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Sat TV Trends: 5th May 2018

It’s day one of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, with the first English Classic of the season - the 2,000 Guineas - the feature race, while the ITV cameras are also taking in two races at Goodwood.

So, as always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Spring Lodge Stakes (Formerly The Suffolk Stakes) Cl2 1m1f ITV

13/13 – Had won at least twice before
13/13 – Had won over at least a mile before
11/13 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
11/13 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
11/13 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/13 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
8/13 – Rated between 90 and 95
7/13 – Aged 4 years-old
6/13 – Having their first run of the season
5/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
1/13 - Winning favourites
No winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

2.20 - Longholes Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

14/15 – Had won over 5f before
13/15 – Won 3 or more times before
13/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
12/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
12/15 – Had run at Newmarket before
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Rated between 108 and 114
10/15 – Aged 5 or younger
9/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/15 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Just one placed horse from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

2.55 – Dunaden Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

15/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
12/15 – Won over 1m4f before
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
11/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/15 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
8/15 – Rated 112 or higher
8/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Having their first run of the season
7/15 – Had won a Group race before
6/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Aged 5 years-old
4/15 – Returned 7/4 in the betting
4/15 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/15 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Trained by Andre Fabre
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3.35 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

16/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Had won over at least 7f before
14/16 – Had won a Group race before
14/16 – Had won between 2-5 times before
12/16 – Won last time out
12/16 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
11/16 – Having their first run of the season
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
9/16 – Won by an Irish-based yard
9/16 – Irish bred
7/16 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (8 wins)
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Had won over a mile before
5/16 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/16 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/16 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/16 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
6 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 10/1

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Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015 & 2017
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

 

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – Matchbook VIP/British EBF Daisy Warwick Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/7 – Came between stalls 1-5 (inc)
5/7 – Didn’t win last time out
5/7 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/7 – Had won between 2-3 times before
5/7 – Aged 4 years-old
4/7 – Unplaced favourites
2/7 – Winners from stall 2
2/7 – Had raced at Goodwood before
2/7 – Raced at Ascot last time out
1/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 11/2

2.40 – Commission Free Racing At Matchbook Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Carried between 8-7 and 8-12
5/5 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
5/5 – Had won between 2-4 races before
4/5 – Winners that came between stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/5 – Ran at Kempton last time out
2/5 – Aged 4 years-old
2/5 – Finished second last time out
2/5 – Ridden by Shane Kelly
2/5 – Winners from stall 5
1/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 12/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 27th May 2017

More LIVE ITV4 horse racing this Saturday as the cameras take in eight races across three venues – Haydock, York and Goodwood – with the feature contest the Group Two Temple Stakes at Haydock Park.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.00 – Matchbook Betting Exchange Festival Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m1f192y ITV4

12/13 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Had won at least 3 times before
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Finished in the top two last time out
8/13 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/13 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
8/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/13 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
5/13 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13– Ridden by Tom Queally
2/13 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

3.10 – Winners are Welcome at Matchbook Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

4 previous runnings
4/4 - returned 9/2 to 12/1
4/4 – Came from stalls 2-6 (inc)
4/4 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
4/4 - carried between 8-0 and 8-4
4/4 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
3/4 – Rated between 77-81
3/4 – Won just once before
2/4 – Winners from stall 3
1/4 winning favourites
Richard Hannon, Mark Johnston, Andrew Balding and Mick Channon are the past winning yards
Trainer Roger Varian is just 1 from 25 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor is 0 from 25 with his 3 year-olds at the track
The average SP in the last 4 runnings is 8/1

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.40 – weddingmates.co.uk Grand Cup (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f ITV4

12/12 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Aged between 4-7
11/12 – Had raced in the last 2 months
10/12 – Officially rated 103 or higher
9/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
9/12 – Finished fifth or better last time out
8/12 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Had won at least 4 times before (flat)
7/12 – Drawn in stalls 1-4
6/12 – Had won over at least 1m6f in the past
5/12 – Had raced at the track before
4/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
The average SP in the last 11 runnings is 5/1
Note: The 2014 running was a dead-heat
Clever Cookie won this in 2014 & 2015
Note: The 2006 & 2007 running was staged at Musselburgh

3.50 – Unibet Sprint Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Didn’t win last time out
3/3 – Drawn in stalls 5-9 (inc)
3/3 – Raced in the last 2 weeks
3/3 – Winning distance ½ length or less
2/3 – Aged 4 years-old
No winning favourites
Harry Hurricane won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Charles Hills has a 17% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer John Patrick Shanahan is 1-from-1 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 3 from 94 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston is just 3 from 57 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 4 from 152 with his older horses at the track
Trainer David Barron is just 4 from 60 with his older horses at the track

