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Placepot Pointers – Wednesday 23rd May

AYR – MAY 23

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2017: £8,132.90 (8 favourites: 2 winners - 2 placed - 4 unplaced)

 

Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:

Race 1: 26.8% units went through – 10/1 – 7/2** - 14/1 (7/2**)

Race 2: 3.0% of the remaining units when through – 14/1 -14/1-28/1 (6/5)

Race 3: 38.9% of the remaining units went through – 3/1** - 8/1 – 3/1**

Race 4: 20.7% of the remaining units went through – 5/1 – 14/1 – 14/1 (11/8)

Race 5: 70.8% of the remaining units went through – 5/2* - 7/2 – 25/1

Race 6: 20.6% of the units secured the dividend – 8/1 – 14/1 – 8/1 (7/2)

 

Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Ayr: 

Leg 1 (2.00): 5 (Two Blondes) & 7 (Dame Freya Stark)

Leg 2 (2.30): 6 (Sienna Dream), 2 (Mo Henry) & 10 (Brendan)

Leg 3 (3.05): 3 (Naples Bay), 4 (Star Cracker) & 8 (Cheeni)

Leg 4 (3.35): 7 (Club Wexford) & 1 (Helovaplan)

Leg 5 (4.05): 1 (Powerallied), 2 (Tanasoq) & 5 (Oriental Lily)

Leg 6 (4.35): 8 (Wingingit) & 1 (Titi Makfi)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

2.00: Jedd O’Keefe is not the first trainer you think of where juveniles are concerned, though it’s worth noting that Jedd has saddled 26 two year-old winners down the years.  That said, these young horses have only offered the trainer a 6% strike rate though before you write off the chance of his Dark Angel newcomer DEVILS ANGEL, it’s as well to note that Jedd has saddled two of his last three runners to winning effect.  Mick Channon did yours truly another great favour yesterday with his 16/1 two-year-old winner (somehow returned at 20/1 on the Tote) at Chepstow, with TWO BLONDES looking the part in this grade/company.  Mick might still be kicking himself for not recalling his own words during a stable tour when suggesting that for all his potential, the trainer might wait for the six furlong races to emerge in the two-year-old sector.  Mick was lured into an Ascot contest and whilst the Dragon Pulse colt ran well enough over the minimum trip at a big price, this sixth furlong looks sure to suit. Mark Johnston’s newcomer DAME FREYA STARK appears to be the main threat.

Favourite factor: Only one of the three favourites (via two renewals) have secured Placepot positions, without winning the relevant event.

 

2.30: Jim Goldie has been represented in three of the four renewals thus far securing victories at 33/1 and 14/1 thus far, notwithstanding being responsible for a beaten 4/1 joint favourite!  For the record, Jim’s 14/1 winner was backed up by the silver medallist stable companion, producing a 197/1 Exacta forecast on one occasion!  Jim saddles three outsiders in the first division of the event this time around, namely BRENDAN, FINTRY FLIER and JESSIE ALLAN. Likelier winners at the other end of the market include SIENNA DREAM and MO HENRY.

Favourite factor: Three of the six favourites (via four renewals) have claimed Placepot positions, statistics which include one (3/1**) winner.

Record of course winner in the second event on the card:

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1/6—Mo Henry (good to firm)

 

3.05: This is second division of the previous race on the card whereby the same Jim Goldie stats apply.  Jim has offered the green light to STAR CRACKER, GONINODAETHAT (winner of one of the divisions last year) and CHEENI in heat two. If you care to cast the trio aside, I suspect you will opt for NAPLES BAY with trainer John Quinn continuing his decent form following his two big priced winners at York last week from just three runners at the Dante festival.

Favourite factor: Three of the six favourites (via four renewals) have claimed Placepot positions, statistics which include one (3/1**) winner.

Record of course winner in the third contest:

2/12—Star Cracker (good to soft & soft)

8/46—Goninodaethat (3 x soft – 2 x good – 2 x good to soft – good to firm)

1/9—Cheeni (good)

 

3.35: Roger Fell has saddled three of his last six runners to winning effect, securing level stake profits of 13 points in the bargain.  This much underrated trainer has declared CLUB WEXFORD with definite claims here, with connections possibly having most to fear from HELOVAPLAN and (possibly) KHARBETATION.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 5/2 market leader duly obliged for Jim Goldie who you can rarely keep out of the headlines at this venue!

Record of the course winners in the field:

1/4—Strong Steps

3/14—Royal Regent (3 x soft)

2/6—Al Khan (good to firm & good to soft)

 

4.05: Jim Goldie is a ‘one off’ trainer and no mistake and once again, Jim has saddled winners in this event on the card at 11/1 and 5/1.  The great thing about trainers like Jim is that they are not afraid to ‘tilt at windmills’ whereby his outsider of the party here (ORIENTAL LILY) still warrants respect despite the odds on offer. POWERALLIED and TANASOQ are the preferred duo from the other end of the market.  Having made a study of horses which ran the day after winning several years ago, I decided that is was usually best to lay rather than play.  That was some time ago, though I’m opting for the same stance regarding yesterday’s course winner Plough Boy – win, lose or draw.  I should add (covering myself I guess) that horses that ran at the same venue the next day had a slightly better strike rate than those that raced elsewhere.

Favourite factor: Only three of the nine market leaders have finished in the frame, though two of them at least won their respective events at odds of 5/1 & 3/1**.

 

4.35: Andrew Balding sends his runners up to Ayr to half decent effect in the main, with the trainer boasting a 19% strike rate at the track via seven winners down the years.  These figures are enhanced by the fact that Andrew’s gold medallists have created a level stake profit of the thick end of 14 points.  Andrew has declared WINGINGIT in our final race and Ron Hornby’s mount is the first name on the team sheet from a Placepot perspective.  TITI MAKFI put in a rare lifeless performance the last day but hailing from the Mark Johnston yard, the Makfi filly is just as likely to bounce back to her previous good form.  There is the point to take into account that Mark’s runners were suffering from a slight dip in form in general terms at the time of her defeat.

Favourite factor: Both of the (3/1 &* 1/2) favourites have won their respective events thus far.

Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:

1/2—Euro Nightmare (good to soft)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Wednesday 16th May

YORK – MAY 16

 

Corresponding toteplacepot dividends for the last seven years:

2017: £310.30 (7 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced)

2016: £32.60 (6 favourites – 4 winners & 2 unplaced)

2015: £3,142.80 (6 favourites: 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)

2014: £1,860.60 (8 favourites: 2 winners - 1 placed - 5 unplaced)

2013: £305.20 (6 favourites: 3 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced)

2012: £3,044.20 (6 favourites: No winners - 1 placed - 5 unplaced)

2011: £2,943.40 (6 favourites: 1 winner & 5 unplaced)

Average dividend: £1,662.73 - 45 favourites - 15 winners - 5 placed - 25 unplaced

 

Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:

Race 1: 20.6% units went through – 12/1 – 7/1 – 20/1 – 25/1 (6/1)

Race 2: 37.2% of the remaining units when through – 25/1 – 6/1** - 14/1 – 8/1 (6/1**)

Race 3: 12.1% of the remaining units went through – 14/1 – 14/1 – 25/1 (5/2)

Race 4: 82.0% of the remaining units went through – 4/7* & 12/1

Race 5: 69.4% of the remaining units went through – 4/1* - 16/1 – 9/1

Race 6: 44.4% of the units secured the dividend – 9/4* - 4/1 – 12/1

 

Wednesday's Placepot permutation at York: 

Leg 1 (2.20): 6 (Hamanda) & 7 (Now Children)

Leg 2 (2.55): 16 (Private Matter), 8 (Golden Apollo), 9 (El Hombre) & 12 (Orion’s Bow)

Leg 3 (3.30): 6 (Tasleet) & 1 (Harry Angel)

Leg 4 (4.05): 6 (Highgarden) & 1 (Ceilidhs Dream)

Leg 5 (4.35): 8 (Clubbable), 12 (Cavatina), 6 (Queen’s Sargent) & 3 (Zap)

Leg 6 (4.55): 3 (Charming Kid) & 7 (World Order)

Suggested stake: 256 bets to 10p stakes

 

2.20: Four-year-olds have won the last five contests, whilst horses carrying weights of 9-1 or less have won ten of the last fourteen renewals.  Four horses qualify this time around, the pick of which will hopefully prove to be HAMADA and NOW CHILDREN ahead of Tuff Rock and Contango.

Favourite factor: Twelve of the twenty seven market leaders have reached the frame during the study period, stats which includes six winning favourites.

 

2.55: Four-year-olds have won seven of the last thirteen renewals, confirming their ‘recent’ dominance having secured a 1-2-3 result seven years ago via eight representatives in the twenty strong line up.  Twelve of the last thirteen winners carried a maximum burden of 9-3.  Relevant horses PRVATE MATTER (drawn 3/19), GOLDEN APOLLO (16) and EL HOMBRE (14) form my speculative ‘short list’ on this occasion.  If vintage representatives are to be denied this time around, ORION’S BOW (9) might prove to be the joker in the pack.

Favourite factor: 16 of the 28 favourites have secured Placepot positions, with just three favourites prevailing from a win perspective during the study period.

Draw factor (six furlongs – most recent result offered first):

8-2-1-16 (16 ran-soft)

5-9-1-4 (18 ran-good)

11-14-4-1 (17 ran-good)

20-5-19-14 (20 ran-soft)

18-3-5 (15 ran-good to soft)

15-6-18-7 (19 ran-good)

8-7-3-14 (20 ran-good to firm)

11-8-17 (13 ran-good to firm)

15-13-17-16 (16 ran-soft)

12-10-9 (15 ran-good to firm)

13-7-12 (13 ran-good)

7-8-9-10 (17 ran-soft)

1-5-15-13 (19 ran-good to soft)

12-10-4 (14 ran-good to soft)

6-2-7 (8 ran-good to firm)

6-5-10 (13 ran-good to firm)

6-14-12-7 (20 ran-good to firm)

12-9-16 (15 ran-firm)

2-9-8 (15 ran-soft)

6-11-13 (13 ran-good)

York record of the six course winners in the second race on the card:

1/6—Terentum Star (good)

1/6—Flying Pursuit (good to soft)

2/10—Out Do (2 x good)

1/3—Golden Apollo (good to firm)

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1/4—Classic Seniority (good)

2/4—Dark Defender (good & good to soft)

 

3.30: Four and five-year-olds have claimed 13 of the last 19 renewals, with the older of the two vintages leading 8-5 during the period.  It might prove foolish to suggest that last year’s 14/1 winner TASLEET only scored on account of the soft ground, even though his two course victories tell us that moisture in the turf holds no worries for connections.  Equally however, the William Haggas raider has finished in the first two in three of his five assignments on good to firm (including one victory), whereby there should be no excuse on account of today’s conditions.  All that said, HARRY ANGEL is supposedly fit and ready for this event and has “strengthened up” tremendously well over the winter.  Unfortunately, we heard similar words for the connections of Eminent last week at Chester before investors suffered first degree burns on the Roodee.  Outsiders have a really good record in this event but I’m struggling to nominate a winner from that sector, even though Sir Dancealot remains a horse of undoubted potential.

Favourite factor: Five favourites have won this event during the last twenty years, though just three of the other sixteen market leaders additionally claimed Placepot positions.  Eight of the last twelve winners have scored at 40/1-25/1-25/1-20/1-16/1-14/1-12/1-10/1.

