HAYDOCK – DECEMBER 6
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Haydock:
Leg 1 (12.50): 5 (Pop Rockstar) & 1 (Thomas Patrick)
Leg 2 (1.20): 4 (Eamon An Cnoic), 3 (Buster Thomas) & 6 (Sainte Ladylime)
Leg 3 (1.55): 2 (Joke Dancer) & 5 (Shivermetimbers)
Leg 4 (2.25): 4 (Morney Wing) & 5 (Just Georgie)
Leg 5 (3.00): 4 (Ravensdale), 1 (Duke Debarry) & 5 (Spider’s Bite)
Leg 6 (3.30): 4 (Its’afreebee), 3 (Clan Legend) & 2 (Tawseef)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
12.50: POP ROCKSTAR is the call, if for no other reason than every time someone offers 3/1 on the exchanges in the dead of night, the odds are snapped up quickly. Five of the six runners saddled by the relevant trainer Jonjo O’Neill finished in the frame (exact science) on the opening day of the month, statistics which included two (7/1 & 2/1*) winners. Tom Lacey boasts a 21% strike rate via his last six winners and Tom’s recent soft ground Exeter winner THOMAS PATRICK should not be far away when the whips are raised above shoulder level. Un Guet Apens receives the reserve nomination given that James Ewart’s raider is at home on bad ground which is very likely to be in evidence at Haydock today with showers expected to fall on ground which is already described as saturated.
Favourite factor: This is a new meeting whereby there is no history of results.
1.20: The ‘jury is out’ regarding EAMON AN CNOIC (the only course winner in the field), given that David Pipe’s dual hurdle winner fell too early on his debut to predict how he might jump the bigger obstacles today. As the outsider of the six entries however, Tom Scudamore’s mount attracts the eye whereby if a double price figure emerges this morning, I will probably entertain the odds from a win and place perspective, albeit to minimum stakes. This is a horror story of a Placepot teaser, with BUSTER THOMAS and SAINTS LADYLIME being added into the permutation, however tentatively. Those raiders represent the in form yards of Emma Lavelle and Kim Bailey respectively and their entries should be there or thereabouts turning for home. From there, it’s a case of whose exhaustion level is at its lowest, and that’s only talking about the jockeys!
Record of the course winner in the second race:
1/1—Eamon An Cnoic (soft)
1.55: There is an element of interest in the 100/1 winner Samson’s Reach in this event, though the booking of Richard Johnson might account from some of the small liquidity which has been accommodated. JOKE DANCER is the call via the three possible winners in the field from my viewpoint, with Sue Smith’s four-year-old taken to get the better of SHIVERMETIMBERS close home.
2.25: Charlie Mann has saddled two of his last five runners to winning (25/1 & 9/2) effect and his mud loving raider MORNEY WING looks the safest Placepot option in the contest, notwithstanding his potential gold medal claim in this grade/company. Certainly Harry Bannister’s mount would be quite a confident Placepot call if all of the ‘dead eight’ runners faced the starter later today. Should that not be the case, JUST GEORGIE would be added into the equation, given that he has claimed five medals via seven outings on soft/heavy ground to date, albeit no ‘golds’ are in evidence to date via thirteen assignments. Unfortunately, I have to commit myself before breakfast is served in most dwellings whereby Sue Smith’s representative is included in my Placepot mix.
Record of the course winners in the fourth contest:
1/6—Granville Island (soft)
1/1—Morney Wing (heavy)
3.00: I have left three Placepot positions ‘open’ for this race which would raise serious questions if a non runner was to raise its ugly head, turning the event into a ‘win only’ contest. RAVENSDALE, DUKE DEBARRY and SPIDER’S BITE would be expected to snare the prize between them given that scenario; hence their Placepot numbers are included in my framework.
3.30: The lads and lasses in the trade press have got carried away with their 8/1 ‘offer’ about ITS’AFREEBEE in the lucky last with Dan Skelton’s raider probably being priced up at around half of those odds this morning. Bridget Andrews still represents good value for her three pound claim and the partnership should be bang in contention at the business end of proceedings, especially under the projected (heavy ground) conditions. Not only is Its’afreebee the only course winner in the field; both victories here have been gained on this type of ground. CLAN LEGEND rates as the main threat I’ll wager, though Donald McCain has already saddled four winners this month whereby it would be churlish in the extreme to ignore the claims of his recent Kelso winner TAWSEEF.
Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:
2/3—Its’afreebee (2 x heavy)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Haydock card on Wednesday – followed by their seasonal (in brackets) and five year ratios at the track + profits/losses accrued on both counts:
4 runners—Stuart Coltherd (0/1) – 1/8 – loss of 3 points
3—Donald McCain (0/2) – 10/79 – loss of 29 points
2—Nick Alexander (First runners this season) – 0/9
2—Henry Daly (0/1) – 4/30 – loss of 14 points)
2—Sue Smith (1/5 +2) – 11/98 +19
+ 27 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
40 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Ludlow: Meeting abandoned
Lingfield (A/W): £79.80 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Newcastle (A/W): £363.50 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 3 placed – 2 unplaced