Posts

Stat of the Day, 13th November 2019

Tuesday's pick was...

2.50 Lingfield : Potters Hedger @ 4/1 BOG 2nd at 3/1 (In touch in 4th place, pushed along before 2 out, in 4th and well held before last, left 2nd after last, no chance with winner)

Wednesday's pick runs in the...

1.05 Ayr :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Calivigny @ 4/1 non-BOG until raceday 

...in a 9-runner, Class 4, Handicap Hurdle for 3yo+ over 2m3½f on Heavy ground worth £5,133 to the winner...

Why?...

More on this later...

...but first...a 1pt win bet on Calivigny @ 4/1 non-BOG until raceday  as was available from Hills at 4.55pm on Tuesday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting later...

...click here for the betting on the 1.05 Ayr

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 12th November 2019

Monday's pick was...

3.15 Kempton : The King's Baby @ 3/1 BOG PU at 13/8 (Led until hit 2nd and headed, mistake and lost 2nd 10th, mistake and behind, next, tailed off and pulled up before 3 out)

Tuesday's pick runs in the...

2.50 Lingfield :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Potters Hedger @ 4/1 BOG 

...in a 9-runner, Class 3, Handicap Hurdle for 3yo+ over 2m3½f on Heavy ground worth £5,913 to the winner...

Why?...

This 7 yr old gelding makes a seasonal reappearance today after almost seven months off track. He won twice last season and rounded off that campaign with a pair of placed finishes. He has made the frame on his only previous heavy ground run, he stays all day if needed (has won at 2m5f and at 3m1.5f!) and a quick look at his profile shows he has 2 wins and a place from four efforts going left handed in cheekpieces, as will be the case today.

His trainer, Lucy Wadham, doesn't send many runners here  : just 55 in 16 years to be precise but an overall 20% strike rate suggests that it's not a lack of success keeping here and her string away from Lingfield.

In fact, she's 6 from 18 (33.3% SR) for 116pts (+644.5% ROI) here since the start of 2015 and whilst there's a 14/1 winner that strangely paid out at 81.5 at Betfair SP skewing the P/L & ROI figures, the strike rates stand up for themselves, as they do in the following filters that are all relevant today...

  • 6/16 (37.5%) for 118pts (+737.5%) from November to February
  • 6/13 (46.2%) for 111pts (+853.8%) at Class 3/4
  • 4/12 (33.3%) for 84.3pts (+702.1%) with Leighton Aspell in the saddle
  • 4/10 (40%) for 88.84pts (+888.4%) over hurdles
  • 4/6 (66.6%) for 117.62 (+1960.3%) since the start of 2018
  • 4/5 (80%) for 24.34pts (+486.8%) in 9-runner contests
  • 3/10 (30%) for 35.69pts (+256.9%) in handicaps
  • 2/8 (25%) for 2.4pts (+30%) on heavy ground
  • 2/7 (28.6%) for 28.2pts (402.4%) at Class 3
  • 2/6 (33.3%) for 81.98pts (+1366.3%) from those rested for 6 months or longer
  • and 2/5 (40%) for 80.87pts (+1617.3%) over this course and distance

I accept that these are fairly small sample sizes, but I'm not a believer in coincidence and I think there's enough numerical evidence...

...to support...a 1pt win bet on Potters Hedger @ 4/1 BOG as was available from Bet365, who were the only one showing a price at 4.55pm on Monday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting later...

...click here for the betting on the 2.50 Lingfield

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 11th November 2019

Saturday's pick was...

1.50 Wincanton : Danse Idol @ 9/2 BOG 7th at 11/4 (Bit keen chasing leaders on inside, went 2nd 5th, not fluent next, lost 2nd after 3 out, weakening when mistake next)

Monday's pick runs in the...

3.15 Kempton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Your first 30 days for just £1

The King's Baby @ 3/1 BOG 

...in a 6-runner, Class 3, Mares Handicap Chase for 4yo+ over 2m5f on Good ground worth £9,747 to the winner...

Why?...

The horse...is an 8 yr old mare who has finished 33112 in her last five runs, so she's clearly in good nick and these include winning both her starts over fences this year. These were over today's 2m5f trip and also over 2m7f, so she shouldn't be found wanting for stamina either. Overall, she has 2 wins and a place from three efforts at today's trip.

Our trainer...is Harry Whittington, whose horses claimed 2 wins and a place from 6 attempts last week, whilst his chasers are 31 from 141 (22% SR) for 6.91pts (+4.9% ROI) backed blindly since the start of 2014. As you know, I don't follow anyone blindly and always seek to improve the percentages whilst reducing the number of bets placed. Any filters imposed must be logical, of course, and with today's contest in mind, Harry's chasers are...

