Posts

Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY TWO (Fri 12th July 2019)

The three-day 2019 Newmarket July Meeting continues on Friday (12th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

As we move into the second day (Gentleman's Day) the Group Two Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Cherry Hinton) and the Group One Falmouth Stakes take centre stage - did you know 16 of the last 17 Falmouth Stakes winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 


Newmarket July Meeting - Day Two,
Friday 12th July 2019


1.50 - bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

Your first 30 days for just £1

11/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Had won between 1-2 times before
10/12 – Have never run at Newmarket (July) before
9/12 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
9/12 – Placed in the top 6 last time out
7/12 – Unplaced favourites
6/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/12 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
6/12 – Trained by Mark Johnston (including 5 of last 6 runnings)
3/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Trained by Andrew Balding
0/12 – Winning favourites
Communique (8/1) won the race in 2018

2.25 - Duchess of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored by Bet365) (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

15/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
15/15 – Had raced at least twice before
14/15 – Foaled in Feb (6) or March (6)
14/15 – Had won between 1-2 times before
13/15 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
12/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
11/15 – Won by a UK-based yard
10/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
10/15 – Had won over 6f before
8/15 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by the Hannon team
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (inc 2 of last 3)
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (4 wins in total)
1/15 – Drawn in stall 1
Pretty Pollyanna (20/1) won the race in 2018

3.00 – bet365 Trophy (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

Just one previous running
The Charlie Appleby yard won this race in 2018
The Charlie Appleby yard have a 30% record with their 4+ year-olds at the track
The Mark Johnston yard have a 28% record with their 4+ year-olds at the track
The Andrew Balding yard are just 1 from 33 with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey PJ McDonald has a 38% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Andrea Atzeni has a 31% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey James Doyle has a 22% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3.35 – Tattersalls Falmouth Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

17/17 – Won a Listed or better class race previously
16/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/17– Won over at least 1 mile previously
13/17 – Won from stall 5 or lower
13/17 – Had 2+ runs that season
12/17 – Won at 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
10/17 – Favourites placed
7/17 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/17 – Had run on the Newmarket July course previously
6/17 – Previous Group One winners
5/17 – Won their last race
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 5)
2/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 3 runnings)
2/17 – French-trained winners
Alpha Centauri (4/9 fav) won the race in 2018

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 20 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

GET INVOLVED

 

Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY ONE (Thurs 11th July 2019)

The three-day 2019 Newmarket July Meeting gets started on Thursday (11th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

On day one the Group Two July Stakes and Princess of Wales's Stakes are the key contests - did you know that a 4 year-old has won 9 of the last 12 Princess Of Wales's Stakes?  

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 


Newmarket July Meeting - Day One,
Thursday 11th July 2019

 

1.50 - Bahrain Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f ITV

Your first 30 days for just £1

17/17 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
15/17 – Failed to win last time out
15/17 – Never run on the Newmarket July Course before
12/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
10/17 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/17 – Won at 3/1 or shorter
10/17 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
10/17 – Finished fifth or worse in their previous race
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by John Gosden (inc 4 of last 8 runnings)
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Ridden by William Buick
2/17 – Winners that came from stall 1
Wells Farhh Go (7/1) won the race in 2018

2.25 - Arqana July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

16/17 – Placed in their last run
16/17 – Had won over 5 or 6f previously
14/17 – Had 2 or more previous career starts
13/17 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/17 – Won their last race
10/17 – Won at 9/2 or shorter
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their last race
6/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
6/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/17 – Winners that came from stall 1
Frankie Dettori has ridden 5 winners in the race
Advertise (11/10) won the race in 2018

3.00 – Bet365 Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

13/13 – Didn’t win last time out
13/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
13/13 – Had won no more than 3 times before
12/13 – Had 3 or 4 previous runs that season
11/13 – Had won over 6f before
10/13 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
10/13 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/13 – Came from a double-figure stall
9/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Finished unplaced last time out
4/13 – Trained by Andrew Balding
4/13 – Ridden by David Probert
0/13 – Winning favourites
Foxtrot Lady (8/1) won the race in 2018

3.35 - Princess Of Wales´s Arqana Racing Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

15/17 – Aged 4 or older (4 year-olds have won 9 of last 12)
15/17 – Previously won over at least 1m4f
14/17 – Had 2 or more runs that season
13/17 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
12/17 – Won at 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
11/17 – Unplaced in their previous race
10/17 – Favourites that were placed
8/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their previous race
5/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 9 times in total)
4/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
Best Solution (6/1) won the race in 2018

 

===============================================================

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 19 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

GET INVOLVED

 

Sat TV Trends: 9th July 2016

It’s the final day of the Newmarket July Meeting, while the C4 cameras are also at York for the John Smith’s Cup, and Ascot too – with 10 LIVE races in all. As always Andy Newton is on-hand with all the key trends and stats for the LIVE C4 races.

 

tvtrends-300x73

 

 

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

3.25 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

13/14 – Had won over 7f or further previously
12/14 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
11/14 – Had 2 or more runs that season
8/14 – Unplaced in their last race
7/14 – Favourites unplaced
7/14 – Winners from stall 9 or higher
3/14 – Won their last race
3/14 – Winning Favourites
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 10/1

4.00 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f CH4

13/14 – Won over at least 6f previously
12/14 – Placed in their last race
11/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
11/14 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
9/14 – Won their latest race
9/14 – Won by either a March or April foal
8/14 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
6/14 – Favourites unplaced
4/14 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/14 – Winners from stall 3
4/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
4/14 – Winning Favourites
2/14 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 3)
2/14 – Trained by Mick Channon
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

4.35 - Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f CH4


Recent July Cup Winners.....

