It's the first day of May and, therefore, the start of a new tipping league month. Our tipping league is open to all registered users, both free and Gold subscribers, and is worth £100 to the monthly winner. That, of course, is as nothing to the kudos of being Geegeez Tipping League monthly champ!
Do make sure you've read the rules, which can be found in the Rule tab on the Tipping League page.
May Special Prize
To celebrate the ramping up of the flat season, and the first two Classics, I've got a VERY special May prize on top of the normal £100 cash. Starting with the end in mind, I'm going to send the winner some fabulous race programmes...
May's Tipping League prize winner will also receive:
Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe 2016 Weekend Pack, featuring programmes from both Saturday's and Sunday's cards; a commemorative official magazine; Saturday's and Sunday's Paris-Turf racing newspapers; and a Qatar Arc baseball cap
Arc weeend bundle
A copy of the British Champions' Day raceday programme:
British Champions' Day 2016 programme
Breeders' Cup 2016 raceday programmes for both Friday and Saturday; a 2016 Breeders' Cup commemorative magazine; and a copy of the DRF advanced past performance newspaper.
Breeders' Cup 2016 programme pack
If you're a fan of the big international end of season race meetings, this is a terrific prize, featuring superstars of the sport such as Arrogate, California Chrome, Almanzor, and Found.
And it can be yours just for winning the May Geegeez Tipping League.
There's also a runner up prize of Qatar Arc Day programme and official magazine, British Champions' Day programme, and Breeders' Cup Friday programme for the person who finishes second in the Tipping League competition.
May's tipping league runner up prize
You have to be in it to win it, as they say, and these will look great on your coffee table/in your study den/on your racing bookshelf. Obviously, nobody ever turned down a free hundred quid either!
So, get to it, find some horses and get involved in May's Tipping League competition (and do check the rules - nothing sinister in there, but you need to know that there's a minimum number of bets in the month to qualify, and maximum stake per race/day).
It seems like ages since I've written a bit of a catch up post on the blog. Almost certainly because it has been ages... Anyway, in this round up piece, I'll cover Gold update progress, a geegeez syndicate horse running today, a geegeez betting syndicate, and the latest Cheltenham antepost betting previews.
Let's start with this week's Pick 4 betting syndicate...
Over 40 readers joined me in a mission to take down a huge pool which eventually rounded out at £913,000. To win a share of that pot, 'all' players had to do was correctly predict the scores in four matches, starting on Sunday night with Barcelona vs Villareal.
Our syndicate contribution amounted to £1,734, and we had all sorts of possibilities in the first game, R1 on the tickets, as follows:
The Pick4 Ticket Breakdown
The tickets were staked differently with ticket 1 staked to £4 lines, 2-4 at £2 per line, and the rest were £1 lines. As you can see from the above, our main hope in the Barcelona game was that the home side would cut loose against an inferior Villareal, albeit one that had been in belligerent form (unbeaten in 18).
Long story short, it finished 3-2, the same score as it was after 55 minutes. A further goal - 4-2 - would have rendered it AOH (Any Other Home) and we'd have been into leg two with six tickets standing, including three big ones.
3-2 was a 28/1 shot with the bookies, and gave us just Ticket 5 going forwards. However, it also reduced the ticket pool from £913,000 to about £34,000.
Legs 2 and 3 were ManU - Cambridge and Fulham - Sunderland respectively, and they were due off concurrently at 7.45pm Tuesday night. Alas, traffic problems intervened meaning the United game kicked off 20 minutes late.
That was hugely material, as I'd emailed the syndicate pre-match explaining that we'd look to 'cash in' our stake money at half time if we could. With the delay, there was no concurrent pause in play and, thus, no cash in opportunity.
The half time scores were 1-0 Fulham and 2-0 Man U. In other words, both target scores for us, which would have enabled the cash out and left us with circa 60-70% of our ticket riding as a free bet.
No matter, we were still in a strong position. And even when Man U went 3-0 up, we looked fine. In the Fulham game, however, things spun on their head. First, the Flum cat lobbed the ball into his own net on the hour. 1-1.
Then the entire Flum defence watched Alvarez' dancing feet (and great finish) put the Black Cats in front. But the soft penalty in the 93rd minute of the match, duly despatched, was a killer. 3-0 and 1-2 scores on the night would have given us three bullets at between £15,000 and £23,000 in the Bolton-Liverpool game last night (0-1, 0-2, 1-2). Sure enough, it finished on the best of the three, 1-2, meaning we'd have been shooting for £23,000.
