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Sat TV Trends: 25th June 2016

The Northumberland Plate takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse - running on their AW track for the first time, while the C4 cameras also head to Newmarket, plus it’s Irish Derby Day over at the Curragh - as always Andy Newton’s got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

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Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (C4 and RUK)


2.45 - Tangent Office Furniture Supporting The AHT Fred Archer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f CH4

14/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
12/14 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
11/14 – Had between 0 and 2 previous runs that season
11/14 – Didn’t win their previous race
11/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
9/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
8/14 – Aged 4 years-old
8/14 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
6/14 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/14 – Won by the Kremlin House stable
2/14 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

3.20 - Cambridge Magazine Supporting The AHT Empress Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 6f CH4

14/14 – Never raced at the track before
13/14 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
12/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
8/14 – Didn’t win their previous race
8/14 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
7/14 – Came from stall 4 or lower
5/14 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 3 Queen Mary)
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by the Hannon yard
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

3.55 - John Sunley Memorial Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f CH4

12/14 – Won over 7f before
12/14 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
12/14 – Had at least 1 run already that season
11/14 – Aged 5 or younger
10/14 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
9/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/14 – Came from stall 3 or lower
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
4/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 5 runnings)
3/14 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
Markaz won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/2


Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/C4)


2.30 - Betfred Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f CH4

14/14 – Had won over 6f before
13/14 – Unplaced last time out
12/14 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
10/14 – Yet to win a Group race
9/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/14 – Aged 5 or older
8/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/14 – Had run at Newcastle before
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/14 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/14 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/14 – Won last time out
Danzeno won the race in 2014 and was third 12 months ago
8 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 1-5
Just won winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings (and only 3 horses placed)

Your first 30 days for just £1

Note: Used to be run on the turf

3.05 - Betfred TV Handicap Cl2 6f CH4

14/14 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
11/14 – Had won over 6f before
10/14 – Rated 90 or less
10/14 – Had won between 1-4 times before
9/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
8/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/14 – Aged 4 years-old
8/14 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/14 – Had run at Newcastle before
3/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/14- Ran at York last time out
2/14 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/14 – Won last time out
11 of the last 12 winners came from stall 7 or HIGHER
6 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 10-15

Note: Used to be run on the turf

3.40 - Betfred Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation Race for the John Smith´s Northumberland Plate) Cl2 2m56y CH4

No previous runnings


4.15 – John Smith´s Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y CH4


Past Northumberland Plate Winners

2015 – Quest For More (15/2)
2014 – Angel Gabrial (4/1 fav)
2013 – Tominator (8/1)
2012 – Ile de Re (5/2 fav)
2011 – Tominator (25/1)
2010 – Overturn (14/1)
2009 – Som Tala (16/1)
2008 – Arc Bleu (14/1)
2007 – Juniper Girl (5/1 fav)
2006 – Toldo (33/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (14/1)
2004 – Mirjan (33/1)
2003 – Unleash (10/1)
2002 – Bangalore (8/1)

Northumberland Plate Trends

13/14  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
13/14 – Finished fifth or better last time out
12/14 – Came from stall 14 or lower
12/14 – Aged 6 or younger
11/14 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
11/14 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
10/14 – Carried 8-12 or less
8/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/14 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
6/14 – Won by a National Hunt yard
4/14 – Won their previous race
3/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 8 years)
3/14 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
2/14 – Trained by Donald McCain
1/14 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 14/1

Other Northumberland Plate Facts

No horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985
Five of the last 10 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
Eight winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001

Note: Used to be run on the turf


Curragh Horse Racing Trends (ATR)


5.20 - Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Filies) 1m4f


Recent Irish Derby Winners

2015 – JACK HOBBS (10/11 fav)
2014 – AUSTRALIA (1/8 fav)
2013 – TRADING LEATHER (6/1)
2012 - CAMELOT (1/5 fav)
2011 – TREASURE BEACH (7/2)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (7/2)
2009 – FAME AND GLORY (8/11 fav)
2008 – FROZEN FIRE (16/1)
2007 – SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (5/1)
2006 – DYLAN THOMAS (9/2 fav)
2005 – HURRICANE RUN (4/5 fav)
2004 – GREY SWALLOW (10/1)
2003 – ALAMSHAR (4/1)

