Tag Archive for: Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2022 Royal Ascot Betting Trends – Day Five (Sat 18th June)

The 2022 Royal Ascot Meeting heads into it's final day on Saturday and we’ve another seven ‘must-see’ races to look forward to. The Group One Platinum Jubilee (4:20) the big highlight as some of the best sprinters around line-up for the big prize. So, we’ve got EVERY race covered for you from a trends and stats angle to help you find the best profiles of past winners and hopefully narrow down the fields in your search of some 2022 Royal Ascot winners.

Royal Ascot Horse Racing  Trends (Racing TV/ITV

2.30 - Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 7f ITV

Chesham Stakes Recent Winners

2021 – Point Lonsdale (10/11 fav)
2020 – Battleground (11/4 fav)
2019 – Pinatubo (3/1)
2018 – Arthur Kitt (13/2)
2017 – September (11/8 fav)
2016 – Churchill (8/11 fav)
2015 – Suits You (14/1)
2014 – Richard Pankhurst (10/1)
2013 – Berkshire (16/1)
2012 – Tha’ir (9/2)
2011 – Maybe (5/2 fav)
2010 – Zaidan (7/1)
2009 – Big Audio (22/1)
2008 – Free Agent (7/2 jfav)
2007 – Maze (11/2)
2006 – Champlain (7/2)
2005 – Championship Point (4/1)
2004 – Whazzat (7/1)
2003 – Pearl Of Love (11/10 fav)

 

Chesham Stakes Key Trends

19/19 – Had no more than 2 previous career runs
17/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/19 – Ran over 6f last time out (10 won)
16/19 – Had just 1 previous career run
15/19 – Were foaled in March or earlier
14/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Won their previous race
7/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/19 – Irish trained-winners (Aidan O’Brien, 4 of the last 6 winners)
2/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Ryan Moore has ridden the winners in 2011, 2016, 2017, 2020 & 2021
15 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 1-8
7 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 7 (4)
13 of the last 16 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
Trainer Paul Cole has won the race 4 times before

 

3.05 - Jersey Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 7f ITV

Recent Jersey Stakes Winners

2021 – Creative Force (5/1 jfav)
2020 – Molatham (11/2)
2019 – Space Traveller (25/1)
2018 – Expert Eye (8/1)
2017 – Le Brivido (2/1 fav)
2016 – Ribchester (7/1)
2015 – Dutch Connection (14/1)
2014 – Mustajeeb (9/2 jfav)
2013 – Gale Force Ten (9/2 fav)
2012 – Ishvana (20/1)
2011 – Strong Suit (11/1)
2010 – Rainfall (8/1)
2009 – Ouqba (12/1)
2008 – Aqlaam (13/2)
2007 – Tariq (15/2)
2006 – Jeremy (9/2)
2005 – Proclamation (7/1)
2004 – Kheleyf (6/1)
2003 – Membership (20/1)
2002 -  Just James (20/1)

 

Jersey Stakes Trends

18/20 – Had at least 1 run already that season
16/20 – Had 4 or more career runs
12/20 – Had won over 7f before
12/20 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
10/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/20 – Had run at Ascot before
8/20 – Horses from stall 8 placed
8/20 – Unplaced favourites
7/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/20 – Won their previous race
4/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 wins in total)
2/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (5 wins in total)
The Irish have won 3 of the last 10 runnings
The horse from stall 11 has finished 2nd in 5 of the last 14 runnings

 

 

3.40 - Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

Hardwicke Stakes Recent Winners

2021 – Wonderful Tonight (5/1)
2020 – Fanny Logan (17/2)
2019 – Defoe (11/4 fav)
2018 – Crystal Ocean (4/7 fav)
2017 – Idaho (9/2)
2016 – Dartmouth (10/1)
2015 – Snow Sky (12/1)
2014 – Telescope (7/4 fav)
2013 – Thomas Chippendale (8/1)
2012 – Sea Moon (3/1 fav)
2011 – Await the Dawn (4/6 fav)
2010 – Harbinger (8/11 fav)
2009 – Bronze Cannon (8/1)
2008 – Macarthur (11/8 fav)
2007 – Maraahel (10/3)
2006 – Maraahel (9/2)
2005 – Bandari (10/1)
2004 – Doyen (6/5 fav)
2003 – Indian Creek (14/1)

Hardwicke Stakes Key Trends

19/19 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
19/19 – Had won a Group 2 or 3 previously
17/19 – Placed last time out
16/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/19 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
13/19 – Had run at Ascot before
13/19 – Aged 4 years-old (inc last 11 winners)
12/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3), Mark Johnston (2) or Sir Michael Stoute (7)
12/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/19 – Won their previous race
7/19 – Ran at Epsom last time out (Coronation Cup)
7/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
13 of the last 16 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
11 of the last 16 winners returned 5/1 or shorter
No winner from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
7 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)

 

4.20 - Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 6f ITV

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Recent Winners

2021 – Dream Of Dreams (3/1 fav)
2020 – Hello Youmzain (4/1)
2019 – Blue Point (6/4 fav)
2018 – Merchant Navy (4/1)
2017 – The Tin Man (9/2)
2016 – Twilight Son (7/2)
2015 – Undrafted (14/1)
2014 – Slade Power (7/2 fav)
2013 – Lethal Force (11/1)
2012 – Black Caviar (1/6 fav)
2011 – Society Rock (25/1)
2010 – Starspanglebanner (13/2 jfav)
2009 – Art Connoisseur (20/1)
2008 – Kingsgate Native (33/1)
2007 – Soldier’s Tale (9/1)
2006 – Les Arcs (33/1)
2005 – Cape Of Good Hope (8/1)
2004 - Fayr Jag (12/1)
2003 – Choisir (13/2)

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Key Trends

18/19 – Previous distance (6f) winners
16/19 – Previous Group Race winners
15/19 – Aged 5 or younger
14/19 – Had run at Ascot before
13/19 – Failed to win their last race
12/19 – Won by a UK-based yard
8/19 – Returned a double-figure price
8/19 – Unplaced favourites
6/19 – Ran in the King’s Stand Stakes earlier at the meeting
5/19 – Winning favourite (joint)
2/19 – Trained by James Fanshawe
7 of the last 17 winners were Irish-bred
9 of the last 17 winners came from a low-figure draw
No winner from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
6 of the last 17 winners returned a double-figure price

 

5.00 - Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-110) 6f ITV4

Wokingham Stakes Recent Winners

2021 – Rohaan (8/1)
2020 – Hey Jonesy (18/1)
2019 – Cape Byron (7/2 fav)
2018 – Bacchus (33/1)
2017 – Out Do (25/1)
2016 – Outback Traveller (10/1)
2015 – Interception (10/1)
2014 – Baccarat (9/1)
2013 – York Glory (14/1)
2012 – Dandy Boy (33/1)
2011 – Deacon Blues (15/2)
2010 – Laddies Poker Two (9/2 fav)
2009 – High Standing (8/1)
2008 – Big Timer I (20/1)
2007 – Dark Missile (22/1)
2006 – Baltic King (10/1)
2005 – Iffraaj (9/4 fav)
2004 – Lafi (6/1 fav)
2003 – Ratio (14/1) / Fayr Jag (10/1)  (dead-heat)

 

Wokingham Stakes Key Trends

22/22 – Had won before over 6f or 7f
20/22 – Had no more than 4 runs that season­­
20/22 – Finished sixth or better last time out
20/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
19/22 – Had won a race over 6f before
18/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/22 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
13/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/22 – Had run at Ascot before (8 had won here)
11/22 – Ran at either Ascot, Goodwood or Newmarket last time
7/22 – Won their previous race
5/22 – Won by the favourite
11 of the last 16 winners carried 9-3 or less in weight
10 of the last 16 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
12 of the last 16 winners came from a double-figure draw
11 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall
8 of the last 11 runnings - the top 2 finishers all came from double-figure stalls
Horse from stall 15 has been placed in 3 of the last 10 runnings
Since 1980 there have been only 8 winning favourites
Since 1980 there have been 32 winners returning a double-figure price

 

5.35 - Golden Gates Handicap (3yo) 1m2f ITV4

Just the 2 previous runnings
Foxes Tales (13/2) won this race in 2021
Highland Chief (20/1) won this race in 2020
Trainer Andrew Balding won this race in 2020
Trainer Paul and Oliver Cole won this race in 2020
Jockey Rossa Ryan won this race in 2020
Both past winners came between stalls 13-16 (inc)
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 5-from-84 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Frankie Dettori has a 20% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Ryan Moore has a 19% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

6.10 - Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 2m5f159y ITV4

Queen Alexandra Stakes Recent Winners

2021 – Stratum (4/1)
2020 – Who Dares Wins (Evs fav)
2019 – Cleonte (7/2)
2018 – Pallasator (11/2)
2017 – Oriental Fox (10/1)
2016 – Commissioned (12/1)
2015 – Oriental Fox (4/1)
2014 – Pique Sous (11/4)
2013 – Chiberta King (8/1)
2012 – Simenon (11/4 fav)
2011 – Swingkeel (11/2)
2010 – Bergo (10/1)
2009 – Caracciola (6/1)
2008 – Honolulu (7/4 fav)
2007 – Enjoy The Moment (6/1)
2006 – Baddam (11/2)
2005 – Cruzspiel (10/1)
2004 – Corrib Eclipse (25/1)
2003 – Cover Up (4/5 fav)

Queen Alexandra Stakes Key Trends

17/19 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/19 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
12/19 – Had run at Ascot before
10/19 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years old
7/19 – Won by a NH yard
6/19 – Irish-trained winners
4/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/19 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/19 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
2/19 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
12 of the last 16 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
12 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 9-16 (inc)
11 of the last 15 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

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2022 Royal Ascot Betting Trends – Day Three (Thurs 16th June)

We are into the third day at Royal Ascot – Ladies Day – this Thursday and we’ve another top afternoon of flat horse racing and high fashion to look forward to. But on Ladies Day it’s all about one race – the Ascot Gold Cup – and all eyes will be on Stradivarius as he looks for win number four in the contest!

