Tag Archive for: Falmouth Stakes trends and tips

2022 Newmarket July Festival Trends – Day Two, Friday 8th July

As we head into day two of the Newmarket July Festival this Friday there is bundles more to look forward to with four more LIVE ITV races too. The Group One Falmouth Stakes (3:35) spearheads the afternoon's action at HQ and, as always, we've got all the ITV races covered with key trends to help you find the winners.

Newmarket July Meeting - Day Two, Friday 8th July 2022

1.50 - bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

13/15 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Had won between 1-2 times before
12/15 – Have never run at Newmarket (July) before
12/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Placed in the top 6 last time out
10/15 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
10/15 – Unplaced favourites
8/15 – Irish bred
7/15 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
7/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston (including 6 of last 9 runnings)
6/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding
0/15 – Winning favourites

2.25 - Duchess of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored by Bet365) (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV3

18/18 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
18/18 – Had raced at least twice before
17/18 – Had won between 1-2 times before
16/18 – Foaled in Feb or March
16/18 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
15/18 – Placed favourites
14/18 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
14/18 – Won by a UK-based yard
13/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
13/18 – Had won over 6f before
10/18 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10/18 – Won last time out
9/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by the Hannon team
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (inc 2 of last 6)
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 wins in total)
3/18 – Drawn in stall 1 (2 of the last 3)

3.00 – bet365 Trophy (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV3

Just 4 previous running
The Saeed Bin Suroor yard won this race in 2021
The Mark Johnston yard won this race in 2019 and 2020
The Charlie Appleby yard won this race in 2018
Godolphin have won 2 of the 4 past runnings
Cape Coast (13/2) won this race in 2020
King’s Advice (10/1) won this race in 2019
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has a 33% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Jane Chapple-Hyam has a 23% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Ben Curtis has a 25% riding 4+ yar-olds at the track
Jockey Andrea Atzeni has a 24% riding 4+ yar-olds at the track

 

3.35 - Tattersalls Falmouth Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

19/20 – Won a Listed or better class race previously
19/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/20– Won over at least 1 mile previously
16/20 – Had 2+ runs that season
15/20 – Won from stall 5 or lower
15/20 – Won at 13/2 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
11/20 – Favourites placed
7/20 – Favourites  that won (1 joint)
7/20 – Previous Group One winners
7/20 – Had run on the Newmarket July course previously
6/20 – Won their last race
3/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 8)
2/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 6 runnings)
2/20 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 10 runnings)
2/20 - Owned by the Cheveley Park Stud (2 of the last 8 runnings)
2/20 – French-trained winners

 

 

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