Key Irish Derby Betting Trends and Stats

13/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/13 – Had 3 or more wins in their career
11/13 – Won by an Irish-based yard
11/13 – Won a Group race before
11/13 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/13 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
11/13 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/13 – Failed to win their last race
9/13 – Had never raced at the Curragh before
9/13 – Ran in the Epsom Derby last time out
8/13 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won it 11 times in all)
6/13 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (2 winners, Australia & Camelot)
3/13 – Previous Group 1 winners
2/13 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
2/13 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
The average winning SP in the last 12 years is 4/1

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Coiste Bodhar - Will certainly want the ground to ease further as I feel he is best suited to good-to-soft, or softer. Didn't handle the track at Newcastle and it wasn't soft enough at Nottingham when he was only beaten 3 1/2 lengths. Well at home and if the ground is on the slow side he would have a decent e/w claim."
Scott Dixon
14/06/16 1st 16/1

"Sarabi - Ran a solid race over 6f last time out after a break. Looks like she will appreciate the step back down to 5f and the ground is of no concern today. Currently looks good each-way value."
Scott Dixon
14/06/16 2nd 20/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 14th May 2016

After a week at York there is no let-up as the C4 cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover 4 races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three races from Newmarket – As always Andy Newton’s got all the big race trends…..

 

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Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)


2.45 - Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y CH4

13/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/13 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
10/13 – Drawn 4 or lower
9/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Irish bred
8/13 – Had run at Newbury before
8/13 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
8/13 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
6/13 – Aged 4 years-old
6/13 – Had won between 1-3 times before
4/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/13 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
3/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/13 – Winning favourites
1/13 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

Your first 30 days for just £1


3.20 - Toronado Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y CH4

10/11 – Had won over 6f before
10/11 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
10/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
9/11 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
7/11 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
5/11 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Drawn in stall 3
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1


3.55 - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m CH4

13/13 – Won over a mile before
12/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/13 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Had won a Group One race before
10/13 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/13 – Having their first run of the season
9/13 – Aged 4 years-old
9/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Unplaced last time out
3/13 – Won by a mare
3/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/13 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
4/13 – Won by the Hannon yard
2/13 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute (Has won the race 7 times in all)
2/13 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
0/13 – No winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1
No winner aged 7 or older since 1958


4.30 - Al Zubarah London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y CH4

13/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before
12/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/13 – Rated 90 or lower
10/13 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Carried 8-10 or more
10/13 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
8/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/13 – Won last time out
7/13 – Had won over 1m2f before
6/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – Raced at Newbury before (2 won)
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/13 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/13 - Trained by Ed Dunlop
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Steve Drowne
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)


3.00 – Betfair Acca Edge Handicap Cl2 1m6f CH4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/9 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
8/9 – Had won at least twice before
8/9 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
7/9 – Rated 95 or lower
7/9 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Favourites that finished in the top 4 (1 joint)
7/9 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/9 – Had raced at Newmarket before
6/9 – Carried 9-1 or more
6/9 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
5/9 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Trained by Andrew Balding
1/9 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 8.3/1


3.35 –Betfair Cash Out King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f CH4

12/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Won only once before
11/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/13 – Winners from stall 4 or lower
10/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/13 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
8/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
6/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by the Hills stable
2/13 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/13 – Trained by Richard Hannon (Last two winners)
1/13 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 15/2


4.10 - Betfair Price Rush Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

13/13 – Had won between 1-3 times before
11/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Had won over 6f before
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/13 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Carried 8-12 or more
9/13 – Finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
8/13 – Rated between 91-96
8/13 – Favourites placed in the top 4
7/13 – Had raced at Newmarket before
7/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Won by a mare/filly
2/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Won by the Kremlin House (Varian) stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7.3/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 26th Sept 2015

The C4 cameras head to Newmarket for a top day of high-class action, including their Cambridgeshire Handicap, plus are also at Market Rasen – Andy Newton’s on hand with all the key trends.

Find those TV winners!