  • 31/118 (26.3%) for 29.91pts (+25.3%) in fields of 4-12 runners
  • 26/69 (37.7%) for 24.46pts (+35.5%) at odds shorter than 5/1
  • 24/82 (29.3%) for 22.85pts (+27.9%) in fields of 4-8 runners
  • 11/42 (26.2%) for 29.48pts (+70.2%) in November/December
  • 10/41 (24.4%) for 5.00pts (+12.2%) at Class 3
  • 8/24 (33.3%) for 15.08pts (+62.9%) in November
  • 8/19 (42.1%) for 22.01pts (+115.9%) after less than three weeks rest
  • and 1/3 (33.3%) for 4.08pts (+136%) here at Kempton

And our jockey...Richard Johnson may never have actually ridden one of Harry's chasers before, but the pair are 3 from 6 (50% SR) for 8.73pts (+145.5% ROI) over hurdles, including 1 from 1 here at Kempton.

Richard's own record here at Kempton is good and shows 8 winners from 39 (20.5% SR) for 7.82pts (+20% ROI) in handicap chases since the start of 2014, including of relevance today...

  • 8/34 (23.5%) for 12.82pts (+37.7%) over trips of 2m2f and beyond
  • 8/32 (25%) for 14.82pts (+46.3%) in fields of 5-10 runners
  • 8/29 (27.6%) for 17.82pts (+61.4%) at Class 2/3
  • 7/31 (22.6%) for 11.11pts (+35.9%) on horses aged 7 or older
  • and 7/21 (33.3%) for 14.37pts (+68.4%) when sent off shorter than 6/1

...whilst on horses like The King's Baby who tick all five above boxes ie aged 7+ at sub-6/1 odds in 5-10 runner, Class 2/3 handicap chases over 2m2f and beyond, Richard Johnson is 6 from 10 (60% SR) for 20.66pts (+206.6% ROI) with two of the four losers claiming runner-up finishes...

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on The King's Baby @ 3/1 BOG as was available from Bet365, Betway, Hills & Ladbrokes at 5.20pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 3.15 Kempton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 11th November 2019

Saturday's pick was...

1.50 Wincanton : Danse Idol @ 9/2 BOG 7th at 11/4 (Bit keen chasing leaders on inside, went 2nd 5th, not fluent next, lost 2nd after 3 out, weakening when mistake next)

Monday's pick runs in the...

3.15 Kempton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

The King's Baby @ 3/1 BOG 

...in a 6-runner, Class 3, Mares Handicap Chase for 4yo+ over 2m5f on Good ground worth £9,747 to the winner...

Why?...

The horse...is an 8 yr old mare who has finished 33112 in her last five runs, so she's clearly in good nick and these include winning both her starts over fences this year. These were over today's 2m5f trip and also over 2m7f, so she shouldn't be found wanting for stamina either. Overall, she has 2 wins and a place from three efforts at today's trip.

Our trainer...is Harry Whittington, whose horses claimed 2 wins and a place from 6 attempts last week, whilst his chasers are 31 from 141 (22% SR) for 6.91pts (+4.9% ROI) backed blindly since the start of 2014. As you know, I don't follow anyone blindly and always seek to improve the percentages whilst reducing the number of bets placed. Any filters imposed must be logical, of course, and with today's contest in mind, Harry's chasers are...

  • 31/118 (26.3%) for 29.91pts (+25.3%) in fields of 4-12 runners
  • 26/69 (37.7%) for 24.46pts (+35.5%) at odds shorter than 5/1
  • 24/82 (29.3%) for 22.85pts (+27.9%) in fields of 4-8 runners
  • 11/42 (26.2%) for 29.48pts (+70.2%) in November/December
  • 10/41 (24.4%) for 5.00pts (+12.2%) at Class 3
  • 8/24 (33.3%) for 15.08pts (+62.9%) in November
  • 8/19 (42.1%) for 22.01pts (+115.9%) after less than three weeks rest
  • and 1/3 (33.3%) for 4.08pts (+136%) here at Kempton

And our jockey...Richard Johnson may never have actually ridden one of Harry's chasers before, but the pair are 3 from 6 (50% SR) for 8.73pts (+145.5% ROI) over hurdles, including 1 from 1 here at Kempton.

Richard's own record here at Kempton is good and shows 8 winners from 39 (20.5% SR) for 7.82pts (+20% ROI) in handicap chases since the start of 2014, including of relevance today...

  • 8/34 (23.5%) for 12.82pts (+37.7%) over trips of 2m2f and beyond
  • 8/32 (25%) for 14.82pts (+46.3%) in fields of 5-10 runners
  • 8/29 (27.6%) for 17.82pts (+61.4%) at Class 2/3
  • 7/31 (22.6%) for 11.11pts (+35.9%) on horses aged 7 or older
  • and 7/21 (33.3%) for 14.37pts (+68.4%) when sent off shorter than 6/1

...whilst on horses like The King's Baby who tick all five above boxes ie aged 7+ at sub-6/1 odds in 5-10 runner, Class 2/3 handicap chases over 2m2f and beyond, Richard Johnson is 6 from 10 (60% SR) for 20.66pts (+206.6% ROI) with two of the four losers claiming runner-up finishes...

