Posts

Stat of the Day, 20th November 2018

Monday's Pick was...

6.30 Kempton : Darksideoftarnside @ 3/1 BOG 6th at 11/4 (Tracked leader until 10f out, close up, pushed along over 2f out, soon weakened) 

Tuesday's pick runs in the...

1.00 Fakenham :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Too Much Too Soon @ 11/4 BOG  

...in an 8-runner, Class 5, Selling Handicap Hurdle for 3yo+ over 2m5f on Good To Firm ground worth £4159 to the winner...

Why?

Here we have a 9 yr old gelding who has been in decent form over fences this season and now takes a drop in class, as he reverts to the smaller obstacles at a venue his yard has fared well at in the past.

In fact, trainer Dan Skelton's runners sent off at odds of 6/1 and shorter are 17 from 53 (32.1% SR) for 12.36pts (+23.3% ROI) here at Fakenham and with today's contest in mind, those 53 runners are...

  • 16/46 (34.8%) for 15.84pts (+34.4%) in the October -April period
  • 11/34 (32.4%) for 11.47pts (+33.7%) over trips of 2m to 2m5f
  • 9/30 (30%) for 4.37pts (+14.6%) over hurdles
  • 6/21 (28.6%) for 11.02pts (+52.5%) since the start of 2017
  • 4/15 (26.7%) for 2.31pts (+15.4%) from those who last raced 11-20 days earlier
  • and 2 from 3 (66.6% plus a runner-up) for 3.91pts (+130.4%) from hurdlers whose previous race was over fences.

...and from the above... Dan Skelton + Fakenham + 6/1 and shorter + 2016-18 + October-April + hurdles + 2m to 2m5f = 6/16 (37.5% SR) for 6.16pts (+38.5% ROI)...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Too Much Too Soon @ 11/4 BOG, a price offered by Betfair & Paddy Power at 5.35pm on Monday evening, whilst there was an extra quarter point available with Bet365. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 1.00 Fakenham

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 19th November 2018

Saturday's Pick was...

3.15 Lingfield : Gifted Master @ 5/2 BOG 5th at 2/1 (Raced wide soon tracked leader, pushed along and unable to quicken 2f out, ridden and edged right entering final furlong, no extra and edged left towards finish) 

Monday's pick runs in the...

6.30 Kempton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Darksideoftarnside @ 3/1 BOG  

...in an 8-runner Class 4 A/W handicap for 3yo+ over 2m on Polytrack worth £6469 to the winner...,

Your first 30 days for just £1

Why?

I'm going to keep this very simple today with a 4yr old gelding down in both class and weight from his last run 24 days ago.

As well as both of those factors being positives in my eyes, I was also drawn to him, because his trainer, Ian Williams is in my notebook (and Geegeez Query Tool!) for one to watch out for with A/W stayers.

More specifically, in Ian's case : A/W handicappers over trips of 1m6f and beyond. Such beasts are 30 from 149 (20.1% SR) for 96.2pts (+64.6% ROI) since 2010 and of relevance today, they include...

  • 24/102 (23.5%) for 114.1pts (+111.8%) in the October-March half of the year (ie the winter season)
  • 20/98 (20.4%) for 98.3pts (+100.3%) on Polytrack
  • 24/93 (25.8%) for 120.2pts (+129.2%) within 25 days of their last run
  • 24/85 (28.2%) for 119pts (+140%) aged 3 to 5
  • 24/74 (32.4%) for 25.9pts (+35%) at odds of 5/1 and shorter
  • and 12/56 (21.4%) for 16.41pts (+29.3%) since the start of 2016

And that's pretty much it, other than to say that if you combined the above...3-5 yr olds priced at 5/1 and shorter on Polytrack during October to March within 25 days of their last run = 7 from 17 (41.2% SR) for 13.23pts (+77.8% ROI)...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Darksideoftarnside @ 3/1 BOG , a price pretty widely available at 4.40pm on Sunday evening, whilst Bet365 were offering slightly more. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 6.30 Kempton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 19th November 2018

Saturday's Pick was...

3.15 Lingfield : Gifted Master @ 5/2 BOG 5th at 2/1 (Raced wide soon tracked leader, pushed along and unable to quicken 2f out, ridden and edged right entering final furlong, no extra and edged left towards finish) 

Monday's pick runs in the...

6.30 Kempton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Darksideoftarnside @ 3/1 BOG  

...in an 8-runner Class 4 A/W handicap for 3yo+ over 2m on Polytrack worth £6469 to the winner...,

Why?

I'm going to keep this very simple today with a 4yr old gelding down in both class and weight from his last run 24 days ago.

As well as both of those factors being positives in my eyes, I was also drawn to him, because his trainer, Ian Williams is in my notebook (and Geegeez Query Tool!) for one to watch out for with A/W stayers.

More specifically, in Ian's case : A/W handicappers over trips of 1m6f and beyond. Such beasts are 30 from 149 (20.1% SR) for 96.2pts (+64.6% ROI) since 2010 and of relevance today, they include...