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

2.00 - Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m CH4

13/13 – Won one or two races before
12/13 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/13 – Won over 7f or further before
12/13 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
10/13  - Either US or Irish bred
10/13 – Raced within the last month
9/13 – Foaled in Feb or March
9/13 – Had only won over 7f
7/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Favourites
3/13 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/13 – Trained by John Gosden
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1
Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

2.35 - Connolly´s Red Mills Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f CH4

13/13 – Placed in the top two last time out
13/13 – Had won over 6f before
12/13 – Foaled in Feb or March
12/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
11/13 – Had 3 or more previous runs
11/13 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Won their last race
10/13 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
9/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Won exactly 2 previous races
7/13 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
7/13 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/13 – Favourites (1 joint)
4/13 – Winners drawn in stall 6
2/13 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas
2/13 – Trained by the Hannon yard
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

3.10 - Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f CH4

Your first 30 days for just £1

12/12 – Won over 6f
11/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/12 – Won last time out
10/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
10/12 – Had raced 3 or more times
10/12 – Won at least twice
10/12 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley)
8/12 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
8/12 – Foaled in either Feb or March
7/12 – Favourites placed
4/12 – Raced at Deauville last time out
3/12 – Won by an Irish-based stable
3/12 – Favourites
2/12 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
1/12 – Winners that came from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004 & 2011

3.50 - Betfred Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f CH4

13/13 – Aged 6 or younger
12/13 – Won 3 or more times in their career
11/13 – Won over 1m2f
11/13 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
10/13 – Winners from a double-figure stall
10/13 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
9/13 – Placed 5th or better last time out
9/13 – Favourites unplaced
9/13 – Rated between 90-100
9/13 – Had 5 or more runs that season
8/13 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
7/13 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
5/13 – Raced at Newbury last time out
3/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Trained by John Gosden
1/13 – Won last time out
Bronze Angel won the race in 2012 & 2014
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 21/1

5.00 - British Stallion Studs EBF "Jersey Lily" Fillies´ Nursery Handicap Cl2 7f

11/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/11 – Won no more than twice
10/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Carried 8-8 or more in weight
9/11 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Won 1-2 times before
8/11 – Foaled in March
8/11 – Failed to win last time out
8/11 – Favourites unplaced
7/11 – Officially rated between 75-79
7/11 – Won over 7f before
4/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/11 – Favourites
2/11 – Trained by William Haggas
2/11 – Won by Godolphin
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/2

Market Rasen Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

2.15 - Racing Fx Prelude Hurdle Handicap Class 1 (Listed Race) Cl1 2m148y CH4

7/7 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
7/7 – Won over 2m previously
6/7 – Aged either 5 or 8 years-old
6/7 – Favourites unplaced
5/7 – Won between 2-4 times
4/7 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/7 – Unplaced in their last race
4/7 – Carried 10-10 or less in weight
4/7 – Had run at Market Rasen
3/7 – Rated 122-125 (inc)
3/7 – Aged 5 years-old
3/7 – Raced on the flat last time out
2/7 – Raced at Bangor last time out
2/7 – Aged 8 years-old
0/7 – Favourites

2.50 - Racing Fx Prelude Chase Handicap Class 1 (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f89y CH4

11/11 – Aged 9 or younger
11/11 – Won over at least 2m4f
10/11 – Won between 2 and 4 times over fences
8/11 – Placed 4th or better in their last race
8/11 – Ran within the last 10 weeks
8/11 – Carried 10-9 or more in weight
7/11 – Favourites unplaced
5/11 – Rated between 123 and 125
5/11 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
5/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/11 – Raced at Market Rasen
4/11 – Raced a Newton Abbot last time out
3/11 – Trained by Peter Bowen
0/11 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12.5/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th August 2015

More LIVE C4 horse racing action this Saturday as the cameras head to Goodwood, Newmarket and Beverley - As always we've got all the big race trends and stats for each LIVE race.

Find those TV winners!

 

GOODWOOD (C4/RUK)

2.00 – 888sport Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4

12/12 – Placed in the top three last time out
12/12 – Won over 6 or 7f previously
11/12 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
10/12 – Had no more than 2 previous runs
10/12 – Favourites placed
9/12 – Had won just once before
9/12 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
9/12 – Won their last race
9/12 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Won over 7f previously
6/12 – Favourites
5/12 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
2/12 – Trained by John Gosden
2/12 – Trained by Mick Channon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 3/1

2.35 - 888sport Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

11/12 – Had 3 or more runs that season
10/12 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Won 3 or more times before
10/12 – Won over 7f before
10/12 – Placed 5th or better last time out
9/12 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
9/12 – Favourites placed
9/12 – Aged 4 or older
8/12 – Had run at Goodwood before
7/12 – Carried 9-0 or more
4/12 – Previous course and distance winners
4/12 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/12 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

