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Newmarket TV Trends: Sun 5th May 2019

It's DAY TWO of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Sunday, with four more LIVE ITV races that include the second English Classic of the season - the 1,000 Guineas.

Did you know? 15 of the last 17 1,000 Guineas winners were placed in the top three last time out, while 11 of the last 17 won their most-recent outing

As always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Qatar Racing Handicap (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

14/15 – Had won at least twice before
14/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
12/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Finished in the top 5 in their last race
11/15 – Winning distance 1 ½ lengths or less
11/15 – Had won between 2-4 times before
10/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
10/15 - Had had a recent run that season
7/15 – Had run at Newmarket before (Rowley)
5/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/15 – Ridden by William Buick
3/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
1/15 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

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2.20 – Charm Spirit Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f ITV

15/15 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
14/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/15 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
13/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
11/15 – Aged 4 years-old
8/15 – Had run at the course before
8/15 – Won this on first run of the season
7/15 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
6/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
6/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Ran at Kempton last time out
3/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/15 – Ridden by William Buick
2/15 – French-trained winners (2 of the last 5)
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3


2.55 – Longholes Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

14/15 – Had won between 2-5 times before
13/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/15 – Had won over 6f before
13/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/15 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
10/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/15 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
7/15 – Returned between 10/1-12/1 in the betting
7/15 – Irish bred
6/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/15 – Winning favourites
Just 1 placed horse from stall 2 in the last 11 runnings
8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 9 or higher
Gifted Master won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1


3.35 – Qipco 1,000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

15/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/17 – Had won between 2-3 times before
12/17 – Had won a Group race before
12/17 - Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
11/17 – Won their previous race
11/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
10/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/17 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
9/17 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price
8/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
7/17 – Favourites unplaced
7/17 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
7/17 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
6/17 – Irish-trained winners
6/17 - Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
5/17 – Previous Group One winners
5/17 – Went onto win the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot
4/17 – Won by a US bred horse
4/17 – Won by the favourite
3/17 – French-trained winners
3/17 – Went onto finish fourth in the Epsom Oaks
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Kazzia 2002, Minding 2016)
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
8 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 13/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Hamdam Al Maktoum has won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 3 times (2012, 2015, 2016)
Godolphin have won the race 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Aidan O’Brien has trained four winners, Virginia Waters (1995), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016) & Winter (2017)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 4th May 2019

It’s day one of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, with the first English Classic of the season - the 2,000 Guineas - the feature race, while the ITV cameras are also taking in two races at Goodwood.

So, as always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Spring Lodge Stakes (Handicap) (Formerly The Suffolk Stakes) Cl2 1m1f ITV

14/14 – Had won at least twice before
14/14 – Had won over at least a mile before
12/14 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
12/14 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
12/14 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/14 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
9/14 – Rated between 90 and 96
8/14 – Aged 4 years-old
6/14 – Having their first run of the season
6/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Irish bred
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 - Winning favourites
Trainer Charlie Appleby won the race in 2018
Just 1 winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 11 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

2.20 - Zoustar Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

15/16 – Had won over 5f before
14/16 – Won 3 or more times before
13/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/16 – Had run at Newmarket before
12/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Aged 5 or younger
10/16 – Rated between 108 and 114
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/16 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Mabs Cross (9/2) won the race in 2018
Just one placed horse from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
7 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

2.55 – Roaring Lion Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

16/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/16 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
13/16 – Won over 1m4f+ before
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
12/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Aged 4 years-old
9/16 – Rated 112 or higher
9/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Had won a Group race before
7/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Having their first run of the season
6/16 – Aged 5 years-old
5/16 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/16 – Returned 7/4 in the bettingc
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/16 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Trained by Andre Fabre
Defoe (1/2 fav) won this race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3.35 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

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17/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/17 – Had won over at least 7f before
15/17 – Had won a Group race before
15/17 – Had won between 2-5 times before
15/17 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
13/17 – Won last time out
13/17 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
12/17 – Having their first run of the season
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
10/17 – Won by an Irish-based yard
9/17 – Irish bred
8/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (9 wins)
7/17 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Had won over a mile before
5/17 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/17 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/17 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/17 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
6 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 10/1

 

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017 & 2018
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

 

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – British Stallion EBF Daisy Warwick Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/8 – Came between stalls 1-5 (inc)
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Aged 4 years-old
5/8 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/8 – Had won between 2-3 times before
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
2/8 – Winners from stall 2
2/8 – Had raced at Goodwood before
2/8 – Raced at Ascot last time out
1/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 11/2

2.40 – Goodwood May Food Festival Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Carried between 8-7 and 8-12
6/6 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
6/6 – Had won between 2-4 races before
4/6 – Winners that came between stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/6 – Ran at Kempton last time out
2/6 – Aged 4 years-old
2/6 – Finished second last time out
2/6 – Ridden by Shane Kelly
2/6 – Winners from stall 5
1/6 – Winning favourites
Taurean Star (12/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 12/1

 

 

 

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