Tag Archive for: Plumpton racecourse

Racing Insights, Monday 04/12/23

The pace tab on our racecards gives valuable insight into not only how every race is likely to be run, but also what the best run styles are in the given conditions and using this feature will keep you one step ahead of the masses. It's such an essential facet of betting that we make this information freely available to all readers for all races every Sunday and Monday, including of course, our free races of the day...

  • 1.45 Plumpton
  • 7.00 Wolverhampton
  • 8.00 Wolverhampton

...none of which I fancy, sadly, so I'm going to look at the highest rated and most valuable race of the day, the 2.45 Plumpton, a competitive-looking, 7-runner, Class 3, 3yo+ mares' handicap hurdle over a left-handed 2m4½f (but nearer to 2m5½f after a 174yds rail adjustment) on good to soft ground...

The Height of Fame and A Tickatickatiming both won last time out and the latter has won to of her last four. All the Glory was a runner-up most recently and has won two from six with three runner-up finishes, so she's pretty consistent. Ilovethenightlife was pulled up on her last run but has won two from four. Iorens and Pretending are both winless over hurdles after four and six efforts respectively whilst Belles Benefit has won just once in nineteen attempts.

Belles Benefit's cause probably won't be helped by stepping up two classes either, as The Height of Fame, Pretending, All The Glory & A Tickatickatiming all step up one level with the last-named duo making their handicap debuts here. Top weight Ilovethenightlife actually drops down a class, leaving Iorens as the only one to have raced at this grade last time out, but that was some 277 days and she might well now need the run, especially as the others have all raced in the last seven weeks (five of them in the last two to four weeks).

A Tickatickatiming won here LTO over 2m four weeks ago and she's 2 from 3 here and is the only previous course winner in the field, whilst Ilovethenightlife's 2m5f win at Newbury and The Height of Fame's multiple 2m5½f successes are the only ones we've seen at this kind of trip. Instant Expert has these and other relevant stats, of course...

...where the standout stat is The Height of Fame's suitability for the trip. As mentioned, A Tickatickatiming goes weel here and has also won her sole effort on good to soft ground, unlike All The Glory who is only 1 from 8. Belles Benefit's win record at 2m4f to 2m6f is very poor and the following place stats aren't that encouraging for her either...

They do, however, present a very case for All The Glory making the frame even if her win records aren't good.

Today's feature is the PACE side of the equation and our Pace Analyser tells us we'd be best suited by backing a front-runner or prominent type...

Ideally we want a horse who scores 3 or more on our pace profiling and thankfully, by clicking the pace tab, we can see how this field usually runs and we have four horses with at least three scores of 3 or more in their last four outings...

...and these four would be the ones I'd look at firstly. That said, I don't think Belles Benefit is going to have much chance here, so I'd be taking All The Glory, A Tickatickatiming and The Height of Fame as my three against the field.


From All The Glory, A Tickatickatiming and The Height of Fame that I've taken from the pace stats, All The Glory has the best place record under these conditions, but doesn't win often enough. That said, she's available at 13/2 and that's a decent E/W option in my opinion, especially if your bookie is paying three places.

As for a winner, I think The Height of Fame edges it via a superior record at today's type of trip and she's currently the 3/1 fav. I'd expect her to beat A Tickatickatiming, whose own 5/1 ticket isn't long enough for me to consider an E/W punt.

Racing Insights, Monday 20/11/23

The pace tab on our racecards helps to make a reasoned assumption based upon a field's most recent runs as to how their next race might unfold. This information is vastly under-used by UK bettors, but we feel it's that important that we make this info totally free for all races every Sunday & Monday.

This, of course, includes our daily free races, which for Monday are...

  • 12.30 Plumpton
  • 3.20 Plumpton
  • 4.30 Kempton
  • 6.00 Kempton

The 'best' of those races would appear to be the 3.20 Plumpton, a 6-runner, Class 4, 4yo+ handicap chase over a left-handed 2m1f on good to soft/soft ground...

NO RISK WITH LOU won on his hurdles debut a year ago and then also won on his chase debut at Huntingdon last time out, making virtually all on his way to a 7-lengfth success five weeks ago. Up 8lbs for the win, but should go well again.

RED WINDSOR made the frame in three (won once) of his five hurdles outings, but looked like he needed the run when last of 4 (85 lengths adrift) on chasing debut six weeks ago. He jumped well enough but just seemed to run out of steam.

GITCHE GUMEE won a bumper on debut in March '22 and then won next time out on hurdles debut some seven months later. Aside from a fall at Southwell two starts ago, has hurdled well in five subsequent runs and now makes a chasing & handicap debut seven months after his last outing.

KOTMASK started his career with back to back wins over hurdles (one at Class 2) and last season's hurdle form read 4322. Made a chasing debut at Kempton four weeks ago and defied a seven month layoff to finish third, beaten by less than seven lengths and should improve for the experience and for having had a run.

BONARC has yet to make the frame in five efforts over fences and has lost his last ten races in total since a win at Kilbeggan 18 months ago. His last run run saw him finish last of four at Sligo, some 47 lengths adrift and others look better placed here.

AVILES has been a runner-up in all five UK starts to date, including today (Sunday) at Fontwell, which puts his participation here in doubt, but having only gone down by a nose on chasing debut today, could be dangerous off a lowly mark of just 104.