  • 24/102 (23.5%) for 114.1pts (+111.8%) in the October-March half of the year (ie the winter season)
  • 20/98 (20.4%) for 98.3pts (+100.3%) on Polytrack
  • 24/93 (25.8%) for 120.2pts (+129.2%) within 25 days of their last run
  • 24/85 (28.2%) for 119pts (+140%) aged 3 to 5
  • 24/74 (32.4%) for 25.9pts (+35%) at odds of 5/1 and shorter
  • and 12/56 (21.4%) for 16.41pts (+29.3%) since the start of 2016

And that's pretty much it, other than to say that if you combined the above...3-5 yr olds priced at 5/1 and shorter on Polytrack during October to March within 25 days of their last run = 7 from 17 (41.2% SR) for 13.23pts (+77.8% ROI)...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Darksideoftarnside @ 3/1 BOG , a price pretty widely available at 4.40pm on Sunday evening, whilst Bet365 were offering slightly more. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 6.30 Kempton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

SotD Update, 12th to 17th November 2018

Another frustrating / disappointing / poor (delete/apply as you see fit) week with just the one winner from six and a loss of just over two points, after even our sole winner was subject to a Rule 4 deduction.

Personally, I was frustrated by the pair of runners-up who I felt were strong picks, delighted by the winner of course and disappointed with the other three. I'd use the word poor to describe the overall P/L, but on another week we walk away with 3 from 6 and most of you are happy : such are the fine margins of the game.

Those margins are highlighted by the fact that we're probably 2 winners shy of where we should and would want to be for the month, so the challenge is clear over the next 2 weeks!

Selections & Results : 12/11/18 to 17/11/18

12/10 : Midnight Target @ 3/1 BOG 2nd at 3/1
13/10 : Lillington @ 7/2 BOG (2.98/1 after a 15p R4) WON at 9/4
14/10 : Sophie Olivia @ 7/2 BOG PU at 4/1
15/11 : Fieldsman @ 7/2 BOG 2nd at 7/2
16/11 : Summer Icon @ 11/4 BOG 4th at 9/2
17/11 : Gifted Master @ 5/2 BOG 5th at 2/1

12/11/18 to 17/11/18 :
1 winning bet from 6 = 16.66% SR
P/L: -2.02pts

November 2018 :
2 winners from 14 = 14.29% SR
P/L: -4.52pts
ROI = -32.29%

2018 to date :
60 winners from 261 = 22.99% SR
P/L: +11.75pts
ROI = +4.50%

Overall:
583 winners from 2143 = 27.20% S.R
P/L: +497.99pts
ROI: +23.24%

P.S. The full month by month SotD story can be found right here.
P.P.S The review of SotD's 2012 performance is here.

Whilst the details for 2013 are now online here.
And the figures for 2014 are now available here.

Our review of 2015 can be found right here
Whilst 2016's details are right here

And here is the full story from 2017.

Stat of the Day is just one component of the excellent package available to all Geegeez Gold Members, so why not take the plunge and get involved right now?

Click here for more details.

Stat of the Day, 17th November 2018

Friday's Pick was...

6.45 Wolverhampton : Summer Icon @ 11/4 BOG 4th at 9/2 (Tracked leaders, unable to quicken over 1f out, kept on same pace towards finish) 

Saturday's pick runs in the...

3.15 Lingfield :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Gifted Master @ 5/2 BOG  

...in a 12-runner Listed Race for 3yo+ over 6f on Polytrack worth £20983 to the winner...

Why?

This 5yr old gelding initially caught my eye, as it featured on the Shortlist report, so I did a little bit of digging and found that he is...

  • 8 from 14 over the 6f trip
  • 5 from 11 in blinkers
  • 5 from 9 at odds of 13/8 to 4/1
  • 3 from 5 in October/November
  • 2 from 4 in Listed company
  • 2 from 4 ridden by James Doyle
  • and 1 from 2 over course and distance after he won this very race last year.

He won the race last year, when carrying 9-6 under James Doyle and James rides again, but the horse carries 3lbs less.

Trainer Hugo Palmer's record in Listed races since the start of 2013 stands at 15 wins from 119 (12.6% SR) for 31.3pts (+26.3% ROI), including...

  • 3 to 5 yr olds at 14/94 (14.9%) for 54.3pts (+57.8%)
  • in fields of 8-13 runners : 12/77 (15.6%) for 63pts (+81.8%)
  • ridden by James Doyle : 4/19 (21.1%) for 10.7pts (+56.3%)

Gifted Master now returns to action after a 12-week break, but I'm not over concerned about his lack of recent action, because Hugo Palmer's horses running after a break to 2 to 5 months are 27/97 (27.8% SR) for 97.9pts (+101% ROI) since the start of 2012, from which the following are relevant today...

