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Noon Star and Teona clash in fascinating Musidora

Noon Star is among those looking to earn themselves a shot at Classic glory in the Cazoo Oaks in what promises to be an informative renewal of the Tattersalls Musidora Stakes at York on Wednesday.

Sir Michael Stoute’s filly is certainly bred for next month’s Epsom showpiece, being a daughter of the brilliant Derby hero Galileo and top-class racemare Midday, who was beaten a head by Sariska in the Oaks in 2009.

Noon Star, owned and bred by the late Khalid Abdullah’s Juddmonte operation, has won two of her three starts to date – most recently impressing on her three-year-old debut in a novice event at Wetherby two and a half weeks ago.

With that form having been boosted by the subsequent Lingfield success of the fourth home Sherbet Lemon, Stoute’s charge is a general 8-1 shot for the Oaks on June 4, but will face a thorough examination at York, with Oaks second-favourite Teona among her rivals.

Teddy Grimthorpe, Juddmonte’s racing manager, said: “If you breed Galileo to Midday, you’re expecting and hoping to end up at Epsom in early June. That would be the aim of anyone, but obviously she’s got to prove that she’s a worthy candidate.

“Midday won twice at York – she won the Middleton Stakes and the Yorkshire Oaks. She was only narrowly beaten by Twice Over in the Juddmonte International.”

Noon Star is one of two Juddmonte-owned runners in an eight-strong field along with John and Thady Gosden’s Senita, who wears a hood for the first time after finishing a disappointing last of seven on her seasonal debut at Newbury.

“She’s a work in progress really. She didn’t put it together at all at Newbury and was a little bit awkward throughout,” Grimthorpe added.

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“John has always had a good opinion of her and this is a fact-finding mission to see where we are with her, but she does have talent.

“This will give us a good idea of where we are with both fillies – this is what these trials are for really.

“Sometimes you get surprised and sometimes you get disappointed.”

Roger Varian saddles Teona in the Musidora Stakes
Roger Varian saddles Teona in the Musidora Stakes (John Walton/PA)

Roger Varian’s Teona makes her turf debut following two outings on the all-weather at Newcastle, finishing second on debut before bolting up by nine lengths on her second start in November.

Like Noon Star, Teona is also bred in the purple – being by Derby winner Sea The Stars out of Ambivalent, who won the Group One Pretty Polly Stakes in Ireland and the Group Two Middleton Stakes at York for the same connections.

Varian said: “She looks a very nice filly at home and we’ve always held her in high regard.

“She’s taken a while to come to herself this spring and I should think the run will bring her forward. That said, her last few weeks of training have been very pleasing.

“She’s a big, rangy filly. I trained her mother, who also took a while to come to hand, and Teona was never going to be a summer two-year-old – she’s all about this year and beyond.

“We like her a lot – it’s well publicised I think, the regard which we hold her in.

“This is a nice starting point and a lovely place to start. If she doesn’t win it’s not the end of the world, but we’d expect her to run well.”

Mystery Angel steps back up to Pattern class after impressing in the Listed Pretty Polly Stakes at Newmarket 10 days ago.

While the Nick Bradley Racing-owned filly is not currently entered in the Oaks, connections may consider supplementing should she come up trumps on the Knavesmire.

“She’s a filly who takes her racing very well and we’ll give it a good shot on Wednesday,” said trainer George Boughey.

“We’ll take it one step at a time. I’d say this is as good an Oaks trial as there is, on the pedigrees and the reputations of the two horses in front of us in the market (Noon Star and Teona).

“She would need to be supplemented for the Oaks, which costs the best part of £25,000. I think she would have to win at York to be considered for Epsom, I would say.

“She’s been a star for us and hopefully there’s more to come.”

Snowfall after winning at the Curragh
Snowfall after winning at the Curragh (PA)

The sole Irish challenger is Aidan O’Brien’s Snowfall, who will be ridden by Ryan Moore.

The jockey told Betfair: “This Deep Impact filly maybe didn’t quite progress as expected from her maiden win, though she faced some tough tasks in Group One company. This trip is more in keeping with her pedigree, and I expect her to improve for it.

“There is nothing in here boasting a scary level of form as it stands, though Noon Star is a very promising filly and one I like, and she is race-fit, as is the Newmarket winner Mystery Angel. And Newcastle winner Teona is already second-favourite for the Oaks, I see.”

