Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 16th Dec 2023
A MASSIVE day up at Prestbury Park as the Cheltenham December Meeting continues this Saturday (16th Dec), plus the ITV cameras also head to Doncaster for three races - as always, here at Geegeez, we are on hand with all the big-race trends and stats…..
Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1.15 Quintessentially Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV
8/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/9 - Had run at Cheltenham before (fences) (3 won)
8/9 – 2+ past chase wins
7/9 – Top 5 finish last time out
6/9 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/9 – Irish bred
6/9 – Favourites placed in the first two
5/9 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
3/9 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/9 – Ridden by Brendan Powell
2/9 – Winning favourites
1.50 – Virgin Bet December Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f ITV
19/20 – Aged 8 or younger
18/20 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
16/20 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
15/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/20 - Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (2 winners, Frodon – Ryanair Chase and Coole Cody – Plate)
15/20 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
14/20 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (6 won)
13/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Officially rated 141 or higher
12/20 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – French bred
9/20 – Carried 10-12 or more
9/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/20 – Ran in the Paddy Power (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
6/20 – Finished in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
5/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/20 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
2/20 – Trained by David Pipe
2/20 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/20 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 11 winners carried 10-12 or less
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 10/1
2.25 Favourite From The Sun Now Daily Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m2f ITV
8/9 – Aged 8+
8/9 - Had run at Cheltenham in the past (4 won)
8/9 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
7/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/9 – Had won over at least 3m (chase) before
7/9 – Carried 11st 1lb or less
6/9 – Rated between 133 and 139
6/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Unplaced favourites
6/9 - Aged 9+
4/9 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/9 – Irish bred
2/9 – Won by trainer Venetia Williams
2/9 – Won by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/ 9- Won by the Tizzard yard
2/9 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/9 – Ridden by Charlie Deutsch
0/9 – Winning favourites
3.00 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4
18/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
17/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
16/18 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
16/18 – Aged 6 or younger
15/18 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
14/18 – Placed favourites
14/18 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (3 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
11/18 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
11/18 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
11/18 – Won last time out
11/18 – Irish bred
10/18 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
9/18 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
9/18 – Had won at Cheltenham before
8/18 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
3/18 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/18 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
10 of the last 13 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
9 of the last 11 winners were aged 5 years-old
3.35 – Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4 1/2f ITV
Just 7 previous runnings
All 7 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 - Winners carried 10-11 or more
5/7 - Aged 7 or younger
5/7 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
2/7 – Winning favourites
Trainers, Lucy Wadham (2), Nicky Henderson, Dan Skelton, Noel Williams (2), Anthony Honeyball
Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Sports Racing)
2:05 - bet365 Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-135) 2m3f ITV
No previous runnings
Trainer Jedd O’Keefe has a 50% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Tom Lacey has a 25% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Richards has a 17% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Ben Pauling has is just 1 from 16 with his chasers at the track
Trainer Sue Smith has is just 1 from 16 with her chasers at the track
2:40 - bet365 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m½f ITV
8/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/9 – Carried 11st or more
8/9 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
7/9 – Returned 4/1 or shorter
6/9 – Irish bred
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Tommy’s Oscar won the race in 2021
3:15 - bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-150) 3m ITV
9/9 – Aged 7 or older
8/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/9 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Won over at least 3m
7/9 – Aged 8 or 9
7/9 - Irish bred
7/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Favourites finished in top 2
6/9 – Won between 2-4 times over fences
6/9 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
4/9 – Had run at Doncaster before
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Kim Bailey
2/9 – Ridden by David Bass
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