That Sunderland penalty meant we got nothing.
Out in the most galling of manners.
It was a real confluence of misfortune Tuesday night, and I couldn't believe what happened. But that's sport, and our bad luck will have been someone else's good luck. Next time it might be our turn...
Speaking of which, we'll probably have another cut at the HDA15 on Saturday week.
In other syndicate news, The Geegeez Geegee, a geegeez.co.uk syndicate horse, runs in the 4.50 race today at Taunton. Here's what I wrote to the syndicate members:
So, 40 days on from his last novice hurdle run, The Geegeez Geegee is scheduled to run tomorrow in his first handicap hurdle.
We're moving him up to three miles, which we think will suit him better than the shorter trips over which he's run to date. And, importantly, there are no Cheltenham Festival entries in this race, which there have been in his recent races.
It's a Class 5 event and the going is soft, which is probably slower than ideal, but Anthony feels he'll cope with it.
So, the big question: do we think he has a winning chance? And the short answer is yes, he has a chance.
The likes of Gilzean, Olympian Boy and Ballyegan are aged nine and up, but have been in excellent form recently. Also, two of them get plenty of weight from TGG, who has to carry top weight of 11-12.
As well as those established players, it might be fair to expect Riversbridge and Exmoor Challenge - both also having their first runs in handicaps - to improve on what they've shown so far.
And Sophie Leech, married to an ex-official BHA handicapper, has three in the race, any of which could be 'trying'.
What I'm trying to say is that it is not a penalty kick - far from it - and our boy has to prove he stays three miles (we're pretty sure he does), and also that he can go in the ground (we think he'll be all right). Personally, given he's not the biggest horse, I'm interested to see how he copes with 11-12 on his back, the most weight he'll have carried to date.
I'm having an each way bet, assuming the odds allow, and I'm planning to be in attendance.
Please let me know if you need a badge for tomorrow.
So now you know as much as we do! Fingers firmly crossed for a safe, and hopefully prominent, display.
A quick Geegeez Gold development update now.
The forum is going great guns, despite my absence for a week or so. In fact, while I've been labouring on other projects, I'd say it's thrived, which is great news. If you're a Gold subscriber, do check it out - you can access it from the main menu. Or from here.
Elsewhere with the development, we've run into some issues with the first group of reports. Nothing terminal, but we need (obviously) to work through everything and ensure all is as it should be before publishing on site. So, please bear with us. I'm hoping that first tranche will be online in the next fortnight, but don't hold me to that.
We have also fixed the iDevice report selector issue, which is actually a 'feature' of iDevices rather than a problem with our code. Anyway, Apple fans can click the new arrow next to their selected report in the Report Selector dropdown to get to that report.
We've also introduced a few fixes, such as report filters are now all remembered (one was 'forgotten' previously, i.e. not stored for the user's next visit); and the addition of Class 7 races to the Instant Expert.
The new reports - Trainer Switch, and Trainer First Run in a [this race code] Handicap - should, as I say, be online in the next fortnight.
And there's a pile more to follow that, soon.
Whether you're a Gold subscriber or not, you've a chance to win £100 each month by putting your tipping skills to the test in our monthly Tipping League. It's completely free to enter, and you can make your selections right in the race card. You need to be a registered free user - register here if you need to - and then simply click the 'TIP' icon against the horse you like.
How to place bets in the Tip League
Enter your stake, and check 'each way' if you want to bet that way. Then click 'Bet'. Bingo!
And finally today, a reminder of the current ante-post preview portfolio for the Cheltenham Festival. So far, I've combed through the trends and form for the Arkle, Ryanair, World Hurdle and Gold Cup, and they're all to be found in the Cheltenham Festival Race Previews section.
The most recent - the Ryanair - is especially noteworthy because my fancies haven't moved in price despite the news yesterday that Dynaste - ante post favourite for the race - has been ruled out for the rest of the season.
Next on the agenda is... well, I'm not 100% sure yet. I don't think there's any point in previewing the Champion Hurdle, because it looks between the top three - and, to my mind, actually only Faugheen and Jezki.
I don't think anyone should be betting in the Champion Chase, because there are just too many imponderables to consider. Even on the day, I very much doubt I'll play that one. So, almost by default, I'll most likely take a look at the RSA Chase next, because allied to the above, the Supreme also looks likely to be a race where the market is right. That said, I may take a closer look at it..!
That much thinking aloud means it'll either be the Supreme Novices' Hurdle or the RSA Chase.