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on The King's Baby @ 3/1 BOG as was available from Bet365, Betway, Hills & Ladbrokes at 5.20pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 3.15 Kempton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

SotD Update, 4th to 9th November 2019

I said last week that I'd detected some signs of a slow return to form, but that more improvement was needed and that I was confident it will come, but I'd prefer it to happen quickly.

Well, this week did show further signs of recovery, but like a patient coming back from illness, it's not going to happen overnight. That said, it was good to finally snap the losing streak with a pair of midweek winners and with three further runners-up, we really weren't too far from an excellent week, not that a 5pt profit isn't worth having, of course!

Selections & Results : 04/11/19 to 09/11/19

04/11 : Sir Egbert @ 3/1 BOG 2nd at 11/10
05/11 : Purple Paddy @ 5/1 BOG WON at 10/3
06/11 : Dance Fever @ 3/1 BOG WON at 4/1
07/11 : Groupie @ 4/1 BOG 2nd at 4/1
08/11 : Love The Leader @ 7/2 BOG 2nd at 12/1 
09/11 : Danse Idol @ 9/2 BOG 7th at 11/4

04/11/19 to 09/11/19 :
2 winning bets from 6 = 33.33% SR
P/L: +5.00pts

November 2019 :
2 winners from 8 = 25.00% SR
P/L: +3.00pts
ROI = +37.50%

2019 to date :
57 winners from 250 = 22.80% SR
P/L: +33.75pts
ROI = +13.50%

Overall:
647 winners from 2426 = 26.67% S.R
P/L: +530.16pts
ROI: +21.85%

P.S. The full month by month SotD story can be found right here.
P.P.S The review of SotD's 2012 performance is
here.
Whilst the details for 2013 are now online here.
And the figures for 2014 are
now available here.
Our review of 2015 can be found right here
Whilst 2016's details are right here
And here is the full story from 2017.

2018 was the latest full year for SotD and the yearly review is right here

Stat of the Day is just one component of the excellent package available to all Geegeez Gold Members, so why not take the plunge and get involved right now?

Click here for more details.

Stat of the Day, 9th November 2019

Friday's pick was...

3.40 Fontwell : Love The Leader @ 7/2 BOG 2nd at 12/1 (Chased leaders, hampered over 1f out, not clear run an switched right inside final furlong, kept on, took 2nd post)

Saturday's pick runs in the...

1.50 Wincanton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Danse Idol @ 9/2 BOG 

...in an 15-runner, Class 2, Mares Handicap Hurdle for 4yo+ over 2m5½f on Good ground worth £16,245 to the winner...

Why?...

This 6yr old mare makes a handicap debut on her seasonal reappearance after running very well in much better races than this last season. Her hurdling record currently reads 12221 with the three defeats coming without disgrace in Class 1 contests (2 @ Listed and 1 @ Gr2) and with today's contest in mind, it's worth knowing that she has achieved the following so far...

  • 2 wins and a place from 4 on Good ground
  • 2 wins and a place from 3 as favourite
  • 2 wins from 2 at 2m5.5f/2m6f
  • 1 win, 1 place from 2 under jockey Harry Cobden
  • 1 from 1 here at Wincanton
  • and 1 from 1 over course and distance.

The afore-mentioned Harry Cobden is almost metronomic when it comes to his winning ratio, which never seems to move from a very healthy 22 to 23%, as typified by his 6 winners and 11 other placers from 26 rides over the last fortnight including 5 from 13 (38.5% SR) for 11pts (+84.8% ROI) on sub-7/1 hurdlers.

More long-term, Harry is 55/185 (29.7% SR) for 58.9pts (+31.9% ROI) here at Wincanton, which as a blind unfiltered stat is excellent and worth noting, but if you wanted some logical filters then from those 185 rides, he is...

  • 33/97 (34%) for 61.4pts (+63.3%) over hurdles
  • 28/112 (25%) for 64.8pts (+57.8%) in handicaps
  • and 10/51 (19.6%) for 51pts (+100%) in handicap hurdles, including 6 from 21 (38.1%) for 10.83pts (+51.6%) on horses trained by Paul Nicholls...

...whose runners are 6 from 23 over the last week including 5/12 (41.7%) for 8.92pts (+74.4%) over hurdles, whilst since the start of 2016, his record here at Wincanton is impressive at 83 from 230 (36.1% SR) backed blindly producing 35.3pts profit at an ROI of 15.3%, including...

  • 44/127 (34.7%) for 32.7pts (+25.7%) over trips of 2m3.5f to 3m1f
  • 16/35 (45.7%) for 23.2pts (+66.4%) in November
  • and 11/23 (47.8%) for 22.8pts (+99.3%) over trips of 2m3.5f to 3m1f in November.

And as today is our girl's first effort in handicap company, it's worth knowing that Mr Nicholls' handicap debutants are 39/184 (21.2% SR) for 78.6pts (+43% ROI) over the last six years and these are excellent numbers and include of relevance today...

