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Newbury Trends (Fri 26th Nov 21)

It's DAY ONE of the Newbury Ladbrokes Trophy Meeting this Friday and we’ve four LIVE races on ITV to take in that include the Grade Two Long Distance Hurdle - a race that we've seen 13 of the last 19 winners aged between 7-9 years-old.

As always, here at Geegeez, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and free tips.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RTV/ITV3)

 

12.40 – Ladbrokes Committed To Safer Gambling Novices' Chase (Registered As The Berkshire Novices' Chase) (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV3

13/14 – Aged 5 or older
13/14 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Favourites placed in the top 2
10/14 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
8/14 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/14 – Yet to win over fences
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (inc last 2 runnings)
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/2
Champ (4/5 fav) won this race in 2019

1.15 - Play Ladbrokes 5-A-Side On Football ‘National Hunt’ Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV3

10/10 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/10 - Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 - Had run under NH Rules between 1-3 times
9/10 - Between 0-1 NH wins
8/10 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/10 - Irish bred
7/10 - Favourites placed in the top 3
6/10 - Had won a NH Flat race before
6/10 - Had run in the last 4 weeks
4/10 - Had run at Newbury before
4/10 - Won last time out
4/10 - Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/10 - Ridden by Nico de Boinville
3/10 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
In recent years, My Drogo (2020), Lostintranslation (2017) and Buveur D’Air (2015) have won this race

 

2.25 – Get Your Ladbrokes £1 Free Bet Today Handicap Chase Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f187y ITV3

13/14 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
13/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Aged 9 or younger
12/14 – Didn’t win last time out
11/14 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
11/14 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
8/14 – Rated between 131 and 140
9/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/14 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
2/14 – Trained by Alan King
2/14 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/14 – Trained by Dan Skelton
0/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

3.00 – Ladbrokes Long Distance Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m52y ITV3

16/19 – Grade One winner over hurdles
15/19 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
14/19 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
14/19 – Placed favourites
13/19 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
13/19 – Had won a hurdles race at Newbury before
13/19 – Ran at either Aintree (7) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
12/19 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
11/19 – Winning favourites
10/19 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
9/19 – Won last time out
8/19 – French bred
8/19 – Returned odds-on in the betting
7/19 – Went onto win that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle
7/19 – Won by a previous winner of the race
5/19 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls (inc 5 of last 12 renewals)
Thyme Hill (7/2) won this race in 2020
Paisley Park (8/15 fav) won this race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.35 – Play Ladbrokes 1-2 Free On Football Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 3m52y ITV3

13/14 – Placed 5th or better last time out
13/14 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
11/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Raced at either Cheltenham (5), Wincanton (3) or Wetherby (2) last time
10/14 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/14 – Irish-bred winners
8/14 – Won just 1-2 times over hurdles
8/14 – Yet to win over 3m (or further) over hurdles
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/14 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/14 – Trained by David Pipe
Hill Sixteen won this race in 2020
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

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