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Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.20 – Amix Ready Mixed Concrete Handicap Cl2 2m45y ITV4

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Winners aged 4 or 5
2/3 – Winners carried between 8-7 or 8-13
No winning favourite
My Reward won the race 12 months ago
Trainers Tim Easterby, Brian Ellison and Lucy Wadham were previous winners of the race
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 5 from 137 with his older horses at the track

2.55 - Amix Silver Bowl Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

14/14 – Had won between 1-3 times before
13/14 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/14 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
13/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/14 – Placed last time out
11/14 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
8/14 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
5/14 – Won last time out¬
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/14 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

3.30 – Armstrong Aggregates Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 6f ITV4

13/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
12/13 – Had won over 6f before
11/13 – Had won between 1-3 times before
11/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/13 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – From stall 5 or higher
7/13 – Winning favourites
6/13 – Came from stall 8 or 9
3/13 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/13 – Raced at York last time
2/13 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2009 and 2015

4.05 – Armstrong Aggregates Temple Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV4

14/15 – Trained in the UK
13/15 – Had won over 5f before
12/15 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
11/15 – Raced within the last 2 months
10/15 – Placed third or better last time out
9/15 – Favourites that were placed
9/15 – Had won a Group race before
8/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Won their latest race
2/15 – Owned by Qatar Racing (2 of last 3 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 12 years is 7/1
5 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 6 or lower

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 6th May 2017

It’s day one of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are also taking in two races at Goodwood. As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

Saturday 6th May 2017

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)


1.50 - championsofracing.co.uk Suffolk Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

12/12 – Had won at least twice before
12/12 – Had won over at least a mile before
11/12 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
10/12 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
10/12 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
9/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/12 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
7/12 – Rated between 90 and 95
6/12 – Aged 4 years-old
5/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Having their first run of the season
5/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Came from stall 9
1/12 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10.5/1

2.20 - Longholes Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

13/14 – Had won over 5f before
12/14 – Won 3 or more times before
12/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
11/14 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
11/14 – Had run at Newmarket before
11/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Rated between 108 and 114
9/14 – Aged 5 or younger
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Profitable won the race in 2016
Goldream won the race in 2015
Just one placed horse from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

2.55 – Dunaden Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

14/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/14 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
11/14 – Won over 1m4f before
11/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
10/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/14 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Aged 4 years-old
7/14 – Rated 112 or higher
7/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Having their first run of the season
6/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Had won a Group race before
6/14 – Aged 5 years-old
4/14 – Returned 7/4 in the betting
4/14 – Ran at Newbury last time out
2/14 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/14 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Trained by Andre Fabre
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3.35 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

15/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/15 – Had won over at least 7f before
13/15 – Had won a Group race before
13/15 – Had won between 2-5 times before
11/15 – Won last time out
11/15 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
10/15 – Having their first run of the season
9/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Won by an Irish-based yard
8/15 – Irish bred
6/15 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (7 wins)
5/15 – Had won over a mile before
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/15 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
3/15 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
3/15 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 11/1

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Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012 & 2015
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016


Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – Betfred TV EBF Stallions Daisy Warwick Stakes (Fillies´ & Mares) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/6 – Had won between 2-3 times before
3/6 – Unplaced favourites
4/6 – Aged 4 years-old
2/6 – Winners from stall 2
2/6 – Had raced at Goodwood before
2/6 – Raced at Ascot last time out
1/6 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 11/2

2.40 – Betfred "Treble Odds On Lucky 15´s" Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

Just 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Carried between 8-7 and 8-12
4/4 – Had won between 2-4 races before
4/4 – Winners that came between stalls 5-9 (inc)
3/4 – Ran at Kempton last time out
2/4 – Aged 4 years-old
2/4 – Finished second last time out
1/4 – Winning favourites
Russian Realm won this in 2016
Fiftyshadesofgrey won this in 2015

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 27th Aug 2016

This weekend’s LIVE C4 action is spread across three meetings with Goodwood the flagship fixture with four races that include the Group Two Celebration Mile, while with three more races at Newmarket, plus one at Beverley then we’ve eight races to enjoy.
As always we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle to help you narrow down the fields and pinpoint the best past profiles of
winners.

tvtrends-300x73

 

 


Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

 