Draw factor (six furlongs):

9-12-3 (12 ran-soft)

4-9-6 (12 ran-good)

7-12-2 (15 ran-good)

4-2-5 (13 ran-soft)

18-15-4 (17 ran-good to soft)

7-12-3 (13 ran-good)

9-12-8 (14 ran-good)

1-11-6 (12 ran-good)

3-11-6 (16 ran-good to firm)

6-1-7 (17 ran-good to firm)

4-1-13 (17 ran-good)

2-13-9 (16 ran-good to soft)

9-10-5 (11 ran-soft)

5-14-9 (15 ran-good to soft)

3-12-1 (15 ran-good to firm)

6-1-4 (12 ran-good to firm)

8-10-4 (14 ran-good to firm)

5-4-9 (10 ran-firm)

8-1-2 (14 ran-soft)

3-5-4 (10 ran-good)

York record of the two course winners in the third contest:

1/1—Sir Dancealot (good)

2/3—Tasleet (Good to soft & soft)

 

4.05 ('Musidora'): John Gosden has won five of the last six renewals when represented and John has offered the green light to his Nathanial filly HIGHGARDEN who might win this ‘trial’ with something to spare, especially when considering that Frankie’s mount is the only Gosden runner on today’s card.  It’s also worth noting that on the one occasion when John did not win the ‘Musidora’ in recent times, his raider (Woodland Aria) made amends next time out at odds of 5/4.  I invariably have plenty of respect of Peter Chapple-Hyam’s raiders when they take in races towards the top end of the events on the calendar whereby the chance of LUBINKA is respected, albeit I slightly prefer CEILIDHS DREAM as the main threat to the selection.  Give And Take is another decent filly, though one win from four assignments is not the best ratio with which to go to war in this grade/company.

Favourite factor: Ten of the last eighteen favourites have reached the frame, statistics which include seven winners.

 

4.35: Richard Fahey has landed this event three times in the last nine years and two of his three entries boast Placepot claims at double figures from my viewpoint, namely CLUBBABLE and ZAP.  Horses from the other end of the market have a terrific record however (see stats immediately below), whereby Kevin Ryan’s market leaders COMMANDER HEN and QUEEN’S SARGENT are respected alongside CAVATINA.

Favourite factor: Seven favourites have prevailed via just ten contests thus far, though the other three market leaders missed out on Placepot positions.  The winners offer level stake favourite profits of 22 points which is something to behold!

York record of the two course winners in the field:

1/3—Zap (good to soft)

1/2—International Man (good to firm)

 

5.05: There is not a lot of money queuing up on the exchanges for any of the contenders if truth be told which gets the red lights flashing, though the likes of CHARMING KID and WORLD ORDER should land the Placepot dividend for us if we were live going into the final leg of our favourite bet.

Favourite factor: Seven of the fourteen favourites to date have missed out on toteplacepot positions (six winners). The biggest priced winner to date was returned at 14/1 (nine years ago).  The other twelve winners were returned at odds of 8/1 or less.

Draw factor (five furlongs):

5-2-1 (8 ran-soft)

3-9-6 (9 ran-good)

1 (4 ran-good)

3-5 (5 ran-good to soft)

4-1 (7 ran-soft)

1-5-2 (8 ran-good)

9-1-2 (10 ran-good)

5-3 (5 ran-good to firm)

5-4 (5 ran-good to firm)

2-3 (5 ran-good to firm)

7-2-10 (10 ran-good to soft)

3-1 (7 ran-good to soft)

2-1 (6 ran-soft)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Tuesday 1st May

NOTTINGHAM – MAY 1 

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2017: £39.90 (6 favourites: 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced)

 

Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:

Race 1: 60.7% units went through – 7/2 – 20/1 – 5/2*

Race 2: 32.5% of the remaining units when through – 7/2 – 4/1 – 25/1 (3/1)

Race 3: 68.3% of the remaining units went through – 11/4* - 8/1 – 6/1

Race 4: 38.8% of the remaining units went through – 4/1 & 3/1 (5/4)

Race 5: 59.6% of the remaining units went through – 6/1 – 3/1* - 7/2

Race 6: 58.6% of the units secured the dividend – 2/1* & 7/1

 

Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Nottingham: 

Leg 1 (2.00): 3 (Red Handed), 5 (Spell) & 2 (Delft Dancer)

Leg 2 (2.30): 1 (Mushtaq) & 5 (Giovanni)

Leg 3 (3.00): 3 (Cosmopoltan Queen) & 6 (Lady Alavesa)

Leg 4 (3.35): 2 (Seduce Me), 7 (Flying Pandora) & 4 (Mama Africa)

Leg 5 (4.05): 7 (Double Reflection), 1 (Amazing Michelle) & 5 (Ann Without An E)

Leg 6 (4.35): 1 (Slunovrat) & 3 (Thistimenextyear)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

2.00: Mick Channon can do little wrong at present having saddled five of his last eight runners to winning effect and having trained last year’s favourite for the contest with a horse which was making its third appearance (see details below), Mick goes to war with his Sixties Icon newcomer RED HANDED this time around.  Richard Hannon has won with two of his eight juvenile runners this season, though his entry SPELL is still in a race at Ascot on Wednesday as I pen this column.  Of the experienced runners in the field, DELFT DANCER is preferred to Chitra.

Favourite factor: Last year’s (Mick Channon trained) favourite snared a Placepot position via a bronze medal effort.  Mick’s raider (Aquadabra) went on the win one of its eleven subsequent races at the time of writing.

 

2.30: Although MUSHTAQ is odds on right across the board with the layers in the dead of night, 11/8+ is freely available on the exchanges which dilutes enthusiasm to a fashion. Richard Hannon’s Zoffany gelding scored impressively over six furlongs on (all weather) seasonal debut at just the second time of asking and the breeding suggests that this hike up to a mile should pose few (if any) problems.  There is no move for Eledeed at the time of writing, whereby I feel duty bound to offer up GIOVANNI as the main threat to the selection whose trainer is currently enjoying a 29% strike rate via his last seven winners.

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Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Nottingham card.

 

3.00: There are two runners that fit the ‘bet to nothing’ profile here from an each way angle, namely COSMOPOLITAN QUEEN and LADY ALAVESA. The pair is listed in order of preference, despite the fact that Gay Kelleway’s latter named raider has already had a (decent) run this season under her belt.  COSMOPOLITAN QUEEN has more potential from my viewpoint and it will interesting to see if David Elsworth has his Dubawi filly 95% fit, which might be all that is required to land the prize in this grade/company.  The reserve nomination is awarded to Last Enchantment, though Eve Johnson Houghton’s raider fails to offer value for money at around the 9/4 mark this morning according to the gospel of yours truly.

Favourite factor: This is another new event on the programme.

 

3.35: Karl Burke’s runners have been a little in and out thus far since the turf season opened (in spluttered fashion) but that said, four of his last five runners have reached the frame (exact science) at 14/1, 12/1, 8/1 & 22/5 which suggests that SEDUCE ME can give investors a decent run for their collective monies, especially as Karl’s Dutch Art filly has attracted support overnight.  Connections might have most to fear from the likes of FLYING PANDORA and MAMA AFRICA at the business end of proceedings.

Favourite factor: Yet another new race to assess on the card.

 

4.05: The general and exchange markets are giving no clues away in this trappy looking contest at the time of writing and my only advice is to possibly keep DOUBLE REFLECTION, AMAZING MICHELLE and ANN WITHOUT AN E on the right side of the mix as you plan today’s wagers, especially from a Placepot perspective.  The latter named pair could outrun their double figure prices (both hail from in form yards with half decent soft ground form in the past), whilst DOUBLE REFLECTION is another Karl Burke runner on the card to consider, especially if Seduce Me has run well in the previous race.  Course winner APACHE BLAZE is another to consider whilst waiting for the kettle to boil this morning.

Favourite factor: All three favourites have finished in the frame (including a 4/9 chance) without winning their respective events.

Record of course winners in the fifth event:

1/1—Apache Blaze (good to soft)

 

4.35: Nine of the fourteen horses to have secured toteplacepot positions carried a minimum burden of nine stones, as did all five (16/1-3/1-11/4-2/1-5/4) winners of the contest thus far.  This hardly represents an extended trend I know though with little else to work with, my short listed duo against the other three runners hail from the top of the handicap, namely SLUNOVRAT and THISTIMENEXTYEAR.

Favourite factor:  Three of the five favourites claimed toteplacepot positions thus far, stats which include three winners at 3/1, 2/1 and 5/4.

Record of course winners in the Placepot finale:

1/4—Slunovrat (good)

 

Record of course winners in the seventh (non Placepot) race on the card at 5.05:

1/1—Samovar (good to soft)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

 

 

Stat of the Day, 1st May 2018

Monday's Runner was...

4.55 Wolverhampton : Star Ascending @ 7/2 BOG 3rd at 9/2 (in touch, ridden over 1f out, kept on same pace)

We kick off the new month via Tuesday's...

4.15 Yarmouth :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Ramblow @ 9/2 BOG

A 9-runner, Class 5,  7f Fillies Handicap (4yo+) on Good To Soft worth£3752 to the winner...

Why?

This 5 yr old mare is in decent form right now, having finished 112 in her last three outings and was only beaten by three quarters of a length when last seen 33 days ago. That was over 8.5 furlongs at Wolverhampton off a mark of 62.

She now drops back in trip and jockey Nicola Currie is back in the saddle (she didn't ride LTO, but did ride the two recent wins) and she takes 5lbs off a mark already 3lbs lower for the switch back to turf, so we're effectively 8lbs better off and a shorter trip! So, providing she handles the conditions today, she could potentially be very well treated at the weights.

She's only won twice in her career so far, but she's 2 from 6 at 7/8 furlongs and 2/2 under Nicola Currie. Both wins have come this year, in fields of 8-11 runners whilst wearing cheekpieces and one win was at this Class 5 level.

And the class of the race is quite pertinent, as her trainer Mick Appleby is a dab hand at winning such contests and is profitable to follow in Class 5 Flat handicaps with 55 winners from 443 (12.4% SR) providing followers with 420.9pts profit at a 95% ROI since 2010 and with today's race in mind, the following dozen angles are also profitable for those not wanting to back all 443 qualifiers...

  • in races worth less than £4,000 : 52/418 (12.4%) for 422.65pts (+101.1%)
  • those beaten by further than a neck LTO are 52/381 (13.7%) for 462.45pts (+121.4%)
  • those rated (OR) 56 to 70 are 43/353 (12.2%) for 446pts (+126.4%)
  • those who last ran 11 to 90 days earlier are 43/307 (14%) for 453.75pts (+147.8%)
  • those racing in midweek (Tues-Thurs) are 34/222 (15.3%) for 448.6pts (+202.1%)
  • those racing over trips of 6 to 9 furlongs are 27/202 (13.4%) for 386.8pts (+191.5%)
  • those now rated (OR) 2 to 6lbs lower than LTO are 17/120 (14.2%) for 388.8pts (+324%)
  • those placed 2nd or 3rd LTO are 19/100 (19%) for 69.12pts (+69.1%)
  • those dropping in trip by 1 to 2 furlongs are 14/78 (17.9%) for 73.48pts (+94.2%)
  • those racing at this 7f trip are 8/51 (15.7%) for 53.25pts (+104.4%)
  • those ridden by a jockey claiming 5lbs are 6/44 (13.6%) for 25.47pts (+57.9%)
  • and those sent here to Yarmouth are 5 from 38 (13.2%) for 20.66pts (+54.4%)

You can, of course, then combine some of the above to make micros for yourself, but I'll leave it here for now...