  • Sub-10/1 shots are 26/71 (36.6%) for 80.2pts (+113%)
  • males are 22/60 (36.7%) for 105.7pts (+176.1%)
  • those rated (OR) 80 and above are 15/48 (31.3%) for 51.4pts (+107.1%)
  • in non-handicaps : 12/43 (27.9%) for 47.3pts (+109.9%)
  • on the A/W : 14/36 (38.9%) for 93pts (+258.4%)
  • ridden by James Doyle : 10/21 (47.6%) for 28.3pts (+134.9%)
  • and here at Lingfield : 4/11 (36.4%) for 54.5pts (+495.4%)

...whilst sub 10/1 males rated 80 and above are 14 from 28 (50% SR) for 66.2pts (+236.5% ROI)...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Gifted Master @ 5/2 BOG , a price widely available at 6.20pm on Friday evening, although Hills were offering another quarter point for those able to get on. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 3.15 Lingfield

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 16th November 2018

Thursday's Pick was...

12.40 Southwell : Fieldsman @ 7/2 BOG 2nd at 7/2 (Chased leaders, ridden and every chance from over 1f out, kept on and held towards finish, beaten by a neck) 

Friday's pick runs in the...

6.45 Wolverhampton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Summer Icon @ 11/4 BOG  

...in a 6-runner, Class 2 Fillies Conditions Stakes for 3yo+ over 7f on Tapeta worth £12291 to the winner... 

Why?

I'm going to keep this relatively (by my standards anyway) short and hopefully very sweet today with a 5 yr old mare who has knocked on the door of late finishing third in each of her last three starts. In her defence, I should add that they were all at Listed Class and today she takes both a drop in class and trip back to her preferred 7f.

All 3 career wins to date are over 7 furlongs within 12-24 days of her last outing (15 days this time) and she has 1 win and 2 places from 3 Class 2 efforts whilst she also has a win and a place from 3 over this very course and distance.

Franny Norton rides her for the first time today, but he's having a good year on Mick Channon's horses when called upon. The partnership is 10/46 (21.7% SR) for 47.1pts (+102.4% ROI) this year, including of relevance today...

  • 8 from 35 (22.9%) for 15.7pts (+44.9%) when sent off at 5/4 to 10/1
  • 7 from 29 (24.1%) for 34.7pts (+119.7%) on horses rested for 11-45 days
  • 7 from 23 (30.4%) for 52.5pts (+228.4%) over trips of 5.5 to 8.5 furlongs
  • 7 from 19 (36.8%) for 44.3pts (+233.1%) on female horses
  • 6 from 16 (37.5%) for 41.6pts (+259.9%) in non-handicap races
  • 5 from 9 (55.6%) for 31.8pts (+353.6%) on horses placed 3rd LTO
  • 2 from 5 (40%) for 8.45pts (+169%) on the A/W
  • and 1 from 2 950%) for 2.09pts (+104.5%) here at Wolverhampton...

...and from the above...Norton + Channon + 2018 + females + 5/4 to 10/1 + 5.5 to 8.5 furlongs + 11-45 dslr = 3 from 5 (60% SR) for 19.42pts (+388.4% ROI)...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Summer Icon @ 11/4 BOG , a price offered by Bet365, Betfair & Paddy Power at 6.15pm on Thursday evening. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 6.45 Wolverhampton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 15th November 2018

Wednesday's Pick was...

2.45 Ayr : Sophie Olivia @ 7/2 BOG PU at 4/1 (Always behind, weakened 5 out, pulled up next) 

Thursday's pick runs in the...

12.40 Southwell :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Fieldsman @ 7/2 BOG  

...in a 10-runner, Class 6 A/W Handicap for 3yo+ over 1m on Fibresand worth £3105 to the winner...

Why?

This 6 yr old gelding was third here over course and distance just three days ago, but whilst he runs off the same mark today, he does take a drop in class, which could help. His mark is a workable 65, when you consider he has won off 79, 85 & 87 on turf in the past.

He's trainer David Griffiths' only runner of the day and David's horses have gone well here recently, winning 12 of 60 (20% SR) for 17.64pts (+29.4% ROI) in handicaps on this track since the start of 2017, including...

  • males at 10/53 (18.9%) for 19.53pts (+36.9%)
  • at Class 6 : 6/23 (26.1%) for 5.09pts (+22.1%)
  • at odds of Evens to 11/2 : 10/21 (47.6%) for 24.1pts (+114.8%)
  • finished 2nd/3rd LTO : 3/10 (30%) for 3.18pts (+31.8%)
  • and ridden by Tom Marquand : 2/6 (33.3%) for 10.26pts (+171%)

...whilst Class 6 males at evens to 11/2 are 5/8 (62.5% SR) for 17pts (+212.5% ROI)...

Fieldsman also pops us as a qualifier on two micros of mine, which I'll share now, but not dig down into (time is short this morning, I'm at the dentists shortly!), but both are very workable starting points for research...