2.45 – Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4

13/13 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
12/13 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
12/13 – Finished in the top three last time out
11/13 – Had no more than 2 previous runs
11/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Had won just once before
10/13 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/13 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Won last time out
8/13 – Won over 7f before
6/13 – Winning favourites
6/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/13 – Trained by John Gosden
2/13 – Trained by Mick Channon
ALL of the last 10 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
4 of the last 10 winners came from stall 7
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3


3.20 -Revival Stakes (Handicap) 7f CH4

12/13 – Had 3 or more runs that season
11/13 – Had won 3 or more times before
11/13 – Had won over 7f before
10/13 – Finished 5th or better last time out
10/13 – Aged 4 or older
10/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
9/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/13 – Carried 9-0 or more
4/13 – Previous course and distance winners
4/13 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
8 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 5-9 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1


3.55 – Lewis Badges 1832 March Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f CH4

11/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/11 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
9/11 – Had raced at Goodwood before (4 won)
9/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 6 or younger
8/11 – Rated between 107-115
8/11 – Had won at least 3 times before
7/11 – Carried 9-7 or more
7/11 – Unplaced favourites
6/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
5/11 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – US bred
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Amanda Perrett
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2


4.30 – Doom Bar Celebration Mile (Group 2) Cl1 1m CH4

12/13 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
11/13 – Aged 5 or younger
11/13 – Winning distance 1 ½ lengths or shorter
11/13 – Had won over a mile before
10/13 – Priced 7/1 or less
9/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/13 – Had 3 or more runs that season
8/13 – Had won 4 or more times before
8/13 – Had run at Goodwood before (3 CD winners)
8/13 – Previous Group winners
7/13 – Ran at either Goodwood (4) or Newbury (3) last time out
4/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 8 times in all)
3/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/13 – Won by a mare
2/13 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (won  times in all)
2/13 – Won last time out
ALL of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1,2 or 6
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

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Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


3.00 - Eddie Stobart Industrial Sector Handicap Cl3 7f CH4

10/10 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Had won between 1-2 times before
9/10 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Winners from stall 9 or lower
9/10 – Rated between 82-90
9/10 – Had won over at least 7f before
9/10 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
7/10 – Had run at Newmarket before
7/10 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Won from stall 6 (2) or 9 (3)
5/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won by the Hills yard
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1


3.35 – Fly Stobart Air Handicap Cl2 1m5f CH4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
4/4 – Carried 9-1 or more
4/4 – Returned 15/2 or bigger in the betting
3/4 – Aged 4 years-old
0/4 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 9/1


4.10 - Stobart Club And Shop Hopeful Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

11/11 – Didn’t win last time out
10/11 – Aged 4 or older
10/11 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Had won over 6f before
9/11 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Rated 106+
8/11 – Won between 3-6 (inc) times before
8/11 – Came from stalls 5-11 (inc)
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
5/11 – Had raced at Newmarket before (July)
4/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – US bred
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Dean Ivory
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1


Beverley Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


3.10 - totescoop6 Beverley Bullet Sprint Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f CH4

11/12 – Unplaced last time out
11/12 – Winning distance 1 length or less
11/12 – Had 3 or more runs that season
10/12 – Had won over 5f before
10/12 – Won 3 or more times before
9/12 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
8/12 – Placed favourites
7/12 – Run at Beverley before (4 won)
4/12 – Aged 3 years-old
3/12 – Ridden by Tom Eaves
2/12 – Trained by Ian Semple
2/12 – Trained by Bryan Smart
1/12 – Winning favourites
No winner from a double-figure draw in the last 10 runnings
7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
5 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 1 or 2
The horse from stall 9 has been placed in 6 of the last 10 runnings
Maarek won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 7/1

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Calvados Spirit - He is working well at home, he has had a wind operation since his last run. I hope tonight we see the running that he shows at home as I think he is very good horse."
William Muir

23/08/16 1st 9/2

"We are trying For Shia and Lula at Chelmsford for the first time and believe that the fast surface will suit him. We think he is in super form at home so if he can get his own way in front then we are hopeful that he can get involved today dropping in grade again. Each-way chance."
Mark Loughnane

23/08/16 2nd 7/1

"Sakhee's Jem - The Richard Fahey-trained favourite might be hard to beat but we'll head hopeful of giving that horse a fright. Our runner is still to win a race, but has been running well of late and has a lot of experience now - unlike most of the others. Has had a fair break with last run coming back in November, but seems better for it and a bit stronger now. Gone well fresh in the past so hoping so a nice return run with Luke a plus in the saddle."
Gay Kelleway

23/08/16 1st 8/1

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Sat TV Trends: 21st May 2016

Another huge day this Saturday with the C4 cameras heading to Haydock, York & Goodwood, plus it’s also Irish 2,000 Guineas day over at the Curragh – As always Andy Newton’s got all the TV races covered from a trends & stats angle.