...by placing...a 1pt win bet on Ramblow @ 9/2 BOG which was available from Betfair & Paddy Power at 5.30pm on Monday.To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 4.15 Yarmouth

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Placepot Pointers – Tuesday 24th April

BRIGHTON – APRIL 24

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2017: £56.40 (6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced)

 

Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:

Race 1: 32.5% units went through – 3/1 & 9/2 (7/4)

Race 2: 67.5% of the remaining units when through – 10/1 – 9/4* - 10/3

Race 3: 47.6% of the remaining units went through – 11/4* & 9/2

Race 4: 43.7% of the remaining units went through –8/1 – 13/2 – 3/1 (5/2)

Race 5: 83.1% of the remaining units went through – 5/1 – 6/1 – 13/8*

Race 6: 34.1% of the units secured the dividend – 5/2* & 20/1

 

Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Brighton: 

Leg 1 (4.15): 4 (Baltic Prince) & 3 (Tigerwolf)

Leg 2 (4.50): 3 (It’s the Only Way), 6 (Al Manhalah) & 7 (Knockabout Queen)

Leg 3 (5.25): 7 (Andalusite), 3 (Art Echo) & 5 (Madrinho)

Leg 4 (5.55): 6 (Prince Jai), 3 (Violet’s Lads) & 10 (Joyful Dream)

Leg 5 (6.30): 7 (Becca Campbell), 8 (Let’s Be Happy) & 6 (Poetic Force)

Leg 6 (7.05): 10 (The Secret’s Out) & 2 (Hint Of Grey)

Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes

 

4.15: BALTIC PRINCE is the each way call in the contest from my viewpoint, even though TIGERWOLF has a favourite’s chance in a race which should not prove difficult to win.  Trainer Tony Carroll (BALTIC PRINCE) is on a great run just now, boasting a 40% strike rate via six recent winners, gold medallists which have produce 34 points of level stake profits during the period.

Favourite factor: Three of the last five market leaders secured Placepot positions (one winner) via three renewals.

Record of the four course winners in the opening event:

1/1—Ocean Temptress (good to soft)

1/8—Swiss Cross (good to firm)

1/3—Baltic Prince (good)

4/25—Whitecrest (2 x good – good to firm – good to soft)

 

4.50: KNOCKABOUT QUEEN was as green as grass at the first time of asking and can only do better for in form Mick Channon, albeit I was expecting the Sixties Icon filly to be targeted at a more conventional track than Brighton where the gradients can catch seasoned thoroughbreds out on occasions.  That taken into account, I will hold back from a win perspective, whilst adding IT’S THE ONLY WAY and AL MANHALAH into my Placepot equation.

Favourite factor: Three of the five favourites have claimed Placepot positions via four renewals to date, statistics which include two winners.

 

5.25: Not the easiest ‘short field’ event to assess, with course and distance winners ART ECHO and ANDALUSITE being the first to horses short listed. John Gallagher saddles the latter named raider with the trainer boasting 24 winners at the track in eighteen year of having held a license.  John’s next best haul is ten (Goodwood) whereby you can detect that this must be his favourite venue.  ART ECHO won on soft ground when successful here, which probably means that I will add MADRINHO into the Placepot mix. New readers might like to know that the term 'short field' relates to 5/6/7 runners races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.

Favourite factor: All four favourites had finished out with the washing before last year when the 7/2 market leader snared a silver medal alongside a Placepot position.

Record of the four course winners in the third contest on the card.

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1/1—Sayesse (good to firm)

4/16—Black Caesar (2 x good & 2 x good to soft)

1/2—Art Echo (soft)

3/7—Andalusite (2 x good to firm & good)

 

5.55: Four-year-olds lead the five year-olds 10-6 in terms of the number of toteplacepot positions (21 up for grabs) gained via seven renewals, the two vintages having (equally) shared six of the seven contests to date.  I’m taking a trio of vintage representatives to get us through to the penultimate leg of our favourite wager, namely PRINCE JAI, VIOLETS LADS and JOYFUL DREAM.

Favourite factor: Six of the eight favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include three (6/1, 7/2 & 11/4) winners.

Record of the six course winners in the field:

1/5—Corporal Maddox (good to soft)

1/4—Hidden Stash (good)

2/7—Indus Valley (good & good to firm)

3/13—Live Dangrously (2 x good to soft & good)

3/26—Lutine Charlie (good – good to firm – firm)

1/9—Ettie Hart (good to form)

 

6.30I’m struggling to put lines though the names of the two course winners here, despite both runners on offer at double figure prices at the time of writing.  BECCA CAMPBELL (Eve Johnson Houghton) and LET’S BE HAPPY (Ali Stronge) look sure to give supporters a decent run for their collective monies, nominating   POETIC FORCE as the potential joker in the pack as far as our outsiders are concerned.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 5/2 market leader finished out with the washing.

Record of the two course winners in the fifth contest:

3/7—Becca Campbell (3 x good)

1/3—Let’s Be Happy (good to firm)

 

7.05: I have only left myself two options for the competitive looking Placepot finale but that said, the likes of THE SECRET’S OUT (should revert to consistent form now that he has had his pipe opener for the campaign) and HINT OF GREY (strong local contender for Gary Moore) can do the Placepot business for us in the lucky last.

Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is a new race on the Brighton card.

Record of the three course winners in the line up:

1/2—Hint Of Grey (good)

2/15—Solveig’s Song (good to form & good to soft)

2/10—With Approval (2 x good)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Tuesday 24th November

EXETER - OCTOBER 24

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £89.00 (6 favourites - 3 winners & 3 unplaced)

 

Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Exeter: 

Leg 1 (2.20): 7 (Jaunty Inflight), 8 (Theatre Stage) & 12 (Lady Longshot)

Leg 2 (2.50): 8 (Kapcorse) & 11 (Lord Duveen)

Leg 3 (3.20): 1 (Vieux Bleu), 8 (Zephyros Bleu), 4 (Duelling Banjos) & 2 (Alvarado)

Leg 4 (3.50): 6 (Midnight Glory), 2 (Midnight Request) & 8 (Braw Angus)

Leg 5 (4.20): 6 (Market Road) & 10 (Not At All)

Leg 6 (4.50): 6 (Yanworth) & 5 (Sternrubin)

Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.20: Miss P Fuller may not be a name we are familiar with immediately, though it’s worth reporting that she has ridden 21 winners under rules whereby my immediate negative look at the booking aboard JAUNTY INFLIGHT has changed.  Having ridden six winners for the underrated trainer Chris Down via a 21% strike rate, it’s also worth noting the partnership has produced 23 points of level stake profit into the bargain.  Evan Williams (THEATRE STAGE) saddles his first runner of the season at Exeter and I was a little surprised to find that Evan does not raid this venue as often as you might think.  Evan averages just eight runners a season of late, though those figures include eight winners (20% strike rate) which have produced black figures (+3) as far as level stake investment are concerned. In terms of value for money, LADY LONGSHOT is preferred to Get Ready Freddy in making up my trio against the field.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 5/2 favourite duly obliged.

 

2.50: Four-year-olds have won nine of the last nineteen renewals (including eight of the last fifteen), and with KAPCORSE (Paul Nicholls) and LORD DUVEEN (Philip Hobbs) hailing from their ranks on this occasion, the trend looks set to be extended.  I understand the reason behind siding with Lalor by the trade press correspondent but the comment about Nicholls/Hobbs usually winning this event is underplayed in the extreme, with the said trainers having won eight renewals between them during the last decade.  Indeed, Philip Hobbs has secured three of the last four contests and five in total during the last ten years!  I have no problem with people selecting another horse that I am ‘swerving’ but ‘scant reporting’ relating to major facts is not offering readers a decent insight into relevant races, win, lose or draw.  However, I do appreciate the potential of Lalor (and Onefortheroadtom) which makes this year’s renewal a potentially exciting race to witness.  I would be erring myself if I did not draw your attention to the great record of market leaders in the race listed below.

Favourite factor: Market leaders have won 14 of the last 19 renewals, whilst second favourites have ensured that bookmakers have endured a torrid time by snaring four of the other five contests!

 

3.20: Don’t be at all surprised if old ALVARADO runs a reasonable race here at the first time of asking this season, especially as there have been bits and pieces of money for him on the exchanges overnight.  I have joined in the fun at 20/1 at the time of writing, albeit to extremely moderate (each way) stakes.  I can’t believe that the current exchange prices of 12/1 & 10/1 with the main two companies will be maintained though that said, four bookmakers have shortened up the price to 14/1.  VIEUX LILLE, ZEPHYROS BLEU and DUELLING BANGOS are (arguably) more obvious winners in the line up.

Favourite factor: Search parties are still out looking for the three (4/1-11/4-9/4) favourites thus far.

Records of course winners in the third race on the card:

3/4—Vieux Lille (2 x heavy & good)

1/1—Gingili (good)

3/10—Umberto D’Olivate (2 x soft & good)

1/6—Bindon Mill (soft)

1/2—Bears Rails (good to sodft)

 

3.50: It might prove to be churlish in the extreme to ignore the positive market moves for MIDNIGHT GLORY which seem to be gaining momentum as I write this column.  You can certainly forget about the 7/1 quote in the trade press as 4/1 is solid right across the board at the time of writing.  The other ‘midnight’ raider MIDNIGHT REQUEST boasts each way/Placepot claims from my viewpoint, possibly alongside BRAW ANGUS.

Favourite factor: Last year’s 5/2 favourite finished out of the frame (exact science) in a ‘short field’ contest.  New readers might like to know that the terms short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way/Placepot perspectives.

Record of the course winner in the field:

1/5—Midnight Request (good to soft)

1/7—Shoofly Milly (soft)

 

4.20: Three horses appear to stand out from the crowd, with overnight support coming for EDDY and MARKET ROAD, with preference offered to the latter named Even Williams representative.  This is especially the case as soft ground would seemingly be against Eddy.  I will opt for NOT AT ALL accordingly to add to Evan’s representative in terms of the Placepot permutation, though nothing could be further from my thoughts in having a bet in this contest from a win perspective.

Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Exeter card.

Record of the course winner in the fifth event:

1/2—Eddy (good)

 

4.50: Plenty of potential investors will be pleased that YANWORTH makes his chasing debut here before the ’10 to follow’ competition starts this winter.  So many people would have otherwise included Alan King’s raider in the hope that he took to fences whereas now, they should have a clearer perspective following this event.  Only STERNRUBIN can have any chance against the favourite and even then, at least two serious blunders might have to ensue to give the Philip Hobbs entry any chance, particularly under these projected soft conditions.

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Favourite factor: We still await the first successful favourite, albeit just two renewals have been contested.  One Placepot position has been snared thus far.

Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:

1/1—Sternbuin (good)

1/1—Yanworth (soft)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Exeter card on Tuesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + level stake profit/losses accrued:

5 runners—Colin Tizzard (1/4 – loss of 1 point)

4—Philip Hobbs (1/3 +4)

4—Jonjo O’Neill (No previous runners this season)

4—Jeremy Scott (0/1)

4—Evan Williams (No previous runners)

3—Pail Henderson (No previous runners)

3—Alan King (0/2)

3—David Pipe (1/4 +7)

2—Kim Bailey (0/2)

2—Ron Barr (0/1)

2—Vic Dartnall (0/2)

2—Chris Down (1/23 +19)

2—Johnny Farrelly (No previous runners)

2—John Flint (0/1)

2—Jimmy Frost (0/1)

2—Harry Fry (1/2—slight loss)

2—Sue Gardner (3/7 +14)

2—Tom George (0/1)

2—Nick Gifford (No previous runners)

2—Grace Harris (0/3)

2—Tom Lacey (1/1 +2)

2—Seamus Mullins (0/1)

2—Fergal O’Brien (No previous runners)

2—Dan Skelton (0/2)

2—Tim Vaughan (0/3)

2—Richard Woollacott (0/1)

+ 23 trainers with just one runner at the meeting

89 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Yarmouth: £ £211.00 – 7 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 4 unplaced

Kempton: £33.11 – 7 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 2 unplaced

Newcastle: £194.80 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced

 

Placepot Pointers – Monday 16th October

WINDSOR - OCTOBER 16

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £68.50 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 3 placed - 2 unplaced)

 

Monday's Placepot permutation at Windsor: 

Leg 1 (2.00): 7 (La Belle Maison), 5 (Adulate) & 4 (Aquadabra)

Leg 2 (2.30): 7 (Garrick) & 5 (Sparte Quercus)

Leg 3 (3.00): 1 (All Out), 5 (Desert Spirit) & 4 (Convinced)

Leg 4 (3.30): 8 (Clef), 9 (Sandy Shores) & 4 (Killay)

Leg 5 (4.00): 2 (Zeelander) & 6 (Miss Liguria)

Leg 6 (4.30): 4 (Paddy Power), 13 (Abiento) & 7 (Buccaneers Vault)

Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: Four of the six Placepot positions have been claimed by horses carrying a minimum burden of 9-2, stats which include both (16/1 & 7/1) winners.  It’s (arguably) worth noting that Richard Fahey saddles more runners here at Windsor today (five in total) that he has done all season, whereby LA BELLE MAISON might have enough about her to win at the fourth time of asking in a two-year-old handicap which should not prove difficult to secure.  Paul Hanagan has made the long trip down to Windsor which is also worth noting, given that the stable has 13 runners spread across the country this afternoon.  The pick of opposition from the ‘superior’ sector of the weights (albeit via a brief trend) should prove to be ADULATE and AQUADABRA, given that any value in the price of Global Exceed has long since departed.

Favourite factor: Both favourites to date have finished out with the washing.

 

2.30: Three and four-year-olds have equally split the eight renewals of this event to date, whilst five of the last six winners carried 8-13 to more to victory. John Gosden’s Galileo colt GARRICK should follow up his debut Newcastle victory successfully if adapting to turf.  It took time for the penny to drop at Gosforth Park but distancing himself from the runner up to good effect inside the final furlong, GARRICK made a pleasing enough debut to suggest that another win is on the cards in this grade/company.  SPARTE QUERCUS has offered plenty of consistent form thus far and we can expect Ed Dunlop’s raider to gain another Placepot position, probably without winning on this occasion.  The reserve nomination is award to the only course winner in the race, namely Grapevine.

Favourite factor: Level stake investors would have gained five points to date by backing the market leaders in this event. Four of the eight favourites have finished in the frame (exact science) thus far.

Record of the course winners in the second race:

1/1—Grapevine (good)

 

3.00: Richard Hannon’s only two runners on the card clash in the same race, with his debut Nottingham winner ALL OUT joined by stable companion CONVINCED who is an Invincible Spirit newcomer.  Richard should snare a Placepot position at the very least between this pair, though I will add DESERT TRIP from David Menuisier’s yard for ‘insurance’ purposes.  David does well with his small string of runners with plenty of his juveniles having shown ability this term.

Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Windsor card.  That said, you might like to look at the following facts because as far as I can determine, this is (in principle) the same race as has been the case for many years, given that the powers that be only deem this to be a new event because of the novice prefix which I have spouted on about for far too long this season.  It is (simply) your choice if you believe my figures or their non-existent ones! 11 of the 21 favourites have secured Placepot positions during the extended study period, whilst eight of the last thirteen contests have fallen the way of market leaders.  The last fourteen winners have produced a top priced gold medallist of 10/1.

 

3.30: All four winners have carried a maximum burden of 9-1 via three renewals which in theory eliminates eight of the ten horses in the handicap.  The pick of the two qualifiers on this occasion appears to be the fast ground course winner SANDY SHORES, though the one exception to my trend with a chance here is CLEF who saddled by the astute Richard Fahey who rarely misses a trick.  Richard saddled last year’s winner off a similar mark and with three of the four contests having fallen to three-year-olds, I expect the ratio to be extended here.  That all said, Eve Johnson Houghton has enjoyed a fabulous season and the chance for KILLAY to secure a Placepot position is there for all to see despite the negative weight trend.

Favourite factor: Four of the five favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions (one 5/1 winner) via four contests thus far.

Record of the course winners in the fourth contest on the card:

1/6—Fastnet Spin (soft)

1/6—Sandy Shores (good to firm)

 

4.00: Nine of the thirteen runners carry 8-13 or more, as have the last seven winners of this contest.  The last six runners saddled by Roger Varian have been beaten which is a rare (negative) stat to offer these days as far as the popular trainer is concerned.  Roger should put that run to an end here with his only runner on the card, namely ZEELANDER who looks to be tailor made for his first attempt in a handicap.  My eye is also drawn to MISS LIGURIA who is given a chance to put a beaten favourite effort behind her at potentially rewarding odds.  The general 14/1 quote this morning make plenty of appeal albeit from a win perspective, ZEELANDER is the undoubted call.

Favourite factor: Two winning favourites have been recorded during the last decade, with nine of the ten gold medallists have been returned at a top price of 10/1.

 

4.30:  Four-year-olds have won six of the last 13 renewals and it defied belief that there was only one vintage representative twelve months ago! Upwards and onward by informing that there are three such creatures potentially facing the starter today, the pick of which appears to be PADDY POWER. Ed Walker saddles another each way type on the card in ABIENTO (Miss Liguria in the previous race is also a stable contender at the meeting), whilst BUCCANEERS VAULT completes my trio against the remaining twelve entries.

Favourite factor: Five favourites have won via 20 renewals, whilst six other market leaders additionally secured toteplacepot positions.

Record of course winners in the Placepot finale:

1/3—Bahamian Dollar (good to firm)

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1/1—Abiento (good to firm

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Windsor card on Monday followed by their ratios at the track this season + profit/losses accrued:

5 runners—Richard Fahey (0/4)

4—Ed Dunlop (0/18)

3—Andrew Balding (3/25 – loss of 9 points)

3—Luca Cumani (0/4)

3—David Evans (5/66 – loss of 34 points)

2—Mick Channon (1/22 – loss of 18 points)

2—Charlie Fellows (2/13 +1)

2—John Gosden (4/15 – loss of 3 points)

2—Richard Hannon (14/63 +5)

2—Charlie Hills (3/25 – loss of 7 points)

2—Stuart Kittow (0/1)

2—George Margarson (1/6 – loss of 2 points)

2—David Menuisier (No previous runners this season)

2—Paul Midgley (No previous runners this season)

2—Gary Moore (0/18)

2—Amanda Perrett (1/13 – loss of 4 points)

2—Brendan Powell (1/20 – loss of 7 points)

2—John Ryan (0/6)

2—Marcus Tregoning (1/6 – loss of 2 points)

2—Ed Walker (8/27 +9)

+ 45 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

93 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Musselburgh: £174.00 – 7 favourites – No winners – 3 placed – 4 unplaced

Yarmouth: £67.30 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced

 

 

 

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Thursday 21st September

PONTEFRACT – SEPTEMBER 21

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £104.30 (6 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced)

 

Thursday's Placepot permutation at Pontefract: 

Leg 1 (2.20): 5 (Malitia) & 3 (Harrogate)

Leg 2 (2.50): 6 (Election Day) & 2 (Briyouni)

Leg 3 (3.25): 8 (Ludorum), 5 (Azzir) & 1 (Kharbetation)

Leg 4 (4.00): 1 (Kassia), 5 (Tirania) & 2 (Clon Coulis)

Leg 5 (4.30): 2 (Chebsey Beau), 5 (Transpennine Star) & 4 (Tyrell)

Leg 6 (5.05): 7 (Mesbarr) & 6 (Heron)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

Going projection: Good to soft

Radar: Suggests that moderate rain will reach Pontefract by lunchtime

 

 

2.20: The favourite stats below make for compulsive reading though something might have to give here with layers offering 5/2 (thereabouts) the field on this occasion.  Either way, it would be churlish in the extreme to overlook the Placepot chances of MALITIA and HARROGATE, even though they are drawn wide in stalls eight and thirteen respectively.  All that might do is increase their prices which given previous results in this contest, could prove disastrous for bookmakers.  We will have to wait and see with bated breath!

Favourite factor: This is one of the strongest races for favourites throughout the entire year at Pontefract, with seven of the last ten market leaders having won. Indeed, the biggest priced winner during the last decade was recorded at just 10/3.

 

2.50: All ten winners during the study period carried 8-10 or more to victory, statistics which eliminate three horses in the handicap from my enquiries, one of which is via a jockey claim. ELECTION DAY looks the safest Placepot call, whilst noting each way support overnight for BRIYOUNI who will not start at the trade press price of 14/1 in all probability.  8/1 could be the nearer the mark about Kevin Ryan’s four-year-old representative, albeit faster ground would have offered additional confidence according to the gospel of yours truly.

Favourite factor: Three clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won during the last six years.  All ten winners during the last decade scored at a top price of 10/1.

Record of the course winners in the second event:

1/2—Echo Of Lightning (soft)

1/2—Mt Cool Cash (good to soft)

2/9—Trinity Star (good & good to firm)

 

3.25: There is not too much to report regarding overnight interest in the race, though 14/1 looks a little too big about the chance of KHARBETATION at the time of writing.  David O’Meara saddles six runners at the track and though posting the odd score now and then, the popular trainer will be desperate for more consistent winners by now after a really ordinary season by David’s high standards.  LUDORUM is by far the last exposed runner in the field and warrants plenty of respect accordingly, arguably alongside course and distance winner AZZIR who could also go close on the best of his form, especially if the rainclouds swerve Pontefract Park this afternoon.

Favourite factor: Two of the four favourites have snared Placepot positions by winning their respective events.  The other pair of market leaders finished well down the field.

Record of the course winners in the third contest on the card:

1/6—Save The Bees (good to firm)

1/2—Azzir (good)

1/1—Alfred Richardson (good to firm)

 

4.00: Three-year-olds have recorded six victories in the last ten years, stats which include three of the last four winners of this Class2 handicap for fillies.  Boasting a course record of 2/2 to her name here at Pontefract, it is hardly surprising that KASSIA have been the subject of each way support since the layers chalked up overnight prices for this contest.  Mick Channon’s filly carries an additional four pounds off the relevant mark which looks fair enough given the relevant ease of her victory in the race twelve months ago.  I have to adhere to my vintage stats obviously, offering the likes of TIRANIAS and CLON COULIS (preferred in that order) as the main threats this time around.

Favourite factor: Four winning favourites to report during the last decade, with eight gold medallists have scored at a top price of 15/2.  That said, the two winners were returned at 33/1 & 16/1.

Record of the course winners in the fourth race:

2/2—Kassia (good & good to firm)

2/6—Sandra’s secret (good & good to firm)

 

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4.30: Here we go (yet) again with the ever present staying contest on a Pontefract card which is just about the only negative vibe I report relating to the lovely west Yorkshire venue.  Regular readers will know that I really don’t like these glorified ‘greyhound races’ in which the runners shake hooves as they enter the stalls, before deciding which one of them is going to win today.  Believing that I am in a minority of one, I will offer up CHEBSEY BEAU, TRANSPENNINE STAR and TYRELL against their ten rivals before retiring to the bar.

Favourite factor: Two successful clear market leaders have been registered during the last decade alongside two joint favourites.  All ten winners during the study period scored at a top price of 11/1.

