and positive to me, as an effective mark of 128 might well be below what this horse is capable of here. This is tougher than each of his last threee winnig reuns, but the fact he';s won so easily by a combined 28 lengths in those races suggests there's more to come.

The one I fancy to cause him most of a problem is the lightly raced (for an 8yr old certainly) Red Devil Boys, who comes here with a 2 from 2 record over hurdles, both over today's course and distance, but 35 months apart! He won here just after Christmas 2012 on soft ground on his hurdles debut and was then off the track for almost two years before returning here to Doncaster in a novice chase in which he was brought down after the last fence.

Two more uninspiring efforts over fence in the next two months followed before he went back in the shed for another 292 days ahead of his reappearance for a second course and distance win a fortnight ago. Track, trip and hurdles clearly suit him and he could well go in again at 5/1 BOG.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows...

Fletchers Flyer / Abidjan @ 14.75/1 (7/2 & 5/2 : Boylesports, BetVictor & Hills)
Fletchers Flyer / Red Devil Boys @ 26/1 (7/2 & 5/1 : Stan James, BetVictor & Hills)
Vicente / Abidjan @ 23.50/1 (6/1 & 5/2 : generally)
Vicente / Red Devil Boys @ 41/1 (6/1 & 5/1 : generally)

Stat of the Day, 27th November 2015

Stat of the Day, 27th November 2015

Thursday's Result :

1.45 Taunton : Fountains Blossom @ 4/1 BOG 2nd of 8 at 7/2 (Held up, headway tracking leaders 5th, 2nd before 4 out, challenged 2 out, every chance when stumbled badly last, hung right in behind winner and no impression run-in)

Friday's selection runs in the...

3.05 Doncaster :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Present Flight @ 7/2 BOG

Why?

Firstly he hails from the in form Lucinda Russell yard, which has has 11 winners from 46 runners in the last month, of which chasers are 7 from 23.

The horse is still unexposed over fences after just three starts, but he has already won twice and finished as a runner-up in his only defeat, which came over an inadequately short trip, with his wins coming over 2m7.5f and 3m2.5f.

He was last seen 21 days ago, when winning comfortably by five lengths despite being eased right down in the closing stages and all three chase runs have been with today's jockey.

Horses rated (OR) 96 to 122 who won a novice chase last time out in the previous 4 to 45 days are 128/487 (26.3% SR) for profits of 135pts at an ROI of 27.7% since the start of 2010, with those who raced in a novice handicap chase LTO winning 116 of 420 (27.6% SR) for 136.3pts (+32.5% ROI).

In addition to the above, it's worth noting that male Class 3/4 chasers aged 6 to 9, who were winners of handicap chases by 2 to 10 lengths last time out are 220/940 (23.4% SR) for 196.9pts (+20.9% ROI).

And finally, since the start of 2013, in what I call the proper NH season (Oct-Mar), when Lucinda Russell sends her jumpers to race over 200 miles from base, they have won 23 of 178 (12.9% SR) for profits of 46.8pts at an ROI of 26.3%.

And my recommended bet, based on prices available at 6.25pm?

A 1pt win bet on Present Flight at 7/2 BOG with Paddy Power or BetVictor, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering...

...click here for the betting on the 3.05 Doncaster

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day,

just click here for more details.

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard.

Stat of the Day, 7th November 2015

Stat of the Day, 7th November 2015

Friday's Result :

3.30 Musselburgh : Kodicil @ 6/1 BOG : a 5/1 faller (Close up in 4th when fell 6th), but Coral have given us a free bet as part of their faller insurance.

Saturday's selection runs in the...

2.55 Doncaster :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Blue Waltz @ 5/1 BOG

Why?

This 4yr old filly has won three times and finished as a runner-up on two occasions in her nine races so far. She's 3 from 3 going left handed and is 2 from 2 here at Doncaster, 2 from 2 over today's 1m2.5f trip and 2 from over course and distance as a result. Throw in a 1 from 1 return on soft ground and you've got the ideal race for her.

