Posts

Sat TV Trends: 16th Nov 2019

A huge day up at Cheltenham this Saturday with the BetVictor Gold Cup the feature racethe ITV cameras are at Prestbury Park to take in four of the races, plus are also covering two at Lingfield.

As always we've got all the key trends & stats to help you whittle down the runners.

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

12.05 - Ballymore Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Hyde Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f ITV

15/15 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
15/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/15 – Had won a NH Flat race earlier in their career
12/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (2 winners)
12/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
11/15 – Had raced at Uttoxeter (4), Chepstow (5) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
10/15 – Aged 5 years-old
9/15 – Won just once before (under rules)
9/15 – Had won over 2 ½m (or further) over hurdles before
8/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/15 – Went onto win a race at the Cheltenham Festival that season

12.40 -

JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial (Registered as The Prestbury Juvenile Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m87y RacingTV

14/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/14 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
12/14 – Never raced at Cheltenham before
11/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter
11/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
10/14 – Went onto race in that seasons Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
9/14 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
9/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 2
7/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Irish bred
5/14 – Went onto finish 1st or 2nd in the Triumph Hurdle
4/14 – German bred
4/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/14 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/14 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/14 – Trained by Alan King
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Went onto win the Triumph Hurdle (Defi Du Seuill 2017, Katchit 2006)
Owner JP McManus has won 2 of the last 3 runnings

1.15 - mallardjewellers.com Novices´ Chase Cl2 3m80y RacingTV

Your first 30 days for just £1

14/14 – Had won a race over at least 2m4f (fences) before
12/14 – Aged 7 or younger
11/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
11/14 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
10/14 – Won between 0-1 times over fences before
10/14 – Raced no more than twice over fences
10/14 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/14 – Raced at Cheltenham (3), Aintree (3) or Wetherby (2) last time out
8/14 – Aged 6 years-old
7/14 – Went onto run in the RSA Chase at the Cheltenham Festival that season (no winners)
7/14 – Won last time out
7/14 – Irish bred
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Trained by David Pipe
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan

1.50 - BetVictor Smartcards Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m3f110y ITV

16/17 – Had won a 3m+ race over fences before
15/17 – Had run at Cheltenham before
14/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Aged 8 or younger
12/17 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
11/17  – Had won between 3 and 5 times over fences before
10/17 – Irish bred
10/17 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
8/17 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
8/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/17 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
7/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/17  – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Sandown (2) last time out
6/17 – French bred
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/17 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/17 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/17 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien (2 of last 6 years)
Rock The Kasbah (9/1) won the race in 2018
Perfect Candidate (7/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

2.25 – BetVictor Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f110y ITV

17/17 – Had run at Cheltenham before
16/17 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
16/17 – Won by a UK-based trainer
13/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Had won at Cheltenham before
12/17 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/17 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
11/17 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (3)
11/17 – Carried 10-13 or less (But 4 of the last 7 carried 10-13 or more)
11/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/17 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
9/17 – Aged 7 years-old
8/17 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
8/17 – Placed favourites
5/17 – Won their last race
4/17 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/17 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/17 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/17 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/17 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/17 – Irish-trained winners
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 10 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 37 runners
Baron Alco (8/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 10/1

3.00 – Spinal Injuries Association Big Bucks Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f67y ITV

15/17 – Aged 7 or younger
14/17 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
14/17 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
13/17 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
12/17 – Officially rated 126 to 137
12/17 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
12/17 – Placed favourites
12/17  – Ran at either Cheltenham (6), Aintree (3) or Chepstow (3) last time out
11/17 – Irish bred
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
9/17 – Had run at Cheltenham before
8/17 – Won their last race
7/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/17 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/17 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
4 of the last 11 winners have had a claiming jockey riding
Anteros won the race in 2016 & was second in 2017
First Assignment won the race in 2018

3.30 - BetVictor Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV

13/14 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
12/14 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
11/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/14 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
8/14 – Returned a double-figure price
7/14 – Favourites unplaced
7/14 – Carried 10-13 or less
7/14 – Had run at Cheltenham before
7/14 – Irish bred winners
6/14 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
5/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – French bred winners
2/14 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 - Winning favourites
Speedo Boy (4/1 jfav) won the race in 2018
2 of the last 6 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 10 winners went onto be placed in the Ladbrokes World Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

