Tag Archive for: Sat TV Trends: 5th March 2022

Sat TV Trends: 5th March 2022

We’ve had better LIVE Saturday ITV race days, but with the Cheltenham Festival on the horizon then it’s no surprise the quality is slightly down – Newbury, Kelso and Doncaster provide the LIVE ITV action this week, and, as always, here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

1.15 – Play Pick 6 And Win £1000 Veterans´ Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (Leg 3 of Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m2f110y ITV

10/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
8/11 – Aged 10 years-old
9/11 – Won over at least 3m (chase)
7/11 – Favourites unplaced
5/11 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
5/11 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
2/11 – Won their last race
1/11 – Winning favourites
Trainer David Pipe won the race in 2015 and 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 7/1

 

1.50 – BetVictor Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f ITV

16/17 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
15/17 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
15/17 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
14/17 – Won over this trip previously
13/17 – Raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) previously
12/17 – Officially rated 139 or higher
12/17 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
11/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
10/17 – Favourites placed
9/17 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
9/17 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
8/17 – Won by a French-bred horse
7/17 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/17 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/17 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/17 – Favourites  to win (1 joint)
3/17 – Ridden by Nick Scholfield
3/17 – Won by the Pipe yard
2/17 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/17 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat

 

DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2.20 – Virgin Bet Mares´ Novices´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m96y ITV

8 previous runnings
7/8- Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
7/8 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/8 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/8 – Favourites placed in the top 2
4/8 - Won by the favourite (1 co-fav)
4/8 – Irish bred
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 7/1

2.55 – Virgin Bet Handicap Chase Cl2 2m90y ITV

10/10 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
7/10 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
6/10 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
4/10 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
3/10 - Ridding by a claiming jockey
3/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Trained by Brian Ellison
8 of the last 9 winners carried 10st 11lbs or more

 

3.30 – Virgin Bet Grimthorpe Chase (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f ITV

17/17 – Aged 8 or older
16/17 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
15/17 – Won no more than 4 times over fences
14/17 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
13/17 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
13/17 – Aged 9 or older
11/17 – From the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Rated 131 or less
10/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/17 – Irish bred
8/17 – Raced over fences at Doncaster before (3 winners)
7/17 – Won their last race
4/17 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners)
2/17 – Winning Favourites
8 year-olds have won 3 of the last 7 runnings

 

KELSO HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

1.32 – bet365 Premier Kelso Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4 yo+) 2m2f ITV

12/13 – Aged 7 or younger
12/13 – Favourites placed in the top three
11/13 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
11/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/13 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Had won at least twice over hurdles before
8/13 – Won last time out
8/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/13 – Had raced at Kelso before
6/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Winning favourite
3/13– Ran at Musselburgh last time out
2/13 – Trained by Lucinda Russell

 

2.05 – bet365 Handicap Hurdle (Gbb Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV

Just one previous run
Paul Nicholls trained the winner in 2021 (Flash Collonges)
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 33% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Keith Dalgleish has a 19% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Jane Williams is 2-from-2 with her hurdles at the track

 

2.40 – bet365 Premier Chase (Listed Race) (Gbb Race) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m 7 1/2f) ITV

7/8 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Didn’t win last time out
7/8 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
6/8 – Had run at the course before
6/8 – Placed 4th or better last time out
6/8 – Won over 3m plus in the past
6/8 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
6/8 – Aged 9 or older
5/8 – Irish bred
4/8 – Rated between 132-140 (inc)
3/8 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/8 – Won by jockey Brian Hughes
3/8 – Winning favourite
Cloth Cap (10/3) won the race in 2021
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 7/2

 

3.15 – bet365 Morebattle Hurdle (Handicap Hurdle) (Gbb Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV

10/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Had run in the last 3 months
9/10 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
8/10 – Won at least twice over hurdles before
6/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/10 – Rated between 138-146
5/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Irish bred
3/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/10 – Ridden by Brian Hughes
2/10 – Had won at the track before
2/10 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/10 – Trained by Nicky Richards
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/4

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