  • 33/146 (22.6%) for 99.5pts (+68.6%) from November to April
  • 33/145 (22.8%) for 99.3pts (+68.9%) over hurdles
  • 14/54 (25.9%) for 34.4pts (+64.9%) with 6 yr olds
  • 13/46 (28.3%) for 41.9pts (+93.2%) from LTO winners
  • 10/33 (30.3%) for 14.3pts (+43.5%) here at Wincanton
  • 8/25 (32%) for 34.3pts (+137.2%) over 2m5f/2m5.5f
  • and 7/35 (20%) for 16.6pts (+48.8%) with Harry Cobden in the saddle

My own saved composite angle based around the above tells me that 4 to 6 yr olds have won 30 of 119 (25.2% SR) for 115.3pts (+97.7% ROI) over hurdles in the half-year from November 1st and if you wanted to drill further down into these 119 runners, you'd get...

  • 10/29 (34.5%) for 48.5pts (+173.3%) with LTO winners
  • 7/22 (31.8%) for 17pts (+77.1%) here at Wincanton
  • 6/15 (40%) for 36.7 (+244.4%) over 2m5f/2m5.5f
  • and 5/21 (23.8%) for 26.3pts (+131.5%) for Harry Cobden...

...all of which should be enough to justify...a 1pt win bet on Danse Idol @ 9/2 BOG as was available from Boylesports, Coral & Ladbrokes at 5.45pm on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 1.50 Wincanton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 8th November 2019

Thursday's pick was...

6.40 Southwell : Groupie @ 4/1 BOG 2nd at 4/1 (Chased leaders, hampered over 1f out, not clear run an switched right inside final furlong, kept on, took 2nd post)

Friday's pick runs in the...

3.40 Fontwell:

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Love The Leader @ 7/2 BOG 

...in an 8-runner, Class 5, Handicap Chase for 4yo+ over 3m2½f on Soft ground worth £2989 to the winner...

Why?...

Our boy might well be 11yrs old now, but shows no sign of slowing down just yet, having won over 3m1f at Wincanton 3 weeks ago, before losing little in defeat here over course and distance on similarly soft ground 6 days later, going down by just three quarters of a length.

He's by Fruits of Love, whose chasers are 33 from 192 (17.2% SR) for 161.1pts (+83.9% ROI) since the start of 2017, all of which are male runners and include...

  • 30/171 (17.5%) for 168.9pts (+98.8%) from 7-11 yr olds
  • 28/136 (20.6%) for 183.6pts (+135%) after a break of 6-60 days
  • 27/143 (18.9%) for 109.1pts (+76.3%) in handicaps
  • 25/88 (28.4%) for 67.4pts (+76.6%) at odds of 6/4 to 8/1
  • 17/90 (18.9%) for 178.3pts (+198.1%) during September to January
  • and 7/42 (16.7%) for 71.3pts (+169.8%) on Soft ground...

...whilst Fruits of Love's 7 to 11 yr old handicap chasers sent off at 6/4 to 8/1 after a break of 6 to 60 days are 18/59 (30.5% SR) for 50.9pts (+86.2% ROI) since the start of 2017 : a micro worth bookmarking possibly?

He is trained by Johnny Farrelly who has done well at this sort of trip in recent years with horses deemed to at least have "a chance".

More specifically, I'm talking about runners racing over 3 to 3.5 miles sent off at 10/1 and shorter, because they are 33/132 (25% SR) for 43.9pts (+33.3% ROI) since the start of 2014 and these represent significant improvements on Mr Farrelly's overall form (11.2% SR & a 21.4% loss of stakes from blind backing) during that period.

And of that 33/132 dataset that interests me today...

  • 25/94 (26.6%) for 44.1pts (+46.9%) from male runners
  • 20/59 (33.9%) for 37.3pts (+63.3%) at Class 5
  • 13/43 (38.2%) for 28.2pts (+83%) from Class 5 males
  • 6/12 (50%) for 12pts (+100%) in November
  • 4/11 (36.4%) for 8.2pts (+74.5%) at Fontwell
  • 3/3 (100%) for 9.73pts (+324.3%) from Class 5 males in November
  • 2/4 (50%) for 5.12pts (+128%) from Class 5 males at Fontwell

...whilst Class 5 males at Fontwell in November are 2 from 2 (100% SR) for 7.12pts (+356% ROI), including Love The Leader's win here at this vey meeting a year ago...

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Love The Leader @ 7/2 BOG as was quite widely available at 5.55pm on Thursday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 3.40 Fontwell

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 7th November 2019

Wednesday's pick was...

6.10 Kempton : Dance Fever @ 3/1 BOG WON at 4/1 (Held up towards rear, closer on outside 2f out, chased leaders over 1f out, strong run to lead well inside final furlong, soon clear to win by 1.25 lengths)

Thursday's pick runs in the...