 

tvtrends-300x73

 

 

 


Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


2.15 - Al Basti Equiworld Festival Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m1f192y CH4

11/12 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/12 – Had won at least 3 times before
9/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Finished in the top two last time out
8/12 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/12 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
7/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/12 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
4/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/12– Ridden by Tom Queally
2/12 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1


2.50 - Intrinsic New For 2016 at Hedgeholme Stud Tapster Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f CH4

9/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/9 – Finished 4th or better last time out
7/9 – Had not run at the track before
6/9 – Had won a Group race before
6/9 – Had won between 2-4 times in the past
6/9 – Had won over 1m4f before
6/9 – Aged 4 years-old
6/9 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
5/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/9 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/9 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/9 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 7/2


3.25 - Al Basti Equiworld Supporting Greatwood Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

3 previous runnings
No winning favourite
All three winners returned 8/1 to 12/1
All three winners carried between 8-0 and 8-4
Mark Johnston, Andrew Balding and Mick Channon are the past winning yards
Mark Johnston has a +£39 level stakes profit with his 3 year-olds here
Mick Channon is just 4 from 83 with his 3 year-olds here
Roger Varian is just 1 from 29 with his 3 year-olds here

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

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2.30 - Three Sisters Handicap Cl2 2m45y CH4

Just 2 previous runnings
Both winners aged between 4-5 years-old
No winning favourite
Both winners carried 8-13 or less
Richard Fahey is just 4 from 121 with his older horses here


3.05 - Betfred Mobile Silver Bowl Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

13/13 – Had won between 1-3 times before
12/13 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/13 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
12/13 – Had raced within the last month
11/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
10/13 – Placed last time out
10/13 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
8/13 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
4/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1


3.40 - EBF Stallions Cecil Frail Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies´ & Mares) Cl1 6f CH4

12/12 – Had won over 6f before
11/12 – Aged 5 or younger
11/12 – Never raced at Haydock before
9/12 – Rated between 98-105
9/12 – Drawn in stalls 2-9 (inc)
9/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
8/12 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/12 – Returned 6/1 or bigger in the betting
8/12 – Won just 1-2 times before
7/12 – Irish bred
7/12 – Favourites unplaced
6/12 – Had won at Listed (or better) class before
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Trained by Ed McMahon
2/12 – Ridden by Steve Drowne
0/12 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1


4.10 - Temple Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f CH4

13/14 – Trained in the UK
12/14 – Had won over 5f before
11/14 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
10/14 – Raced within the last 2 months
9/14 – Placed third or better last time out
8/14 – Favourites that were placed
8/14 – Had won a Group race before
7/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/14 – Favourites
3/14 – Won their latest race
2/14 – Owned by Qatar Racing (last 2 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2
5 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 6 or lower


York Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


2.40 – weddingmates.co.uk Grand Cup (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f CH4

11/11 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Aged between 4-7
10/11 – Had raced in the last 2 months
9/11 – Officially rated 103 or higher
9/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/11 – Finished fifth or better last time out
7/11 – Drawn in stalls 1-4
7/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Had won at least 4 times before (flat)
5/11 – Had raced at the track before
5/11 – Had won over at least 1m6f in the past
4/11 – Favourites
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
The average SP in the last 11 runnings is 6/1
Note: The 2014 running was a dead-heat
Note: The 2006 & 2007 running was staged at Musselburgh

3.50 - titanbet.co.uk Spring Sprint (Handicap Stakes) Cl2 5f CH4

Only 2 previous runnings
No winning favourite
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 13 from 266 (5%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 4 from 95 (4%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Mick Channon is just 1 from 23 (4%) with this older horses at the track
Trainer Paul Midgley is just 3 from 49 (6%) with this older horses at the track
Trainer David Nicholls is just 3 from 67 (4%) with this older horses at the track
Jockey Tom Eaves is just 1 from 48 when riding older horses at the track

 

Curragh Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)


