Tag Archive for: Hardwicke Stakes Key Trends

2022 Royal Ascot Betting Trends – Day Five (Sat 18th June)

The 2022 Royal Ascot Meeting heads into it's final day on Saturday and we’ve another seven ‘must-see’ races to look forward to. The Group One Platinum Jubilee (4:20) the big highlight as some of the best sprinters around line-up for the big prize. So, we’ve got EVERY race covered for you from a trends and stats angle to help you find the best profiles of past winners and hopefully narrow down the fields in your search of some 2022 Royal Ascot winners.

Royal Ascot Horse Racing  Trends (Racing TV/ITV

2.30 - Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 7f ITV

Chesham Stakes Recent Winners

2021 – Point Lonsdale (10/11 fav)
2020 – Battleground (11/4 fav)
2019 – Pinatubo (3/1)
2018 – Arthur Kitt (13/2)
2017 – September (11/8 fav)
2016 – Churchill (8/11 fav)
2015 – Suits You (14/1)
2014 – Richard Pankhurst (10/1)
2013 – Berkshire (16/1)
2012 – Tha’ir (9/2)
2011 – Maybe (5/2 fav)
2010 – Zaidan (7/1)
2009 – Big Audio (22/1)
2008 – Free Agent (7/2 jfav)
2007 – Maze (11/2)
2006 – Champlain (7/2)
2005 – Championship Point (4/1)
2004 – Whazzat (7/1)
2003 – Pearl Of Love (11/10 fav)

 

Chesham Stakes Key Trends

19/19 – Had no more than 2 previous career runs
17/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/19 – Ran over 6f last time out (10 won)
16/19 – Had just 1 previous career run
15/19 – Were foaled in March or earlier
14/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Won their previous race
7/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/19 – Irish trained-winners (Aidan O’Brien, 4 of the last 6 winners)
2/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Ryan Moore has ridden the winners in 2011, 2016, 2017, 2020 & 2021
15 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 1-8
7 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 7 (4)
13 of the last 16 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
Trainer Paul Cole has won the race 4 times before

 

3.05 - Jersey Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 7f ITV

Recent Jersey Stakes Winners

2021 – Creative Force (5/1 jfav)
2020 – Molatham (11/2)
2019 – Space Traveller (25/1)
2018 – Expert Eye (8/1)
2017 – Le Brivido (2/1 fav)
2016 – Ribchester (7/1)
2015 – Dutch Connection (14/1)
2014 – Mustajeeb (9/2 jfav)
2013 – Gale Force Ten (9/2 fav)
2012 – Ishvana (20/1)
2011 – Strong Suit (11/1)
2010 – Rainfall (8/1)
2009 – Ouqba (12/1)
2008 – Aqlaam (13/2)
2007 – Tariq (15/2)
2006 – Jeremy (9/2)
2005 – Proclamation (7/1)
2004 – Kheleyf (6/1)
2003 – Membership (20/1)
2002 -  Just James (20/1)

 

Jersey Stakes Trends

18/20 – Had at least 1 run already that season
16/20 – Had 4 or more career runs
12/20 – Had won over 7f before
12/20 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
10/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/20 – Had run at Ascot before
8/20 – Horses from stall 8 placed
8/20 – Unplaced favourites
7/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/20 – Won their previous race
4/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 wins in total)
2/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (5 wins in total)
The Irish have won 3 of the last 10 runnings
The horse from stall 11 has finished 2nd in 5 of the last 14 runnings

 

 

3.40 - Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

Hardwicke Stakes Recent Winners

2021 – Wonderful Tonight (5/1)
2020 – Fanny Logan (17/2)
2019 – Defoe (11/4 fav)
2018 – Crystal Ocean (4/7 fav)
2017 – Idaho (9/2)
2016 – Dartmouth (10/1)
2015 – Snow Sky (12/1)
2014 – Telescope (7/4 fav)
2013 – Thomas Chippendale (8/1)
2012 – Sea Moon (3/1 fav)
2011 – Await the Dawn (4/6 fav)
2010 – Harbinger (8/11 fav)
2009 – Bronze Cannon (8/1)
2008 – Macarthur (11/8 fav)
2007 – Maraahel (10/3)
2006 – Maraahel (9/2)
2005 – Bandari (10/1)
2004 – Doyen (6/5 fav)
2003 – Indian Creek (14/1)

Hardwicke Stakes Key Trends

19/19 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
19/19 – Had won a Group 2 or 3 previously
17/19 – Placed last time out
16/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/19 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
13/19 – Had run at Ascot before
13/19 – Aged 4 years-old (inc last 11 winners)
12/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3), Mark Johnston (2) or Sir Michael Stoute (7)
12/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/19 – Won their previous race
7/19 – Ran at Epsom last time out (Coronation Cup)
7/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
13 of the last 16 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
11 of the last 16 winners returned 5/1 or shorter
No winner from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
7 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)

 