6.40 Southwell:

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Groupie @ 4/1 non-BOG until raceday

...in a 13-runner, Class 6, A/W Classified Stakes for 3yo+ over 6f on Fibresand worth £2782 to the winner...

Why?...

Well, after a long awaited return to form, I was hoping for some nice data-laden selection to sweep us towards a third successive winner, but there were very few horses ticking the stats/price/likelihood of winning axis I use to finalise a pick, so here we've one I expect to go well which is priced attractively, but doesn't have the big blockbuster standout stat.

Two out of three isn't a disaster and there are enough statistical snippets/nuggets to back up the choice, starting with...

...trainer Tom Tate has sent just four runners to this venue this year, but with two winners and a further placer producing 17.8pts profit at an ROI of 445%, it's worth looking out for the rare visitor. Of those four runs, jockey Andrew Mullen is 1 from 2 and Class 6 runners are also 1 from 2.

Next up is a quick look at the Trainer/Jockey combo, as since the start of 2017, the Tate/Mullen alliance is 13 from 83 (15.7% SR) for 53.5pts (+64.5% ROI), with a 10/36 (27.8% SR) record on the A/W yielding 72.9pts (+202.6%) including 3 winners from 9 (33.3%) for 22.4pts (+249%) at Class 6 n the A/W.

And I'll wrap today's piece up by telling you that in 2019 so far, top-rated (OR) runners in non-handicap contests are 18 from 93 (19.4% SR) for 233.8pts (+251.3% ROI) here at Southwell, including of note/relevance today...

  • 15/79 (19%) for 240.7pts (+304.7%) over trips up to a mile
  • 6/26 (23.1%) for 199.3pts (+766.5%) from female runners
  • 6/19 (31.6%) for 206.3pts (+1085.8%) from females over 5 to 8 furlongs
  • 4/10 (40%) for 174pts (+1740%) at Class 6
  • 3/7 (42.9%) for 175.2pts (+2502.6%) at Class 6 up to a mile
  • and 2/2 (100%) for 178.4pts (+8920%) from Class 6 females over 5f-1m

The above ROI figures are skewed by a 66/1 winner that paid out at 170.00 at Betfair SP, but that doesn't invalidate the strike rates, but if you just considered those of the 93 top-rated runners who were sent off shorter than 5/1, you'd have 3 winners from 6 (50% SR) and 5.91pts (+93.5% ROI) profit...

...pointing to...a 1pt win bet on Groupie @ 4/1 non-BOG until raceday as was offered by Betfair & Paddy Power at 5.55pm on Wednesday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting later...

...click here for the betting on the 6.40 Southwell

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 6th November 2019

Tuesday's pick was...

4.40 Kempton : Purple Paddy @ 5/1 BOG WON at 10/3 (Mid-division, headway over 2f out, led over 1f out, hard pressed inside final furlong, held on close home to win by a head)

Wednesday's pick runs in the...

6.10 Kempton:

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Dance Fever @ 3/1 BOG

...in a 9-runner, Class 4, A/W Nursery for 2yo over 7f on Polytrack worth £6469 to the winner...

Why?...

Clive Cox's 2 yr old colt is 2 from 2 so far ahead of today's handicap/nursery debut and has already won here at Kempton, won at Class 4 and twice under today's jockey Adam Kirby. He was last seen six weeks ago landing a 6f contest as an odds-on favourite on this track and now steps back up to Class 4 and tackles 7f for the first time.

Sent off at 5/6 LTO, 42 days ago, he is flagged up on my odds on LTO winners micro-system, which tells me that such runners racing in All-Weather handicaps, 31-60 days later are 33 from 89 (37.1% SR) for 64.3pts (+72.3% ROI) since the start of 2016 and whilst that looks compelling enough to just back them blindly, here are some applicable filters to consider...

  • 28/58 (48.3%) for 51.2pts (+88.4%) at odds of 11/10 to 5/1
  • 23/56 (41.1%) for 70.9pts (+126.5%) on Polytrack
  • 18/43 (41.9%) for 49.9pts (+116%) over trips up to a mile
  • 18/36 (50%) for 38.6pts (+107.3%) in fields of 7-10 runners
  • 14/33 (42.4%) for 52.1pts (+157.8%) at Class 4
  • 14/33 (42.4%) for 42.2pts (+127.8%) upped 1 class
  • 14/23 (54.2%) for 19.3pts (+80.6%) with 1 previous track win
  • 8/15 (53.3%) for 43.8pts (+292%) here at Kempton
  • 5/13 (38.5%) for 8.13pts (+62.6%) upped in trip by a furlong
  • 4/5 (80%) for 12.7pts (+254%) with 2 yr olds

...whilst those sent off at odds of 11/10 to 5/1 over trips of 5-11 furlongs on Polytrack are 17 from 27 (63%) for 43.9pts (+162.6%).