Your first 30 days for just £1

3.10 - 888sport March Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f CH4

10/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Won over at least 1m4f before
9/10 – Ran at Goodwood before (4 won)
8/10 – Aged 6 or younger
8/10 – Rated between 107-115
8/10 – Won at least 3 times before
7/10 – Carried 9-7 or more in weight
6/10 – Favourites unplaced
6/10 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
5/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/10 – Irish bred
3/10 – US bred
3/10 – Favourites
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by Amanda Perrett
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 3/1

3.45 - Betfair Celebration Mile (Group 2) Cl1 1m CH4

11/12 – Winning distance 1 ½ lengths or shorter
11/12 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
10/12 – Aged 5 or younger
10/12 – Had won over a mile before
9/12 – Priced 7/1 or less
8/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/12 – Had 3 or more runs that season
8/12 – Won 4 or more times before
8/12 – Raced at Goodwood before (3 CD winners)
7/12 – Previous Group winners
7/12 – Raced at either Goodwood (4) or Newbury (3) last time out
4/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/12 – Won by a mare
2/12 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

NEWMARKET (C4/RUK)

2.50 – Fly easyJet From London Southend Airport Handicap Cl2 1m5f CH4

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Aged 4 years-old
3/3 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
3/3 – Priced 8/1 or bigger in the betting
0/3 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 11/2

3.25 - Stobart Club And Shop Hopeful Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Aged 4 or older
9/10 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Had won over 6f before
8/10 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Rated 106+
7/10 – Won between 3-6 (inc) times previously
7/10 – Winners from stalls 5-11 (inc)
6/10 – Favourites unplaced
5/10 – Ran at Newmarket before (July)
4/10 – Irish bred
3/10 – US bred
3/10 – Favourites
2/10 – Trained by Dean Ivory
Tropics has won the last 2 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

BEVERLEY (C4/RUK)

2.20 - totescoop6 Beverley Bullet Sprint Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f CH4

10/11 – Unplaced in their last race
10/11 – Winning distance 1 length or less
10/11 – Had 3 or more runs that season
9/11 – Won over 5f previously
9/11 – Won 3 or more times previously
8/11 – Won a Listed or Group race previously
7/11 – Raced at Beverley before (4 won)
7/11 – Favourites placed
4/11 – Aged 3 years-old
3/11 – Ridden by Tom Eaves
2/11 – Trained by Ian Semple
2/11 – Trained by Bryan Smart
1/11 – Favourites
5 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 7/1

 

Trainers Quotes

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Sat TV Trends: 8th August 2015

The C4 cameras are at Ascot this Saturday for their unique Shergar Cup fixture, plus they are also at Newmarket and Haydock – As always Andy Newton’s got all the LIVE C4 TV race trends…….

Find those TV winners!

 

ASCOT (C4/MORE4)

12.55 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f More 4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/7 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
7/7 – Ran at Ascot previously
7/7 – Didn’t their last race
6/7 – Had 4 or more runs that season
6/7 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
5/7 – Placed favourites
5/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/7 – Won at least 3 times in their career
4/7 – Won over 5f before
3/7 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/7 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/7 – Won by the Andrew Balding stable
The average winning SP in the last 7 renewals is 9/2

1.30 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m More 4

11/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/11 – Rated between 86-94
9/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Won between 2-5 times before (flat)
9/11 – Ran within the last 2 weeks
9/11 – Raced at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (4) last time out
9/11 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
9/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
9/11 – Ran at the track previously
6/11 – Favourites
2/11 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/11 – Trained by Ian Williams
1/11 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

2.05 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f CH4

Your first 30 days for just £1

11/11 – Aged 6 or younger
10/11 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Officially rated between 87-94
9/11 – Won between 1-4 times previously
9/11 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
9/11 – Won over 1m4f before
8/11 – Aged 4 years-old
7/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
6/11 – Raced at Ascot previously
5/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
5/11 – From outside the top 3 in the betting market
5/11 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
3/11 – Won their last race
2/11 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/11 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

2.40 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

11/11 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
11/11 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Won over at least a mile previously
11/11 – Failed to win last time out
10/11 – Rated between 92-100
10/11 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
10/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
8/11 – Won between 2-4 times before
8/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
7/11 – Raced at Ascot previously
4/11 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
3/11 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/11 – Favourites
Don’t Call Me won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1

3.15 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – CH4

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
6/6 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
6/6 – Ran 3 or more times that season
5/6 – Officially rated between 84-90
5/6 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
4/6 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/6 – Favourites placed
2/6 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 7/1

