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Sat TV Trends: 8th Oct 2016

Sat TV Trends: 8th Oct 2016 - More LIVE C4 action this Saturday for day two of the Newmarket Cesarewitch Meeting. Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Betfred Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn & Dewhurst Stakes.

The C4 cameras are also at York to take in four races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.  As always we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

 

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Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

 

2.20 - Dubai Business Internships´ Fund Fillies´ Nursery Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

Just 2 previous runnings
Trainer Karl Burke won the race in 2014
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 23% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke has a 20% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 1 from 41 (2%) with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael Bell is just 2 from 38 (5%) with his 2 year-olds at the track
Jockey Jamie Spencer is only 1 from 49 (2%) riding 2 year-olds at the track

 

2.55 - Dubai 100 Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m CH4

11/11 – Had won over at least 7f before
11/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/11 – Had raced at least twice before
9/11 – Placed favourites
8/11 – Foaled in Feb or March
8/11 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/11 – Won last time out
8/11 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Winning favourites
1/11 – Irish-trained winners

Your first 30 days for just £1

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

 

3.30 - Dubai Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4

13/14 – Raced at least 3 times that season
13/14 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
12/14 – Placed in their last race
11/14 – Won over 7f previously
10/14 – Favourites placed
9/14 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (5) last time out
9/14 – Won at least 3 times previously
9/14 – Won their last race
9/14 – Won a Group race previously
8/14 – Foaled in either  Feb or March
8/14 – Won by an Irish-based stable
6/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/14 – Favourites that won
5/14 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/14 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
5/14 – Trained by Jim Bolger
5/14 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
4/14 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season
2/14 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
0/14 – Winners that came from stall 1
The Irish have won 8 of the last 10 runnings

 

4.10 – Betfred Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f CH4

13/14 – Aged 4 or older
12/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/14 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
11/14 – Had run within the last 2 months
11/14 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/14 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
10/14 – Finished 4th or better last time out
10/14 – Aged 5 or older
9/14 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
9/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/14 – Had run at the track before
8/14 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
8/14 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
7/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
7/14 – The first three home returned a double-figure price
7/14 – Won by a NH trainer
3/14 – Winning mares
3/14 – Winners from stall 1
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 25/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1993

 

York Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

 

2.35 - Download The Coral App Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y CH4

Just three previous running
Trainer Luca Cumani won the race in 2013
Trainer Charlie Appleby won the race in 2014
Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2015
Chancery won the race in 2015
2 of the last 3 winners were 3 year-olds
Sir Michael Stoute has a 22% record with his 3 year-olds here
Richard Fahey is just 7 from 130 (5%) with his 3 year-olds here
Ed Dunlop is just 1 from 27 (5%) with his 4+year-olds here
No winning favourite yet

 

3.10 – coral.co.uk Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

13/13– Had raced within the last month
12/13 – Foaled in March or later
12/13 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
11/13 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Had won over 6f before
10/13 – Had 4 or more runs that season
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/13 – Had never raced at York before
8/13 – Placed favourites
6/13 – Unplaced last time out
6/13 – Ran at either Redcar (4) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Winners from stall 2
3/13 – Filly winners
3/13 – Placed horses from stall 1
2/13 – Trained by Tim Easterby


3.45 – Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

13/13 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
13/13 – Had won at least 3 races before
12/13 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
12/13 – Had run at York before
12/13 – Had won a race over 6f before
9/13 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/13 – Aged 5 or younger
8/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/13 – Rated between 92 and 98
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
7/13 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/13 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
4/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/13 – Filly or mare winners

 

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Check Em Tuesday ran well last time out but this looks quite competitive with the favourite (Ice Alert) winning very easily a week ago. We think he will be difficult to beat, but if our filly handles this surface (she is trying it for the first time) then she would have a small each way chance at a decent price."
Mark Loughnane

04/10/16 1st 8/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 30th July 2016

A big day at Glorious Goodwood with their final day of their meeting, while the C4 cameras also take in two races at Newmarket – As always Andy Newton’s on hand with all the LIVE Saturday C4 race trends…………………