Meanwhile, Clive Cox has an excellent record with his handicap debutants in recent years with those sent off at 10/1 or shorter winning 30 of 115 (26.1% SR) for 58.9pts (+51.2% ROI) since the start of 2016, including of note/relevance today...

  • 24/79 (30.4%) for 65.2pts (+82.5%) in fields of 6-11 runners
  • 22/67 (32.8%) for 51.8pts (+77.4%) with male runners
  • 20/73 (27.4%) for 54.6pts (+74.7%) over trips of 7f and beyond
  • 15/29 (51.7%) for 60pts (+206.8%) on the A/W
  • 14/58 (24.1%) for 14.5pts (+25%) using jockey Adam Kirby
  • 12/24 (50%) for 39.9pts (+166.3%) on Polytrack
  • 10/34 (29.4%) for 25pts (+73.5%) stepping up in class
  • 9/27 (33.3%) for 25.8pts (+95.6%) with 2 yr olds
  • 4/12 (33.3%)for 9.86pts (+82.2%) here at Kempton

Now you can mix and match the above to your heart's content, but interestingly, males in 6-11 runner A/W contests over 6f and beyond are 7 from 7 (100% SR) for 31pts (+443.4% ROI), including 3/3 for 9pts over 7f, 2/2 for 6.5pts at Kempton and 1/1 for 3.6pts over course and distance...

...pointing to...a 1pt win bet on Dance Fever @ 3/1 BOG as was offered by Bet365 (the first to show their hand) at 5.45pm on Tuesday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting later...

...click here for the betting on the 6.10 Kempton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 5th November 2019

Monday's pick was...

3.40 Plumpton : Sir Egbert @ 3/1 BOG 2nd at 11/10 (Led, headed when not fluent 3 out, soon outpaced, rallied approaching last, kept on well under pressure, but beaten by a length and a half)

Tuesday's pick runs in the...

4.40 Kempton:

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Purple Paddy @ 5/1 BOG

...in a 14-runner, Class 6, A/W Handicap for 3yo+ over 1m on Polytrack worth £3105 to the winner...

Why?...

Well, in what looks a poor contest on a poor day of racing, I'm going to try and nick a winner with a horse that seems like it is best suited to the conditions it'll face today. A little bit like a football striker on a lean run who just needs any goal to get him going again, I'm not fussy about the ugliness of the selection and reasoning today, but I do expect a win.

So, I've gone with a 4 yr old gelding who was a winner over course and distance last time out and although he's now 4lbs higher for that win, the booking of useful 7lb claimer Mark Crehan more than compensates today.

Our boy has 2 wins and 2 further places from 12 starts so far, mainly on the A/W and I think he's the best suited here, because he has...

  • 2 wins and 2 places from 7 here at Kempton
  • 2 wins and 2 places from 6 over a 1 mile trip
  • 2 wins and 1 place from 6 at Class 6
  • 2 wins and 2 places from 4 over course and distance
  • 2 wins from 4 in 14-runner races
  • and 2 wins and a 1 place over course and distance at Class 6

I did suggest it wasn't going to be in-depth or pretty, but the above allied to an apparent lack of real recent form amongst his rivals is enough to convince me...

...to place...a 1pt win bet on Purple Paddy @ 5/1 BOG as was offered by a handful of firms at 5.35pm on Monday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting later...

...click here for the betting on the 4.40 Kempton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 4th November 2019

Saturday's pick was...

1.40 Ayr : Gold Opera @ 3/1 BOG 3rd at 5/2 (Chased leaders, reminders after 11th, lost touch next, left modest 3rd after 4 out, plugged on)

Monday's pick runs in the...

3.40 Plumpton:

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Your first 30 days for just £1

Sir Egbert @ 3/1 BOG

...in a 7-runner, Class 3, Handicap Hurdle for 3yo+ over 2m on Soft/Heavy ground worth £6238 to the winner...

Why?...

Here we have a 6 yr old gelding trained by Tom Lacey and I could make this piece very short by saying just back all Tom's hurdlers for a near 20% strike rate and a near 45% return on your money, but I never advocate blind backing, so which of Tom's hurdlers in particular should we be backing?

Personally, I'd stick to those sent off at evens to 8/1 in handicaps, for they are 40 from 134 (29.9% SR) for 81.8ppts (+61.1% ROI) since the start of 2016, from which there is a myriad of profitable angles you could consider. I've done that digging for you and here are "just" ten such angles/filters, all relevant/applicable today...

