LUDLOW - NOVEMBER 27
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £45.80 (7 favourites - 4 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Ludlow:
Leg 1 (12.35): 7 (New To This Town) & 10 (St John’s)
Leg 2 (1.05): 5 (Rockland) & 4 (Protek Des Flos)
Leg 3 (1.40): 3 (Colonial Dreams), 1 (Robin The Raven) & 2 (Crucial Role)
Leg 4 (2.15): 3 (Tornado In Milan), 4 (Pearls Legend) & 2 (Chirico Vallis)
Leg 5 (2.45): 6 (Scales), 8 (Galactic Power) & 3 (Bright Tomorrow)
Leg 6 (3.20): 2 (Leg Lock Luke), 1 (Good Man Vinnie) & 3 (The Artful Cobbler)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
12.35: Evan Williams has saddled nine winners during the last six years at this corresponding meeting and the first of his two runners on the card runs in the opening event, namely ST JOHN’S. With 107 winners at Ludlow, this is Evan’s best venue regarding his career having saddled 22 more winners than his next best track which is Ffos Las. NEW TO THIS TOWN is pretty much exposed now, though there is no denying the fact that Colin Tizzard appears to have found a perfect opportunity for his Milan gelding to score at the sixth time of asking over timber. Robbie Power’s mount had previously won two of his three bumper assignments over the other side of the Irish Sea.
Favourite factor: Five of the seven favourites have snared toteplacepot positions to date via three winners.
1.05: There has been a little money for Midnight Target overnight which rattles the cage to a fashion, given that John Groucott’s seven-year-old is the lone course winner in the field, albeit the Midnight Legend mare will be having her seventh race at the venue this afternoon, whilst there is plenty of rain falling (seemingly) throughout the country at the time of writing which might count against her on this occasion. More logical winners in the line up include ROCKLAND and Nicky PROTEK DES FLOS who is the first of just two runners on the card for the yard. This is a ‘Beginners Chase’ however, whereby I will keep an eye out for any further support for John’s outsider. Bendomingo’s each way chance might be thwarted by this morning’s wet conditions.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Ludlow card.
Record of the course winners in the second race:
1/6—Midnight Target (good)
1.40: Kim Bailey’s ROBIN THE RAVEN blotted his copybook to a fashion when falling last time out having won two of his previous three races over timber. COLONIAL DREAMS won in facile fashion at Southwell earlier in the year and jumping timber for the first time today will answer a few questions for Nicky Henderson and his team. Henry Daly (like Evan Williams) saddles more winners (63 in total) at Ludlow than at any other venue whereby the chance of CRUCIAL ROLE is respected. Something keeps nagging at me that this race will not go entirely to plan, though I can’t put my finger on exactly what might go wrong.
Favourite factor: This is another new race on the programme.
Record of the course winners in the third event:
1/2—Robin The Raven (good)
2.15: Evan Williams has saddled three winners and a couple of bronze medallists in this race to date via just the six renewals (not represented three years ago) whereby last year’s winner TORNADO IN MILAN is the first name on the team sheet, albeit I appreciate that the success last year was generated via five attempts at the venue. Hoping the ground does not soften up too much this morning, TONADO IN MILAN is on a very similar mark to last year whereby the 10/1 quote by Bet 365 and BetVictor makes some win and place appeal. Potential dangers include PEARLS LEGEND (especially if plenty of rain falls prior to flag fall) and CHIRICO VALLIS.
Favourite factor: Three of the six favourites (winners of the relevant contests at 2/1-6/4-11/8) have secured Placepot positions thus far.
Record of the course winners in the field:
1/5—Tornado In Milan (good to soft)
1/4—Pearls Legend (soft)
2/5—Truckers Highway (good to soft & soft)
1/3—River Purple (good)
2.45: Rain is a threat to the chance of GALACTIC POWER, though the forecast has not stopped punters investing in Robin Dickin’s Gamut gelding overnight. The same comment about the weather is a concern to other horses towards the head of the market, possibly enabling SCALES to build on his Newton Abbot victory the last day which was gained under heavy conditions. BRIGHT TOMORROW is another value for money option to consider against the short priced horses.
Favourite factor: The two favourites have secured gold and silver medals to date alongside Placepot positions.
Record of the course winners in the fifth contest:
1/7—Scales (good to soft)
3.20: Horses carrying a minimum burden of 11-2 have secured 11 of the 15 available Placepot positions to date, statistics which include all seven (12/1--8/1--5/1--3/1--11/4**--85/40*--15/8*) winners. There are three ‘qualifiers’ this time around and the relevant trio will represent yours truly, namely LEG LOCK LUKE, GOOD MAN VINNIE and THE ARTFUL COBBLER.
Favourite factor: Five of the eight favourites have secured toteplacepot positions thus far, stats which include three (11/4**, 85/40 & 15/8) winners via seven renewals.
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/3—Go On Henry (good)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Ludlow card on Monday – followed by stats at Ludlow for this season + profits/losses accrued:
3 runners—Henry Daly (0/6)
3—John Groucott (0/1)
3—Colin Tizzard (2/6 – loss of 1 point)
3—Tim Vaughan (0/3)
2—Jack R Barber (0/1)
2—Nicky Henderson (1/6 +1)
2—Paul Henderson (0/1)
2—Charlie Longsdon (2/8 +1)
2—David Pipe (0/2)
2—Matt Sheppard (1/7 (+1)
2—Jeremy Scott (No previous runners at Ludlow this season)
2—Nigel Twiston-Davies (1/7 – loss of 3 points)
2—Tom Weston (No previous runners)
2—Evan Williams (1/11 – loss of 5 points)
2—Venetia Williams (0/2)
+ 26 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
60 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Kempton: £16.40 – 8 favourites – 2 winners – 4 placed – 2 unplaced