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Well I Declare, 5th December

Well I Declare, 5th December

Well I Declare, 5th December

The meetings from Catterick, Hereford, Kempton and Lingfield come under Mal Boyle's scrutiny in a reminder of Well I Declare for...

...WEDNESDAY (05/12):

Catterick:

General stats: Brian Ellison has won with four of the eleven runners he has saddled at Catterick under the NH code in recent times. 

 

Hereford:

General stats: Rebecca Curtis, Nicky Henderson and Jim Best all boast 33% strike rates with a decent amount of runners, whilst trainers with impressive ratios with less raiders include Alistair Lidderdale (3/6), Richard Woolacott (2/3) and John Ferguson (2/5).

 

Kempton:

General stats: Although the relevant 11% strike rate is nothing to write home about, Jo Crowley’s LSP figure of sixty-eight points lights my blue touch-paper!

3.50: Four-year-olds have won three of the last four renewals, whilst four of the five favourites have secured toteplacepot positions thus far, statistics which include one (11/4) winner.

4.20: Two of the three favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (one winner) thus far.

4.50: Three-year-olds have won all four renewals whilst securing nine of the ten available toteplacepot positions.  Four of the five favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two of the four winners.

5.20: Richard Hannon has declared two runners for this event but I should warn you that Richard is responsible for all four beaten favourites in the race to date.  Three of the six market leaders have finished in the frame, statistics which include two (7/2 & 11/8) winners.

6.20: All seven winners have carried a maximum burden of 9-3. We still await the first successful favourite in this event, whilst four of the nine market leaders secured toteplacepot positions.

6.50: The three favourites to date have secured two gold and one bronze medal.  The two winners were sent off at 9/2 and 100/30, whilst the third placed market leader was returned at 11/2.

 

Lingfield:

General stats: Trainer Pat Phelan is back among the winners and Pat’s sixty points of level stake profits during the last five years at Lingfield catch the eye.

Well I Declare: 22nd November

Well I Declare: 22nd November

Well I Declare: 22nd November

Today's action comes from Hereford, Kempton, Market Rasen and Wincanton and here's a quick reminder of Mal Boyle's preview of...

...THURSDAY 22/11:

Hereford:

General stats: Professeur Emery was the only potential runner on the card hailing from the stable of Warren Greatrex which boasts a 31% strike rate at Hereford.  The ratio improves to 37.5% in the relevant hurdle sector at the track. 

 

Kempton:

General stats:  James Fanshawe only had one runner entered this week at the time of writing and it was here at Kempton where James enjoys a 21% strike rate which is backed up by fifty-eight points of level stake profits.  Spensely is entered for the scheduled 6.10 event.

 

Market Rasen:

General stats: O Crotaigh (scheduled to contest the 2.10 event) was Alan Brown’s only potential runner, the trainer boasting a strike rate of 27% at the racecourse. Otherwise, this is very much Nicky Henderson’s domain.

 

Wincanton:

General stats: The world and his dog knows to respect each and every runner saddled  by Paul Nicholls at this venue, whilst the 33% strike rate of Rebecca Curtis demands plenty of respect.

Two mile handicap chase scheduled for 1.30: Eight renewals have slipped by without a winning favourites being registered.

Two mile six furlong novice hurdle event scheduled for 2.30: Paul Nicholls has saddled five of the last eight winners with the trainer holding three options this time around.  Philip Hobbs has two runners entered in the race having secured two winners during the Nicholls (virtual) domination of the contest.

Three miles three furlong handicap chase scheduled for 3.30: Horses carrying 11-2 or more have secured six of the seven contests.  Favourites come to the gig on a hat trick on this occasion, the first market leaders having been beaten.

Well I Declare: 5th September

Well I Declare: 5th September

Well I Declare: 5th September

Today's action comes from Bath, Kempton, Lingfield & Hereford: here's a quick reminder
of Mal Boyle's take on the day's racing for...

...WEDNESDAY 05/09:

Bath:

General stats: Roger Varian has saddled two winners from just five runners at Bath to date and the trainer held two options at the weekend. Urban Daydream (2.20) is now his only runner at Bath on Wednesday.

2.20: Last year’s inaugural 4/6 favourite was beaten half a length by an 18/1 chance, albeit the William Haggas raider secured a toteplacepot position despite the surprise defeat.  If there is a hot favourite on Tuesday morning, you might like to take note of the name of last year’s winner which was…History Repeating!

2.50: Two market leaders have prevailed thus far via six renewals.  Four favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.

3.50: Five of the six winners have carried a maximum burden of 9-1.  Four renewals have slipped by without a successful market leader being recorded since the first two favourites of this event prevailed.

 

Kempton:

General stats: Suffolk based trainer Dave Morris potentially saddles two runners on the card and his 21% strike rate at Kempton (four winners) have yielded over fifty two points of level stake profits.