Record of the course winners in the fifth contest:

1/2—Almost Gemini (heavy)

1/4—Bulas Belle (good to firm)

1/1—Wordiness (good)

1/5—La Fritillaire (good to soft)

2/18—Tuscan Gold (2 x good to firm)

2/19—Madam Lilibet (soft & heavy)

 

5.05: The three obvious runners here have all been drawn which adds interest to proceedings.  That said, before last year’s trap one raider scored, five of the previous six winners had scored from stalls 6/7/8 whereby connections of MESBARR and HERON have cause for optimism.  Hat’s Off To Larry is drawn widest of all in the ten stall and at around 6/4 at the time of writing, I’m willing to oppose Mick Channon’s representative on this occasion.

Favourite factor: Five market leaders have scored during the last decade during which time, eight winners scored at a top price of 6/1.  For the record, the other two gold medallists were returned at 50/1 & 10/1.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Pontefract card on Thursday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:

6 runners—David O’Meara (8/35 +9)

5—Richard Fahey (5/62 +4)

4—Michael Dods (1/21 – loss of 4 points)

3—Mick Channon (1/8 – loss of 5 points)

3—Roger Fell (0/10)

3—Richard Guest (2/12 +19)

3—Micky Hammond (2/22 – loss of 4 points)

2—David Barron (0/5)

2—Robert Cowell (No previous runners this season)

2—Tim Easterby (7/32 +9)

2—Les Eyre (1/9 – loss of 4 points)

2—James Given (2/12 – slight loss)

2—Anthony McCain (No previous runners this season)

2—Karen McLintock (1/4 +37)

2—Amy Murphy (0/1)

2—Jason Ward (0/2)

+ 33 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

78 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Ayr: £1,290.10

Yarmouth: £7,407.20

Chelmsford: £8.60

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Wednesday 20th September

SANDOWN – SEPTEMBER 20

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £110.90 (6 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced)

 

Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Sandown: 

Leg 1 (1.30): 2 (African Friend), 4 (Artscape) & 5 (Coastal Cyclone)

Leg 2 (2.00): 9 (Kitaabaat) & 5 (Falcon Eye)

Leg 3 (2.35): 3 (Il Primo Sole) & 1 (Last Voyage)

Leg 4 (3.05): 3 (Laidback Romeo), 7 (D’bai) & 5 (Richard Pankhurst)

Leg 5 (3.40): 8 (Clearly), 7 (Dynamic) & 3 (Madeleine Bond)

Leg 6 (4.15): 2 (Stone The Crows), 7 (Rake’s Progress) & 11 (Makkadangdang)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.30: Some housekeeping to attend to before I commence play as 32/35 winners at this correspond meeting during the last five years have won at a top price of 9/1, stats which include no less than 15 successful favourites! Even the other three gold medallists ‘only’ started at 14/1 and 16/1 (twice). Three of the four winners of the opening event have carried a minimum weight of 9-1 thus far, stats which eliminate the bottom four horses in the handicap if you believe in trends which by now (after 17 years of daily advice), you do.  The pick of the relevant ‘survivors’ will hopefully prove to be AFRICAN FRIEND, ARTSCAPE and COASTAL CYCLONE, the trio being listed in order of preference at the time of writing.

Favourite factor: Four favourites to date and we have yet to see any of them finishing in the frame!  That said, all four winners have, at least, been returned in single figures (9/1, 7/1, 5/1 & 4/1).

 

2.00: Owen Burrows introduced a nice looking prospect to winning effect at Yarmouth yesterday and stable companion KITAABAAT should at least ‘trouble the judge’ at the third time of asking in this grade/company.  Owen’s Dansili colt has only been beaten by an aggregate of two and a quarter lengths thus far and Jim Crowley’s mount should reach the frame at the very least.  FALCON EYE ‘splits the books’ here, ranging between 10/3 and 5/1 as I write though either way, Charlie’s Appleby’s once raced juvenile looks set to become competitive at the business end of proceedings after a decent enough debut effort at Newmarket a couple of months back.

Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Sandown card.

 

2.35: This event has already turned in to a ‘win only’ contest with just the four runners now set to face the starter.  I often include all contenders in these win only events in the hope that the horse with the least Placepot units prevails though in this instance, all the overnight money has been spilt between IL PRIMO SOLE and LAST VOYAGE.  Richard Hughes appears to have a nice type in Ragstone Road but he meets two strong rivals on this occasion.

Favourite factor: The inaugural 1/3 (John Gosden trained) favourite duly obliged before last year’s 15/8 market leader failed to reach the frame in a short field event.  New readers might want to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.

 

3.05: Seven of the eight winners of this Listed event have scored at a top price of 9/2, whilst three-year-olds have claimed four of the last six contests.  Clive Cox is surely in the form of his life I would tentatively suggest, as his last thirteen winners have prevailed via a 46% strike rate!  Clive saddles LAIDBACK ROMEO here at an each way price which was around the 12/1 mark when writing this column.  It’s worth noting (perhaps) that one of two Clive Cox scorers on this card during the study period was returned at 16/1. Clive’s only other runner today is an 8/1 chance at Yarmouth (no runners at all tomorrow) whereby an each way double might prove fruitful.  Others of interest as dawn breaks over the City of Bristol this morning include D’BAI and the slightly enigmatic John Gosden raider RICHARD PANKHURST.

Favourite factor: Three clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed via eight renewals during the last decade.  Seven of the ten favourites have claimed Placepot positions thus far.

Record of the course winners in the fourth race:

2/6—Laidback Romeo (2 x good to firm)

1/2—Khafoo Shememi (good to firm)

1/1—Larchmont Lad (good to soft)

 

3.40: Nine of the last twelve winners of this Class 4 handicap event for fillies have carried a maximum weight of 8-13, including two gold medallists which were returned at 33/1 & 16/1.  CLEARLY very much looks the pick of the four qualifiers via the weight trends though that said, DYNAMIC is a useful rival sitting just three pounds further up the handicap.  There is an old saying that if you fall off your bike when learning to ride, you should get straight back on and that is the case here with the underrated claimer Georgia Cox climbing back aboard MADELEINE BOND after their ‘disagreement’ shortly after the start at Yarmouth the last day.  This trio will get us safely through to the Placepot finale if we were live going into the fifth leg.

Favourite factor: Three clear market leaders have won at 7/2, 3/1 & 15/8 alongside a 6/1 co favourite during the last twelve years though that said, the last four jollies have finished out of the frame.

Record of the course winners in the fifth contest:

1/1—Al Nafoorah (good)

1/1—Finale (good to soft)

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4.15: MAKKADANGDANG represents the yard of Andrew Balding who has saddled three winners at this fixture during the last five years which were all returned as favourites of their respective events.  No trainer can equal Andrew’s figure though unless there is a dramatic plunge on the bottom weight, Andrew’s Mastercraftsman gelding should be returned in double figures which is worth a minimum stake win and place wager from my viewpoint.  That said, the last ten winners have carried 8-12 or more to victory which also brings other each way types such as STONE THE CROWS and RAKE’S PROGRESS into the equation.

Favourite factor: The last eight winners have scored at a top price of 8/1 though just one successful market leader was registered during the period.  Six of the last 10 favourites have snared Placepot positions.

Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:

1/3—Jupiter Light (good to firm)

1/3—Mister Blue Sky (good to soft)

1/1—The Statesman (good to firm)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Sandown card on Wednesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:

7 runners—Richard Hannon (9/56 – loss of 5 points)

6—John Gosden (4/30 – loss of 10 points)

4—Charlie Hills (3/21 (+3)

4—Hugo Palmer (0/11)

3—Charlie Appleby (2/11 – loss of 7 points)

3—Andrew Balding (1/24 - +17)

3—Harry Dunlop (0/7)

2—Henry Candy (2/11 – loss of 4 points)

2—Roger Charlton (4/15 – loss of 5 points)

2—Simon Crisford (3/6 +10)

2—Ed Dunlop (2/11 – slight profit)

2—Ed de Giles (0/2)

2—Philip Hide (0/5)

2—Stuart Kittow (0/3)

2—Roger Teal (0/4)

2—Roger Varian (6/15 +2)

+ 30 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

78 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Beverley: £54.70 – 6 favourites – 3 winners & 3 unplaced

Yarmouth: £12.30 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced

Kelso: £198.70 – 8 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 4 unplaced

 

Placepot Pointers – Tuesday 19th September

YARMOUTH – SEPTEMBER 19

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £137.80 (6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unpalced)

 

Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Yarmouth: 

Leg 1 (2.00): 3 (Mutaaqeb), 1 (Mashaheer) & 5 (Rule Of Honour)

Leg 2 (2.35): 2 (Noble Manners) & 1 (Simpson)

Leg 3 (3.05): 1 (High End) & 3 (Intellect)

Leg 4 (3.40): 4 (Fortria), 8 (Sexy Secret), 6 (Magic Beans) & 10 (Mungo Madness)

Leg 5 (4.10): 8 (One Master) & 4 (Perfect Sense)

Leg 6 (4.45): 2 (North Creek), 3 (Quatrieme Ami) & 7 (Ocean Temptress)

Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.00: The first thing I must mention having looked at the overnight exchanges is that Mandarin Princess is coming in for a little support at 50/1 as well as exchange activity though at present, we are talking small liquidities.  More obvious winners in the line up include the Invincible Spirit newcomer MUTAAQEB from the Owen Burrows yard and MASHAHEER.  Money for RULE OF HONOUR would be worth heeding in a race which will not take a great deal of winning.

Favourite factor: This is a new race with which to start proceedings at Yarmouth.

 

2.35: Mark Johnston is the only trainer to have saddled two winners of this Nursery event during the last decade and as a winner in this grade at Newmarket in July, NOBLE MANNERS is the first name on the team sheet.  The general quote of 7/1 about Mark’s (good to soft winner) Myboycharlie filly makes plenty of each way appeal, albeit this is a ‘short field’ event.  Ed Walker’s raider SIMPSON will also find the ground a little softer than is ideal for the Dragon Pulse gelding though that said, this pair should get us safely through to the third leg of our favourite wager.  The reserve nomination is awarded to LUCIFUGOUS. New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way/Placepot perspectives.

Favourite factor: Four favourites have won via the last seven contests during which time, five market leaders have claimed Placepot positions.

Record of the course winner in the second race on the card:

1/1—Midnight Wilde (good to firm)

 

3.05: HIGH END had drifted a little overnight but not enough for us to become alarmed, particularly as far as his Placepot prospects are concerned.  Saeed Bin Suroor’s unbeaten Dubawi representative has to be included in the mix, albeit in an interesting race which probably means that this will be another event on the card where my ‘powder remain dry’ in terms of considering a bet from a win perspective.  There will be worse ‘outsiders’ on the card than ZACK MAYO I’ll wager, though INTELLECT is considered as the rival that HIGH END has to beat in order for his 100% record to remain intact.

Favourite factor: Favourites come to the gig on a hat trick having won three of the five renewals to date.  The last five market leaders have all finished in the frame following the complete demise of the inaugural 10/11 favourite back in 2012.

 

3.40: This is practically a ‘seller’ in all but name and one of the few things about the race which catches the eye is that SDS is given the leg up aboard a Dean Ivory raider (FORTRIA) for only the third time according to my figures.  SEXY SECRET, MAGIC BEANS and MUNGO MADNESS are added into the equation, hoping that this is the race on the card that will propel the potential Placepot dividend into orbit.

Favourite factor: This is another new race on the Yarmouth programme.