Right, that's it from me. Cheer on TGG this afternoon, please. 🙂
I didn't get to Sandown on Saturday. I had arranged to be down in Dorset to go out on a power boat. As it transpired, there was no horse power for me of any description, as the starter motor on this monster wave cutter (top speed 90 mph!) refused to perform the task after which it was named.
On shore leave for the afternoon, then, there was nothing to do but drink cold beer in the blazing sunshine and talk cobblers with my old school mates, with whom I was supposed to be thrill-seeking around the harbour/bay. Ah well, another day.
Whilst I was busy doing nothing, some of the best mile and a quarter thoroughbreds in the world were convening in Esher for the Coral Eclipse, the first major showdown of the ages, as the Classic generation took on their elders in Group 1 company for round one of a battle that will wage for the rest of the season.
In that context at least, the Eclipse was a damp squib: just one three-year-old showed up, and he - Mars - would not be the most illustrious of his generation, though nor in fairness would he be a second-rater.
The long and short of it was that the existing world order was maintained, with Prince Of Wales's Stakes victor, Al Kazeem, plundering Sandown's richest prize. He beat the same horse in Mukhadram by a bit further than the last day, and he beat Declaration Of War - a mile winner at Royal Ascot but running on here - and the rest as well.
Al Kazeem is so good at ten furlongs that, although I may have intimated he would operate equally effectively at a mile and a half previously, I now suspect this is his optimum. If he was mine (haha, what a big if), I'd rest him now before an Autumn campaign, taking in an Arc trial with a view to stretching back out, and then toying with Santa Anita's ten dirt furlongs for the Breeders Cup Classic, and/or the riches on offer in the Far East through our winter. And that does seem to be the plan, skipping the immediate glory of the King George along the way.
Be that as it may, Al Kazeem is clearly at the top of his trade currently. The ones behind, especially Declaration Of War, mostly all showed promise for another day.The Declaration seemed to take a very long time to hit stride before running on, and I'm not sure where next given that he had the speed to win over a straight mile last time. Perhaps that's the thing with him: he's not overly predictable just yet, a notion that his floppy effort in the Lockinge when strongly fancied supports.
Mukhadram is destined to get close but no cigar, due to his brave - perhaps stupid? - front-running style. Don't get me wrong, I'm not suggesting it's a stupid tactic - it clearly works best for the horse, and makes optimal use of his capabilities - but it is a 'heart on sleeve' style of running generally doomed to pick up place money.
In any case, this was another fine run, and he should be able to snatch a Group 2 even if leaving himself wide open with his run style.
Mars is a horse that has polarized opinion in the 'pro' ranks. Some believe he is a horse of immense promise, some feel he's over-hyped. Me? I can see merit in both arguments, and take him at face value: a nag that has mixed it with the best from a mile to a mile and a half, and generally come up a little way short. That still makes him high class, and after just five runs, he remains progressive.
From a punting perspective, his problem is that he has never been the price he should be. He's playable at a value price, because he is probably capable of winning a Group 1. Probably. But 9/2 in a race like the Eclipse was, as I wrote in my preview, a bit skinny.
Miblish is a Listed horse running above his class, but he keeps picking up bits and pieces of prize money, and might steal a Group 3 this term. He's entered in the Tattersalls Sales this week and it will be interesting to see what price he fetches.
The last two home, Pastorius and The Fugue, were both disapppointing, the former more predictably so. The Fugue is better than this, but she may go back against the girls now in a bid to get her season back on track.
Lovely price on Al Kazeem
Talking of Al Kazeem, I hope at least some of you took the 3/1 available with the sponsors on Saturday morning. If winning at this game is about finding value, then turning a blind eye to standout offers like that is akin to admitting defeat.
Obviously, there was a good chance that something would beat Al Kazeem. But as I wrote in my Eclipse preview here, the front four in the betting were all playable at a particular price.
My price for Al Kazeem was 5/2, so 3/1 was - in my opinion - cracking value. Of course, if you felt he should be 7/2 or bigger, then you wouldn't have backed him. But, seriously, who could possibly make him that price?! 😉
So, yes, I hope you backed him, because win, lose or draw, that was knocking value. I'll continue to bring such standouts to your attention. They won't all win, but they will all (or in vast majority at least) have a fair bit better chance of winning than the bonus odds imply.
Top class racing remains a feature through July, with Newmarket's literally-named July meeting running from Thursday to Saturday. It's my great hope to get there one day this week, but work pressures might preclude it alas.
In any case, aside from an embarrassingly low turnout in the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes - just five declared - it should be three wonderful days racing. I'll try to preview at least a couple of races each day on here, if time allows, and perhaps all if we go the placepot route there.