All bar Aviles (obviously) and Red Windsor have scored over this type of trip in the UK, but we've no former course winners, according to Instant Expert...

...which suggests that Bonarc might well be all at sea on the going and at this grade, whilst his record at the trip is no better, so I'm happy to rule him out of contention right away. Elsewhere, we've admittedly not much data to work with, but Kotmask does at least seem like he'll relish the softness of the turf and that thought is backed up by his place data...

...which also highlights Aviles' continued door-knocking.

Pace is Monday's free feature and a quick click of the PACE tab for this race brings us to a screen like this...

...which suggests that Red Windsor will set the pace and Bonarc will be held up and if we consult our Pace Analyser for similar past races...

...we see that those racing further forward fare best, but leaders find themselves prone to being picked up by the stalking prominent runner late on. This looks better news for Aviles & No Risk With Lou than the others.


I don't like Bonarc at all, Gitche Gumme makes a handicap/chasing debut after a long layoff and pace-setter Red Windsor has a tendency to fade late on, so I'm against these three.

No Risk With Lou was very impressive on chase debut last time out and there's probably more to come from him, he fits the pace profile well and should put a decent effort in here, even if Instant Expert is against him. Kotmask was the pick on Instant Expert and was in good hurdling form last season. He has had the benefit of a recent pipe-opener over fences and should go well again, but the pace stats are against him, whilst Aviles is ultra-consistent (five runner-up finishes on the bonce) but always finds one too good for him.

None of the trip are a shoo-in, but 9/4 fav No Risk With Lou probably shades it based on his winning run last time out with little to separate the other pair, providing Aviles runs, that is.

Racing Insights, Monday 06/11/23

Monday’s free feature of the day is full access to the pace tab for all races. This is available to all free registered users of Geegeez and gives huge insight into which runners might be most or least disadvantaged by their early positions in each race.

The free races of the day on Monday are...

  • 2.20 Hereford
  • 3.30 Kempton
  • 4.07 Plumpton
  • 5.30 Wolverhampton

The Kempton contest is a Listed race, but only four runners are set to go to post, so 'next best' of those races above is the 3.07 Plumpton, a 13-runner, Class 3, 4yo+ handicap chase over a left-handed 3m1½f on good to soft ground...

Wouldubewell, Kayf Hernando, Blade Runner and Tip Top Mountain all won last time out and the latter comes here on a hat-trick having been in great form last season, winning his last two, three from five and four from seven. Shanty Alley is the only one without a win in the recent formline, having suffered eleven consecutive defeats. He has made the frame in five of those defeats (inc 4 x runner-up), but has also failed to finish five of them (1 x UR and 4 xPU)!

Lots of class movement here, as only I See You Well, Ballinsker, Wake Up Early and Midnight Mary ran at Class 3 last time around. Up The Straight and Dom of Mary both drop down from Class 2, but the other seven runners all step up a class here with Kayf Hernando running for the first time since wind surgery and Sublime Heights wears a first-time tongue tie.

Six of the field (I See You Well, Island Run, Wake Up Early, Blade Runner, Sublime Heights and Up The Straight) have had the benefit of a run in the last 13-31 days, but their seven rivals have been off the track for five to seven months, which might be a disadvantage here.

Up The Straight and Ballinsker have both won 2mf chases here at Plumpton, whilst Wouldubewell, Shanty Alley and Midnight Mary have won over similar trips to today at other tracks. I See You Well, Tip Top Mountain, Sublime Heights and Blade Runner are course and distance winners, but Kayf Hernando, Dom of Mary, Wake Up Early and Island Run have won at neither track nor trip, as demonstrated by Instant Expert below...

...where the highlights include Tip Top Mountain's 2 from 3 on good to soft, his 2 from 3 at Plumpton and his 2 from 2 at the trip. I See You Well (5/9), Blade Runner (3/4) and Sublime Heights (3/5) have good records here, whilst those liking this trip include Wouldubewell, Kayf Hernando, I See You Well, Sublime Heights and Blade Runner all with multiple wins and a strike rate og 50% or higher.

The place stats look like this...

...and after removing any horse with any amber or red boxes, I'd suggest these were the ones best suited/more likely to 'get' the conditions...

Past similar 10+ runner races here at Plumpton have favoured horses held up for a run...

...but we don't have that many in this field, according to the Pace tab, which shows us how this field have approached their last four outings...

...but I'd expect the bottom trio to be close to the back of the pack.


I think that Wouldubewell, Kayf Hernando, Tip Top Mountain, Sublime Heights, Blade Runner and Island Run are going to be best suited by conditions, but I'm going discount Sublime Heights from that list, due to long losing run and the fact that he's unreliable.

Blade Runner and Tip Top Mountain are the two bringing the best set of recent results to the table and although I think I like the latter more than the former, he might well need the run after 197 days off, whilst the former raced just 24 days ago. With that in mind, I'd be inclined to suggest Blade Runner as the winner here, but his current odds of 4/1 fav aren't particularly generous/attractive, but I'd be happy with 10/1 E/W from Bet365 about Tip Top Mountain.

I'd also expect the 6/1 pair Kayf Hernando & Island Run to be in the shake-up.