3.50 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f CH4

11/11 – Raced within the last 4-5 weeks
11/11 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
10/11 – Won over 6f before
10/11 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
10/11 – Won between 2-3 times previously
9/11 – Officially rated between 86-94
9/11 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
8/11 – From the top three in the betting market
8/11 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
8/11 – Placed favourites
5/11 – Raced at Ascot before
4/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
3/11 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1

HAYDOCK (C4/RUK)

2.20 - Betfred Goals Galore Handicap Cl2 1m2f95y CH4

11/11 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
9/11 – Won over 1m2f before
9/11 – Won between 1-3 times before
9/11 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
9/11 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
8/11 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old7/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/11 – Favourites placed in the top 4
6/11 – Rated between 86-95
4/11 – Drawn in stall 8 (2) or 10 (2)
3/11 – Won their last race
3/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/11 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

2.55 - Betfred Rose of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f95y CH4

12/12 – Officially rated 105 or higher
12/12 – Aged 5 or younger
11/12 – Yet to run at Haydock
10/12 – Placed favourites
10/12 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
10/12 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
10/12 – Won a Listed or better class race before
10/12 – Won over 1m2f or further
10/12 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
9/12 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
9/12 – Won 3 or more times during their career
9/12 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
8/12 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/12 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
3/12 – Favourites
2/12 – Won by the Mark Johnston stable
2/12 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

NEWMARKET – JULY (C4/RUK)


3.35 - German-Thoroughbred.com Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4

11/12 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
11/12 – Won just once before
11/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
11/12 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting market
11/12 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
10/12 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
8/12 – Won last time out
8/12 – Placed favourites8/12 – Won over only 6f previously
7/12 – Had just one previous run
6/12 –  Favourites
6/12 – Ran at Newmarket (July) previously
5/12 – Ran at Newmarket (3) or Sandown (2) last time out
5/12 – Won by Godolphin
3/12 – Won over 7f before
3/12 – Trained by the Hills yard
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 27th June 2015

The Northumberland Plate is the big race at Newcastle, while the C4 cameras are also at Newmarket, plus, don’t forget, it’s Irish Derby Day over at the Curragh – We’ve got all the TV races covered….

Find those TV winners!

Newmarket (C4 and RUK)

2.15 - Marshall Maserati Supporting The AHT Fred Archer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f CH4

13/13 – Won over at least 1m2f before
12/13 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
11/13 – Had between 0 and 2 previous runs that season
11/13 – Didn’t win last time out
10/13 – Favourites placed
8/13 – Aged 4 years-old
8/13 – Won a Listed (or better) class race before
8/13 – Won over 1m4f before
7/13 – Priced 10/3 or shorter in the betting
5/13 – Favourites (2 joint)
2/13 – Won by the Kremlin House stable
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/13 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

2.50 - Betfair Supporting The Animal Health Trust Empress Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 6f CH4

13/13 – Never raced at the track previously
12/13 – Won over either 5 or 6f previously
11/13 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
8/13 – Didn’t win last time out
8/13 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
7/13 – Came from stall 4 or lower
5/13 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 3 Queen Mary)
4/13 – Favourites
4/13 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
3/13 – Trained by the Hannon yard
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

3.25 - John Sunley Memorial Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f CH4

12/13 – Won over 7f previously
12/13 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
11/13 – Had at least 1 run already that season
10/13 – Aged 5 or younger
9/13 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
7/13 – From stall 3 or lower
7/13 – Favourites Unplaced
4/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/13 – Favourites
3/13 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 4 runnings)
3/13 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

Newcastle (ATR/C4)

2.00 - Betfred Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f CH4

13/13 – Won over 6f previously
12/13 – Unplaced in their last race
12/13 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
10/13 – Yet to win a Group race
10/13 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Won at least 4 times before
8/13 – Aged 5 or older
8/13 – Favourites placed
8/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/13 – Raced at Newcastle previously
5/13 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/13 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/13 – Won their last race
Danzeno won the race 12 months ago
8 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 1-5
Just won winner from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings (and only 2 horses placed)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

2.35 - Betfred Half Time In-Play Boosts Handicap Cl2 6f CH4

13/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Aged 6 or younger
10/13 – Had won over 6f previously
10/13 – Rated 90 or less
9/13 – Won between 1-4 times previously
9/13 – Unplaced last time out
9/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Raced within the last 2 weeks
7/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/13 – Aged 4 years-old
7/13 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
7/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/13 – Raced Newcastle previously
3/13 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/13-  Raced at York last time out
2/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Trained by Tim Easterby
1/13 – Won their last race
10 of the last 11 winners came from stall 7 or HIGHER
6 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 10-15
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 9.5/1