1) Since 2013 in A/W handicaps over 7f/1m, USA-bred males aged 4 to 11 are 48 from 247 (19.4% SR) for 412.3pts (+166.9% ROI)

2) Whilst since the start of 2014 in Class 5/6 handicaps over 5f to 1m4f here, males aged 2 to 8 who were the clear top weight in their race won 96 of 375 (25.6% SR) for 180.2pts (+48.1% ROI)...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Fieldsman @ 7/2 BOG, a price offered by pretty much everyone at 5.50pm on Wednesday evening. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 12.40 Southwell

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 14th November 2018

Tuesday's Pick was...

2.50 Lingfield : Lillington @ 7/2 BOG (2.98/1 after a 15p R4) WON at 9/4 (Prominent, hampered 5th, led after 4 out, challenged after next, stayed on well to win by 1.5 lengths) 

Wednesday's pick runs in the...

2.45 Ayr :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Sophie Olivia @ 7/2 BOG  

...in an 11-runner, Class 4 Novices Limited Handicap Chase for 4yo+ over 2m4½f on Soft ground worth £6108 to the winner...

Why?

This 6 yr old mare had a respectable record (32128) over hurdles in 2017 before taking a 345-day break. She then returned to action 32 days ago at Hexham, when she was a 5 lengths winner, staying on well, on her chasing debut, also at Class 4 over 2m4½f on Soft ground and ridden (as she always has been) by today's jockey Henry Brooke.

This suggests that she should feel at home under today's conditions, as she aims to give the sire Ask another winner. To date, his offspring are 6/28 (21.4% SR) for 22.7pts (+80.9% ROI) over fences, mainly in Ireland but with some success here too. With respect to today's race, those progeny of Ask are...

  • 5/17 (29.4%) for 20.14pts (+118.5%) as 6 yr olds
  • 3/13 (23.1%) for 16.63pts (+127.9%) as females
  • 3/7 (42.9%) for 21.46pts (+306.6%) in UK Class 4 contests
  • 2/6 (33.3%) for 18.42pts (+307%) on Soft ground
  • and 4/5 (80%) for 27.31pts (+546.2%) over trips of 2m4.5f to 2m6f

This particular "daughter" is trained by Martin Todhunter, who enjoys coming here up the M6 from his South Cumbria base, as his runners are 10 from 54 (18.5% SR) for 23.64pts (+43.8% ROI) in NH handicaps over the last 5 years, with those sent off at odds of Evens to 12/1 (my preferred starting point for trainer based micros) wining 10 of 41 (24.4%) for 36.64pts at an ROI of some 89.4% and these include...

  • those who raced in the last 45 days : 9/31 (29%) for 29.32pts (+94.6%)
  • chasers are 6/25 (24%) for 21.1pts (+84.4%)
  • those racing over 2m4.5f/2m5.5f are 4/14 (28.6%) for 31.42pts (+224.4%)
  • in November : 3/10 (30%) for 1.65pts (+16.5%)
  • and LTO winners are 5/8 (62.5%) for 30.86pts (+385.7%)

...and from the above...handicap chasers at Evens to 12/1 within 45 days of their last run are 5 from 18 (27.8% SR) for 10.8pts (+60% ROI), from which LTO winners are 3/4 975%) for 14.79pts (+369.7%) and those running in November are 2/4 (50%) for 5pts (+125%)...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Sophie Olivia @ 7/2 BOG, a price offered by Bet365, Ladbrokes, SkyBet & Coral at 6.00pm on Tuesday evening. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 2.45 Ayr

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 13th November 2018

Monday's Pick was...

3.30 Kempton : Midnight Target @ 3/1 BOG 2nd at 3/1 (Shade keen, chased leaders on inside, went 2nd at 9th, pushed along and one pace before 3 out, eased down when no chance with winner) 

Tuesday's pick runs in the...

2.50 Lingfield :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Lillington @ 7/2 BOG  

...in a 6-runner, Class 3 Handicap Chase for 4yo+ over 2m on Soft ground worth £9748 to the winner...

Why?

Three of the six on show here today have been off the track for some time (164 to 218 days) with the other three having raced as recently as 17 to 46 days ago and of these three, our 6 yr old gelding is definitely the form horse, having won two of his last three and wasn't disgraced in finishing fourth at Cheltenham LTO in a Class 2 contest 17 days ago.

He's now eased a pound by the assessor and takes a drop in class to attempt to improve on a chasing record of 2 wins and 2 places from 7 attempts (all whilst wearing a tongue tie), including...

  • 2 wins and a place from 5 under today's jockey Tom Scudamore
  • 2 wins and a place from 4 in handicap chases
  • 2 wins and a place from 4 when sent off at 4/1 or shorter
  • 2 wins and a place from 4 in cheekpieces
  • 2 wins from 4 going left handed
  • 2 wins from 2 over trips of 2m-2m1f
  • and whilst he hasn't won on soft ground yet, he has made the frame in all three efforts to date, including 2 runs over fences.