Here at Geegeez we've got all the the key stats for each race on day three - Ladies Day.

Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

Day Three – Thursday 16th June 2022

2.30 - Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f ITV4

Norfolk Stakes Recent Winners

2021 – Perfect Power (14/1)
2020 – The Lir Jet (9/2)
2019 – A’Ali (5/1)
2018 – Shang Shang Shang (5/1)
2017 – Sioux Nation (14/1)
2016 – Prince Of Lir (8/1)
2015 – Waterloo Bridge (12/1)
2014 – Baitha Alga (8/1)
2013 – No Nay Never (4/1)
2012 – Reckless Abandon (4/1)
2011 – Bapak Chinta (6/1)
2010 – Approve (16/1)
2009 – Radiohead (10/1)
2008 – South Central (11/4 fav)
2007 – Winker Watson (2/1 fav)
2006 – Dutch Art (11/4)
2005 – Masta Plasta (7/2)
2004 – Blue Dakota (5/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Valour (4/1)

Norfolk Stakes Trends

19/19 – Had at least 1 previous run
18/19 – Previous winners over 5f
17/19 – Had a RPR of 105+
17/19 – Had never raced at Ascot before
16/19 – Won their previous race
14/19 – Foaled in March or April
11/19 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/19 – Favourites placed
6/19 – Returned a double-figure price
3/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Ran at Windsor last time out
2/19 – Trained by Wesley Ward
2/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (4 wins in total)
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Aidan O’Brien has trained 2 of the last 7 winners
11 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 7-12 (inc)

3.05 - King George V Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m4f ITV4

King George V Stakes Recent Winners

2021 – Surefire (5/1)
2020 – Hukum (12/1)
2019 – South Pacific (22/1)
2018 – Baghdad (9/1)
2017 – Atty Persse (7/1)
2016 - Primitivo (13/2)
2015 – Space Age (9/1)
2014 – Elite Army (4/1 jfav)
2013 – Elidor (20/1)
2012 – Fennell Bay (12/1)
2011 – Brown Panther (4/1 jfav)
2010 – Dandino (7/1)
2009 – Cosmic Sun (66/1)
2008 – Colony (11/2 fav)
2007 – Heron Bay (20/1)
2006 – Linas Selection (9/2)
2005 – Munsef (14/1)
2004 – Admiral (9/1)
2003 – Fantastic Love (10/1)

 

King George V Stakes Trends

18/19 – Had at least 2 previous runs that same season
18/19 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
18/19 – Never raced at Ascot before
18/19 – Placed last time out
16/19 – Carried 8-13 or less
13/19 – Had won over at least 1m2f previously
11/19 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
10/19 – Favourites placed
10/19 – Won their previous race
6/19 – Won by trainers Sir Michael Stoute (2) or Mark Johnston (4)
4/19 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/19 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/19 – Godolphin-owned
11 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 10-20 (inc)
8 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 10-16 (inc)

 

3.40 - Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £77,092 1m4f ITV4

Ribblesdale Stakes Recent Winners

2021 – Loving Dream (18/1)
2020 – Frankly Darling (11/8 fav)
2019 – Star Catcher (4/1)
2018 – Magic Wand (10/3)
2017 – Coronet (9/1)
2016 – Even Song (15/8 fav)
2015 – Curvy (9/2)
2014 – Bracelet (10/1)
2013 – Riposte (9/2)
2012 – Princess Highway (17/2)
2011 – Banimpire (3/1 fav)
2010 – Hibaayeb (4/1 jfav)
2009 – Flying Cloud (5/1)
2008 – Michita (10/3 fav)
2007 – Silkwood (4/1)
2006 – Mont Etoile (25/1)
2005 – Thakafaat (22/1)
2004 – Punctilious (9/2)
2003 – Spanish Sun (9/2)

Ribblesdale Stakes Trends

16/19 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
16/19 – Had never raced at Ascot before
14/19 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
14/19 – Placed in their previous race
13/19 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/19 – Won their last race
6/19 – Irish-trained winners (5 of last 10)
5/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/19 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 8)
3/19 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just two winners from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
8 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)

 

