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Stat of the Day, 7th March 2016

Saturday's Result :

2.30 Lingfield : Lunar Deity @ 11/4 BOG 3rd at 5/2 (Raced keen, tracked leaders, effort 2f out, one pace final furlong)

Monday's runner goes in the...

2.40 Lingfield:

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Your first 30 days for just £1

Bawden Rocks @ 11/4 BOG

Why?

David Bridgwater's NH runners on heavy ground have been very successful over the last couple of years and since the start of 2014, their record amounts to 14 winners from 58 (24.1% SR) and whilst the level stakes profits of 6.63pts represent a modest ROI of 11.4%, profit is profit and it also provides a good starting point for drilling down into the numbers.

The following ten angles from those 58 runners are all profitable and relevant today, so here goes...

  • males are 13/54 (24.1% SR) for 8.3pts (+15.3% ROI)
  • those carrying 10-10 or more are 14/43 (32.6% SR) for 21.6pts (+50.3% ROI)
  • handicappers are 11/37 (29.7% SR) for 15.9pts (+42.8% ROI)
  • chasers are 11/33 (33.33% SR) for 14.1pts (+42.7% ROI)
  • those priced at 7/4 to 10/1 are 10/31 (32.3% SR) for 25.1pts (+81% ROI)
  • those whose last run was more than 20 days ago (but less than year!) are 9/29 (31% SR) for 20.8pts (+71.8% ROI)
  • those rated (OR) 80 to 110 are 8/19 (42.1% SR) for 15.8pts (+83.4% ROI)
  • those ridden by Jake Hodson are 4/19 (21.1% SR) for 2.2pts (+11.6% ROI)
  • those wearing cheekpieces are 3/9 (33.33% SR) for 3.38pts (+37.5% ROI)
  • 7 yr olds are 4/8 (50% SR) for 11.9pts (+148.8% ROI)

So today's play is...a 1pt win bet on Bawden Rocks at 11/4 BOG, a price available with over a dozen firms at 9.45pm, so to see your preferred bookie's prices, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 2.40 Lingfield

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard...

Stat of the Day, 7th March 2016

Saturday's Result :

2.30 Lingfield : Lunar Deity @ 11/4 BOG 3rd at 5/2 (Raced keen, tracked leaders, effort 2f out, one pace final furlong)

Monday's runner goes in the...

2.40 Lingfield:

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Bawden Rocks @ 11/4 BOG

Why?

David Bridgwater's NH runners on heavy ground have been very successful over the last couple of years and since the start of 2014, their record amounts to 14 winners from 58 (24.1% SR) and whilst the level stakes profits of 6.63pts represent a modest ROI of 11.4%, profit is profit and it also provides a good starting point for drilling down into the numbers.

The following ten angles from those 58 runners are all profitable and relevant today, so here goes...

  • males are 13/54 (24.1% SR) for 8.3pts (+15.3% ROI)
  • those carrying 10-10 or more are 14/43 (32.6% SR) for 21.6pts (+50.3% ROI)
  • handicappers are 11/37 (29.7% SR) for 15.9pts (+42.8% ROI)
  • chasers are 11/33 (33.33% SR) for 14.1pts (+42.7% ROI)
  • those priced at 7/4 to 10/1 are 10/31 (32.3% SR) for 25.1pts (+81% ROI)
  • those whose last run was more than 20 days ago (but less than year!) are 9/29 (31% SR) for 20.8pts (+71.8% ROI)
  • those rated (OR) 80 to 110 are 8/19 (42.1% SR) for 15.8pts (+83.4% ROI)
  • those ridden by Jake Hodson are 4/19 (21.1% SR) for 2.2pts (+11.6% ROI)
  • those wearing cheekpieces are 3/9 (33.33% SR) for 3.38pts (+37.5% ROI)
  • 7 yr olds are 4/8 (50% SR) for 11.9pts (+148.8% ROI)

So today's play is...a 1pt win bet on Bawden Rocks at 11/4 BOG, a price available with over a dozen firms at 9.45pm, so to see your preferred bookie's prices, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 2.40 Lingfield

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard...

First Victory for Jake Jodson While Fallon Hits 100

Jockey Jake Hodson will always remember the overcast day at Goodwood as the afternoon he scored his first racing victory aboard Switched Off, in the Bolliger Champagne Challenge Series Handicap at Goodwood.

Goodwood

Goodwood

In past years the Challenge, for gentleman amateur riders, has seen the career beginnings of the likes of Richard Johnson, Ryan Moore and Tom Scudamore.

Hodson and his mount, progressed to fourth at the halfway mark, making good headway to challenge three furlongs out to lead under pressure two furlongs from home, shifting to the right but staying on well to draw clear of the field in the final furlong seeing off runner up Megalala by a very comfortable six lengths.

"They went very fast early and I just wanted to get my fellow travelling," commented the 19 year old Hodson.

"He kept plugging on and he did hang, but it made no difference to the result.

"That was my seventh ride on the Flat, and I've had five pointing, but that's my first winner."

Kieren Fallon racked up his 100th victory for the season aboard Poplin in the EBF Racing UK Maiden Fillies' Stakes.

Fallon had her travelling well during the event, although she drifted over to the right towards the final stages, but she was well in command and recorded a length and a half victory over Always The Lady.

"I didn't think she drifted as much as she did before I looked at the race again," said Fallon.

"She's a Medicean and she's tough and goes on any ground, which helps.

"She is definitely stepping up and progressing with each run, so we'll see where we go from here."