His trainer Colin Tizzard is in good form too with 6 winners from 23 (26.1% SR) for 24.02pts (+104.4% ROI) over the last week and whilst he doesn't run many here at "leafy", those that have been sent here are 3 from 9 (33.3%) for 1.58pts (+17.6%) in NH handicaps since the start of 2016, from which Class 3 runners are 3/6 (50%) for 4.58pts (+76.4%), whilst Class 3 handicap chasers are 2 from 4 950%) for 2.76pts (+69%).

As I intimated above, Tom Scudamore is in the saddle again today and he's 5 from 19 (26.3% SR) for 23.4pts (+123.2% ROI) in handicap chases at this venue since 2010, including 2 from 7 (28.6%) for 2.93pts (+41.9%) over this 2m C&D and 2 from 6 (50%) for 8.35pts (+139.2%) at Class 3.

But today's main stats refer back to the horse and his recent form. The last two entries on his form line read 14, making him one of my 1-2/3/4 horses, whereby...

...Since 2013 in Class 3 to 5, UK NH handicap chases over 2m to 3m1f on ground deemed good or softer, horses who won two starts ago (ie the 1) and then finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th (the 2/3/4 bit) last time out less than three weeks ago are 110/475 (23.2% SR) for 230.2pts (+48.5% ROI)...

These are essentially horses in good form, turned back out fairly quickly in the hope of getting at least one good run out of them before a rest. Of course, 475 chasers from one angle is too many bets to back blindly for most people, so let's break them down with today's contest in mind, shall we? If we did, we'd find that...

  • males are 102/442 (23.1%) for 20.7pts (+49.9%)
  • those last seen 11-20 days ago are 84/380 (22.1%) for 212.6pts (+55.9%)
  • Class 3 runners are 36/164 (22%) for 138.7pts (+84.6%)
  • those finishing 4th LTO are 30/122 (24.6%) for 130.1pts (+106.6%)
  • 6 yr olds are 24/87 (27.6%) for 92.5pts (+106.3%)
  • in November : 18/64 (28.1%) for 81.3pts (+127.1%)
  • and over a 2m trip : 12/47 (25.5%) for 19.2pts (+40.9%)

And from the above, since 2014, Class 3 males who finished 4th, 11 to 20 days earlier are 9/32 (28.1% SR) for 70.7pts (+220.9% ROI), including 4 wins from 10 (40%) for 70.93pts (+709.3%) in November and 4 wins from 10 (40%) for 57.37pts (+573.7%) from 6 yr olds...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Lillington @ 7/2 BOG, a price offered by Bet365, BetVictor, SkyBet & Coral at 5.50pm on Monday evening. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 2.50 Lingfield

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 12th November 2018

Saturday's Pick was...

2.45 Doncaster : Shady McCoy @ 5/1 BOG 3rd at 6/1 (Held up towards rear, headway over 2f out, every chance inside final furlong, kept on same pace final furlong) 

Monday's pick runs in the...

3.30 Kempton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Midnight Target @ 3/1 BOG  

...in an 8-runner, Class 3 Mares Handicap Chase for 4yo+ over 2m5f on Good ground worth £9747 to the winner...  

Your first 30 days for just £1

Why?

This 8 yr old mare's most recent form is both impressive and consistent with finishes of 22F22141 in her last eight outings, with the final three (141) being her record in handicap chases, concluding in a win LTO (albeit 207 days ago) in a Listed contest over 2m4.5f at Cheltenham, so if she's ready to go, a double drop in class could help today.

Regular jockey Lee Edwards is in the saddle once again and will be hoping to improve this mare's record which already includes of relevance today...

  • 3 wins and 2 places from 9 at trips beyond 2.5 miles
  • 2 wins and a place from 7 in a hood
  • 2 wins and a place from 7 with a tongue tie
  • 2 wins and a place from 4 at odds of 4/1 and shorter
  • 2 wins from 4 on good ground

She's by Midnight Legend and regular/long-standing readers will know of my fondness for backing offspring of this particular (but sadly now departed) stallion, not because of sentiment however, but because there are a myriad of profitable angles associated with him. Today's flagged Midnight Legend micro is another of those that looks more complicated in print than it really is, but here goes...

...UK / NH / 3m1f or shorter / Good ground or softer / Class 2-4 / September to March / 5 to 8 yr olds / 3 weeks to 8 months off track...

...which might seem a fairly narrow category, but today's pick will be the 800th qualifier since the start of 2013 and with 142 winners (17.8% SR) and 260.5pts (+32.6% ROI) profit in that time, it's a handy one to keep an eye on. With respect to today's contest, those 799 runners are...