 

Lingfield:

General stats: Two winners from just five mounts is the current ratio boasted by Kieren Fallon at Lingfield. On the training front, runners saddled by Alan Jarvis are worth a second look given his 30% strike rate which has helped to produce an LSP figure of thirty four points.

 

Hereford:

General stats: Richard Woolacott (2/3), Jim Best (8/22) and Rebecca Curtis (15/47) are just three trainers who will be fighting the closure of Hereford racecourse if their ratios at the track are anything to go by.

Well I Declare: 30th August

Well I Declare: 30th August

Well I Declare: 30th August

Mal's still away for a few days yet, but I've brought you a quick reminder of his insights on today's racing from Hamilton, Lingfield, Kempton, Fontwell, Hereford and Stratford...

THURSDAY 30/08:

Apologies for the lack of a main meeting on which to offer stats and facts.  Every now and then (because of Bank Holiday schedules usually), a day occurs when ‘new meetings’ generally rule the roost whereby no trends are in place….and this is one such occasion. Lingfield ‘ripping up their carpet’ did not help on this occasion!

 

Hamilton:

General stats: William Haggas has saddled five of his twelve runners at Hamilton to winning effect thus far, whilst Jeremy Noseda’s 2/5 ratio is worth noting. 

 

Lingfield:

General stats: Derek Haydn Jones boasts 3/7 figures in recent years, statistics which have produced an LSP figure of ten points. However, Roger Charlton record of 7/17 during the last five years makes for even more impressive reading.

 

Kempton:

General stats: The yellow and blue stars colours of Pearl Bloodstock have been prominent at Kempton in recent years, claiming eleven successes from just twenty-three runners.  The stats have helped to achieve a level stake profit of thirty-five points. The other positive factor is that the colours are easy to spot, even in a big field!

 

Fontwell:

General stats: Nicky Henderson (38% strike rate) and Donald McCain (33%) lead the figures of the potentially represented trainers at Fontwell on Thursday, whilst Renee Robeson’s (2/8) runners might be worth a saver.

 

Hereford:

General stats: Jim Best will not want this venue to close down, given that the trainer boasts figures of 7/21 (eight points LSP) whilst John Ferguson’s rare visits have paid via 2/4 figures. 

 

Stratford:

General stats: I hope I have alerted you to the training talents of Richard Woolacott in recent weeks and months and this is one of the venues to focus on given Richard’s 2/4 ratio.

Trainer Stats: 14th June 2012

Cecil Heading To Ascot In Form

This week Andy Newton gives you five flat and five NH yards to look out for.......... Read more

Stat of the Day: 5th March 2012

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day: 5th March 2012

Yesterday was a bit of a deja vu kind of day for SotD, wasn't it? For the second day running, we highlighted a successful combination for you, but didn't actually put up a winner. Yesterday's combination of Maguire and McCain Jnr had a great day with winners at 11/10, 3/1 and 5/4. Their other runner was our selection Realignment, who was well backed from my advised 6/1 morning price into a price of 11/4 at the off. Our selection never really looked like winning the battle with jt fav Granwood and dropped away from 3 out to finish in third place, as nobody saw the eventual 50/1 winner loom up on the outside. Those of you taking an E/W punt at my advised 6/1 will have made a (small!!) profit, but I was playing win only!

It's time we found a winner: the selections ahve been decent, but not quite good enough recently and in a bid to redress this, we're taking a trip out West for a Class 3 Handicap Chase over 2m 3f. The going is expected to be Good to Soft, as 8 runners tackle the...

4.45 Hereford

Rebecca Curtis seems to have her horses in fine order at present, with 2 winners and 4 placed from 7 outings spread over the last fortnight. She has am impressive strike rate at Hereford of 34.9% over the past 5 years, rising to (and probably more pertinent) an excellent 36.8% in the last two seasons. Therefore, any Curtis runners appearing at Hereford raise our interest. She has two entries today: Take of Shoc's looks to be one of the outsiders in the 3.45, whilst our selection Made In Time runs an hour later.

Made In Time has already won a couple of handicap chases in the West: at Taunton and Ffos Las and his jumping seems to have improved considerably from the earlier problems he endured. He wasn't disgraced last time out at Cheltenham, but finished 7th some 8  lengths of so behind the winner. He was quite badly hampered that day which seemed to take the wind ouf his sails, so I'd expect a much better performance today in what looks an easier race to win. This will, of course, be reflected in the betting. He was a 16/1 shot LTO in that Cheltenham race, but this morning the best on offer is 11/4 (BOG with several firms) and that's the price I'm going to settle for, but you can always...

Click here for the latest betting on the 4.45 Hereford.

Stat of the Day: 11th Dec 2011

Stat of the Day: 11th Dec 2011

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day comes from the UK's only jumps card today at Hereford and we're taking a look at the Class 4 totetrifecta Handicap Chase over 3m 1.5f on soft ground. 12 runners are set to go to post for this one.