She's trained by the great Luca Cumani who has a record better than one in five on Town Moor with 33 winners from 155 (21.3% SR) Doncaster runners since the start of 2008 that have produced level stakes profits of 29.5pts at an ROI of 19.1%, but with today's contest to consider, those 155 runners are...

  • 29/117 (24.8% SR) for 60.1pts (+51.4% ROI) at odds of 11/8 to 10/1
  • 23/74 (31.1% SR) for 50.8pts (+68.6% ROI) when running 21 to 45 days after their last run
  • 15/49 (30.6% SR) for 36.8pts (+75.2% ROI) from female runners
  • 14/48 (29.2% SR) for 44.1pts (+91.8% ROI) over today's 1m 2.5f trip.
  • 12/48 (25% SR) for 36.4pts (+75.9% ROI) with 4 yr olds
  • 9/35 (25.7% SR) for 19.7pts (+56.3% ROI) in female only races
  • 3/12 (25% SR) for 9.9pts (+82.5% ROI) at Class 1.

And since 2008, Luca Cumani's 3/4 yr old runners, priced at 10/1 or shorter, tackling Doncaster over trips of 7 to 14.5 furlongs, 21 to 45 days after their last outing are 22/51 (43.1% SR) for profits of 70.4pts (+138% ROI).

And my recommended bet?

A 1pt win bet on Blue Waltz at 5/1 BOG with any one of nine firms matching those odds . I've used Coral for my bet because I've got a free token from yesterday's SotD faller to us up, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering...

...click here for the betting on the 2.55 Doncaster

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day,

just click here for more details.

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard.

Stat of the Day, 23rd October 2015

Stat of the Day, 23rd October 2015

Thursday's Result :

8.55 Chelmsford : Slovak @ 100/30 BOG : WON at 9/4 (Made all, ridden over 1f out, soon hung right, kept on well)

Friday's selection runs in the...

4.20 Doncaster :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Wheat Sheaf @ 7/2 BOG

Why?

This 3 yr old was last seen going down by a short head as a runner-up at Wolverhampton 10 days ago and now not only steps up a grade, but is also asked to go an extra 2 furlongs for his third handicap start, making him of interest for a couple of reasons.

  1. Since the start of 2009, Roger Charlton's horses who finished 2nd or 3rd last time out and then reappear 4 to 15 days later, have gone on to win 27 of 71 races with that 38% strike rate generating 43.5pts profit at an ROI of 61.3%, with those beaten by less than four lengths LTO winning 25 of 63 (39.7% SR) for 46.1pts (+73.2% ROI).
  2. And in that same 2009-15 time frame, Roger's 3 yr old handicappers running at the same class or within 1 class (up or down!) of their last run, but are stepped up in trip by at least 2 furlongs and have made less than 5 handicap starts are 14 from 66 (21.2% SR) for 29.7pts (+45% ROI).

    Of those runners, the ones with less than 3 previous hcp runs are 12/56 (21.4% SR) for 24.3pts (+43.4% ROI) and those running at trips of 1m to 1m3.5f are 9/33 (27.3% SR) for 34.2pts (+103.8% ROI).

And my recommended bet?

1pt win on Wheat Sheaf at 7/2 BOG with either of Hills or Paddy Power, but if you need to see what the other firms are offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 4.20 Doncaster

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day,

just click here for more details.

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard.

Double Dutch, 11th September 2015

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 11th September 2015

For the fourth year in a row, USA acquitted himself well on the Laytown and had he not blown the start, he may well have won as opposed to the half length defeat he suffered.

He was making ground on the leader with every stride, but the line came too quickly and that run was as good as it got for us all day. Our other runner on the sand was a further 6.5 lengths further back, beating only one rival home, but all of this was immaterial anyway, because...

...I'd already bombed out at Epsom earlier, where all I could manage was 5th and 8th of 10 runners, beaten by 9L & 13L respectively on another of those days to forget.