  • 99/540 (18.3%) for 218.4pts (+40.4%) in handicaps
  • 48/283 (17%) for 71.7pts (+25.4%) over fences
  • 41/241 (17%) for 59.4pts (+29.7%) in handicap chases
  • 55/237 (23.2%) for 188.9pts (+79.7%) at Class 3
  • 42/212 (19.8%) for 117.9pts (+55.6%) on Good ground
  • 45/207 (21.7%) for 126pts (+60.9%) in females-only races
  • 32/191 (16.8%) for 72.2pts (+37.8%) after a break of 3 to 8 months
  • 33/139 (23.7%) for 29.2pts (+21%) from LTO winners
  • 24/119 (20.2%) for 73.4pts (+61.7%) as 8 yr olds
  • and 11/67 (16.4%) for 45.2pts (+67.4%) over the 2m5f trip

...whilst, from the above, for a smaller number of bets per year : Class 3 handicap chasers are 22/101 (21.8%) for 50.75pts (+50.25% ROI) with those sent off at 5/2 to 5/1 winning 13 of 28 (34.2%) for 21.2pts (+55.8%)...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Midnight Target @ 3/1 BOG, a price offered by Bet365, BetVictor & Hills at 7.25pm on Sunday evening. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 3.30 Kempton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 12th November 2018

Saturday's Pick was...

2.45 Doncaster : Shady McCoy @ 5/1 BOG 3rd at 6/1 (Held up towards rear, headway over 2f out, every chance inside final furlong, kept on same pace final furlong) 

Monday's pick runs in the...

3.30 Kempton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Midnight Target @ 3/1 BOG  

...in an 8-runner, Class 3 Mares Handicap Chase for 4yo+ over 2m5f on Good ground worth £9747 to the winner...  

Why?

This 8 yr old mare's most recent form is both impressive and consistent with finishes of 22F22141 in her last eight outings, with the final three (141) being her record in handicap chases, concluding in a win LTO (albeit 207 days ago) in a Listed contest over 2m4.5f at Cheltenham, so if she's ready to go, a double drop in class could help today.

Regular jockey Lee Edwards is in the saddle once again and will be hoping to improve this mare's record which already includes of relevance today...

  • 3 wins and 2 places from 9 at trips beyond 2.5 miles
  • 2 wins and a place from 7 in a hood
  • 2 wins and a place from 7 with a tongue tie
  • 2 wins and a place from 4 at odds of 4/1 and shorter
  • 2 wins from 4 on good ground

She's by Midnight Legend and regular/long-standing readers will know of my fondness for backing offspring of this particular (but sadly now departed) stallion, not because of sentiment however, but because there are a myriad of profitable angles associated with him. Today's flagged Midnight Legend micro is another of those that looks more complicated in print than it really is, but here goes...

...UK / NH / 3m1f or shorter / Good ground or softer / Class 2-4 / September to March / 5 to 8 yr olds / 3 weeks to 8 months off track...

...which might seem a fairly narrow category, but today's pick will be the 800th qualifier since the start of 2013 and with 142 winners (17.8% SR) and 260.5pts (+32.6% ROI) profit in that time, it's a handy one to keep an eye on. With respect to today's contest, those 799 runners are...

  • 99/540 (18.3%) for 218.4pts (+40.4%) in handicaps
  • 48/283 (17%) for 71.7pts (+25.4%) over fences
  • 41/241 (17%) for 59.4pts (+29.7%) in handicap chases
  • 55/237 (23.2%) for 188.9pts (+79.7%) at Class 3
  • 42/212 (19.8%) for 117.9pts (+55.6%) on Good ground
  • 45/207 (21.7%) for 126pts (+60.9%) in females-only races
  • 32/191 (16.8%) for 72.2pts (+37.8%) after a break of 3 to 8 months
  • 33/139 (23.7%) for 29.2pts (+21%) from LTO winners
  • 24/119 (20.2%) for 73.4pts (+61.7%) as 8 yr olds
  • and 11/67 (16.4%) for 45.2pts (+67.4%) over the 2m5f trip

...whilst, from the above, for a smaller number of bets per year : Class 3 handicap chasers are 22/101 (21.8%) for 50.75pts (+50.25% ROI) with those sent off at 5/2 to 5/1 winning 13 of 28 (34.2%) for 21.2pts (+55.8%)...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Midnight Target @ 3/1 BOG, a price offered by Bet365, BetVictor & Hills at 7.25pm on Sunday evening. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 3.30 Kempton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

SotD Update, 5th to 10th November 2018

On this poignant day of remembrance, I have to look back on a week that was sadly largely forgettable.

Three placers from six isn't too bad, but to not get a single winner was both frustrating and disappointing, especially as Saturday's nicely-priced runner looked very much like he was going to make the week a profitable one for a while.

All that aside, this is supposed to interesting and fun and whilst I'd love to turn a profit every week, it's not a matter of life and death, unlike it was for so many who have served our nation proudly over the years.

So today, my concern is about them : we shall remember them forever.