Aura (Andrew Balding), Glenartney (Ed Walker) and Quiet Assassin (Adrian Keatley) are the other contenders.

Lockinge Stakes Trends

The Lockinge Stakes is a Group One race staged at Newbury racecourse and run over a distance of 1 mile.

First run in 1958 the contest is for 3 year-olds and older horses and has been won 4 times in the last 10 years by the Richard Hannon yard. In recent years the race has also been dominated by 4 year-olds, with 12 of the last 17 runnings going to horses in that age group, while 14 of the last 17 winners hailed from the first three in the betting.

Here at GEEGEEZ we look back at past winners of the race, plus are on-hand with all the key ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday 15th May.

 

Recent Lockinge Stakes Winners

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2019 – MUSTASHRY (9/1)
2018 - RHODODENDRON (10/3 fav)
2017 - RIBCHESTER (7/4 fav)
2016 – BELARDO (8/1)
2015 – NIGHT OF THUNDER (11/4 jfav)
2014 – OLYMPIC GLORY (11/8 fav)
2013 – FARHH (10/3)
2012 – FRANKEL (2/7 fav)
2011 – CANFORD CLIFFS (4/5 fav)
2010 – PACO BOY (8/11 fav)
2009 – VIRTUAL (6/1)
2008 – CREACHADOIR (3/1 fav)
2007 – RED EVIE (8/1)
2006 – PEERESS (4/1)
2005 – RAKTI (7/4 fav)
2004 – RUSSIAN RHYTHM (3/1 fav)
2003 – HAWK WING (2/1 fav)

 

Lockinge Stakes Betting Trends

17/17 – Won over a mile before
14/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
13/17 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had won a Group One race before
12/17 – Aged 4 years-old
12/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/17 – Winning favourites
10/17 – Having their first run of the season
10/17 – Unplaced last time out
5/17 – Godolphin owned
4/17 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/17 – Won by a mare
4/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/17 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/17 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 8 times in all)
1/17 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 10/3

 

 

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Sangarius camp eye clear run

Sangarius kicks off what connections hope will be a more straightforward campaign than his last in the Melodi Media Huxley Stakes at Chester.

The son of Kingman looked destined for the top after running out an impressive winner of the Hampton Court Stakes at Royal Ascot in 2019 – but he has been seen in competitive action just twice since.

While there was promise in his fourth-placed finish in a Group Three won by Lord North at Haydock in June, Sangarius did not run again until December, when he got the better of Bangkok and Dubai Warrior in a thrilling finish to the Quebec Stakes at Lingfield.

Having had a second wind operation during the winter, Sir Michael Stoute’s charge steps up to Group Two level on Friday’s return to turf on the Roodee.

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Teddy Grimthorpe, racing manager to owner-breeders Juddmonte, said: “Sangarius had a bit of disjointed season last year, but he actually came back and produced a pretty smart performance when he won at Lingfield.

“We need to get him rolling and get a clean run with him this year, if we can.

“He certainly has talent, so let’s hope things go well for him this season.”

Bangkok lands the Easter Classic at Lingfield
Bangkok lands the Easter Classic at Lingfield (Alan Crowhurst/PA)

Sangarius renews rivalry with Bangkok, who was beaten a nose in the Quebec Stakes.

Since then, Andrew Balding’s five-year-old has returned to Lingfield to win February’s Winter Derby Trial and the Easter Classic on Good Friday.

Aidan O’Brien saddles the high-class Armory, who last season finished fourth in the Irish 2,000 Guineas and the Tattersalls Gold Cup, third in the Irish Champion Stakes and rounded off his year by finishing second to former stablemate Sir Dragonet in the Cox Plate.

Jockey Ryan Moore told Betfair: “With Japan going for the Ormonde, we rely on Armory here and he looks the stand-out on form, even though Sangarius and Bangkok are very good horses in their own right, and the first-named could prove troublesome here.

“My colt handles soft ground – even if a quicker surface would suit him even better – he ran a great race when third in Irish Champion and then found only his former stablemate Sir Dragonet too good in the Cox Plate.

“He is a very classy horse and the one to beat on form, though no more rain would help.”

Brian Meehan’s course-and-distance winner Palavecino and Bharani Star, from Peter Chapple-Hyam’s yard, complete the quintet.