2.45 – Betway Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

11/13 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Rated between 102 and 112
10/13 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/13 – Won between 1-4 times before
9/13 – Favourites placed in the top two
8/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/13 – Placed last time out
8/13 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
4/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Master The World (10/1) won the race in 2017 and 2018

 

3.15 – Betway Golden Rose Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

12/12 – Previous winner over 6f or 7f
11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Aged 4 or older
9/12 – Won 5 or more times before
8/12 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
8/12 – Unplaced last time out
8/12 – Unplaced favourites
4/12 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
Gifted Master (9/2) won the race in 2017
Encrypted won the race in 2018

 

Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

 

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 19 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

GET INVOLVED

Sat TV Trends: 23rd Feb 2019

This weekend the ITV cameras head to Kempton, with their newly-sponsored Betdaq Handicap Chase their feature contest, while they are also at Lingfield for the Winter Derby and the Newcastle for their Eider Chase.

As always, we are  on hand with all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races. Use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

1.50 – 888Sport Pendil Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4

12/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
12/14 – French (8) of Irish (3) bred
11/14 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/14 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/14 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
10/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (won 7 of the last 10)
9/14 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
8/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 6/4

2.25 – 888Sport Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 -  Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Had won no more than once over hurdles in the UK
12/15 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/15 – Winners that went onto run in the Triumph Hurdle (3 winners)
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
10/15– Won carrying either a 4lb or 7lb penalty
9/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – French bred
5/15 – Irish bred
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/15 – Trained by Alan King (won the last two runnings)
3/15 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Triumph Hurdle
3/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Zarkandar, Soldatino and Penzance went onto land that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

3.00 – Sky Bet Dovecote Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

Your first 30 days for just £1

12/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
11/13 – Had never raced over hurdles at Kempton before
9/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
10/13 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
10/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – French bred
4/13 – Trained by Alan King
4/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/13 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

3.35 – 888Sport Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4

14/16 – Rated 139 or higher
14/16 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
13/16 – Aged 9 or younger
12/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
11/16 – Won a class 2 chase or better before
11/16 – Carried 10-13 or more
11/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
11/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/16 – Rated between 139 and 150
8/16 – Carried 11-5 or more
7/16 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
7/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Aged 8 years-old
5/16 – French bred
4/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
4/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/16 – Ridden by Richard Johnson (won it 5 times in all)
2/16 – Trained by Tom George
2/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs (won it 4 times in all)
2/16 – Ran in the King George VI Chase last time out
2/16 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner)
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown Park

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

2.40 – Vertem Eider (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 4m1f ITV4

15/15 – Had won over at least 3m before
13/15 – Aged 10 or younger
12/15 – Carried 11-0 or more
12/15 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/15 – Irish-bred
11/15 – Winners came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
10/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/15 – Officially rated between 131-140
9/15 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/15 – Placed favourites
5/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Won over 3m4f or further before
3/15 – Carried 11-12 in weight
2/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 10/1

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

2.05 – Betway Hever Sprint Stakes (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV4

11/12 – Rated 96+
10/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Raced 6 weeks or longer ago
9/12 – Had raced at Lingfield before
8/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/12 – Placed favs
8/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/12 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
4/12 – US bred
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Mare winners
3/12 – Trained by David Barron
0/12 – Winners from stall 1
Royal Birth won the race in 2017
Gracious John won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

3.15 - Betway Winter Derby (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f ITV4

16/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or shorter
13/16 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
12/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
12/16 – Had run at Lingfield previously
12/16 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
12/16 – Had raced at either Lingfield (8) or Kempton (4) last time out
12/16 – Winning distance – less than a length
10/16 – Placed in their last race
10/16 – Drawn in stall 7 or less
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the market
10/16 – Won at Lingfield previously
10/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
9/16 – Won their last race
8/16 – Won at least 6 times previously
7/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the 16 renewals is 6/1

 

 

 

Trainers Quotes

FREE TRIAL: TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 20 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

GET INVOLVED TODAY