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Stat of the Day, 17th September 2020

Wednesday's pick was...

4.50 Yarmouth : Dashing Roger @ 4/1 BOG WON at 4/1 (Prominent, ridden to lead entering final furlong, ran on to win by 3/4 length)

Thursday's pick runs in the...

3.00 Ayr :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Normally, I'll identify and share the selection between 8.00am and 8.30am and I then add a more detailed write-up later within an hour or so of going "live".

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Glasses Up @ 11/2 BOG

...in a 12-runner, Class 2, Flat Handicap for 3yo+ over 1m2f on Good To Soft ground worth £11,828 to the winner...

Why?...

As is most often the case, the racecard is our entry point...

...telling us we have a track specialist, ridden by an in-form jockey, Danny Tudhope, who also has a good record at this venue over a sustained period of time. The second pointer from the card is Geegeez Speed Rating of 94, which is the best in this field today, as seen below...

To assess the Horse for Courses report's relevance properly, I want to compare the horse's excellent overall record of...

...with how this 5 yr old gelding has fared over today's course and distance, and of his 6 from 17 record here at Ayr, when racing over this 10 furlong trip, he is an impressive...

from which he is...

  • 5/12 (41.7%) for 37.75pts (+314.6%) in 3yo+ contests
  • 5/8 (62.5%) for 41.75pts (+521.9%) at 8-16 dslr
  • 4/11 (36.4%) for 9.75pts (+88.6%) in handicaps
  • 4/6 (66.6%) for 14.75pts (+245.8%) at 5/2 to 15/2
  • 2/5 (40%) for 6.00pts (+120%) stepping up a class
  • 2/3 (66.6%) for 8.00pts (+266.7%) in 2020

...whilst when sent of at 5/2 to 15/2 in 3yo+ handicaps over this track and trip at 8-16 since he last ran, he is 4 from 5 (80% SR) for 15.75pts (+315% ROI), including...

  • 2 from 2 (100%) for 9.00pts (+450%) stepping up a class
  • 2 from 2 (100%) for 9.00pts (+450%) in 2020
  • and 1 from 1 (100%) for 4.00pts (+400%) stepping up a class in 2020...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Glasses Up @ 11/2 BOG as was widely available at 7.30am Thursday (bigger in places!), but as always please check your own BOG status (*some firms are not BOG until later in the morning)To see a small sample of odds offered on this race...

...click here for the betting on the 3.00 Ayr

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

Here is today's racecard

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS