Tag Archive for: Queen´s Vase Key Trends

2022 Royal Ascot Betting Trends – Day Two (Weds 15th June)

As we move into the second day at ROYAL ASCOT, the feature contest on DAY TWO at Royal Ascot is the Group One Prince of Wales’s Stakes at 4.20 – Did you know – 19 of the last 20 Prince Of Wales’s Stakes winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old, while 14 of the last 20 successful horses in the race were previous Group One winners.

Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

Day Two – Wednesday 15th June 2022

2.30 - Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) 5f ITV

Queen Mary Recent Winners

2021 – Quick Suzy (8/1)
2020 – Campanelle (9/2)
2019 – Raffle Prize (18/1)
2018 – Signora Cabello (25/1)
2017 – Heartache (5/1)
2016 – Lady Aurelia (2/1 fav)
2015 – Acapulco (5/2 fav)
2014 – Anthem Alexander (9/4 fav)
2013 – Rizeena (6/1)
2012 – Ceiling Kitty (20/1)
2011 – Best Terms (12/1)
2010 – Maqaasid (9/4 fav)
2009 – Jealous Again (13/2)
2008 – Langs Lash (25/1)
2007 – Elletelle (20/1)
2006 – Gilded (11/2)
2005 – Flashy Wings (4/1 jfav)
2004 – Damson (11/2 jfav)
2003 – Attraction (13/8 fav)
2002 – Romantic Liason (16/1)

Queen Mary Stakes Trends

19/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
19/20 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
16/20 – Had won over 5f (or shorter) before
16/20 – Won their previous race
16/20 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar
14/20 – Placed favourites
7/20 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/20 – Returned a double-figure price
4/20 – Trained by Wesley Ward (including 3 of last 7 runnings)
3/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (3 of the last 6)
2/20 – Won by trainer Richard Hannon

 

3.05 - Queen´s Vase (Listed) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 2m ITV

Queen´s Vase Recent Winners

2021 – Kemari (15/2)
2020 – Santiago (10/3)
2019 – Dashing Willoughby (6/1)
2018 – Kew Gardens (10/3)
2017 – Stradivarius (11/2)
2016 – Sword Fighter (33/1)
2015 – Aloft (5/2 fav)
2014 – Hartnell (7/2)
2013 – Leading Light (5/4 fav)
2012 – Estimate (3/1 fav)
2011 – Namibian (7/2 fav)
2010 – Mikhail Glinka (2/1 fav)
2009 – Holberg (7/1)
2008 – Patkai (6/4 fav)
2007 – Mahler (7/1)
2006 – Soapy Danger (4/1)
2005 – Melrose Avenue (4/1)
2004 – Duke Of Venice (9/2)
2003 – Shanty Star (7/2 fav)

Queen´s Vase Key Trends

17/19 – Had never raced at Ascot before
13/19 – Placed last time out
12/19 – Had at least 2 previous career wins
12/19 – Had run over at least 1m4f before
10/19 – Placed favourites
7/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
6/19 – Ran at either Lingfield or Haydock last time out
6/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 - Trained by Mark Johnston
5/19 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/19 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 4 times in all)
2/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
No winner from stall 1 in the last 16 years
The horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 15 runnings (4 wins)
15 of the last 16 winners came from a single-figure stall
6 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 7 or 8

 

3.40 - Prince of Wales´s Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f ITV

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Recent Winners

2021 – Love (11/10 fav)
2020 – Lord North (5/1)
2019 – Crystal Ocean (3/1)
2018 – Poet’s Word (11/2)
2017 – Highland Reel (9/4)
2016 – My Dream Boat (16/1)
2015 – Free Eagle (5/2 fav)
2014 – The Fugue (11/2)
2013 – Al Kazeem (11/4)
2012 – So You Think (4/5 fav)
2011 – Rewilding (17/2)
2010 – Byword (5/2 fav)
2009 – Vision D’etat (4/1)
2008 – Duke of Marmalade (Evs fav)
2007 – Manduro (15/8 fav)
2006 – Ouija Board (8/1)
2005 – Azamour (11/8 fav)
2004 – Rakti (3/1)
2003 – Nayef (5/1)
2002 -  Grandera (4/1)

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Trends

20/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
19/20 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
19/20 – Won by a 4 or 5 year-old
17/20 – Finished in the top three last time out
16/20 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
14/20 – Were previous Group 1 winners
13/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Won their last race
11/20 – Had run at Ascot before
10/20 – Won by a non-UK based trainer
7/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 10)
3/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/20 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3 of the last 14 runnings have gone to a French-trained horse
Lord North won this race in 2020

 

4.20 - The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Windsor Forest) (Group 2) 1m ITV

Duke of Cambridge Recent Winners

2021 – Indie Angel (22/1)
2020 – Nazeef (10/3)
2019 – Move Swiftly (9/1)
2018 – Aljazzi (9/2)
2017 – Qemah (5/2 fav)
2016 – Usherette (9/4 fav)
2015 – Amazing Maria (25/1)
2014 – Integral (9/4 fav)
2013 – Duntle (10/3)
2012 – Joviality (11/1)
2011 – Lolly For Dolly (11/1)
2010 – Strawberrydaiquiri (9/2)
2009 – Spacious (10/1)
2008 – Sabana Perdida (4/1)
2007 – Nannina (3/1 co-fav)
2006 – Soviet Song (11/8 fav)
2005 – Peeress (14/1)
2004 – Favourable Terms (13/2)

Duke of Cambridge Trends

17/18 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
16/18 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
15/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/18 – Won by a 4 year-old
14/18 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
12/18 – Had run at Ascot before
11/18 – Favourites that were placed
7/18 – Had won at Ascot before
6/18 – Returned a double-figure price
5/18 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/18 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
4/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/18 – Ran at Epsom last time out
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 10 and last 2 runnings)
2/18 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/18 – Winners from stall 1
Only four placed horses (2 winners) from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings

 

5.00 - Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) 1m ITV

 

Royal Hunt Cup Recent Winners

2021 – Real World (18/1)
2020 – Dark Vision (15/2)
2019 – Afaak (20/1)
2018 – Settle For Bay (16/1)
2017 – Zhui Feng (25/1)
2016 – Portage (10/1)
2015 – GM Hopkins (8/1)
2014 – Field of Dream (20/1)
2013 – Belgian Bill (33/1)
2012 – Prince Of Johanne (16/1)
2011 – Julienas (12/1)
2010 – Invisible Man (28/1)
2009 – Forgotten Voice (4/1 fav)
2008 – Mr Aviator (25/1)
2007 – Royal Oath (9/1)
2006 – Cesare (14/1)
2005 – New Seeker (11/1)
2004 – Mine (16/1)
2003 – Macadamia (8/1)
2002 – Norton (25/1)

Royal Hunt Cup Trends

18/20 – Had won over at least a mile before
17/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/20 – Returned a double-figure price
15/20 – Carried 9-1 or less
14/20 – Unplaced favourites
12/20 – Had run at Ascot before
12/20 – Won by a 4 year-old (inc 10 of the last 13 runnings)
10/20 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season
5/20 – Won their last race
2/20 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/20 – Won by trainer John Gosden
1/20 – Winning favourites
Overall, high number stalls have dominated in recent years
13 of the last 16 winners came from a double-figure stall
We’ve seen 3 winners from stall 33 in the last 13 runnings

 

5.35 - Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f ITV

Windsor Castle Recent Winners

2021 – Chipotle (22/1)
2020 – Tactical (7/2 fav)
2019 – Southern Hills (7/1)
2018 – Soldier’s Call (12/1)
2017 – Sound And Silence (16/1)
2016 – Ardad (20/1)
2015 – Washington DC (5/1)
2014 – Hootenanny (7/2 fav)
2013 – Extortionist (16/1)
2012 – Hototo (14/1)
2011 – Frederick Engels (9/4 fav)
2010 – Marine Commando (9/2)
2009 – Strike The Tiger (33/1)
2008 – Flashmans Papers (100/1)
2007 – Drawnfromthepast (9/1)
2006 – Elhamri (20/1)
2005 – Titus Alone (11/4)
2004 – Chateau Istana (12/1)
2003 – Holborn (5/2 fav)
2002 – Revenue (14/1)

Windsor Castle Trends

20/20 – Had at least 1 previous outing
19/20 – Won by a foal born April or earlier
18/20 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs
15/20 – Had won over 5f before
14/20 – Placed last time out
14/20 – Had never run at Ascot before
11/20 – Returned a double-figure price (inc a 100/1 winner)
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
9/20 – Won their previous race
9/20 – Won by a Feb foal
4/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Wesley Ward
2/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 7)
Just 2 horses placed from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
10 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

6.10 – Kensington Palace Stakes (Handicap) (4yo+) fillies and mares 1m ITV4

1 previous running
Trainer David Loughnane won this race last season
Trainer Archie Watson is just 1-from-27 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is just 3-from-110 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

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