4.20 - Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 6f ITV

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Recent Winners

2021 – Dream Of Dreams (3/1 fav)
2020 – Hello Youmzain (4/1)
2019 – Blue Point (6/4 fav)
2018 – Merchant Navy (4/1)
2017 – The Tin Man (9/2)
2016 – Twilight Son (7/2)
2015 – Undrafted (14/1)
2014 – Slade Power (7/2 fav)
2013 – Lethal Force (11/1)
2012 – Black Caviar (1/6 fav)
2011 – Society Rock (25/1)
2010 – Starspanglebanner (13/2 jfav)
2009 – Art Connoisseur (20/1)
2008 – Kingsgate Native (33/1)
2007 – Soldier’s Tale (9/1)
2006 – Les Arcs (33/1)
2005 – Cape Of Good Hope (8/1)
2004 - Fayr Jag (12/1)
2003 – Choisir (13/2)

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Key Trends

18/19 – Previous distance (6f) winners
16/19 – Previous Group Race winners
15/19 – Aged 5 or younger
14/19 – Had run at Ascot before
13/19 – Failed to win their last race
12/19 – Won by a UK-based yard
8/19 – Returned a double-figure price
8/19 – Unplaced favourites
6/19 – Ran in the King’s Stand Stakes earlier at the meeting
5/19 – Winning favourite (joint)
2/19 – Trained by James Fanshawe
7 of the last 17 winners were Irish-bred
9 of the last 17 winners came from a low-figure draw
No winner from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
6 of the last 17 winners returned a double-figure price

 

5.00 - Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-110) 6f ITV4

Wokingham Stakes Recent Winners

2021 – Rohaan (8/1)
2020 – Hey Jonesy (18/1)
2019 – Cape Byron (7/2 fav)
2018 – Bacchus (33/1)
2017 – Out Do (25/1)
2016 – Outback Traveller (10/1)
2015 – Interception (10/1)
2014 – Baccarat (9/1)
2013 – York Glory (14/1)
2012 – Dandy Boy (33/1)
2011 – Deacon Blues (15/2)
2010 – Laddies Poker Two (9/2 fav)
2009 – High Standing (8/1)
2008 – Big Timer I (20/1)
2007 – Dark Missile (22/1)
2006 – Baltic King (10/1)
2005 – Iffraaj (9/4 fav)
2004 – Lafi (6/1 fav)
2003 – Ratio (14/1) / Fayr Jag (10/1)  (dead-heat)

 

Wokingham Stakes Key Trends

22/22 – Had won before over 6f or 7f
20/22 – Had no more than 4 runs that season­­
20/22 – Finished sixth or better last time out
20/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
19/22 – Had won a race over 6f before
18/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/22 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
13/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/22 – Had run at Ascot before (8 had won here)
11/22 – Ran at either Ascot, Goodwood or Newmarket last time
7/22 – Won their previous race
5/22 – Won by the favourite
11 of the last 16 winners carried 9-3 or less in weight
10 of the last 16 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
12 of the last 16 winners came from a double-figure draw
11 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall
8 of the last 11 runnings - the top 2 finishers all came from double-figure stalls
Horse from stall 15 has been placed in 3 of the last 10 runnings
Since 1980 there have been only 8 winning favourites
Since 1980 there have been 32 winners returning a double-figure price

 

5.35 - Golden Gates Handicap (3yo) 1m2f ITV4

Just the 2 previous runnings
Foxes Tales (13/2) won this race in 2021
Highland Chief (20/1) won this race in 2020
Trainer Andrew Balding won this race in 2020
Trainer Paul and Oliver Cole won this race in 2020
Jockey Rossa Ryan won this race in 2020
Both past winners came between stalls 13-16 (inc)
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 5-from-84 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Frankie Dettori has a 20% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Ryan Moore has a 19% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

6.10 - Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 2m5f159y ITV4

Queen Alexandra Stakes Recent Winners

2021 – Stratum (4/1)
2020 – Who Dares Wins (Evs fav)
2019 – Cleonte (7/2)
2018 – Pallasator (11/2)
2017 – Oriental Fox (10/1)
2016 – Commissioned (12/1)
2015 – Oriental Fox (4/1)
2014 – Pique Sous (11/4)
2013 – Chiberta King (8/1)
2012 – Simenon (11/4 fav)
2011 – Swingkeel (11/2)
2010 – Bergo (10/1)
2009 – Caracciola (6/1)
2008 – Honolulu (7/4 fav)
2007 – Enjoy The Moment (6/1)
2006 – Baddam (11/2)
2005 – Cruzspiel (10/1)
2004 – Corrib Eclipse (25/1)
2003 – Cover Up (4/5 fav)

Queen Alexandra Stakes Key Trends

17/19 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/19 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
12/19 – Had run at Ascot before
10/19 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years old
7/19 – Won by a NH yard
6/19 – Irish-trained winners
4/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/19 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/19 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
2/19 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
12 of the last 16 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
12 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 9-16 (inc)
11 of the last 15 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

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