Selections & Results : 05/11/18 to 10/11/18

05/10 : Stepover @ 3/1 BOG 3rd at 6/4
06/10 : Lord Murphy @ 11/4 BOG 2nd at 5/2
07/10 : Coachella @ 4/1 BOG 6th at 7/2
08/11 : Handy Hollow @ 11/4 BOG 6th at 5/1
09/11 : Kilmurvy @ 6/1 BOG PU at 7/2
10/11 : Shady McCoy @ 5/1 BOG 3rd at 6/1

05/11/18 to 10/11/18 :
0 winning bets from 6 = 0.00% SR
P/L: -6.00pts

November 2018 :
1 winner from 8 = 12.50% SR
P/L: -2.50pts
ROI = -31.25%

2018 to date :
59 winners from 255 = 23.14% SR
P/L: +13.77pts
ROI = +5.40%

Overall:
582 winners from 2137 = 27.23% S.R
P/L: +500.01pts
ROI: +23.40%

P.S. The full month by month SotD story can be found right here.
P.P.S The review of SotD's 2012 performance is here.

Whilst the details for 2013 are now online here.
And the figures for 2014 are now available here.

Our review of 2015 can be found right here
Whilst 2016's details are right here

And here is the full story from 2017.

Stat of the Day is just one component of the excellent package available to all Geegeez Gold Members, so why not take the plunge and get involved right now?

Click here for more details.

Stat of the Day, 10th November 2018

Friday's Pick was...

3.05 Warwick : Kilmurvy @ 6/1 BOG PU at 7/2 (Prominent, lost place 7th, tailed off after 13th, soon pulled up) 

Saturday's pick runs in the...

2.45 Doncaster :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Shady McCoy @ 5/1 BOG  

...in a 13-runner, Class 2 Flat Handicap for 3yo+ over 7f on Good ground worth £12450 to the winner... 

Why?

This 8 yr old gelding was a runner-up in another Class 2, 7 furlong handicap off today's mark 25 days ago, going down by just half a length to Muntadab, who has since run twice : winning again at this class/trip before finishing as a runner-up in a Listed contest at Newmarket last Saturday, beaten only by our SotD selection, Mitchum Swagger.

Our trainer today is Ian Williams, whose runners are 17 from 105 (16.2% SR) for 13.4pts (+12.7% ROI) here at Doncaster since 2009, of which handicappers priced shorter than 10/1 (my preferred odds range for my personal betting) are 14 from 45 (31.1% SR) for 42.75pts (+95% ROI).

It makes sense to focus on these 45 handicappers today and in the context of this race, they are...

  • 13/40 (32.5%) for 40.33pts (+100.8%) when competing for less than £13k prize money
  • 10/24 (41.7%) for 41.1pts (+171.3%) racing within 25 days of their last run
  • 8/19 (42.1%) for 29.45pts (+155%) in 2017/18
  • and 5 from 12 (41.7%) for 26.68pts (+222.3%) after a break of 21-25 days

...AND from the above...2017/18, 7/1 and shorter, 21-25 dslr for less than £13k = 3/5 (60% SR) for 18.36pts (+367.2% ROI), including 1/1 at Class 2 for 6.28pts profit.

I'm also happy to see the Doyler (James Doyle) in the saddle today, as he's in great form, winning 14 of 35 (40% SR) over the last 30 days and 9 of 23 (39.1%) in the past fortnight, whilst his record for Ian Williams in handicaps is an excellent 10/46 (21.7% SR) for 9.3pts (+20.2% ROI) over the last three years...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Shady McCoy @ 5/1 BOG, a price widely available at 5.25pm on Friday evening. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 2.45 Doncaster

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 9th November 2018

Thursday's Pick was...

3.20 Sedgefield : Handy Hollow @ 11/4 BOG 6th at 5/1 (Held up in touch, headway 4 out, soon ridden, weakened after next, tailed off) 

Friday's pick runs in the...

3.05 Warwick :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Kilmurvy @ 6/1 BOG  

...in a 10-runner, Class 4 Handicap Chase for 4yo+ over 3m2f on Good ground worth £5198 to the winner... 

Why?

This 10 yr old gelding was a winner by 3 lengths over 3m2.5f in a similar Class 4 contest under today's jockey Nick Scholfield when last seen 102 days ago, taking his record in sub-£6,000 Class 4 handicap chases to 2 wins and a place from 4 efforts and whilst he's been off the track for almost 3.5 months now, I'm not over concerned, as he's made the frame of four of five runs off a break of 3 to 6 months previously.

He is trained by Jeremy Scott and the trainer's record in such contests will form the backbone of today's analysis, as his Class 4 handicap chasers have won 35 of 160 (21.9% SR) for 94.3pts (+58.9% ROI) profits since the start of 2014 and whilst I rarely advocate blindly backing one of my starter angles, you could actually do far worse than just back these, as there's an average of less than 40 per year.

That said, I/you would probably still want to apply some filters to improve both SR and ROI, so we could try...