1/10—Sexy Secret (good to firm)

 

4.10: William Haggas won this race with his previous runner in the race (winning favourite two years ago) whereby I’m latching on to his Fastnet Rock filly ONE MASTER who overcame problems to finish a fine third in a much better race at Doncaster on debut last month.  Too many ‘good things’ have come unstuck down the years in terms of expecting juveniles to win after just one race in which they have shown promise, whereby I will simply expect Ryan Moore to steer the market leader home, chiefly at the expense of PERFECT SENSE.  Saeed’s raider is (potentially) asked to give the filly just two pounds thanks to a jockey claim which could make the race interesting at the business end of proceedings.

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Favourite factor: Three of the last four favourites have won with all four market leaders having finished in the frame.  The last eight winners have scored at a top price of 7/1, stats which have produced four successful favourites.

 

4.45: Without an edge via previous renewals to work with, I am guided (as much as anything else) by three each way types who have attracted money overnight, namely NORTH CREEK, QUATRIEME AMI and OCEAN TEMPTRESS.  If you are content to eliminate one or two of the runners I have included in the fourth race on the card, you might want to add soft ground course winner ROBBIAN into the mix here.  Chris Wall (NORTH STREET) is (respectfully) not a name which is banded about too often is terms of headlines in the sport, but it’s worth reporting that this much underrated trainer has saddled no less than 74 winners at Yarmouth down the years, nearly forty winners more than his best other turf track ratios at Windsor and Newmarket (July course). Not only are his horses here always worth a second glance but equally, it often pays to look out for his representatives that have been sent to another course when Yarmouth stages fixtures.  For the record, Chris sends two horses on the long journey to Newcastle tonight.  A minimum stake patent has been invested by yours truly. If either of those ‘away runners’ are successful tonight, keep an eye on the runners away from Yarmouth on Wednesday and Thursday.  Chris has one in at Sandown tomorrow and two potential runners elsewhere on Thursday.

Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is the third of the new races on the Yarmouth card.

1/2—Robbian (soft)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Yarmouth card on Tuesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:

3—Phil McBride (2/17 – loss of 3 points)

3—John Ryan (3/21 – loss of 9 points)

2—Roger Charlton (1/1 +1)

2—Christine Dunnet (0/22)

2—Chris Dwyer (4/21 – loss of 2 points)

2—Robert Eddery (2/8 +2)

2—William Haggas (5/25 +1)

2—Dean Ivory (2/21 – loss of 11 points)

2—John Jenkins (0/24)

2—Mark Johnston (1/11 – loss of 3 points)

2—Laura Mongan (No previous runners)

2—Sir Mark Prescott (4/8 – slight profit)

2—Saeed Bin Suroor (0/1)

+ 33 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

61 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Chepstow: £165.80 – 1 winner – 2 placed – 4 unplaced

Redcar: £21.10 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced

Newcastle: This is a new fixture on the calendar

 

Placepot Pointers – Tuesday 22nd August

BRIGHTON – AUGUST 22

 

Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Brighton: 

Leg 1 (2.00): 3 (Taajub), 5 (Quantum Dot) & 4 (Secret Strategy)

Leg 2 (2.30): 1 (Al Ozzdi), 3 (King Of The Sand) & 5 (Tiny Tempest)

Leg 3 (3.00): 5 (Gunner Moyne), 6 (Riana Star) & 3 (Nouvelle Ere)

Leg 4 (3.30): 6 (Kings City) & 4 (Prosecution)

Leg 5 (4.00): 2 (Buxted Dream) & 3 (Zamjar)

Leg 6 (4.30): 4 (Kalani Rose), 10 (The Bear Can Fly) & 3 (I’m A Believer)

Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.00: Course winner Sandfrankskipsgo ran well enough at Windsor last night but all four of his turf wins have been gained under faster conditions than the eight-year-old faces here.  If connections decide to withdraw Pete Crate’s raider, a difficult ‘win only’ scenario will evolve whereby trying to evaluate this event at this time of the morning is difficult to do.  Stable companion TAAJUB is the only entry which I would definitely include either way, whilst QUANTUM DOT and SECRET STRATEGY make up my trio against the other pair, given that the turf record of Monumental Man stands at 3/34.

Favourite factor: This is a new meeting on the fixture list where no ‘help’ is available.

Record of course winners in the opening event:

1/4—Sandfrankskipsgo (good to firm)

1/4—Taajub (good)

1/3—Secret Strategy (good)

 

2.30: It is interesting that KING OF THE SAND is generally considered as the outsider of the party, given that Gary Moore’s newcomer is a brother of a juvenile winner.  There is also the fact that Gary boasts a level stake profit of 94 points from his two-year-olds this season, via a 2/11 ratio.  In a race that will not take a great deal of winning in all probability, I will include Gary‘s Footstepsinthesand colt alongside AL OZZDI and TINY TEMPEST.  Simon Crisford boasts a 20% strike rate this month via six winners, stats which have produced 70 points of profit, not that his representative (course winner) AL OZZDI will add much to that tally if successful here.  This is another race with just five runners having been declared whereby you should keep your eyes peeled in case the contest dissolves down to a ‘win only’ event.

Record of course winner in the second race:

1/1—Al Ozzdi (good to firm)

 

3.00: Any which way I look at this card, a fine Placepot dividend looks to be in the making, which is the main reason I selected today’s venue.  Having gained plenty of Placepot success of late, it’s worth speculating on this card in the hope that favourites finish out of the frame along the way, a scenario which could provide great rewards.  Twelve of Gary Moore’s last 27 runners on the flat have finished ‘in the three’ and in a race which provides so few clues, Gary’s pair might be as good as any to get us through to the next leg of our favourite wager, namely RIANA STAR and GUNNER MOYNE.  You can certainly ignore the 10/1 quote in the trade press about the latter named raider who could even start shorter than his stable companion at around the 5/1 mark.  NOUVELLE ERE is three pounds better off with Overhaugh Street having been beaten less than two lengths by that rival on his penultimate start.  At the prices on offer, William Carson’s mount makes more appeal in another ‘short field’ contest on the card.  New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.

Record of course winner in the third contest on the card:

1/1—Overhaugh Street (good to firm)

 

3.30: It’s worth remembering that it is not necessary to look for favourites to finish out of the frame in every race to create a great Placepot dividend.  Plenty of £1k dividends down the years have been produced with two of three favourites having finished in the money.  This time last year as an example, a Leicester dividend paid £2012.10 with market leaders having won three of the six Placepot races on the card!  I mention this because I’m finding it difficult to look for speculative options in this race, whereas from a Placepot perspective at least, PROSECUTION and KINGS CITY jump of the page in this grade/company.  Luca Cumani (KINGS CITY) used to rule this particular roost many years ago, when all of his runners had to be backed at this switchback venue.  There are signs that Luca has remembered where he used to torment the layers, with two of this three runners having won at the tack this season.  If you insist on looking for a horse to consider with less Placepot units to its name, Pacofilha would be the call.

 

4.00: BUXTED DREAM is the other Cumani representative at the meeting and this son of Dream Ahead should score having escaped a penalty for a recent success.  Pat Cosgrave’s mount makes his handicap debut here with a live chance, connections possibly having most to fear from ZAMJAR on this occasion.  Coral must have taken something of an overnight hit on the Ed Dunlop raider as their 10/3 quote about the Exceed And Excel raider indicates. ZAMJAR is still available at 5/1 in a few places at the time of writing.  On the other hand, Coral might just think that running here off a one pound lower mark than when successful at Chester earlier in the season, ZAMJAR is worth keeping ‘onside’.

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Record of course winners in the fifth card:

1/5—Bahamian Surprise (good)

3/13—Black Caesar (2 x good to soft & good)

1/5—Otomo (good)

 

4.30: I would like to know how many times Joe Fanning has travelled down to ride at Brighton in the past with no Mark Johnston runners on the card!  That is today’s scenario and though many punters will latch onto his ride aboard Al Ozzdi in the second race, interesting overnight money has developed for his mount KALANI ROSE in tis Placepot finale.  Keep an eye on the markets this morning if you can because sustained support for Ben De Haan’s raider could be worth following.  THE BEAR CAN FLY is less exposed than most and only finished behind an odds on chance at Lingfield (turf) on her second start.  Ladbrokes are taking no chances with Mick Channon’s newcomer I’M A BELIEVER here at 9/2 (13/2 still available with three other leading firms) and it could certainly be argued that the trainer has found a decent opportunity for his Sixties Icon filly at the first time of asking.  I’m A Believer immediately takes people of my age back to the golden era of music and yes, even The Monkees had to be included in that statement.  Why the comment?  Davy Jones (lead singer) dropped out of secondary school to become….an apprentice jockey.  If you think life is hard on you at times, think of Davy who died of a heart attack at 66 years of age without an ounce of fat on his body.  Indeed, he ran several miles a day and as the doctor who pronounced him dead said at the time, “this is one person I never expected to die this way”.  Finishing on a brighter note, I also dropped out of secondary school (at 13) but have never had enough courage to even sit on a horse, let alone ride one.  I have the greatest respect for jockeys who risk life and limb every day having only reached that position by working hard to get to a position when yes, they can earn lots of money.  How many youngsters are prepared to work that hard these days?  I have always been governed by the rule that you only get out of life what you are prepared to put in.  I don’t think there has ever been a jockey who has ridden their first winner without having to work damn hard for the opportunity.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Brighton card on Wednesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:

5 runners—Gary Moore (6/26 - +34)

3—Philip Hide (5/19 - +8)

2—Michael Attwater (1/15 – loss of 7 points

2—Tony Carroll (1/30 – loss of 26 points)

2—Mick Channon (2/22 – loss of 12 points)

2—Paul Cole (3/7 - +2)

2—Peter Crate (1/8 – loss of 3 points)

2—Luca Cumani (2/3 - +5)

2—John Gallagher (2/12 - +1)

2—Ed de Giles (1/5 - +10)

2—Ben de Haan (2/15 - +4)

2—John Ryan (1/6 - +6)

+ 19 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

47 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Newton Abbot: This is a new meeting on the racing calendar

Yarmouth: £38.90 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced

Kempton: £5.70 – 6 favourites – w winners & 2 placed

Placepot pointers – Thursday 17th August

BEVERLEY – AUGUST 17

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £2,984.20 (6 favourites - No winners - 1 placed - 5 unplaced)

 

Thursday's Placepot permutation at Beverley: 

Leg 1 (2.10): 3 (Elnadim Star) & 9 (Zip Along)

Leg 2 (2.40): 6 (Gold Stone), 7 (La Belle Mayson) & 4 (Dandy’s Beano)

Leg 3 (3.10): 7 (Go Now Go Now), 10 (Arabian Jazz) & 2 (Poet’s Dawn)

Leg 4 (3.40): 11 (Knightbridge Liam), 4 (Sakhalin Star) & 3 (Scruffy McGuffy)

Leg 5 (4.10): 9 (Pearl Noir), 6 (Noah Amor) & 7 (Roaring Rory)

Leg 6 (4.40): 5 (Maghfoor) & 9 (Cray)

Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.10: It can only be hoped that Kevin Ryan’s raider ELNADIM STAR will run better than Dandy’s Beano in the opening event here at Beverley yesterday who was too green to do himself justice on behalf of the stable.  Up until that Point, Kevin has saddled twelve two-year-old winners this season and we hope the experience gained by Elnadim Star will help to give us a better run for our money today.  Should that not be the case, connections of ZIP ALONG will probably land the spoils.

Favourite factor: As was the case on Wednesday, the first race at Beverley is a new race via the ‘Novice factor’.