2.15 Hereford

Charlie Longsdon's string is in fine form at present, but he doesn't send many jumpers to Hereford: just 29 in the last 6 years. However, when he does send them over to Hereford, he enjoys a strike rate in excess of 20% and therefore I am drawn to the fact that he has runners there today.
Strongbows Legend is a strong, young stayer with plenty of potential for the future. He has admittedly been frustrating in the past, but has been knocking on the door and looks likely to appreciate the testing conditions and the extra 1.5f today.

Click here for the latest betting on the 2.15 Hereford.

Trainer Stats – 8th Dec 11

More trainer clues this week as Andy Newton highlights which handlers are in red hot form, while there are two names on the cold list to look out for........ Read more

Trainer Stats – 17th Nov

As we head into another huge weekend of NH action Andy Newton gives you the trainers to note, while there’s a Gold Cup winning handler that’s now  46 days without a winner....... Read more

Trainer Stats – 3rd Nov

See which trainers are heading into this weekend at the top of their game as Andy Newton picks out eight handlers that have caught his eye in recent days, while there’s a big NH yard that are now almost a month without a win.............. Read more

Cold Snap Wreaks Havoc With Racing Fixtures

The fixture to be held on Wednesday at Catterick has now been cancelled because of snowfall, making the racecourse the latest to succumb to the recent spate of bad weather.

Racing at Catterick

Racing at Catterick

The clerk of the course, Fiona Needham reasoned not to put off the inevitable, with a five inch cover of snow currently standing on the track.

She announced, "There's no hope of it improving at all. We had another inch of snow overnight, it's snowing heavily now and it's forecast to continue."

National Hunt meetings scheduled to be held on Tuesday at Hereford and Southwell were cancelled on Sunday, although there will be an all weather six event fixture at Southwell.

Clerk of the course Roderick Duncan said, "The all-weather track is being well worked, and we're not anticipating any problems."

Expecting another dismal night of weather, officials at Plumpton will inspect the track at 8am on Tuesday prior to the scheduled Wednesday meeting.

"We had another frost last night of minus 5C, so the last three nights have been minus 4C, minus 6C and minus 5C. It has got into the ground so the course is frozen in places," said clerk of the course Mark Cornford.

"We are calling an inspection at 8am on Tuesday.

"Tonight we are expected to see another frost and tomorrow there is quite a strong possibility of snow showers. It's not looking good but we will look at the situation in the morning."

Officials at Ayr are also pessimistic about their chances of racing of Wednesday after calling a 12 noon inspection on Monday.

Course officials at Ayr will inspect the course midday Monday, before their card on Wednesday, with the clerk of the course at Ayr, Emma Marley saying that the situation does not look good.

She commented, "We have had persistently low overnight temperatures and we also have a light covering of snow.

"The forecast is for further low temperatures overnight and only 0C to 1C in the daytime so we have deemed it necessary to inspect.

"We are frozen in places too so it's not looking too bright."

Blue Feeling At Hereford

Landing a huge gamble, Am I Blue blitzed the field with a victory at the Wyvern Ices Handicap Hurdle at Hereford.

Racing at Hereford

Racing at Hereford

After failing to come close in any of her sixteen prior starts, the four year old had suffered a defeat of 88 lengths when placing last in a field of twelve in her latest performance at Worcester a fortnight ago.

She was at the odds of 25-1 earlier in the morning, but just before the start the filly, trained by Delyth Thomas, was backed down to only 5-1.

In another turn of events, top jockey Richard Johnson was given the ride as a late substitute for five pound claimer jockey Dean Coleman, who had been listed at the declaration stage to ride the filly.

Johnson had Am I Blue in front of the field early, with the turn for the line seeing her challengers fade behind her, increasing her lead during the run up the home straight to record an astonishing nineteen length victory, with second place going to Northern Lad.

Your first 30 days for just £1

A thrilled Thomas said the gamble came as shock to her.

Thomas stated, "I don't know where it's (money) come from; maybe Richard Johnson riding her?

"I found out Dean was unwell this morning, so I was stuck, but Richard did a marvellous job.

"She's had a bad shoulder so we had that sorted and fingers crossed today it's worked.

"She just hasn't been travelling but we changed the tactics today because Richard said he thought she could be made more use of and it's worked.

"She's so sweet and a lovely mare."

Accepting the explanation of the trainer that the improvement of the horse was the result of a strategy change and spinal therapy, the stewards' made the decision not to hold a formal inquiry.

The head of the British Horseracing Authority, Paul Struthers commented on the gamble on Am I Blue, saying, "When a horse wins showing improved form, having been heavily supported and subject to a jockey change, it is vital for the integrity of the sport that all of the facts are established.

"Our Integrity Department spoke to the racecourse stewards, who obtained two possible reasons for the improvement in form.

"It remains entirely possible that everything was above board, but it is just as important to prove if that was the case as it is to prove it wasn't. Therefore our Integrity Services and Licensing Department will be looking into all of the circumstances of Am I Blue's victory at Hereford today."