Your first 30 days for just £1

2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011     Dream Ahead (7/1)
2010    Starspangledbanner (2/1 fav)
2009    Fleeting Spirit (12/1)
2008    Marchand d'Or  (5/2 fav)
2007    Sakhee's Secret  (9/2)
2006    Les Arcs (10/1)
2005    Pastoral Pursuits (22/1)
2004    Frizzante (14/1)
2003    Oasis Dream (9/2)
2002    Continent (12/1)

14 Year July Cup Betting Trends

13/14 – Aged 5 or younger
12/14 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
12/14 – Had won over 6f before
11/14 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
11/14 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
10/14 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
9/14 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
9/14 – Placed last time out
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
6/14 – Won their previous race
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
2/14 – Irish-trained winners
1/14 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 17/2
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968

5.10 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

14/14 – Won over 7f previously
13/14 – Raced 3 or more times that season
10/14 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
10/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
9/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/14 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
8/14 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
7/14 – Winners from stall 15 or higher
7/14 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1st, 2nd and 3rd
6/14 – Placed in their last race
3/14 – Favourites
3/14 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11.5/1
Heaven’s Guest won the race in 2014


York Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


3.00 - John Smith´s Racing Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

12/12 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Ran within the last 3 weeks
11/12 – Had won over at least 1m before
10/12 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
10/12 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
9/12 – Had won between 2-4 times before
8/12 – Rated 90 or less
8/12 – Priced between 7/1 and 14/1
8/12 – Placed last time out
7/12 – Winning distance – ¾ or less
7/12 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Won by a USA-bred horse
3/12 – Had raced at York before
3/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8.5/1
8 of the last 10 winners came from stall 7 or lower
5 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 2 or 3

3.40 - John Smith´s Silver Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f CH4

10/10 – Aged 5 or younger
10/10 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
9/10 – Won from stall 10 or lower
8/10 – Didn’t win their previous race
6/10 – Aged 4 years-old
6/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Carried 9-5 or less
5/10 – Had run at York before
4/10 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
4/10 – Luca Cumani-trained horses that finished in the top three
4/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2
Continuum won the race in 2014

4.15 – 57th John Smith´s Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y CH4


Recent John Smith’s Cup Winners.......

2015 – Master Carpenter (14/1) Rod Millman
2014 – Farraaj (6/1) Roger Varian
2013 – Danchai (10/1) William Haggas
2012 – King’s Warrior (10/1) Peter Chapple-Hyam
2011 – Green Destiny (6/1) W Haggas
2010 – Wigmore Hall (5/1) M Bell
2009 – Sirvino (16/1) T Barron
2008 – Flying Clarets (12/1) R Fahey
2007 – Charlie Tokyo (11/1) R Fahey
2006 – Fairmile (6/1 jfav) W Swinburn
2005 – Mullins Bay (4/1 fav) AP O’Brien
2004 – Arcalis (20/1) J Howard Johnson
2003 -  Far Lane (7/1) B Hills
2002 – Vintage Premium (20/1) R Fahey

John Smith’s Cup Key Trends

14/14 – Aged 5 or younger
13/14 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
11/14 – Came from stall 9 or higher
11/14 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
9/14 – Carried 9-2 or less
9/14 – Top 3 finish in their previous race
9/14 – Aged 4 years-old
7/14 – Officially rated between 99-105
6/14 – Had run at York before
3/14 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
3/14 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
2/14 – Trained by William Haggas
2/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 12 years is 10.5/1

4.50 - John Smith´s City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f CH4

Only 5 previous runnings
Out Do won the race 12 months ago
5/5 – Won over 5f before
5/5 – Placed favourites
5/5 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
5/5 – Rated between 101 and 110
4/5 – Had only won at Handicap class before
4/5 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
4/5 – Unplaced last time out
3/5 – Won by a neck
3/5 – Won at York before
2/5 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/5 – Ridden by Phillip Makin


Ascot Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)


2.45 - Totescoop6 Heritage Handicap Cl2 5f CH4

Just 3 previous running
3/3 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1 or bigger
3/3 – Carried 8-10 or more
2/3 – Aged 4 years-old
Trainer Roger Varian won the race 12 months ago

3.15 - Fred Cowley MBE Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m CH4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
7/9 – Had won over at least a mile before
7/9 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/9 – Had raced at Ascot before (1 won)
6/9 – Placed favourites
6/9 – Previous Group race winner
5/9 – Had won at least 4 times before
5/9 – Aged 4 years-old
4/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Had won a Group 1 before
3/9 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/9 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 13/2
Trainers Quotes

FREE TRIAL: TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 21 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Indus Valley - Won at the track before so no issues on that front and will like the ground - the faster the better for this horse. Well weighted at the moment too. Will need a bit of luck in-running as a hold-up horse, but Kieren should keep him out of trouble - looks a decent e/w price to me."
Lee Carter

05/07/16 1st 9/1

"Dawnieriver - Very competitive race and we need to put a recent poor run behind us - been sent off as favourite the last twice. Probably found the shorter trip against her last time, but before that was a solid third of 9 at Uttoxeter and off a pound lower mark would have a chance if running to that level. Had a month off and seems well at home so not without a chance of being involved."
Michael Scudamore

04/07/16 2nd 20/1

 


Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

Newmarket Trends: Day One

Andy Newton is on hand with the key trends and trainer/jockey stats ahead of the opening day (Thurs) of the Newmarket July Meeting..... Read more