So here we are at Thursday already, dear reader, and another week seems to be fizzing by without me noticing... I've got a packed post today, including the great weight for age debate; The Life System; the man with the most bulging eyes in the universe; and a Night Orbit update to boot.
So let's get cracking!
First up, thanks to all those who added their weight (terrible pun) to yesterday's discussion point. Seeing as it was so popular, I'm going to try to get my anti-establishment thinking buddy Rob to share some of his other pearls of wisdom in the future. Rob, if you're reading, do you fancy sharing your views on the futility of jumps racing? 😉
Some excellent points, and I'll try to look into the effects of weight in handicaps, by race distance, and by going. Incidentally, the research I did was based on flat racing. It seems a little unseasonal to undertake similar research for NH races, but again - at some point (if I remember) - we can look at that too. I have the technology!
One or two (actually, more like eight or nine) of you have been asking me about The Life System, and whether it's any good. I've had a copy since Monday, and I've the following observations.
It's certainly an interesting system, taking as it does a 'dutching' approach to the racing. That is, it advocates betting more than one horse in a race. Now, of course, I'm not going to give the game away here, but suffice it to say that this system WILL find big-priced winners.
The question is whether it will find them regularly enough to cover it's losses. I don't know the answer to that point, so am watching the live results page with interest. You can view that results page here:
My advice regarding this system is, despite the threat of price rises, to hang fire and check the results. If the results are good, and it costs Â£15 more, I think that's better than paying Â£15 less and the results being not good.
Hope that makes sense...
I've had a quick squint at today's racing, and there's one I have a fancy for later on.
Before that, though, I can pass on a good word for a horse called Arcano in the opener at Newbury. It's been working very well ahead of debut today and, if getting the hang of things first time up, is expected to run well.
The one I really like though, in the 2.40 at the same venue, is a course, distance, grade and going winner.
Apple Charlotte ticks a helluva lot of boxes actually, and if box-ticking is your route to betting (as it often is mine), then she's got to be of interest.
Although circa 11/8 is not everybody's mug of Tetley, and today's race has a number of unexposed young ladies preparing to reveal a bit more leg (sorry, lost myself in an exposure analogy there!), I think 'Sir' Henry's filly looks spot on, and will be punting accordingly.
Moving on to tomorrow's racing - hang on Matt, we haven't even started today's racing yet! - and Night Orbit is taking the looooooooooooooooooooong trip up to Aintree for a novice hurdle. It's a step up in class and in trip; I'm not certain the flat track will be in his favour; and he has to concede 7lbs to some dark ones further down the card.
Moreover, there are some sneaky Irish raiders in the field that, as they say, could be anything.
And... as a last time out winner, he's likely to be overbet and therefore represent no value.
Despite all of these negatives, I'll be punting him as I am honourbound to do. And, should he have a chance on the run-in, I'll be hollering to the fullness of my lungs' capacity!
The one thing Night Orbit does have in his favour is that he's a tryer. He's a little bit slow, but he's definitely a tryer.
Good luck fella!
Finally today, as the fourth day of the traditional working week, named after the Norse god of war (I think), Thor, it's time for some Thorsday Fun. And I was reminded the other day of the legendary Marty Feldman, and his ridiculous and utterly brilliant 'Just One More, Please' sketch. Alas, not for the first time I wasn't able to find it on the web, so can't share it with you.
However, I did track down the rather marvelous (well, I think so anyway) 'Loneliness of the Long Range Golfer'. Gorgeous soundtrack too...