Record of the course winner in the opening contest:

1/2—Our Little Pony (good to firm)

 

2.40: Kevin Ryan again takes centre stage having declared his course and distance runner up GOLD STONE who should go one better with the experience gained at the track last month.  24 days sounds like the right amount of time between first and second runs on the juvenile front and I would be a tad disappointed should Kevin’s Havana Gold filly fails to snare the swag.  Kevin has also declared yesterday’s ‘flop’ DANDY’S BEANO which makes for interesting reading.  Kevin Stott’s mount did not help herself by hanging towards the rail and if able to keep a straighter line today, who knows what the outcome could be.  LA BELLE MAYSON is the other potential winner in the field according to the gospel of yours truly.

Favourite factor: As was the case on Wednesday, the second race is the second division of the opening event on the card.  Am I repeating myself?

 

3.10: Mark Johnston has won three of the last seven renewals when represented, whereby the chance of Mark’s narrow recent Catterick winner GO NOW GO NOW is respected.  ARABIAN JAZZ has attracted win and place money overnight by the look of things at the time of writing, whilst course and distance winner POET’S DAWN cannot be left out of the equation in this grade/company.

Favourite factor: Two of the last five favourites have obliged, albeit they are the only successful favourites to be recorded during the last twelve years.  That said, the biggest priced winner during the study period was sent off at 9/1.  Half of the favourites (7/14) secured toteplacepot positions via twelve renewals during the period.

Record of the course winner in the third race:

1/5—Poet’s Dawn (good to firm)

 

3.40: Three-year-olds have won five of the last seven renewals with KNIGHTSBRIDGE LIAM being the only relevant declaration on this occasion.  I doubt that Mick Easterby would be overly into ‘trends’ though either way, my self-confessed ‘anorak’ tendencies demand that I include Mick’s Lilbourne Lad gelding in the mix.  If ever KNIGHTEBRIDGE LIAM is going to get this kind of (twelve furlong) trip, it will be under today’s projected conditions I’ll wager.   SAKHALIN STAR and SCRUFFY MCGUFFY are two other each way options to consider.

Favourite factor: Nine renewals have slipped by since the last (3/1) favourite obliged, though all nine contests to date have been won by horses returned at 9/1 or less.  Eight of the eleven market leaders have finished in the frame (exact science).

Record of the course winner in the third race:

3/9—Lean On Pete (2 x good + good to firm)

1/5—Cool Music (good to firm)

2/9—Tin Pan Alley (good & good to firm)

1/2—Chauvelin (good to firm)

 

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4.10: The withdrawal of Fujin has hopefully left the way clear for my trio against the field to gain a couple of Placepot positions between them, namely PEARL NOAH, NOAH AMOR and ROARING RORY.  Horses grabbing the far rail were well to the fore yesterday, as were horses ‘on the pace’ in the majority of races whereby the respective stall positions of 4-6-1 (12 runners remain) should aid and abet our chances.

Favourite factor: This is another new race on the Beverley programme.

Record of the course winner in the fifth contest:

1/4—First Bombardment (good)

1/5—Crosse Fire (good to firm)

1/3—Fujin (good to firm)

1/2—Astrophysics (good to firm)

1/1—Noah Amor (good)

2/6—Roaring Rory (2 x good to firm)

3/8—Bond Bombshell (3 x good to firm)

2/8—Pearl Noir (good & good to firm)

1/21—Tinsill (good)

 

4.40: Five three-year-olds have prevailed via the last eleven contests, though trainers seemingly took leave of their senses last year as no vintage representatives were declared.  Upwards and onward however by suggesting that MAGHFOOR and CRAY should land the pot between them if were are live going into the finale.  ATTENTION SEEKER is the obvious danger to the junior representatives this time around.

Favourite factor: Just two market leaders have won via the last eleven contests though to paint the full picture, it's only right to tell you that eleven of the last twelve gold medallists have scored at a top price of 13/2.  Seven of the twelve favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.

Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:

1/1—Attention Seeker (good to firm)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers who have saddled more than one winner on the corresponding Beverley card on Wednesday during the last five years – alongside the starting prices of their gold medallists and number of runners today:

5 winners—Mark Johnston (7/2, 31/, 5/2, 7/4* & 1/2*) – 2 runners

3 winners—Tim Easterby (16/1, 14/1 & 7/1) – 6 runners

3 winners—Richard Fahey (11/2, 2/1* & 7/4*) – 7 runners

2 winners—Brian Ellison (11/2 & 4/1) – 2 runners

2 winners—David O’Meara (13/2 & 7/2) – 8 runners

2 winners—Tracey Waggott (15/2 & 6/1) – 2 runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Chepstow: This is basically a new fixture, aside from a couple of transferred races

Salisbury: £33.50 – 6 favourites – 4 winners – 1 placed – 1 unplaced

Yarmouth: £175.90 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced

Fontwell:  This is basically a new fixture, aside from a couple of transferred races

 

 

Stat of the Day, 17th August 2017

Wednesday's Result :

5.15 Beverley - Regal Mirage @ 11/4 BOG - 5th at 6/4 : Led, headed over 7f out, chased leaders, faded final furlong...

Thursday's pick goes in the...

6.00 Yarmouth

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Whosyourhousemate @ 7/2 BOG

Why?

Still unexposed after just three runs, all of which have seen this 3 yr old make the frame (313) and far from disgraced last time out 12 days ago, as he was coming off the back of a 137 day break and running on unseasonably (not sure it that's a real word!) soft ground. Having had 2 runs on the A/W, I'd suggest he'll prefer the quicker ground today and he's entitled to come on for having had that pipe opener recently.

Stats wise, he fits perfectly into one of my stored microsystems, whose general rules are as follows...UK Flat / April-September / 3 yr olds / 7f to 1m 1.5f / top 3 finish in each of last 3 runs / 2nd or 3rd LTO 11-30 days ago.

That might seem a little contrived to the naked eye, but there are actually 662 such horses since the start of the 2012 season, of which 148 (22.4% SR) have been winners generating level stakes profits of 263.3pts at an ROI of 39.8%.

Of those 662 qualifiers...

  • those running on Good to Firm ground are 60/269 (22.3%) for 103pts (+38.3%)
  • those who won two starts ago are 58/245 (23.7%) for 174.2pts (+71.1%)
  • and here at Yarmouth : 5/17 (29.4%) for 5.65pts (+33.2%)

It's also worth adding that trainer Ed Vaughan's Flat runners are 25/133 (18.8% SR) for 96.7pts (+72.7% ROI) over the last three campaigns, including of interest/relevance today...

  • over 5.5f to 1m2f : 24/103 (23.3%) for 125.1pts (+121.5%)
  • in handicaps : 20/95 (21.1%) for 109.8pts (+115.5%)
  • on Good to firm ground : 13/64 (20.3%) for 23.9pts (+37.3%)
  • 3 yr olds : 13/47 (27.7%) for 38.7pts (+82.3%)
  • those with just 2 or 3 previous outings : 6/25 (24%) for 18.4pts (+73.6%)
  • at Class 4 : 8/24 (33.3%) for 91.5pts (+381.2%)
  • and those ridden by today's jockey, a friend of Geegeez, Adam "Biscuit" Beschizza are 4/9 (44.4%) for 16.1pts (+178.4%)

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Whosyourhousemate @ 7/2 BOG which was available with Bet365 and Ladbrokes at 5.50pm on Wednesday with plenty of 10/3 BOG quoted elsewhere. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 6.00 Yarmouth

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Placepot Pointers – Thursday 10th August

HAYDOCK - AUGUST 10

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £89.20 (6 favourites - 3 winners & 3 unplaced)

 

Thursday's Placepot permutation at Haydock: 

Leg 1 (1.50): 7 (Punkawallah), 4 (Bishop Of Bling) & 1 (Indian Chief)

Leg 2 (2.20): 1 (Staxton) & 3 (Cool Spirit)

Leg 3 (2.50): 2 (Lexington Sky), 3 (Haworth) & 7 (Twilight Spirit)

Leg 4 (3.20): 6 (Champagne Bob), 1 (Casterbridge) & 5 (Danish Duke)

Leg 5 (3.50): 2 (Sainted) & 6 (Courier)

Leg 6 (4.20): 4 (Always Thankful) & 7 (Conqueress)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.50: Nine of the last twelve winners of the opening race of the three day meeting have carried 9-5 or more, whilst four and five-year-olds have each secured four victories during the last 14 years.  The biggest priced winner was returned at 10/1 during the study period before the 2014 gold medallist emerged at 50/1 and hoping results return to type on this occasion, my short list consists of PUNKAWALLAH, BISHOP OF BLING and INDIAN CHIEF.  There has been plenty of money about for the first named pair, whilst INDIAN CHIEF has no problems on account of ground, with all three runners hailing from the ‘superior’ sector of the handicap.  Given the ground, Anton Chigurh is offered the reserve nomination.

Favourite factor:  Nine of the last 13 favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include three successful market leaders from a win perspective.

Record of the course winners in the opening contest:

1/5—Anton Chigurh (soft)

1/1—Punkawallah (good to firm)

 

2.20: Only STAXTON has held its overnight (4/1) price as all the other entries have drifting from their opening quotes.  Indeed, STAXTON is 4/1 right across the board, with each and every layer obviously respecting the chance of Tim Easterby’s course winner.  That said, COOL SPIRIT is a worthy favourite judged on his third placed effort under yielding conditions at Beverley on his first day at school.  This experience this pair take into the contest could be the key element under the conditions, given that ‘newcomers’ often take time to get their act together when there is plenty of moisture in the ground.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 4/6 market leader duly obliged in a short field event.  New readers might want to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.

Record of the course winner in the second race on the card:

1/1—Staxton (Good to firm)

 

2.50: Nine of the last fourteen winners have carried weights of 9-0 or less, with five qualifiers in the mix this time around.  I guess that might be the reason that Ladbrokes are the only firm offering genuine each way odds about LEXINGTON SKY and HAWORTH this morning.  If other firms were standing out from the crowd overnight, the prices have been clipped according, with only the ‘magic sign’ standing up to each way pressure at the time of writing.  If the weight trend is to be extended, TWILIGHT SPIRIT should prove to be the pick of the quintet.

Favourite factor: Nine of the fifteen favourites to date have finished out of the frame, though three market leaders have won during the study period.

 

3.20: Five-year-olds have won three of the five renewals to date and two of this year’s three vintage representatives make each way appeal here, namely CHAMPAGNE BOB and CASTERBRIDGE. At first glance, there is every indication that the handicapper might have caught up with this pair now, though being able to handle today’s conditions negates that negative scenario from my viewpoint whereby both runners are added into the Placepot equation.  DANSH DUKE looks very skinny at the 6/5 odds offer at the time of writing from a win perspective, though his Placepot chance is there for all to see.

Favourite factor: Three of the eight favourites have finished in the frame, statistics which include two successful (7/2 & 9/4) market leaders from a win perspective.  That said, this was the (only) Placepot race that trashed so many units last year, the frame having been filled by horses sent off at 14/1-14/1-11/1.

Record of course winner in the fourth event:

1/3--Casterbridge (good to soft)

 

3.50: Marjorie Fife’s soft ground course winner COURIER represents win and place value at around the 16/1 mark though from a win perspective, SAINTED looks to hold all the aces here.  Connections have no cause for concern regarding the conditions for their Dutch Art filly who takes a considerable step down in class, having contested the Group 3 Oak Tree Stakes at Goodwood last week when finding traffic problems in the race at a vital stage. Marjorie saddled a winner with her last runner at Catterick with Courier being her lone raider today, whilst William Haggas (Sainted) has been banging in gold medallists all season at an alarming rate.

Favourite factor: This is a new event (for fillies) on the Haydock card.

