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Stat of the Day, 18th September 2020

Thursday's pick was...

3.00 Ayr : Glasses Up @ 11/2 BOG 5th at 4/1 (In rear of midfield, ridden towards centre of track 2f out, headway over 1f out, kept on final furlong)

Friday's pick runs in the...

2.45 Ayr :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Normally, I'll identify and share the selection between 8.00am and 8.30am and I then add a more detailed write-up later within an hour or so of going "live".

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Nomadic Empire @ 4/1 BOG

...in the 12-runner, Listed, Harry Rosebery Stakes for 2yo over 5f on Good To Soft ground worth £16,517 to the winner... 

Why?...

Well, once again, the racecard holds the key here...

...whilst the place setting on Instant Expert shows...

...and the pace/draw heat map set at 10-12 runners...

All of which is (a) self explanatory and (b) more than enough to hang a bet on, but I do just want to expand slightly on the Trainer/Jockey/Course 5 year record to show we're not leaning on old data, as of the 20 from 95 record shown on the racecard angle, the last three (inc this one so maybe 2.5?) seasons currently stand at ...

...from which...

  • 10/36 (37.8%) for 42.3pts (+117.4%) from male runners
  • 8/29 (27.6%) for 39.8pts (+137.1%) on Good/Soft ground
  • 7/20 (35%) for 39.3pts (+196.5%) at 6-15 dslr
  • 6/19 (31.6%) for 39.0pts (+205.3%) in fields of 10-14 runners
  • 6/26 (23.1%) for 35.8pts (+137.5%) from those unplaced LTO
  • 4/11 (36.4%) for 26.5pts (+240.9%) at the Scottish Gold Cup meeting
  • and 3/9 (33.3%) for 15.5pts (+172.2%) on Soft ground...

...whilst males racing in fields of 10-14 on Good/Soft at 6-15 dslr are 4 from 5 (80% SR) for 39.0pts (+780% ROI) including 3/4 (75%) for 36.5pts (+912.5%) from those who failed to make the frame LTO...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Nomadic Empire @ 4/1 BOG as was widely available at 8.10am Friday (bigger in places!), but as always please check your own BOG status (*some firms are not BOG until later in the morning)To see a small sample of odds offered on this race...

...click here for the betting on the 2.45 Ayr

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

Here is today's racecard

PS - all P/L data in this piece is taken at Industry SP and therefore can be bettered for those of you with access to BOG accounts.

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS