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Sat TV Trends: 15th May 2021

After a week at York, the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always, here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the big race trends and tips……

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 – BetVictor Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

14/16 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
14/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
12/16 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
11/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
11/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Drawn in stall 3
3/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

Note: The 2020 running was staged at Windsor

 

2.25 - Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

16/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
13/17 – Drawn 4 or lower
12/17 – Had run at Newbury before
12/17 – Placed favourites
12/17 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
11/17 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
10/17 – Irish bred
9/17 – Had won between 1-3 times before
8/17 – Aged 4 years-old
6/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Won last time out
3 of the last 12 winners were Godolphin-owned
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

 

3.00 - BetVictor London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

16/17 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Carried 8-10 or more
13/17 – Rated 90 or lower
13/17 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
13/17 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/17 – Irish bred
6/17 – Raced at Newbury before (2 won here)
4/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

3.35 - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

17/17 – Won over a mile before
14/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
13/17 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had won a Group One race before
12/17 – Aged 4 years-old
12/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/17 – Winning favourites
10/17 – Having their first run of the season
10/17 – Unplaced last time out
5/17 – Godolphin owned
4/17 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/17 – Won by a mare
4/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/17 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/17 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 8 times in all)
1/17 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 10/3

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.05 – Betway Fairway Stakes (Listed) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

14/14 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Had won between 1-2 times before
12/14 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
12/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/14 – Favourites placed in the top three
12/14 – Had won over 1m or further before
11/14 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Draw 1,2 or 3
9/14 – Had raced at Newmarket before (Rowley)
8/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/14 – US-bred winners
4/14 – Godolphin-owned winners
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained John Gosden
3/14 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/14 – Ridden by William Buick
2/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

2.40 –Betway King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

16/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
14/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Winners from stall 4 or lower
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Won only once before
11/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/17 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
10/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
7/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Trained by the Hills stable
2/17 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 6 winners)
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

3.15 – Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

17/17 – Had won between 1-3 times before
14/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Had won over 6f before
14/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
11/17 – Carried 8-12 or more
11/17 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/17 – Rated between 91-96
10/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/17 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
6/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won by a mare/filly
3/17 – Won by the Kremlin House (Varian) stable
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1-8
9 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 3-7
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1