Noon Star takes centre stage at Wetherby

Noon Star emerged as a potential Oaks contender after making an impressive start to her campaign at Wetherby.

Sir Michael Stoute’s filly is a daughter of Galileo out of the top-class racemare Midday, who won six Group Ones in the colours of the late owner-breeder Khalid Abdullah, but was narrowly denied in the Oaks at Epsom by Sariska in 2009.

Having made a promising start to her career when third at Salisbury in September, Noon Star opened her account with a clear-cut win at Nottingham the following month and was a 4-5 favourite for her reappearance in the racingtv.com Fillies’ Novice Stakes.

Ridden by Richard Kingscote, the three-year-old displayed a willing attitude to pull two and a half lengths clear of Loving Dream, with Franklet a further six lengths away in third.

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Paddy Power cut Noon Star to 12-1 from 20-1 for the Cazoo Oaks on June 4.

Teddy Grimthorpe, racing manager for Abdullah’s Juddmonte operation, said: “I think it was pleasing the way she did it. She jumped well, settled in a good position and the first and second drew clear, which is encouraging for the future.

“We’ll discuss with the (Abdullah) family what they want to do, but there will be options like that (Oaks).”

Ametist (second right) in action at Wetherby
Ametist (second right) in action at Wetherby (Tim Goode/PA)

Ametist looks a similarly exciting prospect for William Haggas and Cheveley Park Stud judged on a facile success in the Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Novice Stakes.

Making his first competitive appearance since scoring at Chepstow last summer, the Dutch Art gelding was a prohibitively priced 4-9 favourite in the hands of Tom Marquand.

Those who took the cramped odds will have had few concerns, however, with Ametist readily stretching four and a quarter lengths clear of second-favourite Miquelon.

“It wasn’t a great race, but he did it well,” said Haggas.

“This is his third run over seven furlongs, but I think he’ll get a mile in time.

“He looks to have plenty of speed. He just lacks experience that’s all.

“We’ll see what sort of mark he gets and plan his campaign accordingly.”

Cosmos Raj (15-8) was another winning favourite, landing the Royal Pigeon Racing Association Handicap for David O’Meara and Danny Tudhope.

The Keith Dalgleish-trained Chookie Dunedin (8-1) was a half-length winner of the Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap, with Callum Rodriguez the winning rider.

Sangarius scores comeback victory at Lingfield

Royal Ascot winner Sangarius defied a long absence to beat Bangkok and Dubai Warrior in the Betway Quebec Stakes at Lingfield.

Sir Michael Stoute’s representative won the Hampton Court Stakes at the big meeting last season, but had been seen only once since then.

That was in the rearranged Brigadier Gerard Stakes at Haydock when he could finish only fourth – although later events proved he had a tough task against subsequent Prince of Wales’s winner Lord North.

He looked to face a big ask on his return too against the all-weather specialist Dubai Warrior, last year’s Winter Derby winner, but Ryan Moore always had him in the right place.

After he had just got the better of Dubai Warrior deep inside the final furlong, Bangkok came from off the pace to challenge – but the 5-1 chance held on by a nose, with a neck back to the favourite.

There were several minutes of drama after the tight finish, as a stewards’ inquiry was called, but the placings remained unaltered.

Stat of the Day, 25th September 2020

Thursday's pick was...

2.05 Pontefract : Victory Chime @ 11/4 BOG WON at 2/1 (Made all, ridden and ran on, winning by 2.5 lengths easing down)

Friday's pick runs in the...

4.10 Newmarket :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Normally, I'll identify and share the selection between 8.00am and 8.30am and I then add a more detailed write-up later within an hour or so of going "live".

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Laafy @ 3/1 BOG

...in the 6-runner, Listed, Eqtidaar Godolphin Stakes for 3yo+ over 1m4f on Good ground worth £17,013 to the winner...

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Why?...

Like yesterday, we'll start with the horse's suitability for today's conditions as highlighted in the Shortlist report, where green is good and grey is unproven/unknown...

And here's how the colours translate into numbers. From a Flat record of 4 wins from 11 starts (36.4% SR), this 4yr old gelding is...