Thursday's results were as follows:

Serenity Now : 5th at 9/2 (adv 5/1)
Royal History : 8th at 9/4 (adv 3/1)
----------------------------------------------------
USA : 2nd at 15/8 (adv 2/1)
Talented Kid : 5th at 9/4 (adv 2/1)

Results to date:
667 winning selections from 2389 = 27.92%
211 winning bets in 619 days = 34.09%

Your first 30 days for just £1

Stakes: 1237.50pts
Returns: 1335.94pts
P/L : +98.44pts (+7.95% ROI)

REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS

This is how I'm playing it on Friday....

1.55 Doncaster :

Where it's hard to see much further than the 2/1 BOG favourite Gutaifan who clearly sets the standard on form with a win in the Gr2 Prix Robert Papin and a runner-up finish over 6f in the Gr 1 Prix Morny, where he led until the final furlong and wasn't disgraced in losing to Shalaa. Favourite have a very good record (5 of the last 9 renewals) in this race and he looks to fit the profile of a winner here today.

In fact, according to Nick Hardman of the BIC, the winner of this race tends to have a profile of... a rating of 103+, running after a 16-30 day break, a winner at 5f, has run at 6f or further, has run 3 to 6 times this season and is trained by either Richard Hannon or Kevin Ryan. Gutaifan ticks all those boxes here.

The danger could well come from Bear Cheek, a 2yr old filly who is 2 from 2 so far, with both wins coming over this 5f trip, the latest being a comfortable victory in the Gr3 Curragh Stakes three weeks ago. The ground shouldn't be an issue and her 3lb allowance could play a big role here.

She's trained by Ger Lyons and is his only runner at the track today and with sole track entries, Ger is 24/100 for 61.9pts in the last three seasons and those runners, like Bear Cheek, who are his only runners anywhere on the day, are 23/88 (26.1% SR) for 71.1pts (+80.9% ROI) with this horse standing more than a fighting chance of extending that record by winning at 7/2 BOG (Coral).

*

2.40 Chester :

Powderhorn likes to get out quickly and will therefore be suited by being drawn in stall 2 today. He won well over this trip at Lingfield a month ago and was possibly unlucky to bump into a promising juvenile on his handicap debut last time out, when second to Hawkbill who was completing the middle leg of a hat trick of wins over 7f.

Franny Norton rides Powderhorn for Mark Johnston today and the pair are 24/107 (22.4% SR) for 97.7pts (+91.33% ROI) together here on the Roodee and their record with 2yr olds here at the sharper end of the market (9/2 and shorter) reads 9/21 (42.9% SR) for 7.6pts (+36.1% ROI), suggesting at least a run for our money at 7/2 BOG.

The challenge will hope fully come from Charlie Appleby's Valko, the yard is in good form (6/21 in the last week) and the horse was a winner last time out, when scoring over 6f at Kempton, but looking like today's longer trip would suit him better. He came from very wide and was staying on strongly at the end, suggesting plenty more to come.

Handicap/nursery debut for this one today and Charlie Appleby's handicap debutants priced at 8/1 or shorter have won 40 of their 136 (29.4% SR) races for 39.1pts with today's jockey Adam Kirby riding 5 winners from 13 (38.5% SR) for 8pts (+61.7% ROI) profit, making Valko of serious interest here at 9/2 BOG.

For the benefit of brevity, I've purposefully not expanded on the stats I've based the selections upon, but I'm always happy to deal with queries via the comments box below.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:

Gutaifan / Powderhorn @ 12.50/1 (2/1 & 7/2 : Betfair Sportsbook)
Gutaifan / Valko @ 14.13/1 (7/4 & 9/2 : Betway)
Bear Cheek / Powderhorn @ 19.25/1 (7/2 & 7/2 : BetVictor & Coral)
Bear Cheek / Valko @ 21.50/1 (7/2 & 4/1 : BetVictor & Coral)