Then all roads lead to the Glorious G's: Goodwood and Galway, and there will be plenty of previews, free bets, tips and placepots in support of those high summer jamborees. Can't wait!!
Back to more mundane (pronounced Monday-n) fare, and we still have Stat of the Day, Daily Dabble, placepot picks, and Mal's Stat Pack. If you want to be notified of their publication, the easiest way is to follow @geegeez_uk on twitter. All geegeez blog posts are notified there as soon as they're posted.
That's especially helpful if you follow my placepot picks, as I can be a bit unpredictable in terms of posting time, depending on what else is happening on any given day.
So do give @geegeez_uk a follow on twitter. And, while you're about it, you might like to follow me on there too (and you might not!!). I'm @mattbisogno and can normally be found ranting about something on there...
One other thing to mention today is the tipping league. Have you joined yet? It's free to enter and there is £200 in free bet prizes up for grabs if you have a BetVictor account.
And you can sign up for BetVictor by clicking BetVictor.
The new Geegeez geegee
Finally today, something a little out of synch with the time of year, granted.
Stalwart of the geegeez horses, Khajaaly, is heading to the sales next week. He's been a grand servant, winning three times and placing in the top four seventeen times in his 36 race career, and we hope someone outside of Newmarket will take a chance on him. He's certainly handicapped to win but maybe just needs a change of scenery to re-ignite his enthusiasm a tad.
In his place, we'll welcome a brand new unraced four-year-old gelding by top National Hunt stallion, Beneficial. He's been broken and ridden now, and will be put out in a field next for a couple of months, before coming into training in September with a view to running towards the end of the year.
He's being trained by the excellent Anthony Honeyball, a man with one of the best strike rates in the country, especially in bumpers, where our boy will start his racing adventure.
He will need a name - the best I've come up with so far is The Geegeez Geegee, and I'm pretty sure we can do better than that!!! - and he is being syndicated into sixteenth shares. Twelve are already spoken for from existing syndicate members or people who responded to my email about this a week or two ago. That means there are a couple of shares remaining if you might be interested.
Shares are £1,200 and then £120 per month, and that covers everything bar major surgery and foreign travel. In both those cases, we'd need a majority verdict from members to go forward with it.
Just drop me an email at firstname.lastname@example.org if you'd like to know more, and I'll send you all the lowdown.
Next week will bring five days of stellar flat racing action, with a seriously international feel to it. As well as the much-vaunted Animal Kingdom (winner of the 2013 Dubai World Cup, and the 2011 Kentucky Derby), Wesley Ward weturns with a waft of wichly-talented two-year-olds; the Aussies are back for a crack at the sprints; and various other Euro nations will be taking swipes at the Group race fare.
Throughout this week, Geegeez will bring you a host of facts and figures aimed at arming you with the material data for next week's puntfest, and of course, next week itself, I'll have full day-by-day previews of the action.
But that's not all. I've been promising various new additions to the site for ages, and now it's time to see them in action. Well, nearly. 😉
A small, and carefully selected, team of testers have been putting the tipping league through its paces, and they've enjoyed the experience, without finding too many bugs. That's good news, because it means our first prize competition will start next week in time for Royal Ascot. There's £100 worth of BetVictor betting vouchers up for grabs, and to win it you just need to record the best tipping performance over the five days of the Royal meeting. (Note, only tips at the Royal Ascot meeting will count towards the competition).
If you want to get a head start by registering for the tipping league now, you can, by clicking here.
Going forwards, registration on geegeez will allow you access not just to the tipping league and its prizes, but also to special race form reports, and some more advanced betting features too. Don't worry, though, registration is free. And it always will be. 😀
Feel free to limber up for next week by adding in some tips on the league, and see if you can rule the roost this week, by clicking the 'league' tab and then the 'week' tab. It's all pretty self-explanatory.
As well as the tipping league, we'll have the new, improved race cards service. The geegeez race cards are already about the quickest on the web, and we've now made it easier to review the horse's form, either inline (by clicking the Runner: form link) or in a new window (by clicking the horse name).
Fast results, within five minutes of the end of a race, and full results - within fifteen minutes - will be coming in a few days' time, and perhaps even tomorrow.
Plus, when you've found your selection, you can click the live odds to bet directly. Again, that should be ready in the next couple of days.
https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/gg-logo-new.png00Matt Bisognohttps://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/gg-logo-new.pngMatt Bisogno2013-06-10 11:18:082013-06-10 11:18:08The calm before the storm...