  • 35/110 (31.8%) for 78.43pts (+71.3%) within 60 days of their last run
  • 21/54 (38.9%) for 49.96pts (+92.5%) n fields of 7-9 runners
  • 20/55 (36.4%) for 57.83pts (+105.1%) after 1 or 2 runs in the previous 90 days
  • 14/47 (29.8%) for 46.07pts (+98%) on Soft/Heavy ground
  • 8/34 (23.5%) for 6.41pts (+18.9%) with champion jockey Richard Johnson in the saddle
  • 7/26 (26.9%) for 10.31pts (+39.6%) at Class 3
  • 7/17 (41.2%) for 23.39pts (+137.6%) after 1 run in the previous 90 days
  • 6/19 (31.6%) for 10.53pts (+55.4%) over a 2 mile trip
  • 6/11 (54.6%) for 29.11pts (+264.7%) in November
  • and 2/5 (40%) for 7.18pts (+143.6%) here at Plumpton

Now I know that many of you like a composite angle you can pop into your Query Tool for future reference, so if that's the case, I'd stick to the first three or four datasets ie how recently have they run, how often have they run recently, how many rivals are they facing and what is the ground like, but open them up slightly to give a more realistic sample size...

...ie those racing in fields of 7 to 9 runners within 60 days of their last run, having had 1-4 runs in the previous 90 days are 24 from 65 (36.9% SR) for 67.66pts (+104.1% ROI), including 7/23 (30.4%) for 25pts (+108.7% ROI) on Soft/Heavy ground...

...backing up...a 1pt win bet on Sir Egbert @ 3/1 BOG as was offered by Coral, Hills, Ladbrokes & Unibet at 4.50pm on Sunday, whilst Bet365 were a third of a point bigger for those able to take advantage. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting later...

...click here for the betting on the 3.40 Plumpton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 4th November 2019

Saturday's pick was...

1.40 Ayr : Gold Opera @ 3/1 BOG 3rd at 5/2 (Chased leaders, reminders after 11th, lost touch next, left modest 3rd after 4 out, plugged on)

Monday's pick runs in the...

3.40 Plumpton:

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Sir Egbert @ 3/1 BOG

...in a 7-runner, Class 3, Handicap Hurdle for 3yo+ over 2m on Soft/Heavy ground worth £6238 to the winner...

Why?...

Here we have a 6 yr old gelding trained by Tom Lacey and I could make this piece very short by saying just back all Tom's hurdlers for a near 20% strike rate and a near 45% return on your money, but I never advocate blind backing, so which of Tom's hurdlers in particular should we be backing?

Personally, I'd stick to those sent off at evens to 8/1 in handicaps, for they are 40 from 134 (29.9% SR) for 81.8ppts (+61.1% ROI) since the start of 2016, from which there is a myriad of profitable angles you could consider. I've done that digging for you and here are "just" ten such angles/filters, all relevant/applicable today...

  • 35/110 (31.8%) for 78.43pts (+71.3%) within 60 days of their last run
  • 21/54 (38.9%) for 49.96pts (+92.5%) n fields of 7-9 runners
  • 20/55 (36.4%) for 57.83pts (+105.1%) after 1 or 2 runs in the previous 90 days
  • 14/47 (29.8%) for 46.07pts (+98%) on Soft/Heavy ground
  • 8/34 (23.5%) for 6.41pts (+18.9%) with champion jockey Richard Johnson in the saddle
  • 7/26 (26.9%) for 10.31pts (+39.6%) at Class 3
  • 7/17 (41.2%) for 23.39pts (+137.6%) after 1 run in the previous 90 days
  • 6/19 (31.6%) for 10.53pts (+55.4%) over a 2 mile trip
  • 6/11 (54.6%) for 29.11pts (+264.7%) in November
  • and 2/5 (40%) for 7.18pts (+143.6%) here at Plumpton

Now I know that many of you like a composite angle you can pop into your Query Tool for future reference, so if that's the case, I'd stick to the first three or four datasets ie how recently have they run, how often have they run recently, how many rivals are they facing and what is the ground like, but open them up slightly to give a more realistic sample size...

...ie those racing in fields of 7 to 9 runners within 60 days of their last run, having had 1-4 runs in the previous 90 days are 24 from 65 (36.9% SR) for 67.66pts (+104.1% ROI), including 7/23 (30.4%) for 25pts (+108.7% ROI) on Soft/Heavy ground...

...backing up...a 1pt win bet on Sir Egbert @ 3/1 BOG as was offered by Coral, Hills, Ladbrokes & Unibet at 4.50pm on Sunday, whilst Bet365 were a third of a point bigger for those able to take advantage. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting later...

...click here for the betting on the 3.40 Plumpton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

SotD Update, 28th October to 2nd November 2019

So another week, another wipeout, meaning this is now the worst run of form I've had since we started the SotD project 8 years ago.

There were some signs of a slow return form with this week with finishes of 335833, but more improvement is needed. I'm confident it will come, but I'd prefer it to happen quickly!