  • males at 33/152 (21.7%) for 91.5pts (+60.2%)
  • 6-10 yr olds at 32/125 (25.6%) for 101.6pts (+81.3%)
  • priced at 7/4 to 13/2 at 24/83 (28.9%) for 35.2pts (+42.4%)
  • on Good ground at 19/79 (24.1%) for 34.8pts (+44%)
  • ridden by Nick Scholfield at 16/64 (25%) for 60.2pts (+94%)
  • in 2018, they are 9/37 (24.3%) for 32.8pts (+88.7%)
  • from November to January : 8/36 (22.2%) for 52.9pts (+147%)
  • stayers over 3m2f to 3m4f are 10/28 (35.7%) for 14.5pts (+51.9%)
  • 10 yr olds are 6/25 (24%) for 5.37pts (+21.5%)
  • at Warwick : 2/11 (18.2%) for 8.46pts (+76.9%)
  • and after a break of 3 to 6 months : 3/9 (33.3%) for 11.9pts (+132.1%)

Yet, I know there are plenty of you who like a nice composite angle they can follow, so the following simple micro (derived from the above) might work for you...

...6-12 yr old males priced at 7/4 to 13/2 on ground with the word Good in the official description are 18 from 47 (38.3% SR) for 44pts profit at an attractive ROI of 93.6%, from which Nick Scholfield is 6/19 (31.6%) for 13.66pts (+71.9%), whilst the 3.25 to 3.5 mile stayers are 7 from 12 (58.3%) for 20.82pts (+173.5% ROI)...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Kilmurvy @ 6/1 BOG, as offered by Betfair, Ladbrokes & Paddy Power at 6.45pm on Thursday evening. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 3.05 Warwick

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 8th November 2018

Wednesday's Pick was...

6.20 Chelmsford : Coachella @ 4/1 BOG 6th at 7/2 (Held up in last trio, headway over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong, not pace to threaten) 

Thursday's pick runs in the...

3.20 Sedgefield :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Handy Hollow @ 11/4 BOG  

...in an 8-runner, Class 4 Handicap Hurdle for 4yo+ over 3m3f on Good ground worth £4094 to the winner... 

Why?

Here we have a very consistent 5 yr old gelding who has finished in the first four home in 8 of his last 9 starts, all under today's jockey Lorcan Murtagh and including 2 wins. He'll like the ground today and he stays this far (probably further too, based on what I've seen on replay).

Stat-wise, it's a simple starting point with trainer Donald McCain Jnr's record here at Sedgefield in recent seasons. Donald's runners are 41 from 213 (19.25% SR) for a modest 2.83pts (+1.33% ROI) profit since the start of 2015 and whilst those aren't terribly exciting returns, the strike rate is excellent from blind backing and it's always good to start from a profitable position.

We, of course, wouldn't have advocated backing all 213 runners, of course, we'd rather find some logical filters that are applicable today and would also reduce our outlay whilst increasing our returns, such as...

  • 5 to 10 yr olds are 41/197 (20.8%) for 18.83pts (+9.56%)
  • males are 35/186 (18.8%) for 6.61pts (+3.55%)
  • those sent off at 5/4 to 10/1 are 36/166 (21.7%) for 12.22pts (+7.36%)
  • handicappers are 25/142 (17.6%) for 14.04pts (+9.89%)
  • handicap hurdlers are 14/94 (14.9%) for 7.83pts (+8.33%)
  • on Good ground : 13/71 (18.3%) for 7.73pts (+10.89%)
  • and at trips beyond 3 miles : 5/24 (20.8%) for 10.88pts (+45.3%)

Now, with the exception of the stayers, those numbers still don't do enough to get the pulses racing, although 7 to 11% is far better than a bank offers and we'd have fun doing it! The answer, of course, is to tie the filters together and the simplest angle from above is to back Donald's male handicap hurdlers here, as they are 12/79 (15.2% SR) for 14.37pts (+18.2% ROI). This means we've multiplied our ROI by 14 whilst only placing 37% of the original 213 bets!

We can, of course, drill into those 79 male handicap hurdlers if we wished and if we did, we'd find that...

  • 5-10 yr olds are 12/71 (16.9%) for 22.37pts (+31.5%)
  • Class 2 to 4 runners are 8/57 (14%) for 16.93pts (+29.7%)
  • in 2017/18 : 9/45 (20%) for 23.23pts (+51.62%)
  • at odds of 5/4 to 10/1 : 11/60 (18.3%) for 15.74pts (+26.24%)
  • on Good ground : 5/29 (17.2%) for 21.49pts (+74.09%)
  • and over today's 3m3f course and distance : 2/11 (18.2%) for 7.82pts (+71.05%)

And from the above, 5-10 yo male hcp hurdlers at Class 2-4 in 2017/18 at odds of 5/4 to 10/1 are 5/17 (29.4%) for 20.49pts (+120.53%) including 2/7 (28.6%) for 10.32pts (+147.5%) and 2 from 4 (50%) for 14.82pts (+370.4%) over this 3m3f C&D...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Handy Hollow @ 11/4 BOG, as offered by more than half a dozen firms at 5.35pm on Wednesday evening, whilst there was some 3/1 BOG available at Bet365 for those able/quick enough to take advantage. In fact 7/2 was widely available at 9.00am Thursday! To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 3.20 Sedgefield

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!