3.10 - Betfred Membership "Play Your Way" Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

Your first 30 days for just £1

13/13 – Won over 7f or a mile previously
12/13 – Aged 6 or younger
11/13 – Won over 7f previously
10/13 – Rated between 80-90
10/13 – Ran within the last 2 weeks
10/13 – Won between 2-5 times previously
9/13 – Raced at Newcastle previously (2 won)
9/13 – Aged 5 or younger
8/13 – Favourites placed
8/13 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
7/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
5/13 – Favourites
5/13 – Price 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/13 – Won their last race
4/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/13 – Trained by Brian Ellison
2/13 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
Five of the last 11 horses from stall 11 have been placed
9 of the last 10 winners came from either stalls 1-5 or 10-12
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 6/1

3.45 – John Smith´s Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y CH4

Past Northumberland Plate Winners

2014 – Angel Gabrial (4/1 fav)
2013 – Tominator (8/1)
2012 – Ile de Re (5/2 fav)
2011 – Tominator (25/1)
2010 – Overturn (14/1)
2009 – Som Tala (16/1)
2008 – Arc Bleu (14/1)
2007 – Juniper Girl (5/1 fav)
2006 – Toldo (33/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (14/1)
2004 – Mirjan (33/1)
2003 – Unleash (10/1)
2002 – Bangalore (8/1)

Key Northumberland Plate Trends

12/13  - Won over at least 1m4f previously on the flat
12/13 – Placed fifth or better last time out
11/13 – Winners from stall 14 or lower
11/13 – Aged 6 or younger
10/13 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
10/13 – Won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
10/13 – Placed in the top three in their previous race
8/13 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
7/13 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
6/13 – Won by a National Hunt yard
3/13 – Raced at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 7 years)
3/13 – Won on the flat at Newcastle previously
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Trained by Donald McCain
1/13 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 14/1

Other Northumberland Plate Facts

No horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985
Five of the last nine winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
Eight winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985
Trainer Paul Cole had the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001

Curragh (ATR)

6.30 - Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Filies) 1m4f

Recent Irish Derby Winners

2014 – AUSTRALIA (1/8 fav)
2013 – TRADING LEATHER (6/1)
2012 - CAMELOT  (1/5 fav)
2011 – TREASURE BEACH (7/2)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (7/2)
2009 – FAME AND GLORY (8/11 fav)
2008 – FROZEN FIRE (16/1)
2007 – SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (5/1)
2006 – DYLAN THOMAS (9/2 fav)
2005 – HURRICANE RUN (4/5 fav)
2004 – GREY SWALLOW (10/1)
2003 – ALAMSHAR  (4/1)

Key Irish Derby Betting Trends and Stats

12/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
11/12 – Won 3 or more times
11/12 – Won by an Irish-based yard
11/12 – Won a Group race previously
10/12 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
10/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/12 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
10/12 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Didn’t win last time out
8/12 – Never raced at the Curragh previously
8/12 – Raced in the Epsom Derby last time out
8/12 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won it 11 times in all)
5/12 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (2 winners, Australia & Camelot)
3/12 – Previous Group 1 winners
2/12 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
2/12 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
The average winning SP in the last 12 renewals is 9/2

 

 

 

Trainers Quotes

FREE TRIAL: TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 20 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Akavit: Ran a nice race last time, despite losing his winning sequence. Still think he's capable off this mark - but is there something lurking with a better handicap mark?"
Ed de Giles

22/06/15 1st 10/1

"Layline: Dropped in grade so every chance of going well. Trip, mark and AW all fine, just hoping for a bit of a change of luck as not a lot going right at the moment!"
Gay Kelleway

22/06/15 1st 8/1

"El Fenix: Hopefully the drop in trip might bring out some improvement in him which will give him a reasonable chance."
Gary Moore

19/06/15 1st 4/1

"Goolagong Girl: Won well last time - up in the ratings, but the horse is in great shape and we come here hopeful of another win."
Jane Chapple-Hyam

19/06/15 1st 8/1

"Injun Sands: Has done really well since the win at Lingfield and the form is very good. Just concerned about a fast track - it seems by the times the surface has firmed up."
Jane Chapple-Hyam

18/06/15 1st 7/2

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