Selections & Results : 28/10/19 to 02/11/19

28/10 : Bryn Du @ 3/1 BOG 3rd at 11/8
29/10 : Cold Harbour @ 6/1 3rd at 5/1
30/10 : Mischief Star @ 10/3 BOG 5th at 11/4
31/10 : Timoteo @ 7/2 BOG 8th at 6/1
01/11 : North Star Oscar @ 3/1 BOG 3rd at 9/4 
02/11 : Gold Opera @ 3/1 BOG 3rd at 5/2

28/10/19 to 02/11/19 :
0 winning bets from 6 = 0.00% SR
P/L: -6.00pts

October 2019 :
0 winners from 27 = 0.00% SR
P/L: -27.00pts
ROI = -100.00%

November 2019 :
0 winners from 2 = 0.00% SR
P/L: -2.00pts
ROI = -100.00%

2019 to date :
55 winners from 244 = 22.54% SR
P/L: +28.75pts
ROI = +11.78%

Overall:
645 winners from 2420 = 26.65% S.R
P/L: +525.16pts
ROI: +21.70%

P.S. The full month by month SotD story can be found right here.
P.P.S The review of SotD's 2012 performance is
here.
Whilst the details for 2013 are now online here.
And the figures for 2014 are
now available here.
Our review of 2015 can be found right here
Whilst 2016's details are right here
And here is the full story from 2017.

2018 was the latest full year for SotD and the yearly review is right here

Stat of the Day is just one component of the excellent package available to all Geegeez Gold Members, so why not take the plunge and get involved right now?

Click here for more details.

Stat of the Day, 2nd November 2019

Friday's pick was...

1.20 Wetherby : North Star Oscar @ 3/1 BOG 3rd at 9/4 (Held up, good headway chasing leaders 6th, 2nd going well after 4 out, joined for well held 2nd 3 out, blundered badly 2 out, no chance after)

Saturday's pick runs in the...

1.40 Ayr:

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Gold Opera @ 9/2 BOG

...in a 6-runner, Class 3, Handicap Chase for 4yo+ over 2m5½f on Soft ground worth £9357 to the winner...

Why?...

Very simply, an in-form yard sending out a horse proven under conditions. Sometimes it is that simple and seeing as my usual deep data digging isn't bearing fruit right now, this stripped back approach is worth a try.

Trainer Keith Dalgleish has a 36.6% place strike rate and a 20% win strike rate over the past fortnight (11 placers from 30, including 6 winners) and runs this 10 yr old gelding who is already 6 from 24 (25% SR) for 8.91pts (+37.1% ROI) in handicap chases, including of relevance today...

  • 5/17 (29.4%) for 14.32pts (+84.2%) in fields of 5-8 runners
  • 5/15 (33.3%) for 16.32pts (+108.8%) at odds in the 2/1 to 8/1 range
  • 4/14 (28.6%) for 11.7pts (+83.4%) wearing a visor
  • 3/9 (33.3%) for 10.62pts (+118%) on Soft ground
  • 3/7 (42.9%) for 8.61pts (+123%) here at Ayr
  • and 2/2 (100%) for 12pts (+600%) on soft ground here at Ayr...

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Gold Opera @ 9/2 BOG as was offered by Bet365 at 7.00pm on Friday, as the only open book on the race! To see what your preferred bookie is quoting later...

...click here for the betting on the 1.40 Ayr

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 1st November 2019

Thursday's pick was...

3.25 Stratford : Timoteo @ 7/2 BOG 8th at 6/1 (Held up mid-division, in touch when not much room on bend before 3 out, no impression after)

Friday's pick runs in the...

1.20 Wetherby:

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

North Star Oscar @ 3/1 BOG

...in an 11-runner, Class 4, Conditional Jockeys Novices Handicap Hurdle for 3yo+ over 2m5½f on Good to Soft worth £4159 to the winner...

Why?...

Well, I'm going to keep this nice and simple today with a 5 yr old gelding who has two wins and a place from his last five starts and comes here off the back of a win in another Class 4 Handicap Hurdle on Good to Soft ground, when he landed the spoils at Worcester 22 days ago.

He is trained by Warren Greatrex, who should probably send more hurdlers to Wetherby, where the market usually has the measure of his runners, for those sent off at odds shorter than 5/1 over hurdles here are 15 from 31 (48.4% SR) for 10.66pts at an ROI of 34.4% and although that's not the largest sample size I've ever used, it does throw up several interesting and profitable angles at play today, such as...

  • 12/24 (50%) for 11.51pts (+48%) with male runners
  • 10/20 (50%) for 5.01pts (+25%) at Class 4
  • 10/18 (55.6%) for 10.32pts (+57.3%) during the final quarter of the year
  • 10/16 (62.5%) for 10.4pts (+65%) with 5/6 yr olds
  • 7/12 (58.3%) for 11.86pts (+98.9%) after 16-45 days rest
  • 5/10 (50%) for 0.95pts (+9.5%) from LTO winners
  • 4/7 (57.1%) for 7.42pts (+106%) in handicaps
  • and 4/5 (80%) for 8.26pts (+165.2%) since the start of last year...

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on North Star Oscar @ 3/1 BOG as was offered by Coral & Ladbrokes at 5.10pm on Thursday, whilst Bet365 were a quarter of a point shorter and the best non-BOG offered was Hills' 10/3. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 1.20 Wetherby

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!