Your first 30 days for just £1

Record of course winner in the fifth race:

1/1—Courier (soft)

 

4.20: Twelve of the thirteen available Placepot positions have been claimed by fillies carrying a minimum weight of 8-13, statistics which include all five winners at 7/1-7/1-9/2-4/1-11/4.  Unfortunately, only one of the remaining ‘dead eight’ runners is eliminated via the weight trend, which leaves us with ALWAYS THANKFUL and CONQUESRESS to represent yours truly. The first named raider should make light of only a two pound rise for a victory under similar conditions at Yarmouth recently, whilst I can report that CONQUERESS has been the subject of plenty of each way support on nearly all of the boards overnight.

Favourite factor:  Four of the five favourites have finished out with the washing thus far (no winners).

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Haydock card on Thursday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:

4 runners—Eric Alston (0/6)

3—Karl Burke (2/20 – loss of 12 points)

3—Tom Dascombe (11/57 – Profit of 8 points)

3—Kevin Ryan (0/5)

2—James Bethell (0/5)

2—Tim Easterby (1/16 – Profit of 35 points)

2—David Evans (1/17 – loss of 2 points)

2—Richard Fahey (2/31 – loss of 13 points)

2—Roger Fell (0/7)

2—John Gallagher (0/2)

2—Michael Mullineaux (1/2 – Profit of 24 points)

2—Lynn Siddall (0/1)

2—Nigel Tinkler (0/3)

2—Chris Wall (0/2)

2—Lisa Williamson (0/4)

+ 3924 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

59 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Brighton: £210.80 – 8 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 3 unplaced

Sandown: £390.40 – 6 favourites – 3 winners & 3 unplaced

Yarmouth: £475.00 – 7 favourites – 3 winners & 4 unplaced

Newcastle: £144.80 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 3 placed – 2 unplaced

Wolverhampton: £10.10 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Wednesday 9th August

PONTEFRACT - AUGUST 9

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £77.90 (6 favourites - 4 winners - 1 placed - 1 unplaced)

 

Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Pontefract: 

Leg 1 (2.10): 4 (Hawridge Glory) & 5 (Gibson Park)

Leg 2 (2.40): 2 (Beatbox Rhythm) & 3 (Chief Justice)

Leg 3 (3.10): 5 (Im Dapper Too), 8 (Grey Destiny), 6 (Natajack) & 2 (Sophisticated Heir)

Leg 4 (3.40): 5 (Kasperenko), 4 (Icefall) & 3 (Sennockian Star)

Leg 5 (4.10): 13 (Crosse Fire), 1 (Tarboosh) & 11 (See The Sun)

Leg 6 (4.40): 5 (Stanley) & 3 (Echo Of Lightning)

Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

*PONTEFRACT HAS PASSED ITS MORNING INSPECTION - RACING GOES AHEAD

Earlier this morning (when the meeting was still in doubt), I wrote the following sentences;  You might like to consider the two Ron Harris runners at Bath this afternoon following his 152/1 double on the corresponding card last year.  Ron’s recent record is 2/14 – offering seven points of level stake profit during the period.  Bath representatives: Viola Park: (4.30) & Secret Potion (5.00)

 

2.10:  Amateur events are difficult to digest as I have declared on many occasions, but the one thing I really cannot understand is why racecourses decide to stage these contests as the first race on the card.  I fully appreciate the reasons for these events, but why can’t such races be contested at the end of seven race meetings (such as this one), when people who are not overly interested in amateur contests can beat the traffic home, whereby toteplacepot wagers would also be unaffected?  Surely the friends and supporters of the amateur riders would also have more time to linger and talk to the pilots in an around the unsaddling area with no races to follow the finale?  Upwards and onward (hoping that we race at Pontefract today) by informing that HAWRIDGE GLORY is the only horse with any reasonable form on soft ground (beaten less than three lengths under those conditions last time out), whilst Rod Millman continues to send out a steady stream of winners.  GIBSON PARK should represent NH trainer Dan Skelton to good effect.  That said from a win perspective, Dan has failed to saddle a winner on the level during the last five years, albeit via just eight representatives.

Favourite factor: 11 of the 21 market leaders have reached the frame via 16 renewals (five winners).

 

2.40: This is one of the many (Novice Stakes) events which has been deemed a ‘new event’ by the BHA but for the last time, I am going to include previous results, mainly because nothing has changed in the contest in terms of class status, distance etc.  You might choose to keep these stats for future reference.  Favourite backers go into battle with confidence on a high as ten of the last fourteen renewals have been won by market leaders of one description or another. Why should I dent you this information?  BEATBOX RHYTHM appears to be the horse to beat this time around with connections probably having most to fear from the likes of Richard Fahey’s Acclamation newcomer CHIEF JUSTICE and TEBAY.

Favourite factor: 12 favourites have won during the last 18 years, with 13 gold medallists having been returned at odds of 11/4 or less.

Draw factor (six furlongs most recent result offered first):

2-7-1 (10 ran-good to firm)

2-7-5 (8 ran - good)

8-5-1 (8 ran - good to firm)

4-11-5 (11 ran - good)

1-9-10 (9 ran - good to firm)

4-5 (5 ran - good to firm)

1-7 (6 ran - good)

1-3 (7 ran - good)

8-7-5 (12 ran - good)

1-2-3 (10 ran - good to firm)

6-7-3 (9 ran - good to firm)

6-13-3 (13 ran - good)

13-12-5 (13 ran - good to firm)

1-7 (7 ran - good to firm)

3-5-10 (11 ran - soft)

11-13-3 (13 ran - good)

10-7-3 (11 ran - good to firm)

5-8 (7 ran - good to firm)

2-6-9 (12 ran - good to firm)

 

3.10: Paddy Power are out on a limb by offering 28/1 about soft/heavy ground winner SOPHISTICAED HEIR, Kevin Frost’s seven-year-old having attracted each way support overnight as far down to 16/1 in a place.  More logical winners of the contest arguably include GREY DESTINY, IM DAPPER TOO and NATAJACK.

Favourite factor: The inaugural 4/1 favourite finished out of the money behind horses which filled the frame at 7/1-5/1-8/1.  A slight improvement to report last year as the market leader (at least) claimed a Placepot position when finding one to good having been returned at 7/4.

Record of course winners in the third contest on the card:

1/2—Captain Revelation (good to firm)

Draw factor (eight furlongs):

1-2-7 (8 ran - good to firm)

11-8-9 (10 ran – good)

 

3.40: Seven of the last fifteen winners have carried weights of 9-4 or more with five of the six runners 'qualifying' via the weight trend this time around.  Good and bad offerings to report regarding Mark Johnston’s raider SENNOCKIAN STAR, given that the trainer has saddled the winner of three of the last five renewals of this event when represented.  On the flip side of the argument, Franny Norton’s mount has failed to win on soft ground (or worse) on all ten assignments to date.  You pays your money and takes your choice!  We are guessing on account of the ground about KASPERENKO but that said, David Lanigan’s runners are usually well to the fore when backed, so the advice is to keep ‘em peeled and act accordingly.  The other potential winner in the field according to your truly is ICEFALL who was only beaten a head last back end on soft ground at Thirsk.

Favourite factor: Eight favourites have won during the study period, though just four of the other 15 market leaders secured additional toteplacepot positions.

Record of the course winner in the fourth event:

1/1—Mutadaffeq (good)

1/1—Icefall (good to firm)

 

4.10: Low (to middle) numbers are generally favoured in such races at Pontefract though unfortunately in this event, we have no renewals on soft ground to call on in terms of the draw.  CROSSE FIRE is the only course winner who has prevailed on anything like today’s ground whereby Scott Dixon’s course and distance winner is the first name on the team sheet.  TARBOOSH is a winner of two of his last three races and has a proven track record with moisture in the ground.  My trio against the twelve remaining contenders is completed by SEE THE SUN whose connections have cause to be optimistic with ground conditions likely to worry others more than Tim Easterby’s team.

Favourite factor: Just two clear market leaders and a joint favourite have scored during the last 20 years, whilst only 10 of the 24 market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.

Draw factor (five furlongs):

9-13-8 (12 ran – good to firm)

4-3-1 (9 ran - good)

5-4-2 (8 ran - good to firm)

1-4 (6 ran - good)

6-4-10 (10 ran - good to firm)

6-2-8 (8 ran - good to firm)

1-7-6 (11 ran - good)

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2-9-1 (11 ran - good)

8-11-2 (14 ran - good)

5-7-6 (11 ran - firm)

13-3-9 (13 ran - good to firm)

14-2-7 (14 ran - good)

13-7-14 (15 ran - good to firm)

1-2-12 (12 ran - good to firm)

7-8-5-1 (17 ran - good)

2-17-3-5 (17 ran - good)

16-3-4-17 (17 ran - good to firm)

11-2-12 (14 ran - good to firm)

11-4-3-2 (18 ran - good to firm)

Record of course winners in the fifth race:

1/4—Sandra’s Secret (good to firm)

1/8—Jack Luey (good to firm)

1/2—See The Sun (good to firm)

1/2—Crosse Fire (soft)

 

4.40: Five of the nine winners have carried 9-1 or more to victory as have 17 of the 27 horses which have secured Placepot positions.  Six of the ten runners are discarded accordingly (includes those via claiming jockeys), which leaves yours truly assessing just four horses without requiring the aid of an abacus on this occasion.  Accordingly, STANLEY is preferred to ECHO OF LIGHTNING and the other relevant pair in the Placepot finale.  The ground has seemingly gone against Talent Scout, though that has not stopped win and place support for Karen Tutty’s raider from being recorded overnight.

Favourite factor:  Seven of the twelve favourites (via nine renewals) have finished out with the washing, statistics which include two successful market leader and one joint favourite from a win perspective.

Draw factor (eight furlongs):

2-1-4 (8 ran – good to firm)

1-9-4 (9 ran - good)

3-1-2 (8 ran - good to firm)

6-2-8 (10 ran - good)

3-6-10 (10 ran - good to firm)

12-4-3 (11 ran - good to firm)

4-5-1 (8 ran - good)

6-5-17 (14 ran - good)

7-3-8 (8 ran - good)

Record of course winners in the Placepot finale: 

2/12—Talent Scout (good & good to firm)

1/3--Rockwood (good)

2/5—Ralphy Boy (good & good to firm)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two of more) on the Pontefract card on Wednesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:

7 runners—David O’Meara (5/25 – Profit of 7 points)

4—Ruth Carr (1/14 – loss of 3 points)

4—Michael Dods (1/19 – loss of 2 points)

4—Tim Easterby (6/28 – Profit of 10 points)

4—Richard Fahey (4/51 – loss of 36 points)

4—Micky Hammond (2/17 – Profit of 1 point)

3—Anthony Brittain (0/2)

3—Mark Johnston (5/30 – loss of 13 points)

3—Karen Tutty (0/3)

2—Michael Appleby (0/12)

2—Declan Carroll (1/10 – Profit of 3 points)

2—Tom Dascombe (1/7 – loss of 4 points)

2—John Davies (1/2 – Profit of 4 points)

2—Scott Dixon (1/4 – Profit of 4 points)

2—Ann Duffield (0/7)

2—Jedd O’Keeffe (0/9)

2—Paul Midgley (1/15 – loss of 7 points)

2—Lawrence Mullaney (1/6 – loss of 1 point)

2—David Simcock (No previous runners this season at Pontefract)

2—Richard Whitaker (4/5 – Profit of 18 points)

+ 29 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

87 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Bath: £17.20 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 4 placed – 1 unplaced

Brighton: £1,025.80 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 1 placed – 4 unplaced

Yarmouth: £194.40 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced

Kempton: £217.70 – 8 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 5 unplaced