 

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NEWMARKET (JULY) (C4 & RUK)

2.15 - British Stallion Studs EBF Chalice Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f CH4

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10/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/10 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Had won no more than twice before
8/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/10 – Had won over 1m2 or further in the past
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
2/10 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 6/1
Note: From 2014 back the race was run at Newbury

 2.50 - British EBF Fillies´ Nursery Handicap Cl2 6f CH4

7/8 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
7/8 – Carried 9-3 or less
6/8 – Had won at least won race before
6/8 – Had won over 5 or 6f before
5/8 – Won by a March or April foal
4/8 – Drawn in stall 9 or 10
4/8 – Returned a double-figure price
3/8 – Unplaced favourites
2/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 9/1


GLORIOUS GOODWOOD (C4/RUK)


2.00 - Qatar Stewards´ Sprint Stakes (Handicap) (Consolation Race for Qatar Stewards´ Cup) Cl2 6f CH4

12/12 – Didn’t win their last race
12/12 – Raced at Goodwood previously
12/12 – Won at least 3 times during their career
11/12 – Had won over 6f previously
10/12 – Had 4 or more runs that season
8/12 – Finished 4th or worse in their last race
7/12 – Favourites unplaced
6/12 – Winning Distance - 1 ¼ lengths or more
6/12 – Raced at either York (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/12 – Priced between 8/1 and 12/1 in the market
6/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
4/12 – Won by the David Nicholls yard
3/12 – Trained by Clive Cox
3/12 – Ridden by Adrian Nicholls
2/12 – Favourites (none in the last 10 years)
0/12 – 3 year-old winners
The last 10 winners carried 9-0 or more
7 of the last 10 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-5
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
Horse from stall 3 has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 14/1

2.35 - Qatar (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f CH4

12/12 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/12 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
9/12 – Favourites
8/12 – Rated between 85-93
7/12 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
6/12 – Won over 1m4f previously
6/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the market
4/12 – Won their last race
4/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/12 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/12 – Ridden by Seb Sanders
2/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
0/12 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1
7 of the last 10 winners came from stall 10 or lower
Horses from stall 10 have won 2 of the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 8/1

3.10 - Qatar Nassau Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f192y CH4

12/12 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the market
11/12 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Aged either 3 or 4 years-old
9/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Had won over 1m2f previously
8/12 – Won between 2-4 times before
8/12 – Favourites
7/12 – Had won a Group One race previously
6/12 – Favourites
3/12 – Ridden by Tom Queally
3/12 – Trained by John Gosden (inc last 3 runnings)
2/12 – Won by the Sir Michael Stoute yard
2/12 – Won by the Aidan O’Brien yard
2/12 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
7 of the last 10 winners were drawn 7 or lower Stalls 1
6 and 7 have won 6 of the last 10 renewals
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3.45 – Qatar Stewards´ Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

13/13 – Aged 6 or younger
13/13 – Had won over 6f before
12/13 – Had at least 3 previous career wins to their name
11/13 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
11/13 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/13 – Placed favourites (top 4)
8/13 – Raced at either Ascot, York or Newmarket last time out
7/13 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
6/13 – Raced at Goodwood before
3/13 – Favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
2/13 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/13 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
2/13 – William Haggas
0/13 – Winning 3 year-olds
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/1
8 of the last 10 winners came from a double-figure stall
Stall 18 has won 2 of the last 9 runnings
7 of the last 9 top 2 finishers came from a double-figure stall
Since 1978 all bar one winner has been aged 6 or younger

 

Trainers Quotes

FREE TRIAL: TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 21 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Palmerston - Won well for us two runs back beating a fair yardstick in Fort Jefferson. That was over a mile so the return to this trip after trying 1m2f last time is a big plus. Yes, 5lbs higher than that win and higher grade but the horse is very well at home and I think we head here with a great each-way chance at a nice price. We've a few out today, but this one looks the value e/w bet from all my runners."
Mick Appleby

23/07/16 1st 20/1 

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