  • 4/9 (44.4%) over trips of 1m2f to 1m6f
  • 4/8 (50%) in fields of 10 runners or less
  • 3/7 (42.9%) wearing a visor
  • 3/6 (50%) when not the favourite
  • 2/5 (40%) over this 1m4f trip
  • 2/4 (50%) in August/September
  • 1/2 (50%) on Good ground
  • and also 1/2 (50%) in non-handicaps

Next we turn to the racecard itself...

...which shows a well-drawn, 4 yr old gelding in decent form and rated top on our Speed Ratings. His yard and jockey are both also in good nick as denoted by the 14 & 30 icons, whilst rider Ryan Moore has a good long term record at this venue C5 (full details of all those numbers can be seen by clicking the trainer or jockey form boxes).

What I want to focus on are the two subsequent reports relating to the trainer/jockey combo and the sire stats. So, in that same order, we can see that Messrs Stoute and Moore have been amongst the winners of late, but more long term in decent races, they have done very well with favoured horses, as in...

...from which, those 53 are...

  • 26/49 (53.1%) on the Flat
  • 21/36 (58.3%) were placed LTO
  • 13/23 (56.5%) from 4 yr olds
  • 11/21 (52.4%) won LTO
  • 10/18 (55.6%) at 1m4f
  • 10/16 (62.5%) in fields of 6 runners
  • 7/12 (58.3%) on Good ground
  • 6/10 (60%) in Listed contests
  • 6/8 (75%) stepping up a class
  • 4/6 (66.6%) in races worth £17k-£20k
  • and 3/3 (100%) with runners rated (OR) 95-105

And now to those Sire Staying numbers, where I want to focus on this angle...

...which has produced...

  • 7/20 (35%) from males & 6/14 (42.9%) on the Flat
  • 6/9 (66.6%) at odds shorter than 5/1 & 4/11 (36.4%) over a 1m4f trip
  • 4/10 (40%) from 4 yr olds & 4/6 (66.6%)  from horses rated (OR) 100-110
  • 3/6 (50%) in non-handicaps & 3/3 (100%) in races worth £13-25k
  • 2/5 (40%) in fields of 3-6 runners & 2/5 (40%) in September
  • 2/4 (50%) on Good ground & 2/3 (66.6%) at Class 1
  • 1/1 (100%) in Listed contests & 1/1 (100%) at Newmarket

...all of which led me to... a 1pt win bet on Laafy @ 3/1 BOG as was available at 8.00am Friday, but as always please check your own BOG status (*some firms are not BOG until later in the morning)To see a small sample of odds offered on this race...

...click here for the betting on the 4.10 Newmarket

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

Here is today's racecard

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Hollie Doyle races to century of winners at Sandown

Hollie Doyle raced to 100 winners for the year with victory aboard Maximal at Sandown Park on Friday.

Doyle, 23, steered the Sir Michael Stoute-trained colt to a dominant success in the British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes, with the Khalid Abdullah-owned youngster making it third time lucky after previously finished second at Newbury in July and at this venue last month.

The result was scarcely in doubt, with 2-7 favourite taking over the running early in the home straight and readily pulling five lengths clear of Toromona.

Doyle told Racing TV: “It was a great performance. He jumped smartly and travelled well.

“He didn’t do a whole lot early on and didn’t realise he was in the race until the two furlong pole when I put him eyeball to eyeball with the leader. After that he grabbed hold of the bridle and took me away.”

Doyle was reaching her century much quicker than in 2019, when she got to three figures at Chelmsford on November 21 – and that is despite racing being forced to shut down for almost three months due to the coronavirus pandemic.

She went on to break Josephine Gordon’s record of 106 winners for a female jockey and ended 2019 with a total of 116.

Hollie Doyle gave Scarlet Dragon a fine ride to triumph at Royal Ascot
Hollie Doyle gave Scarlet Dragon a fine ride to triumph at Royal Ascot (Megan Ridgwell/PA)

Doyle’s burgeoning career has reached even greater heights this season, with a first Royal Ascot success aboard Scarlet Dragon in the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes followed by a maiden Group-race win aboard Ed Vaughan’s Dame Malliot in the Princess of Wales’s Stakes at Newmarket.

The record-breaking rider has since been signed up as retained rider for leading owner Imad Al Sagar and competed in a Group One for the first time when third aboard Dame Malliot in Germany.

Even more recently Doyle became the first female jockey to ride five winners in one day at Windsor and went close to a Group One success when runner-up on Glen Shiel in the Betfair Sprint Cup at Haydock.