5.05 - Weatherbys Ireland Greenlands Stakes (Group 2) 6f

10/12 – Aged 4, 5 or 6
10/12 – Retuned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Had won at least 5 times before
8/12 – Winners from stall 7 or lower
7/12 – Favourites placed in the top three
7/12 – Won by a UK-based trainer
7/12 – Had raced in the last 2 weeks
7/12 – Had raced at the Curragh before
7/12 – Had won a Group race before
6/12 – Irish bred
4/12 – Raced at York last time out
3/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Winners from stall 2
2/12 – Favourites
0/12 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 12 runnings is 6/1


5.40 - Tattersalls Irish 2,000 Guineas (Group 1) (3yo) 1m

14/14 – Had run within the last 3 weeks
13/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
12/14 – Had won over either 7f or 8f before
11/14 – Had won between 1-4 times before
11/14 – Favourites that finished in the top two
11/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
9/14 – Irish bred
8/14 – Had won a Group 1 race before
8/14 – Had run at the Curragh before
7/14 – Unplaced last time out
7/14 – Trained by a UK-based stable
7/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
7/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Won the 2,000 Guineas (Newmarket) that season
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 4/1 Rock of Gibraltar (2002), Cockney Rebel (2007), Henrythenavigator (2008) & Gleneagles (2015) all did the English/Irish 2,000 Guineas double
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 4/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th August 2015

More LIVE C4 horse racing action this Saturday as the cameras head to Goodwood, Newmarket and Beverley - As always we've got all the big race trends and stats for each LIVE race.

Find those TV winners!

 

GOODWOOD (C4/RUK)

2.00 – 888sport Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4

12/12 – Placed in the top three last time out
12/12 – Won over 6 or 7f previously
11/12 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
10/12 – Had no more than 2 previous runs
10/12 – Favourites placed
9/12 – Had won just once before
9/12 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
9/12 – Won their last race
9/12 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Won over 7f previously
6/12 – Favourites
5/12 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
2/12 – Trained by John Gosden
2/12 – Trained by Mick Channon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 3/1

2.35 - 888sport Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

11/12 – Had 3 or more runs that season
10/12 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Won 3 or more times before
10/12 – Won over 7f before
10/12 – Placed 5th or better last time out
9/12 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
9/12 – Favourites placed
9/12 – Aged 4 or older
8/12 – Had run at Goodwood before
7/12 – Carried 9-0 or more
4/12 – Previous course and distance winners
4/12 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/12 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

3.10 - 888sport March Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f CH4

10/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Won over at least 1m4f before
9/10 – Ran at Goodwood before (4 won)
8/10 – Aged 6 or younger
8/10 – Rated between 107-115
8/10 – Won at least 3 times before
7/10 – Carried 9-7 or more in weight
6/10 – Favourites unplaced
6/10 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
5/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/10 – Irish bred
3/10 – US bred
3/10 – Favourites
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by Amanda Perrett
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 3/1

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3.45 - Betfair Celebration Mile (Group 2) Cl1 1m CH4

11/12 – Winning distance 1 ½ lengths or shorter
11/12 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
10/12 – Aged 5 or younger
10/12 – Had won over a mile before
9/12 – Priced 7/1 or less
8/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/12 – Had 3 or more runs that season
8/12 – Won 4 or more times before
8/12 – Raced at Goodwood before (3 CD winners)
7/12 – Previous Group winners
7/12 – Raced at either Goodwood (4) or Newbury (3) last time out
4/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/12 – Won by a mare
2/12 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

NEWMARKET (C4/RUK)

2.50 – Fly easyJet From London Southend Airport Handicap Cl2 1m5f CH4

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Aged 4 years-old
3/3 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
3/3 – Priced 8/1 or bigger in the betting
0/3 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 11/2

3.25 - Stobart Club And Shop Hopeful Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Aged 4 or older
9/10 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Had won over 6f before
8/10 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Rated 106+
7/10 – Won between 3-6 (inc) times previously
7/10 – Winners from stalls 5-11 (inc)
6/10 – Favourites unplaced
5/10 – Ran at Newmarket before (July)
4/10 – Irish bred
3/10 – US bred
3/10 – Favourites
2/10 – Trained by Dean Ivory
Tropics has won the last 2 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

BEVERLEY (C4/RUK)

2.20 - totescoop6 Beverley Bullet Sprint Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f CH4

10/11 – Unplaced in their last race
10/11 – Winning distance 1 length or less
10/11 – Had 3 or more runs that season
9/11 – Won over 5f previously
9/11 – Won 3 or more times previously
8/11 – Won a Listed or Group race previously
7/11 – Raced at Beverley before (4 won)
7/11 – Favourites placed
4/11 – Aged 3 years-old
3/11 – Ridden by Tom Eaves
2/11 – Trained by Ian Semple
2/11 – Trained by Bryan Smart
1/11 – Favourites
5 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 7/1

 

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Saturday TV Trends: 1st Aug 2015

Glorious Goodwood stage their final day of their meeting, plus the C4 cameras are also at Newmarket for two races – As always we’ve got all the trends for the LIVE Saturday C4 races…………………

Find those TV winners!

