Tag Archive for: Secret Reprieve

2024 Welsh Grand National Trends

Run, this year (2023) on Thursday December 27th, the Welsh Grand National has always been a big highlight over the festive period.

With 3m 5 ½f to cover at Chepstow racecourse then stamina is a ‘must-have’ requirement when it comes to finding the winner, while if you like your trends you might want to know that 19 of the 22 winners have been aged 9 or younger - plus, 18 of the last 22 winners carried 11-0 or less.

Here at Geegeez, we look back at the recent winners and give you all the key trends - use these to help find the best profiles of past winners and apply these to the 2024 Welsh Grand National.

Recent Welsh National Winners

2023 - NASSALAM (9/2 jfav)
2022 - THE TWO AMIGOS (16/1)
2021 – IWILLDOIT (13/2)
2020 - SECRET REPRIEVE (5/2 fav)
2019 – POTTERS CORNER (8/1)
2018 – ELEGANT ESCAPE (3/1 fav)
2017 – RAZ DE MAREE (16/1)
2016 – NATIVE RIVER (11/4 fav)
2015 – MOUNTAINOUS (9/1)
2014 – EMPEROR’S CHOICE (9/1)
2013 -  MOUNTAINOUS (20/1)
2012 – MONBEG DUDE (10/1)
2011 – LE BEAU BAI (10/1)
2010 – SYNCHRONISED (5/1)
2009 – DREAM ALLIANCE (20/1)
2008 – NOTRE PERE (16/1)
2007 – MIKO de BEAUCHENE (13/2)
2006 – HALCON GENELARDAIS (7/1)
2005 – L’AVENTURE (14/1)
2004 – SILVER BIRCH (10/3 fav)
2003 – BINDAREE (10/1)
2002 – MINI SENSATION (8/1)

Welsh National Betting Trends

22/22 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
22/22 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
22/22 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
20/22 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
19/22 – Aged 9 or younger
17/22 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
16/22 – Aged 8 or younger
15/22– Carried 10-8 or less in weight
15/22 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/22 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
12/22 – Irish bred
12/22 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
9/22 – Won last time out
8/22 – Unplaced favourites
8/22 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
7/22 – Had run in the Welsh National before
7/22 – French bred
5/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
2/22 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainers Venetia Williams and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won the Welsh Grand National twice each
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 9/1

 

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