4.20 - Ascot Gold Cup (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

Recent Ascot Gold Cup Winners

2021 – Subjectivist (13/2)
2020 – Stradivarius (4/5 fav)
2019 – Stradivarius (Evs fav)
2018 – Stradivarius (7/4 jfav)
2017 – Big Orange (5/1)
2016 – Order Of St George (10/11 fav)
2015 – Trip To Paris (12/1)
2014 – Leading Light (10/11 fav)
2013 – Estimate (7/2 fav)
2012 – Colour Vision (6/1)
2011 – Fame And Glory (11/8 fav)
2010 – Rite of Passage (20/1)
2009 – Yeats (6/4 fav)
2008 – Yeats (11/8 fav)
2007 – Yeats (8/13 fav)
2006 – Yeats (7/1)
2005 – Westerner (7/4 fav)
2004 – Papineau (5/1)
2003 – Mr Dinos (3/1)
2002 – Royal Rebel (16/1)

Ascot Gold Cup Trends

18/20 – Had no more than 2 previous runs that season
17/20 – Had won over at least 2 miles on the flat before
17/20 – Had between 1-2 previous runs that season
15/20 – Favourites that were placed
15/20 – Won their last race
14/20 – Previous Group 1 winners
11/20 – Aged 5 or older
11/20 – Won by the favourite
7/20 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/20 – Ran at Sandown last time out (Henry II Stakes)
14 of the last 16 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10 of the last 16 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
Godolphin won the race in 1996, 1998, 2004 & 2012
Aidan O’Brien has trained the winner in 2016, 2014, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006
John Gosden has trained the winner in 2018, 2019 and 2020
Since 1949 there have been 15 multiple winners of the race

 

5.00 - Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m ITV4

Britannia Stakes Recent Winners

2021 – Perotto (18/1)
2020 – Khaloosy (9/2)
2019 – Biometric (28/1)
2018 – Ostillo (10/1)
2017 – Bless Him (25/1)
2016 – Defrocked (13/2)
2015 – War Envoy (10/1)
2014 – Born In China (14/1)
2013 – Beauty Flame (20/1)
2012 – Fast Or Free (6/1 fav)
2011 – Sagramor (8/1)
2010 – Ransom Note (9/1)
2009 – Fareer (20/1)
2008 – Fifteen Love (28/1)
2007 – Eddie Jock (33/1)
2006 – Sir Gerard (9/2 fav)
2005 – Mostashaar (10/3 fav)
2004 – Mandobi (8/1)
2003 – New Seeker (16/1)

Britannia Stakes Trends

17/19 – Had no more than 3 previous runs that season
16/19 – Had won a race over 7f or 1m before
15/19 – Placed last time out
13/19 – Failed to win their previous race
13/19 – Carried 8-13 or less
13/19 – Had never run at Ascot before
12/19 – Returned a double-figure price
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
8/19 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/19 – Had only won over 7f previously
4/19 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/19 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just one top three finish horse from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
12 of the last 16 winners came from a double-figure stall (last 2 winners from stall 19)

 

5.35 - Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m2f ITV4

Hampton Court Stakes Recent Winners

2021 – Mohaafeth (11/8 fav)
2020 – Russian Emperor (10/3)
2019 – Sangarius (13/2)
2018 – Hunting Horn (5/1)
2017 – Benbatl (9/2)
2016 – Hawkbill (11/2)
2015 – Time Test (15/8 fav)
2014 – Cannock Chase (7/4 fav)
2013 – Remote (9/4 fav)
2012 – Energizer (15/2)
2011 – Pisco Sour (20/1)
2010 – Afsare (9/4 fav)
2009 – Glass Harmonium (8/1)
2008 – Collection (13/2)
2007 – Zaham (7/2 fav)
2006 – Snoqualmie Boy (33/1)
2005 – Indigo Cat (3/1 fav)
2004 – Moscow Ballet (8/1)
2003 – Persian Majesty (8/1)

Hampton Court Stakes Trends

18/19 – Had not raced at Ascot before
16/19 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
16/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/19 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
11/19 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/19 – Unplaced favourites
7/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 - Ran at Epsom last time out
4/19 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
4/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/19 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
No winner from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
13 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
10 of the last 16 winners came from stall 5-9 (inc)

6.10 - Buckingham Palace Handicap (3yo+) 7f ITV4

Buckingham Palace Handicap Trends

7/7 – Returned 12/1 or bigger in the betting
7/7 – Unplaced favourites
6/7 – Had run at Ascot before
6/7 – Had won over at least 6f before
6/7 – Had 5+ wins before
6/7 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
6/7 – Rated between 92-98
6/7 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
6/7 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
4/7 – Bred in Ireland
4/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
2/7 – Came from stall 29
2/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
0/7 – Winning favourites