 

GLORIOUS GOODWOOD (C4/RUK)

2.00 - Qatar Stewards´ Sprint Stakes (Handicap) (Consolation Race for Qatar Stewards´ Cup) Cl2 6f CH4

12/12 – Didn’t win last time out
12/12 – Ran at Goodwood previously
12/12 – Won at least 3 times during their career
11/12 – Won over 6f previously
10/12 – Had 4 or more runs that season
8/12 – Placed 4th or worse in their last race
7/12 – Favourites unplaced
6/12 – Winning Distance - 1 ¼ lengths or more
6/12 – Raced at either York (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/12 – Priced between 8/1 and 12/1 in the market
6/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
4/12 – Won by the David Nicholls yard
3/12 – Trained by Clive Cox
3/12 – Ridden by Adrian Nicholls
2/12 – Favourites (none in the last 10 years)
0/12 – 3 year-old winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 14/1

2.35 - Educate A Child Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f CH4

12/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/12 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
9/12 – Favourites placed
8/12 – Rated between 85-93
7/12 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
6/12 – Won over 1m4f before
6/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the market
4/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
3/12 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/12 – Ridden by Seb Sanders
2/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
0/12 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

3.10 - Qatar Nassau Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f192y CH4

12/12 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the market
11/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Aged either 3 or 4 years-old
9/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Had won over 1m2f previously
8/12 – Won between 2-4 times
8/12 – Favourites
7/12 – Won a Group One race before
6/12 – Favourites
3/12 – Ridden by Tom Queally
3/12 – Trained by John Gosden (inc last 3 runnings)
2/12 – Won by the Sir Michael Stoute yard
2/12 – Won by the Aidan O’Brien yard
2/12 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

3.45 – Qatar Stewards´ Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

13/13 – Aged 6 or younger
13/13 – Won over 6f
12/13 – Had at least 3 previous career wins
11/13 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
11/13 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/13 – Favourites placed (top 4)
8/13 – Ran at either Ascot, York or Newmarket last time out
7/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/13 – Ran at Goodwood before
3/13 – Favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
2/13 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/13 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
2/13 – William Haggas
0/13 – Winning 3 year-olds
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 12/1
7 of the last 8 winners came from a double-figure stall
7 of the last 8 top 2 finishers came from a double-figure stall
Since 1978 all bar one winner has been aged 6 or younger

NEWMARKET (JULY) (C4 & RUK)

2.15 - British Stallion Studs EBF Chalice Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f CH4

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No previous runnings
Mark Johnston has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds here
Ed Walker has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds here
Fergus Sweeney has a 32% record riding 3 year-olds here
Pat Dobbs is just 1 from 41 riding 3 year-olds here

 2.50 - British EBF Fillies´ Nursery Handicap Cl2 6f CH4

Only 7 previous runnings
6/7 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
6/7 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
5/7 – Won at least won race before
5/7 – Won over 5 or 6f before
4/7 – Won by a March or April foal
4/7 – Drawn in stall 9 or 10
3/7 – Favourites unplaced
2/7 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 years is 8/1

 

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"Dakota City: Worked very well in the visor recently and providing he can get a prominent position he will have a good e/w chance."
Julia Feilden

25/07/15 1st 16/1

"JUPITER STORM has been in good form at home but has not been seen at his best in recent starts at the racecourse. I am confident that JUPITER STORM is in good heart and I am hoping that he shows a return to form today."
Gary Moore

25/07/15 1st 7/4

"Oakley Star: Tight little race - we can expect the top-weight to try and steal this from the front again like last week, but this will be harder with the penalty. We come here with a chance. Only 5 runners but we get in here with a light-weight and this step up in trip will be a plus."
Gay Kelleway

24/07/15 2nd 20/1

"Royal Signaller: All the Winds and Cloud Monkey are two in-form rivals to take on, but both are up again in the weights. We come here off the back of a good second last time at Newmarket behind a fair sort that has since gone onto further frank that form. We've given him time to get over that run and are hopeful of a good run off just 2lbs higher. Should go close."
Mick Appleby

23/07/15 1st 9/4

 

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