Double Dutch, 25th November 2014
No winners and no profits on what proved to be a pretty frustrating and crossbar rattling afternoon at Wolverhampton yesterday.
Firstly the multi-code winner, Rutherglen was second in the longest race of the day and I think a combination of top weight and a lengthy absence was his final undoing, but he did at least fare much better than the well fancied Alba Verde, whose bid for a four timer ended in a spectacular defeat, finishing last of the 8 runners and beaten by some 28 lengths.
So, with just a runner-up in the bag, the double was down and half an hour later, we had to settle for second best again, as Laura B was headed in the final half furlong to be beaten up the inside by a 50/1 shot, whilst Sky Steps finished in mid-division.
Sometimes, it's just not your day and my afternoon was rounded off with another runner-up for my Stat of the Day horse an hour later at the same venue, when Be Royale went down by half a length and ...
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Monday's DD results were as follows:
Rutherglen: 2nd at 11/8 (adv 2/1)
Alba Verde: u/p at 9/4 (adv 7/4)
Laura B: 2nd at 5/2 (adv 3/1)
Sky Steps: u/p at 11/4 (adv 2/1)
Results to date:
417 winning selections from 1450 = 28.76%
133 winning bets in 377 days = 35.28%
P/L : +76.83pts (+10.20% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
These are my selections for Tuesday, starting early in the...
Despite being winless in 8 starts to date (4 turf, 4 A/W), Company Secretary has been running well of late, making the frame in four of his last five outings, including three runs at Wolverhampton (2 on poly, 1 on tapeta) where he was beaten by just a head last time out. His handling of the two different Wolverhampton surfaces plus his USA breeding suggests that he should also take to Southwell's track for his course debut and in what looks a pretty weak affair, could be the ideal opportunity for him to get off the mark at 15/8 BOG.
And in these amateur riders' events, it often pays to consider the jockeys a little more, which leads me towards Jonnie Skull (Serena Brotherton) and It's All A Game (Simon Walker) as my backup choices, seeing as they're probably the best two riders in the field. Phil McEntee, who trains Jonnie Skull, is without a win in 44 races and over three months and whilst all cold snaps eventually end, I'm overlooking this one today, as the yard's horses aren't even placing that often and he might struggle under the burden of top weight. This may, of course, come back to bite me later!
It's All A Game, therefore becomes, the secondary selection at 11/4 BOG and we know that he gets both the track and the trip, as he's won twice here in the past, including once over course and distance. He has also come down in the weights lately and now runs off a mark 2lbs lower than his last win, achieved at Newcastle earlier in the year. Simon Walker will ensure the horse gives it his all and should be in there pitching at the death.
Runswick Days is sure to be popular here and should give yet another good account of himself, coming here in a good run of form since a switch to the larger obstacles and has finished 52221 in his five starts over fences so far. He was a winner here over course and distance a fortnight ago on similarly soft ground to today and if repeating that type of run off a mark just 2lbs higher (but still 5lbs lower than when placed over hurdles at this trip on soft ground) than last time out, he looks a likely candidate at 7/4 BOG.
The most interesting (to me, anyway!) of his rivals is Silver Vogue, who is switched to chasing after just five career starts. He was placed on his bumper debut here at Sedgefield on heavy ground in February, before completing last season with three unplaced efforts over hurdles. He returned to action after a 201 day layoff to get within a length and a quarter of a winner at Wetherby 25 days ago and is now switched to chasing.
He should come on for that pipe-opener and based on his breeding and the fact that he's trained by Sue Smith, it's not unreasonable to assume he'll make a decent enough chaser either now or very soon and shouldn't be taken lightly here today at odds of 5/2 BOG with Boylesports.
4 x 0.5pt doubles as follows:
Company Secretary / Runswick Days @ 6.91/1 (15/8 & 7/4 : bet365)
Company Secretary / Silver Vogue @ 8.63/1 (7/4 & 5/2 : Boylesports)
It's All A Game / Runswick Days @ 9.31/1 (11/4 & 7/4 : generally available)
It's All A Game / Silver Vogue @ 12.13/1 (11/4 & 5/2 : Boylesports)